ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1113
Avg Goals 2.08
Avg Home 1.13
Avg Away 0.94
Home Win % 38.6%
Draw % 30.6%
Away Win % 30.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1113
Avg Brier Score 0.6363
Pick Accuracy 44.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6389
Market Brier 0.6362
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 1113 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.0% 0.0% 6
10–20% 16.8% 21.2% 179
20–30% 26.4% 23.7% 995
30–40% 33.2% 34.2% 1472
40–50% 44.3% 44.0% 464
50–60% 54.4% 57.3% 185
60–70% 63.7% 66.7% 33
70–80% 73.3% 60.0% 5
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 CA Excursionistas vs CA Atlas 4-2 53% 62% -14.0 28% 31% -8.5 19% 19% -1.7
05.08.23 Club Lujan vs AD Berazategui 1-1 36% 42% -12.6 33% 38% -13.0 31% 33% -7.8
05.08.23 Deportivo Laferrere vs Club Leandro N. Alem 1-1 55% 61% -10.2 29% 33% -13.2 16% 17% -8.0
05.08.23 General Lamadrid vs CA Puerto Nuevo 2-0 46% 51% -10.7 30% 34% -12.0 24% 27% -11.8
06.08.23 Central Cordoba de Rosario vs CA Claypole 0-0 34% 39% -13.4 33% 38% -13.6 33% 35% -6.5
06.08.23 Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo Espanol 2-2 40% 45% -12.1 32% 36% -11.6 28% 31% -8.9
06.08.23 JJ Urquiza vs CA Ferrocarril Midland 1-0 35% 40% -12.8 31% 35% -10.8 34% 37% -8.7
06.08.23 San Martin de Burzaco vs CSD Yupanqui 2-3 56% 63% -11.4 26% 28% -7.9 18% 21% -12.0
19.08.23 CA Atlas vs San Martin de Burzaco 3-2 35% 41% -13.7 31% 35% -11.3 34% 37% -9.1
19.08.23 Sportivo Italiano vs Club Lujan 1-2 41% 47% -12.2 32% 36% -12.6 27% 30% -9.6
20.08.23 CA Claypole vs Deportivo Liniers 1-1 47% 54% -12.9 31% 34% -11.4 22% 24% -6.0
20.08.23 CA Puerto Nuevo vs JJ Urquiza 0-2 33% 36% -10.5 32% 36% -11.3 36% 40% -10.6
20.08.23 CSD Yupanqui vs General Lamadrid 0-0 25% 29% -11.5 31% 34% -11.3 44% 49% -9.5
21.08.23 CA Ferrocarril Midland vs Central Cordoba de Rosario 1-1 43% 50% -13.1 30% 34% -10.4 26% 29% -8.3
21.08.23 CA Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Laferrere 0-1 22% 26% -15.7 29% 33% -13.0 49% 54% -8.7
21.08.23 Club Leandro N. Alem vs CA Excursionistas 0-0 22% 27% -15.8 29% 33% -12.6 48% 53% -8.0
21.08.23 Deportivo Espanol vs Real Pilar 0-1 43% 49% -12.3 31% 35% -11.4 26% 29% -8.6
26.08.23 AD Berazategui vs Sportivo Italiano 0-1 37% 42% -11.2 32% 36% -12.2 31% 35% -10.8
26.08.23 Real Pilar vs CA Claypole 1-0 31% 36% -14.6 32% 36% -12.6 38% 41% -7.6
26.08.23 San Martin de Burzaco vs Club Leandro N. Alem 1-0 54% 60% -10.5 27% 30% -10.4 19% 22% -12.9
27.08.23 Central Cordoba de Rosario vs CA Puerto Nuevo 0-3 50% 56% -11.6 29% 33% -11.6 21% 23% -9.7
27.08.23 Club Lujan vs Deportivo Espanol 1-1 34% 38% -10.3 34% 39% -13.6 32% 35% -8.1
27.08.23 General Lamadrid vs CA Atlas 1-0 45% 52% -12.5 30% 33% -9.9 25% 27% -7.7
27.08.23 JJ Urquiza vs CSD Yupanqui 3-0 53% 60% -11.4 27% 30% -9.8 19% 22% -11.3
29.08.23 CA Excursionistas vs CA Victoriano Arenas 3-0 68% 77% -11.3 21% 22% -6.1 11% 12% -7.3
02.09.23 CA Victoriano Arenas vs San Martin de Burzaco 2-1 19% 22% -11.5 27% 29% -9.2 54% 61% -10.8
02.09.23 CSD Yupanqui vs Central Cordoba de Rosario 0-1 27% 31% -14.5 31% 36% -12.7 42% 45% -7.4
04.09.23 CA Atlas vs JJ Urquiza 2-1 37% 43% -13.0 31% 34% -9.9 32% 36% -9.2
04.09.23 CA Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Liniers 0-0 33% 38% -12.7 30% 34% -10.1 37% 41% -10.3
04.09.23 Deportivo Espanol vs AD Berazategui 2-3 42% 48% -12.2 31% 34% -11.4 28% 31% -11.5
05.09.23 Club Leandro N. Alem vs General Lamadrid 1-1 30% 34% -13.6 32% 36% -12.4 38% 42% -7.9
09.09.23 JJ Urquiza vs Club Leandro N. Alem 0-0 52% 60% -12.1 27% 30% -9.4 20% 23% -10.9
09.09.23 Real Pilar vs CA Puerto Nuevo 2-0 44% 51% -12.5 30% 33% -10.2 26% 29% -9.5
09.09.23 Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Espanol 2-0 44% 51% -13.8 31% 34% -11.0 26% 28% -7.2
10.09.23 Club Lujan vs CA Ferrocarril Midland 0-1 32% 36% -13.2 32% 36% -12.3 37% 40% -8.7
10.09.23 Deportivo Liniers vs CSD Yupanqui 2-1 55% 62% -12.4 27% 29% -9.4 19% 21% -10.7
11.09.23 AD Berazategui vs CA Claypole 1-1 32% 36% -13.3 32% 36% -11.6 37% 40% -7.8
11.09.23 Central Cordoba de Rosario vs CA Atlas 1-0 42% 48% -12.1 31% 34% -10.8 27% 30% -9.7
11.09.23 General Lamadrid vs CA Victoriano Arenas 2-0 59% 67% -11.2 25% 28% -9.2 16% 17% -10.5
16.09.23 CA Claypole vs Sportivo Italiano 2-0 45% 52% -12.8 31% 34% -11.3 24% 26% -7.8
16.09.23 CSD Yupanqui vs Real Pilar 0-1 26% 29% -12.2 30% 34% -11.7 44% 49% -10.4
17.09.23 CA Atlas vs Deportivo Liniers 0-0 37% 42% -12.2 31% 34% -10.5 32% 36% -10.2
17.09.23 CA Ferrocarril Midland vs AD Berazategui 3-0 46% 53% -12.2 29% 32% -9.8 25% 28% -11.2
17.09.23 CA Puerto Nuevo vs Club Lujan 1-2 34% 38% -12.2 32% 36% -11.6 35% 38% -9.9
17.09.23 CA Victoriano Arenas vs JJ Urquiza 1-1 23% 27% -13.2 30% 33% -11.4 47% 52% -9.3
17.09.23 Deportivo Laferrere vs General Lamadrid 1-0 44% 50% -12.7 30% 33% -10.3 26% 29% -10.1
18.09.23 Club Leandro N. Alem vs Central Cordoba de Rosario 2-2 31% 36% -13.4 32% 37% -12.5 37% 39% -6.5
22.09.23 Deportivo Espanol vs CA Claypole 0-1 31% 35% -12.9 32% 36% -12.2 38% 41% -8.1
23.09.23 Central Cordoba de Rosario vs CA Victoriano Arenas 0-1 56% 62% -10.4 27% 29% -9.6 18% 20% -11.2
23.09.23 Real Pilar vs CA Atlas 0-1 39% 44% -11.4 31% 34% -10.6 30% 33% -10.7
24.09.23 Deportivo Liniers vs Club Leandro N. Alem 1-0 53% 60% -12.4 27% 29% -8.0 20% 22% -9.3
24.09.23 General Lamadrid vs CA Excursionistas 3-0 31% 36% -14.1 31% 34% -11.1 39% 43% -9.1
24.09.23 JJ Urquiza vs Deportivo Laferrere 0-1 37% 42% -12.3 32% 36% -12.2 32% 35% -9.5
25.09.23 AD Berazategui vs CA Puerto Nuevo 0-1 46% 53% -11.7 29% 32% -10.0 25% 28% -11.8
25.09.23 Club Lujan vs CSD Yupanqui 2-1 54% 61% -11.7 27% 30% -10.3 19% 21% -11.4
30.09.23 CA Excursionistas vs JJ Urquiza 2-0 56% 65% -13.7 26% 28% -7.0 18% 19% -6.7
30.09.23 San Martin de Burzaco vs General Lamadrid 1-0 49% 56% -12.6 27% 29% -7.0 24% 26% -10.5
01.10.23 CA Puerto Nuevo vs Sportivo Italiano 1-1 31% 35% -13.0 31% 35% -11.1 38% 43% -9.5
01.10.23 CA Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Liniers 2-1 23% 27% -13.2 28% 31% -9.9 49% 55% -10.9
02.10.23 CA Atlas vs Club Lujan 1-3 39% 44% -12.8 31% 35% -11.3 30% 34% -10.6
02.10.23 Deportivo Laferrere vs Central Cordoba de Rosario 1-0 57% 66% -14.0 27% 30% -9.4 16% 16% -0.3
03.10.23 CA Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Espanol 0-1 53% 62% -13.4 28% 31% -9.6 19% 20% -6.3
03.10.23 Club Leandro N. Alem vs Real Pilar 0-2 29% 33% -12.0 32% 36% -12.2 39% 43% -8.9
03.10.23 CSD Yupanqui vs AD Berazategui 2-6 31% 37% -15.6 30% 33% -10.2 39% 42% -8.0
10.10.23 AD Berazategui vs CA Atlas 1-0 43% 50% -14.4 29% 32% -9.2 28% 31% -9.3
10.10.23 CA Claypole vs CA Ferrocarril Midland 1-2 42% 49% -13.4 30% 34% -10.1 27% 29% -7.3
10.10.23 Central Cordoba de Rosario vs CA Excursionistas 0-2 26% 31% -16.7 31% 35% -13.0 44% 47% -5.7
10.10.23 Club Lujan vs Club Leandro N. Alem 0-1 52% 59% -12.1 29% 32% -10.7 19% 21% -7.6
10.10.23 Deportivo Espanol vs CA Puerto Nuevo 4-0 35% 38% -10.2 29% 32% -8.9 36% 42% -14.5
10.10.23 JJ Urquiza vs San Martin de Burzaco 4-0 38% 44% -14.9 29% 32% -8.6 33% 36% -8.4
10.10.23 Real Pilar vs CA Victoriano Arenas 3-0 64% 73% -11.9 23% 25% -8.0 13% 14% -8.1
10.10.23 Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Yupanqui 3-1 58% 66% -12.3 25% 26% -6.2 17% 19% -9.7
14.10.23 CA Atlas vs CA Ferrocarril Midland 1-1 31% 36% -14.9 30% 33% -10.0 39% 43% -8.2
14.10.23 CA Claypole vs JJ Urquiza 1-3 46% 53% -12.4 30% 34% -11.2 24% 26% -9.5
14.10.23 General Lamadrid vs Sportivo Italiano 1-1 39% 45% -14.5 31% 34% -10.4 30% 32% -6.3
28.10.23 Sportivo Italiano vs General Lamadrid 2-2 40% 45% -12.3 31% 34% -10.5 29% 32% -9.2
29.10.23 CA Ferrocarril Midland vs CA Atlas 5-0 52% 60% -12.8 28% 31% -9.5 20% 22% -9.0
29.10.23 JJ Urquiza vs CA Claypole 4-0 35% 41% -13.2 32% 36% -11.8 32% 35% -7.4
05.11.23 JJ Urquiza vs Deportivo Liniers 0-1 44% 51% -13.7 31% 35% -11.2 25% 27% -5.3
12.11.23 Deportivo Liniers vs JJ Urquiza 1-1 39% 45% -14.6 30% 34% -10.2 31% 33% -7.8
02.02.24 General Lamadrid vs Defensores de Cambaceres 1-1 50% 58% -14.9 29% 31% -7.9 21% 22% -1.2
03.02.24 CA Ituzaingo vs Argentino Rosario 0-0 49% 59% -17.1 29% 31% -7.2 23% 22% 2.0
03.02.24 Central Cordoba de Rosario vs Centro Espanyol 2-0 41% 51% -19.9 30% 34% -10.1 28% 27% 5.2
03.02.24 Club Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo 2-1 50% 57% -13.0 28% 31% -9.1 22% 24% -8.2
03.02.24 Club Mercedes vs Deportivo Espanol 2-2 30% 32% -5.8 30% 34% -10.2 39% 47% -15.8
04.02.24 AD Berazategui vs CSD Yupanqui 2-0 62% 72% -14.0 23% 24% -2.8 15% 15% -1.9
04.02.24 CA El Porvenir vs Real Pilar 2-0 34% 36% -5.2 31% 35% -11.1 34% 41% -15.9
04.02.24 CA Puerto Nuevo vs CA Victoriano Arenas 1-0 50% 55% -8.8 28% 31% -10.6 22% 26% -15.6
04.02.24 Deportivo Muniz vs CA Atlas 2-1 30% 36% -16.8 30% 34% -11.2 40% 43% -6.8
05.02.24 CA Lugano vs Club Leandro N. Alem 0-1 37% 40% -8.6 31% 35% -10.9 32% 37% -13.1
05.02.24 Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Central Ballester 0-0 41% 48% -13.5 30% 34% -10.4 28% 31% -9.0
05.02.24 Sportivo Barracas vs JJ Urquiza 0-5 31% 34% -9.6 31% 35% -10.8 38% 43% -12.0
10.02.24 Argentino Rosario vs General Lamadrid 1-1 34% 41% -15.7 32% 37% -12.8 33% 35% -5.1
10.02.24 CA Victoriano Arenas vs CA Lugano 2-1 41% 48% -14.4 31% 35% -11.4 28% 30% -7.1
10.02.24 Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel 1-1 44% 51% -14.6 31% 34% -10.5 25% 26% -3.8
10.02.24 CSD Yupanqui vs Sportivo Barracas 1-0 38% 45% -16.1 32% 36% -12.3 30% 31% -4.2
11.02.24 CA Atlas vs Club Mercedes 1-1 44% 50% -11.7 29% 32% -9.5 27% 30% -12.1
11.02.24 Central Ballester vs CA Claypole 0-0 27% 31% -12.8 30% 34% -10.6 42% 47% -8.8
11.02.24 Defensores de Cambaceres vs Deportivo Muniz 2-2 50% 56% -11.8 28% 31% -9.1 22% 25% -11.2
11.02.24 JJ Urquiza vs Club Lujan 3-1 48% 56% -14.4 29% 32% -9.2 23% 24% -5.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 1113 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

28 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 AD Berazategui 1543.02
2 Club Lujan 1525.62
3 Central Cordoba de Rosario 1524.10
4 Sacachispas FC 1520.41
5 Canuelas Futbol Club 1511.06
6 Centro Espanyol 1506.00
7 Leones de Rosario FC 1500.98
8 Deportivo Espanol 1500.90
9 CA Victoriano Arenas 1477.59
10 CA Lugano 1475.98
11 General Lamadrid 1467.16
12 Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn 1464.81
13 CA Atlas 1462.37
14 CA Claypole 1458.99
15 Juventud Unida San Miguel 1444.07
16 Sportivo Barracas 1430.53
17 Deportivo Muniz 1411.15
18 CSD Yupanqui 1403.42
19 Defensores de Cambaceres 1396.31
20 JJ Urquiza 1394.23
21 Argentino Rosario 1383.34
22 CA Puerto Nuevo 1382.03
23 CA El Porvenir 1380.73
24 Club Mercedes 1374.51
25 CA Fenix Pilar 1363.86
26 Central Ballester 1358.93
27 Club Leandro N. Alem 1353.77
28 Deportivo Paraguayo 1332.86

Away Ratings

28 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club Lujan 1520.66
2 AD Berazategui 1512.67
3 Centro Espanyol 1482.84
4 Sacachispas FC 1481.84
5 CA El Porvenir 1475.87
6 Leones de Rosario FC 1470.41
7 Deportivo Espanol 1461.30
8 General Lamadrid 1439.95
9 Canuelas Futbol Club 1436.97
10 Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn 1436.47
11 Juventud Unida San Miguel 1429.47
12 Central Cordoba de Rosario 1418.99
13 CA Lugano 1416.57
14 Sportivo Barracas 1403.55
15 CA Victoriano Arenas 1393.81
16 CA Claypole 1388.26
17 CA Atlas 1387.88
18 Defensores de Cambaceres 1376.45
19 Club Mercedes 1370.32
20 JJ Urquiza 1355.36
21 Deportivo Muniz 1343.39
22 CA Puerto Nuevo 1338.67
23 CSD Yupanqui 1334.07
24 Argentino Rosario 1328.44
25 Club Leandro N. Alem 1297.60
26 Central Ballester 1289.62
27 CA Fenix Pilar 1285.55
28 Deportivo Paraguayo 1261.62