ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1890
Avg Goals 1.83
Avg Home 1.10
Avg Away 0.73
Home Win % 44.8%
Draw % 33.5%
Away Win % 21.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1890
Avg Brier Score 0.6246
Pick Accuracy 44.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6259
Market Brier 0.6273
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 1890 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.8% 13.0% 23
10–20% 16.4% 14.3% 573
20–30% 25.3% 24.4% 1461
30–40% 33.7% 35.0% 2266
40–50% 44.8% 42.1% 845
50–60% 54.2% 57.0% 393
60–70% 63.2% 69.8% 96
70–80% 72.2% 61.5% 13
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Chacarita vs Club Tristan Suarez 1-1 64% 66% -2.7 23% 26% -11.5 13% 17% -26.1
05.08.23 Club Almagro vs CA San Telmo 2-0 49% 49% 0.4 32% 37% -12.7 19% 24% -21.6
05.08.23 Deportivo Madryn vs Quilmes AC 0-0 44% 45% -2.8 32% 35% -7.8 24% 29% -19.4
05.08.23 Villa Dalmine vs Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 19% 23% -14.7 30% 31% -2.8 51% 56% -10.2
06.08.23 Atletico Rafaela vs CA Brown de Adrogue 0-0 45% 48% -6.0 32% 34% -6.4 24% 29% -17.7
06.08.23 CA Alvarado vs Defensores de Belgrano 0-0 34% 37% -8.4 35% 37% -6.0 31% 36% -12.4
06.08.23 CA Mitre de Santiago del Estero vs Club Atletico Atlanta 2-0 47% 49% -4.2 31% 33% -7.2 22% 28% -19.6
06.08.23 Defensores Unidos vs Nueva Chicago 0-0 24% 27% -11.6 34% 36% -5.2 42% 47% -9.1
06.08.23 Deportivo Maipu vs Club Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 51% 53% -3.8 29% 31% -6.9 20% 26% -20.9
06.08.23 Guillermo Brown vs San Martin de Tucuman 3-0 25% 29% -13.9 33% 35% -5.0 42% 47% -9.1
06.08.23 Patronato Parana vs Deportivo Moron 3-2 40% 43% -8.6 33% 34% -4.0 28% 32% -14.1
06.08.23 San Martin San Juan vs All Boys 2-0 59% 59% 0.5 26% 30% -14.9 15% 21% -27.6
07.08.23 CA Agropecuario vs Club Atletico Temperley 1-3 50% 53% -4.9 30% 33% -8.8 20% 24% -19.9
07.08.23 CA Aldosivi vs CA Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 39% 42% -7.6 32% 34% -4.7 29% 34% -16.6
08.08.23 CA Chaco For Ever vs Racing de Cordoba 2-1 43% 45% -5.8 33% 35% -6.1 24% 29% -15.2
08.08.23 Gimnasia Mendoza vs Almirante Brown 4-1 44% 47% -4.4 32% 34% -6.6 24% 29% -18.7
15.08.23 CA San Telmo vs CA Agropecuario 0-1 27% 32% -16.4 32% 33% -4.0 41% 45% -9.7
16.08.23 All Boys vs CSD Flandria 1-0 48% 50% -4.2 30% 32% -6.2 22% 27% -19.3
16.08.23 Almirante Brown vs Patronato Parana 2-0 46% 50% -7.3 30% 31% -3.0 23% 28% -16.0
16.08.23 Club Atletico Temperley vs Guillermo Brown 0-0 54% 55% -2.5 27% 29% -8.1 19% 26% -24.3
16.08.23 Defensores de Belgrano vs Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 48% 50% -4.5 31% 34% -8.3 21% 26% -19.6
16.08.23 Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 52% 55% -4.7 28% 31% -7.4 19% 24% -21.4
16.08.23 Nueva Chicago vs San Martin San Juan 0-0 46% 49% -6.3 33% 36% -8.2 22% 26% -16.0
16.08.23 San Martin de Tucuman vs Defensores Unidos 1-0 68% 68% 0.3 22% 28% -19.8 9% 13% -29.0
18.08.23 Deportivo Riestra vs CA Chaco For Ever 0-0 56% 58% -2.9 28% 31% -10.9 16% 21% -23.0
19.08.23 CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Madryn 3-1 41% 43% -4.1 34% 37% -8.2 25% 30% -16.9
19.08.23 CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Atletico Rafaela 1-1 40% 43% -7.5 32% 33% -4.2 28% 33% -16.5
19.08.23 Club Atletico Atlanta vs Chacarita 0-1 28% 31% -10.7 32% 33% -2.7 40% 45% -12.8
19.08.23 Club Tristan Suarez vs CA Aldosivi 0-0 48% 52% -7.7 30% 30% -2.5 23% 27% -16.3
20.08.23 CA Agropecuario vs Club Almagro 1-1 53% 53% -0.3 29% 33% -12.0 18% 23% -23.7
20.08.23 CA Alvarado vs All Boys 0-0 50% 51% -2.5 30% 33% -9.2 20% 25% -21.1
20.08.23 Club Ferro Carril Oeste vs Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 37% 41% -9.7 32% 32% -2.0 32% 37% -14.8
20.08.23 Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu 1-0 35% 38% -8.5 32% 33% -3.2 33% 38% -15.4
20.08.23 Guillermo Brown vs CA San Telmo 1-1 51% 53% -4.7 29% 31% -6.8 20% 25% -20.3
20.08.23 Patronato Parana vs Defensores de Belgrano 1-2 42% 45% -7.6 32% 34% -5.2 26% 31% -16.1
20.08.23 Quilmes AC vs Villa Dalmine 2-0 68% 68% 0.4 21% 26% -18.4 11% 15% -29.9
20.08.23 Racing de Cordoba vs CA Mitre de Santiago del Estero 4-2 48% 53% -8.9 31% 32% -5.4 21% 26% -16.2
21.08.23 CSD Flandria vs Nueva Chicago 0-1 33% 39% -15.5 34% 36% -4.8 33% 35% -5.6
21.08.23 Defensores Unidos vs Club Atletico Temperley 1-1 28% 32% -12.0 33% 35% -4.0 38% 43% -10.3
22.08.23 Club Atletico Guemes vs Almirante Brown 0-0 42% 45% -8.0 32% 34% -5.0 26% 31% -15.5
22.08.23 San Martin San Juan vs San Martin de Tucuman 0-0 37% 41% -9.4 34% 36% -5.6 29% 34% -13.5
25.08.23 CA Aldosivi vs Atletico Rafaela 0-1 36% 41% -11.8 32% 33% -2.6 32% 36% -11.6
26.08.23 CA San Telmo vs Defensores Unidos 1-1 41% 42% -3.8 33% 35% -6.3 27% 32% -17.7
26.08.23 Chacarita vs Racing de Cordoba 1-0 62% 64% -2.7 25% 29% -11.6 13% 17% -23.3
26.08.23 Club Atletico Temperley vs San Martin San Juan 0-1 39% 42% -7.3 34% 36% -6.1 27% 32% -15.1
26.08.23 Club Tristan Suarez vs Club Atletico Atlanta 1-0 46% 50% -7.6 30% 31% -3.6 24% 29% -17.2
26.08.23 Defensores de Belgrano vs Club Atletico Guemes 4-1 53% 56% -4.7 29% 31% -7.6 18% 23% -20.0
26.08.23 Deportivo Madryn vs CA Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 50% 51% -2.8 30% 33% -9.6 20% 26% -21.9
26.08.23 Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 59% 61% -3.2 27% 29% -9.8 15% 19% -22.3
26.08.23 Nueva Chicago vs CA Alvarado 1-4 49% 51% -2.5 32% 35% -9.5 19% 24% -19.2
27.08.23 Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron 0-1 40% 43% -8.6 32% 33% -3.8 28% 33% -15.4
27.08.23 CA Chaco For Ever vs Club Ferro Carril Oeste 4-2 43% 45% -5.0 32% 34% -6.3 25% 31% -18.6
27.08.23 CA Mitre de Santiago del Estero vs Deportivo Riestra 1-1 36% 41% -11.3 34% 36% -5.9 30% 33% -11.3
27.08.23 Club Almagro vs Guillermo Brown 2-0 55% 56% -3.0 28% 31% -9.6 17% 22% -22.0
27.08.23 Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes AC 1-0 56% 59% -4.0 27% 29% -8.1 16% 21% -21.7
27.08.23 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Patronato Parana 2-1 50% 53% -5.1 30% 32% -7.3 20% 25% -19.5
27.08.23 San Martin de Tucuman vs CSD Flandria 2-0 71% 73% -3.3 21% 24% -15.1 9% 12% -26.1
29.08.23 All Boys vs Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 32% 35% -8.9 35% 38% -6.8 33% 38% -12.3
02.09.23 CA Brown de Adrogue vs Deportivo Maipu 1-1 43% 49% -11.6 32% 33% -3.6 25% 28% -10.8
02.09.23 CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Villa Dalmine 1-0 70% 72% -2.2 20% 24% -15.8 10% 13% -28.1
02.09.23 Club Atletico Guemes vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 32% 35% -8.7 34% 36% -4.7 34% 39% -12.8
02.09.23 Defensores Unidos vs Club Almagro 1-0 36% 39% -9.3 34% 36% -5.8 30% 34% -12.5
02.09.23 Patronato Parana vs All Boys 3-2 57% 58% -2.7 27% 31% -10.8 16% 21% -23.3
03.09.23 Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Madryn 0-0 44% 48% -7.7 32% 33% -5.3 24% 29% -16.7
03.09.23 CA Alvarado vs San Martin de Tucuman 1-1 32% 36% -11.7 34% 36% -5.3 34% 38% -9.8
03.09.23 CSD Flandria vs Club Atletico Temperley 2-3 32% 36% -13.1 33% 35% -3.9 35% 38% -9.3
03.09.23 Gimnasia Jujuy vs CA Chaco For Ever 2-0 43% 45% -5.0 32% 35% -6.7 24% 29% -17.4
03.09.23 Guillermo Brown vs CA Agropecuario 1-0 33% 39% -15.8 32% 33% -2.9 35% 38% -8.3
03.09.23 Quilmes AC vs Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 40% 47% -13.2 32% 33% -3.4 27% 31% -10.8
03.09.23 Racing de Cordoba vs Club Tristan Suarez 1-1 45% 49% -8.0 30% 31% -2.7 25% 29% -16.1
04.09.23 Deportivo Moron vs Defensores de Belgrano 3-2 44% 47% -5.1 32% 35% -7.6 23% 29% -18.0
04.09.23 San Martin San Juan vs CA San Telmo 1-2 71% 74% -3.0 20% 23% -14.4 9% 12% -26.7
05.09.23 Club Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Mitre de Santiago del Estero 3-0 52% 56% -7.1 29% 30% -5.1 19% 23% -17.5
05.09.23 Deportivo Riestra vs Chacarita 0-1 30% 32% -6.4 34% 36% -4.7 36% 42% -14.2
05.09.23 Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago 2-1 47% 51% -7.7 32% 34% -6.9 21% 25% -15.0
06.09.23 Club Atletico Atlanta vs CA Aldosivi 0-0 49% 52% -5.4 30% 32% -6.5 21% 26% -18.8
09.09.23 Club Atletico Temperley vs CA Alvarado 2-1 48% 50% -4.5 30% 32% -6.7 22% 28% -20.3
09.09.23 Villa Dalmine vs Atletico Rafaela 1-4 19% 24% -20.2 30% 31% -5.2 51% 54% -5.8
10.09.23 All Boys vs Club Atletico Guemes 0-2 39% 42% -7.5 33% 35% -5.4 28% 33% -15.2
10.09.23 CA Agropecuario vs Defensores Unidos 2-0 62% 65% -3.2 24% 27% -11.2 14% 18% -25.3
10.09.23 CA Aldosivi vs Deportivo Madryn 0-0 36% 41% -12.5 32% 32% -1.2 32% 36% -10.9
10.09.23 CA Chaco For Ever vs Quilmes AC 0-4 41% 43% -6.5 33% 35% -5.9 26% 31% -15.7
10.09.23 CA Mitre de Santiago del Estero vs Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 38% 42% -8.5 34% 36% -6.4 28% 32% -13.7
10.09.23 CA San Telmo vs CSD Flandria 2-1 40% 45% -11.0 32% 33% -3.4 27% 31% -12.5
10.09.23 Chacarita vs Club Ferro Carril Oeste 3-1 63% 65% -2.8 25% 29% -13.3 12% 17% -25.1
10.09.23 Club Atletico Atlanta vs Racing de Cordoba 2-2 44% 47% -6.2 31% 33% -5.5 25% 30% -17.9
10.09.23 Club Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Riestra 0-0 35% 38% -7.8 33% 34% -4.1 32% 38% -14.8
10.09.23 Deportivo Maipu vs CA Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 51% 53% -5.3 29% 30% -5.1 21% 26% -19.7
10.09.23 San Martin de Tucuman vs Gimnasia Mendoza 4-0 51% 53% -3.8 30% 32% -8.3 19% 24% -20.4
11.09.23 Nueva Chicago vs Patronato Parana 1-1 41% 44% -7.0 33% 35% -5.9 26% 31% -15.9
12.09.23 Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown 0-1 46% 49% -5.0 31% 33% -6.7 23% 28% -18.8
12.09.23 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Moron 2-1 46% 50% -7.4 31% 33% -5.9 22% 27% -16.2
15.09.23 Deportivo Riestra vs Club Atletico Atlanta 1-0 51% 51% -0.7 29% 32% -10.0 20% 26% -23.9
16.09.23 Almirante Brown vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-2 41% 44% -8.7 32% 33% -3.9 27% 32% -15.0
16.09.23 Club Atletico Guemes vs Nueva Chicago 1-0 41% 44% -7.8 33% 35% -5.3 26% 30% -14.1
16.09.23 CSD Flandria vs Club Almagro 1-0 34% 39% -12.9 33% 34% -4.2 33% 37% -11.5
16.09.23 Deportivo Madryn vs Villa Dalmine 4-0 73% 75% -1.6 18% 22% -17.9 8% 12% -29.4
16.09.23 Gimnasia Mendoza vs Club Atletico Temperley 1-1 46% 49% -5.7 31% 33% -7.1 23% 29% -19.5
16.09.23 San Martin San Juan vs CA Agropecuario 1-1 51% 56% -8.4 30% 31% -5.5 19% 23% -16.4
17.09.23 Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu 2-0 41% 45% -9.0 32% 33% -4.0 27% 31% -14.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 1890 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

36 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club Ferro Carril Oeste 1833.95
2 Deportivo Maipu 1814.50
3 Club Atletico Atlanta 1799.89
4 Godoy Cruz 1798.84
5 Colon de Santa Fe 1796.71
6 San Martin San Juan 1776.87
7 Club Tristan Suarez 1773.37
8 CA Agropecuario 1770.06
9 CA Ferrocarril Midland 1764.17
10 Deportivo Madryn 1756.92
11 CA Estudiantes Caseros 1746.27
12 Deportivo Moron 1741.52
13 Quilmes AC 1733.30
14 Gimnasia Jujuy 1725.28
15 San Martin de Tucuman 1706.90
16 Club Atletico Colegiales 1706.61
17 Patronato Parana 1697.66
18 Defensores de Belgrano 1688.34
19 Club Atletico Temperley 1687.09
20 Nueva Chicago 1684.64
21 Club Atletico Los Andes 1679.68
22 Gimnasia y Tiro 1677.02
23 Ciudad de Bolivar 1670.51
24 Central Norte de Salta 1660.26
25 All Boys 1652.23
26 CA Chaco For Ever 1650.06
27 Almirante Brown 1630.88
28 Chacarita 1622.76
29 CA Mitre de Santiago del Estero 1596.86
30 CA San Telmo 1581.18
31 Atletico Rafaela 1574.24
32 Racing de Cordoba 1550.14
33 CA San Miguel 1537.22
34 Club Almagro 1522.62
35 CA Acassuso 1482.94
36 Club Atletico Guemes 1357.78

Away Ratings

36 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club Ferro Carril Oeste 1805.17
2 Godoy Cruz 1752.13
3 Club Tristan Suarez 1728.65
4 San Martin San Juan 1658.86
5 Patronato Parana 1657.95
6 Deportivo Madryn 1654.91
7 Deportivo Moron 1653.22
8 Colon de Santa Fe 1644.73
9 Club Atletico Temperley 1643.47
10 Club Atletico Colegiales 1640.37
11 San Martin de Tucuman 1624.68
12 Quilmes AC 1621.35
13 CA Estudiantes Caseros 1620.55
14 All Boys 1607.51
15 Nueva Chicago 1606.21
16 Chacarita 1602.43
17 Club Almagro 1600.73
18 Gimnasia Jujuy 1591.06
19 Club Atletico Atlanta 1582.27
20 Defensores de Belgrano 1577.71
21 Gimnasia y Tiro 1574.70
22 Ciudad de Bolivar 1559.15
23 CA San Miguel 1553.26
24 Club Atletico Los Andes 1548.32
25 Deportivo Maipu 1541.57
26 CA Ferrocarril Midland 1537.45
27 CA Agropecuario 1531.59
28 Central Norte de Salta 1523.81
29 CA Mitre de Santiago del Estero 1522.46
30 Almirante Brown 1514.40
31 CA Chaco For Ever 1514.35
32 Atletico Rafaela 1511.74
33 CA Acassuso 1508.74
34 Racing de Cordoba 1490.68
35 CA San Telmo 1487.33
36 Club Atletico Guemes 1417.37