ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1125
Avg Goals 2.00
Avg Home 1.12
Avg Away 0.88
Home Win % 39.0%
Draw % 33.5%
Away Win % 27.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1125
Avg Brier Score 0.6392
Pick Accuracy 43.0%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6370
Market Brier 0.6397
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 1125 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 17.1% 9.8% 122
20–30% 26.1% 25.5% 824
30–40% 33.7% 33.6% 1861
40–50% 43.9% 45.8% 452
50–60% 53.6% 57.3% 103
60–70% 63.3% 84.6% 13
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Argentino de Quilmes vs Club Deportivo Armenio 1-1 33% 38% -13.9 33% 36% -9.4 34% 38% -11.8
05.08.23 Club Atletico Colegiales vs CSyD Merlo 0-2 46% 52% -12.0 31% 33% -7.2 23% 27% -12.0
05.08.23 Villa San Carlos vs CA Ituzaingo 1-1 35% 38% -10.1 33% 36% -8.1 33% 38% -13.6
06.08.23 Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Dock Sud 0-0 40% 45% -12.6 33% 37% -10.2 27% 31% -12.2
06.08.23 CA Fenix Pilar vs Uai Urquiza 2-1 39% 44% -11.6 33% 36% -9.7 28% 32% -13.6
19.08.23 Club Deportivo Armenio vs Club Atletico Colegiales 1-2 48% 56% -14.4 32% 34% -8.3 21% 22% -6.3
19.08.23 CSyD Merlo vs Villa San Carlos 2-2 34% 38% -12.2 32% 35% -7.7 34% 39% -13.2
19.08.23 Uai Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo 2-3 28% 31% -10.0 33% 37% -9.7 38% 44% -13.5
20.08.23 CA Ituzaingo vs CA San Miguel 0-2 27% 29% -7.2 34% 37% -9.2 39% 45% -14.1
21.08.23 Club Atletico Los Andes vs Argentino de Quilmes 1-0 41% 47% -12.0 33% 37% -10.3 26% 29% -12.2
26.08.23 Argentino de Merlo vs Canuelas Futbol Club 1-2 49% 56% -13.0 31% 33% -8.3 21% 23% -10.9
26.08.23 CA San Miguel vs CSyD Merlo 4-1 61% 69% -12.8 25% 27% -4.5 14% 15% -9.0
27.08.23 Talleres Remedios vs Sportivo Dock Sud 2-1 43% 50% -13.4 32% 36% -9.2 24% 27% -10.2
27.08.23 Villa San Carlos vs Club Deportivo Armenio 1-2 29% 32% -10.4 32% 34% -7.0 40% 47% -14.9
28.08.23 Sacachispas FC vs CA Ituzaingo 3-0 33% 37% -10.5 35% 39% -11.1 32% 36% -12.1
02.09.23 Argentino de Quilmes vs Club Atletico Colegiales 2-1 41% 48% -13.7 32% 35% -7.6 27% 29% -9.3
02.09.23 CA Ituzaingo vs CA Fenix Pilar 1-0 37% 40% -7.9 34% 38% -10.7 29% 35% -16.0
02.09.23 CSyD Merlo vs Sacachispas FC 1-0 35% 40% -12.6 33% 36% -8.2 32% 36% -11.4
03.09.23 Club Atletico Los Andes vs Villa San Carlos 1-1 43% 49% -12.4 31% 34% -7.3 26% 29% -12.1
03.09.23 Club Deportivo Armenio vs CA San Miguel 2-0 32% 36% -10.8 35% 40% -11.7 32% 36% -11.4
03.09.23 Uai Urquiza vs Talleres Remedios 0-1 29% 32% -11.2 33% 37% -9.8 38% 43% -12.8
09.09.23 Sportivo Dock Sud vs Uai Urquiza 2-0 44% 51% -13.4 31% 34% -8.0 24% 28% -12.2
09.09.23 Villa San Carlos vs Argentino de Quilmes 1-3 41% 48% -14.2 31% 33% -7.0 28% 32% -12.8
10.09.23 Sacachispas FC vs Club Deportivo Armenio 0-1 27% 29% -8.8 34% 37% -9.4 40% 45% -12.9
10.09.23 Talleres Remedios vs Canuelas Futbol Club 1-0 49% 56% -12.9 31% 34% -8.6 20% 22% -9.6
11.09.23 CA Fenix Pilar vs CSyD Merlo 2-0 43% 49% -11.0 32% 35% -9.0 25% 29% -13.7
12.09.23 Argentino de Merlo vs CA Ituzaingo 0-0 46% 53% -12.5 32% 36% -9.5 22% 24% -9.3
16.09.23 Canuelas Futbol Club vs Sportivo Dock Sud 2-2 33% 37% -11.2 34% 38% -9.9 33% 38% -12.2
16.09.23 Club Deportivo Armenio vs CA Fenix Pilar 0-1 46% 52% -10.8 32% 36% -10.3 22% 25% -13.1
16.09.23 CSyD Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo 1-1 24% 26% -9.8 31% 34% -7.5 45% 52% -13.3
17.09.23 Club Atletico Colegiales vs Villa San Carlos 1-1 39% 44% -12.7 32% 34% -7.4 29% 33% -12.2
18.09.23 Argentino de Quilmes vs CA San Miguel 0-1 29% 34% -13.2 32% 35% -7.8 38% 43% -11.5
23.09.23 Argentino de Merlo vs Club Deportivo Armenio 0-0 35% 39% -10.1 34% 38% -9.8 31% 35% -12.5
23.09.23 Talleres Remedios vs CA Ituzaingo 3-0 53% 62% -14.8 30% 32% -7.3 17% 17% -3.0
23.09.23 Uai Urquiza vs Canuelas Futbol Club 2-1 40% 45% -12.1 32% 35% -7.8 28% 31% -11.3
24.09.23 Sacachispas FC vs Argentino de Quilmes 0-3 31% 34% -9.3 33% 36% -8.9 36% 42% -14.4
30.09.23 Villa San Carlos vs CA San Miguel 1-2 34% 39% -13.0 33% 36% -9.0 33% 37% -11.5
01.10.23 Argentino de Quilmes vs CA Fenix Pilar 2-1 42% 48% -12.6 32% 35% -8.4 26% 30% -12.7
01.10.23 Club Atletico Los Andes vs Argentino de Merlo 2-0 35% 40% -13.2 34% 38% -10.0 31% 35% -10.2
02.10.23 CA Ituzaingo vs Sportivo Dock Sud 1-0 33% 38% -11.8 34% 37% -9.4 33% 38% -12.1
03.10.23 CSyD Merlo vs Talleres Remedios 0-0 25% 28% -11.6 33% 37% -10.3 42% 48% -11.3
07.10.23 Uai Urquiza vs CA Ituzaingo 2-2 39% 44% -12.8 33% 36% -8.5 29% 32% -11.4
09.10.23 Argentino de Merlo vs Argentino de Quilmes 1-0 50% 59% -14.8 30% 31% -5.3 20% 22% -6.7
09.10.23 Sacachispas FC vs Villa San Carlos 2-1 33% 38% -12.0 32% 35% -8.0 35% 40% -13.7
09.10.23 Sportivo Dock Sud vs CSyD Merlo 1-2 54% 63% -14.7 27% 29% -4.3 19% 21% -10.6
09.10.23 Talleres Remedios vs Club Deportivo Armenio 0-0 32% 35% -9.2 33% 36% -8.7 35% 41% -13.9
14.10.23 Argentino de Merlo vs Club Atletico Los Andes 2-2 43% 49% -12.7 34% 38% -10.8 24% 26% -9.8
16.10.23 Talleres Remedios vs CA San Miguel 0-0 36% 40% -10.7 34% 37% -9.3 31% 35% -12.5
28.10.23 CA San Miguel vs Talleres Remedios 0-1 40% 45% -11.7 33% 36% -8.8 27% 31% -12.6
28.10.23 Club Atletico Los Andes vs Argentino de Merlo 1-0 36% 41% -12.8 33% 37% -9.7 31% 35% -11.7
04.11.23 Club Atletico Los Andes vs Argentino de Quilmes 0-1 40% 47% -13.5 33% 36% -8.7 27% 30% -10.4
05.11.23 Club Deportivo Armenio vs CA San Miguel 0-1 41% 45% -10.1 34% 38% -11.3 25% 29% -12.5
11.11.23 Argentino de Quilmes vs Club Atletico Los Andes 2-0 31% 36% -12.2 33% 36% -8.3 36% 41% -12.1
11.11.23 CA San Miguel vs Club Deportivo Armenio 0-0 34% 38% -10.4 34% 38% -10.0 32% 37% -13.0
20.11.23 Argentino de Quilmes vs CA San Miguel 0-0 29% 32% -10.1 32% 34% -7.3 39% 45% -14.1
25.11.23 CA San Miguel vs Argentino de Quilmes 1-1 50% 58% -13.1 30% 32% -7.4 20% 22% -10.6
03.02.24 Club Atletico Colegiales vs Villa San Carlos 2-1 38% 44% -13.8 32% 35% -7.8 30% 33% -11.3
03.02.24 Deportivo Laferrere vs CA Fenix Pilar 1-1 38% 42% -9.7 33% 36% -9.6 29% 35% -15.4
03.02.24 Sacachispas FC vs Club Deportivo Armenio 1-0 25% 27% -8.7 33% 36% -9.3 42% 49% -13.2
03.02.24 San Martin de Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo 0-0 35% 39% -10.8 33% 36% -9.1 32% 37% -13.8
04.02.24 CSyD Merlo vs Argentino de Quilmes 0-1 31% 36% -12.1 34% 38% -10.1 35% 39% -11.6
04.02.24 Uai Urquiza vs Sportivo Italiano 0-1 41% 48% -14.0 32% 34% -7.5 27% 30% -10.3
04.02.24 Villa Dalmine vs Club Atletico Los Andes 1-1 35% 41% -15.2 33% 36% -8.3 33% 36% -8.6
05.02.24 Sportivo Dock Sud vs CSD Flandria 2-2 34% 38% -10.8 33% 36% -8.5 34% 39% -14.2
10.02.24 Club Deportivo Armenio vs CSyD Merlo 2-0 53% 60% -11.4 29% 31% -7.6 18% 21% -12.7
10.02.24 CSD Flandria vs Club Atletico Colegiales 0-0 46% 53% -13.5 31% 33% -7.7 24% 27% -12.2
10.02.24 Villa San Carlos vs Uai Urquiza 3-1 43% 50% -14.2 32% 35% -8.2 25% 28% -9.6
11.02.24 Sportivo Dock Sud vs Villa Dalmine 2-0 36% 39% -9.2 33% 36% -8.7 32% 38% -15.8
11.02.24 Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin de Burzaco 1-1 40% 47% -14.4 31% 33% -6.2 29% 32% -10.3
12.02.24 Argentino de Quilmes vs Deportivo Laferrere 1-1 42% 50% -15.1 31% 33% -6.2 26% 29% -8.0
13.02.24 Deportivo Liniers vs CA Excursionistas 0-1 37% 43% -16.0 33% 36% -8.7 31% 34% -9.0
16.02.24 Canuelas Futbol Club vs Argentino de Quilmes 0-0 28% 30% -8.9 33% 36% -8.9 39% 45% -13.7
16.02.24 Sacachispas FC vs Deportivo Liniers 1-0 41% 48% -14.9 33% 36% -8.7 27% 29% -8.7
16.02.24 Uai Urquiza vs CSD Flandria 0-0 31% 35% -11.6 32% 34% -7.5 37% 43% -14.2
17.02.24 CA Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo 0-0 39% 45% -14.1 32% 35% -8.1 29% 32% -11.0
17.02.24 Club Atletico Colegiales vs Sportivo Dock Sud 1-2 41% 45% -10.7 32% 35% -8.4 27% 32% -14.8
17.02.24 Deportivo Laferrere vs Club Deportivo Armenio 2-1 32% 36% -11.0 34% 38% -10.0 34% 38% -12.5
17.02.24 San Martin de Burzaco vs Villa San Carlos 1-0 37% 42% -11.7 32% 34% -7.0 32% 37% -14.5
17.02.24 Villa Dalmine vs CA Ferrocarril Midland 1-2 40% 48% -15.8 32% 34% -7.3 28% 30% -7.7
20.02.24 Argentino de Quilmes vs Club Atletico Los Andes 2-1 36% 40% -11.2 34% 37% -9.1 31% 35% -11.5
20.02.24 Club Deportivo Armenio vs Canuelas Futbol Club 2-0 49% 55% -9.7 32% 36% -11.2 19% 22% -13.0
20.02.24 CSD Flandria vs San Martin de Burzaco 1-0 41% 45% -10.7 32% 35% -8.8 27% 32% -15.0
20.02.24 Sportivo Dock Sud vs Uai Urquiza 1-0 44% 51% -13.5 32% 34% -8.1 24% 27% -10.2
20.02.24 Sportivo Italiano vs CA Excursionistas 0-3 27% 29% -9.2 33% 36% -9.1 40% 47% -13.5
21.02.24 Argentino de Merlo vs Sacachispas FC 3-0 44% 49% -10.7 32% 35% -8.7 25% 29% -13.8
21.02.24 Club Atletico Colegiales vs Villa Dalmine 0-0 43% 51% -14.7 32% 35% -7.9 25% 26% -6.6
21.02.24 Deportivo Liniers vs CSyD Merlo 0-0 34% 38% -9.6 31% 34% -7.4 34% 42% -17.2
24.02.24 CA Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos 1-0 48% 56% -13.4 30% 32% -6.7 22% 24% -10.7
24.02.24 CA Ferrocarril Midland vs Argentino de Quilmes 0-3 39% 44% -12.6 32% 35% -7.6 29% 32% -10.8
25.02.24 CSyD Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo 2-1 30% 32% -7.1 34% 37% -9.1 36% 43% -14.6
25.02.24 Uai Urquiza vs Club Atletico Colegiales 0-3 31% 36% -12.4 33% 37% -9.6 35% 40% -11.9
26.02.24 Villa Dalmine vs CA Fenix Pilar 0-3 36% 41% -11.4 33% 36% -8.9 31% 35% -12.6
27.02.24 Club Atletico Los Andes vs Club Deportivo Armenio 2-2 34% 38% -9.3 34% 38% -10.1 32% 37% -14.1
27.02.24 Sacachispas FC vs Sportivo Italiano 2-2 36% 39% -9.3 34% 38% -10.3 31% 36% -14.5
27.02.24 San Martin de Burzaco vs Sportivo Dock Sud 1-0 37% 41% -9.0 33% 36% -8.6 30% 36% -15.3
02.03.24 Argentino de Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere 2-2 43% 50% -13.4 32% 35% -8.2 25% 27% -9.3
02.03.24 Argentino de Quilmes vs CA Fenix Pilar 1-1 43% 49% -12.1 32% 36% -9.6 25% 29% -13.0
02.03.24 Club Atletico Colegiales vs San Martin de Burzaco 1-1 42% 48% -12.5 32% 34% -7.9 27% 30% -12.3
02.03.24 Club Deportivo Armenio vs CA Ferrocarril Midland 0-1 46% 52% -12.2 32% 35% -8.7 22% 25% -10.1
02.03.24 CSD Flandria vs CA Excursionistas 1-0 36% 41% -11.9 32% 35% -7.8 32% 36% -12.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 1125 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

22 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CA Excursionistas 1754.07
2 Arsenal De Sarandi 1710.17
3 Talleres Remedios 1682.70
4 Villa Dalmine 1644.61
5 Deportivo Camioneros 1637.23
6 Club Deportivo Armenio 1582.56
7 Real Pilar 1550.61
8 Sportivo Italiano 1541.04
9 CA Brown de Adrogue 1525.66
10 CSD Flandria 1525.52
11 Deportivo Laferrere 1517.60
12 Villa San Carlos 1513.13
13 Uai Urquiza 1510.07
14 Argentino de Merlo 1501.79
15 Argentino de Quilmes 1497.14
16 Comunicaciones 1492.64
17 Sportivo Dock Sud 1479.90
18 CSyD Merlo 1478.78
19 Deportivo Liniers 1469.53
20 Defensores Unidos 1459.25
21 San Martin de Burzaco 1453.32
22 CA Ituzaingo 1289.61

Away Ratings

22 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CA Excursionistas 1609.92
2 Talleres Remedios 1569.02
3 Villa Dalmine 1547.60
4 Arsenal De Sarandi 1546.57
5 Real Pilar 1522.88
6 Deportivo Laferrere 1513.41
7 Club Deportivo Armenio 1506.20
8 Deportivo Camioneros 1495.99
9 CSD Flandria 1479.38
10 Argentino de Quilmes 1451.66
11 CA Brown de Adrogue 1450.99
12 Argentino de Merlo 1443.18
13 Defensores Unidos 1443.07
14 Sportivo Dock Sud 1427.69
15 Comunicaciones 1427.58
16 Uai Urquiza 1419.55
17 Sportivo Italiano 1415.26
18 Deportivo Liniers 1412.37
19 San Martin de Burzaco 1411.18
20 CSyD Merlo 1369.39
21 Villa San Carlos 1324.27
22 CA Ituzaingo 1269.84