ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 111
Avg Goals 2.24
Avg Home 1.03
Avg Away 1.22
Home Win % 36.0%
Draw % 23.4%
Away Win % 40.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 111
Avg Brier Score 0.6182
Pick Accuracy 47.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6207
Market Brier 0.6304
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 21
Value Bet Hit Rate 47.6%
ROI (flat stake) 70.5%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 95.2% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 21 of 111 matches had at least one · staked 21.00, profit 14.80 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 20 50.0% 20.00 15.80 79.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.0% 0.0% 5
10–20% 16.6% 17.4% 23
20–30% 26.5% 24.1% 133
30–40% 34.5% 36.1% 97
40–50% 43.9% 45.5% 44
50–60% 53.7% 68.8% 16
60–70% 62.9% 50.0% 8
70–80% 72.8% 66.7% 6
80–90% 80.9% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
23.02.24 Social Atletico Television vs Everton La Plata 1-2 38% 47% -18.8 26% 31% -17.0 37% 36% 2.7
01.03.24 Club Atletico Pilar vs Deportivo Metalurgico 0-7 25% 31% -19.5 26% 32% -18.6 49% 49% -0.5
02.03.24 Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn vs Juventud de Bernal 0-1 49% 58% -14.9 26% 32% -18.6 25% 22% 10.6
03.03.24 FC Ezeiza vs Social Atletico Television 1-1 15% 19% -19.7 23% 28% -17.7 62% 65% -4.1
03.03.24 Nautico Hacoaj vs Estrella De Berisso 0-2 41% 50% -17.3 27% 34% -19.3 31% 29% 6.3
09.03.24 Juventud de Bernal vs Deportivo Camioneros II 0-5 38% 43% -10.0 27% 33% -19.1 35% 37% -6.2
09.03.24 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Nautico Hacoaj 1-0 28% 35% -20.0 27% 33% -18.7 45% 43% 3.1
10.03.24 Estrella De Berisso vs Club Atletico Pilar 1-0 61% 69% -11.6 21% 24% -15.7 18% 17% 3.7
11.03.24 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Everton La Plata 1-0 45% 53% -14.6 23% 28% -15.8 31% 32% -3.4
14.03.24 Nautico Hacoaj vs Juventud de Bernal 3-2 52% 55% -5.5 24% 30% -20.1 24% 27% -10.5
15.03.24 Deportivo Camioneros II vs Defensores De Glew 2-0 59% 72% -18.5 20% 22% -8.7 21% 17% 26.5
16.03.24 Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn vs Social Atletico Television 2-0 38% 47% -17.2 28% 34% -18.8 34% 32% 5.4
18.03.24 Barrancas FC vs Belgrano de Zarate 1-0 43% 52% -17.7 26% 31% -17.1 32% 30% 5.1
18.03.24 FC Ezeiza vs Everton La Plata 1-3 28% 35% -18.7 27% 34% -19.0 44% 43% 1.7
19.03.24 Estrella De Berisso vs Deportivo Metalurgico 1-1 31% 39% -21.3 27% 33% -18.9 42% 40% 5.3
22.03.24 Social Atletico Television vs Deportivo Camioneros II 2-6 35% 33% 4.8 27% 33% -20.3 38% 47% -17.2
23.03.24 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Estrella De Berisso 0-1 28% 36% -21.7 28% 35% -20.0 43% 41% 6.5
25.03.24 Juventud de Bernal vs Club Atletico Pilar 1-3 45% 53% -16.5 25% 30% -16.7 30% 29% 5.5
26.03.24 Belgrano de Zarate vs Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn 1-3 22% 31% -26.9 26% 33% -21.7 51% 49% 5.4
26.03.24 Deportivo Metalurgico vs FC Ezeiza 0-1 68% 69% -1.9 19% 25% -25.2 13% 17% -20.9
04.05.24 Everton La Plata vs Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos 0-1 44% 51% -14.5 27% 33% -19.3 29% 29% 2.4
06.05.24 Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn vs Nautico Hacoaj 0-0 60% 68% -11.4 22% 26% -17.5 18% 17% 3.5
07.05.24 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Deportivo Camioneros II 0-1 22% 20% 10.3 22% 24% -10.7 56% 67% -16.3
11.05.24 Club Atletico Pilar vs Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn 0-0 19% 28% -32.6 25% 33% -25.7 57% 52% 9.1
11.05.24 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs FC Ezeiza 2-3 36% 40% -10.2 28% 35% -19.4 36% 37% -3.4
13.05.24 Juventud de Bernal vs Everton La Plata 0-3 24% 32% -25.3 25% 31% -19.5 51% 50% 2.3
18.05.24 Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn vs Estrella De Berisso 3-0 41% 49% -15.3 27% 34% -19.2 31% 30% 3.3
20.05.24 Barrancas FC vs Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos 2-1 38% 42% -9.3 29% 37% -20.8 33% 34% -3.0
20.05.24 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Nautico Hacoaj 0-1 42% 48% -11.4 26% 31% -17.7 32% 33% -3.8
24.05.24 Deportivo Camioneros II vs Club Atletico Pilar 2-2 74% 79% -6.2 17% 22% -22.4 9% 10% -7.6
20.07.24 Belgrano de Zarate vs Deportivo Metalurgico 0-1 32% 38% -16.4 28% 35% -19.5 40% 39% 1.0
22.07.24 Deportivo Camioneros II vs Estrella De Berisso 1-1 62% 66% -6.8 21% 27% -21.3 17% 19% -10.5
22.07.24 Everton La Plata vs Social Atletico Television 0-2 53% 58% -8.3 24% 29% -18.7 23% 24% -5.2
26.07.24 Social Atletico Television vs FC Ezeiza 1-0 32% 35% -8.0 28% 35% -19.3 40% 43% -6.9
28.07.24 Estrella De Berisso vs Nautico Hacoaj 0-0 33% 43% -21.6 28% 34% -19.5 39% 36% 8.9
29.07.24 Juventud de Bernal vs Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn 0-1 18% 25% -28.2 22% 28% -20.1 60% 59% 1.8
02.08.24 FC Ezeiza vs Belgrano de Zarate 1-0 66% 76% -12.8 20% 24% -15.7 14% 11% 21.4
03.08.24 Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn vs Defensores De Glew 3-1 61% 68% -10.9 22% 27% -18.3 17% 17% 3.3
05.08.24 Barrancas FC vs Social Atletico Television 1-0 33% 36% -8.4 29% 36% -20.1 38% 41% -6.5
12.08.24 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Estrella De Berisso 0-0 39% 44% -12.9 28% 34% -18.8 34% 34% -0.5
07.09.24 Belgrano de Zarate vs Club Atletico Pilar 2-2 44% 57% -23.8 25% 30% -16.5 31% 25% 24.6
08.09.24 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Juventud de Bernal 4-2 52% 54% -4.6 26% 33% -22.8 23% 26% -11.6
16.09.24 Juventud de Bernal vs Defensores De Glew 2-2 28% 38% -26.2 26% 32% -19.8 46% 43% 8.8
22.09.24 Everton La Plata vs Estrella De Berisso 1-2 31% 37% -15.8 29% 37% -20.4 39% 38% 2.3
23.09.24 Barrancas FC vs Nautico Hacoaj 0-2 29% 36% -19.5 28% 35% -19.7 43% 41% 4.2
30.09.24 Estrella De Berisso vs FC Ezeiza 0-0 46% 55% -16.3 26% 31% -17.1 28% 26% 9.7
30.09.24 Juventud de Bernal vs Belgrano de Zarate 1-1 34% 42% -18.8 27% 33% -19.0 39% 38% 1.8
30.09.24 Nautico Hacoaj vs Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn 0-1 27% 31% -14.1 28% 35% -19.5 45% 47% -3.1
07.10.24 Barrancas FC vs Estrella De Berisso 2-0 27% 33% -19.3 29% 37% -20.9 44% 42% 3.9
11.10.24 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Barrancas FC 4-1 43% 50% -13.3 27% 34% -19.3 29% 29% 2.5
13.10.24 Nautico Hacoaj vs Deportivo Metalurgico 0-0 35% 41% -14.5 30% 38% -20.6 35% 34% 3.7
14.10.24 Estrella De Berisso vs Club Estrella Del Sur de Alejandro Korn 0-0 33% 37% -10.8 28% 34% -19.0 39% 41% -4.3
20.08.25 Belgrano de Zarate vs Estrella De Berisso 1-0 18% 26% -29.7 28% 38% -25.2 53% 48% 11.9
20.08.25 Everton La Plata vs Nautico Hacoaj 2-2 30% 36% -16.2 32% 41% -21.9 38% 36% 7.0
20.08.25 Juventud de Bernal vs Barrancas FC 0-3 30% 38% -22.1 26% 32% -18.4 44% 42% 5.0
20.08.25 Social Atletico Television vs Defensores De Glew 1-0 40% 49% -17.2 27% 34% -19.1 32% 30% 6.2
21.08.25 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Deportivo Metalurgico 1-0 32% 37% -14.9 32% 42% -22.3 36% 34% 6.5
25.08.25 FC Ezeiza vs Social Atletico Television 0-1 47% 54% -12.9 27% 33% -19.8 26% 26% 2.2
27.08.25 Club Atletico Pilar vs Defensores De Glew 0-2 31% 43% -28.9 29% 37% -22.6 40% 32% 25.4
28.08.25 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Everton La Plata 1-0 37% 44% -16.4 28% 34% -19.2 35% 34% 3.3
03.09.25 Belgrano de Zarate vs Estrella De Berisso 1-0 36% 51% -28.1 28% 36% -21.2 36% 27% 33.4
03.09.25 Club Atletico Pilar vs FC Ezeiza 0-3 29% 42% -31.0 28% 36% -23.7 43% 34% 26.1
03.09.25 Everton La Plata vs Nautico Hacoaj 2-2 34% 41% -17.5 30% 38% -21.1 36% 33% 7.8
03.09.25 Social Atletico Television vs Defensores De Glew 1-0 35% 43% -19.3 28% 34% -19.3 37% 35% 6.4
04.09.25 Juventud de Bernal vs Barrancas FC 0-3 46% 57% -18.7 26% 31% -17.1 28% 24% 16.1
04.09.25 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Deportivo Metalurgico 1-0 36% 42% -14.6 31% 39% -21.1 33% 31% 7.1
08.09.25 Belgrano de Zarate vs Club Atletico Pilar 0-0 42% 54% -22.6 25% 29% -15.6 33% 29% 16.7
08.09.25 Defensores De Glew vs FC Ezeiza 1-2 32% 45% -28.8 26% 32% -20.1 42% 35% 19.3
08.09.25 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Nautico Hacoaj 1-0 33% 40% -18.1 28% 34% -19.0 39% 38% 4.1
08.09.25 Everton La Plata vs Barrancas FC 1-2 46% 53% -13.0 26% 32% -18.2 27% 26% 3.9
08.09.25 Social Atletico Television vs Estrella De Berisso 2-0 37% 44% -16.5 31% 39% -21.1 32% 29% 11.9
09.09.25 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Juventud de Bernal 1-1 49% 55% -9.9 25% 30% -18.9 26% 28% -5.7
11.09.25 Barrancas FC vs Juventud de Bernal 2-1 55% 66% -17.4 21% 24% -12.0 24% 21% 14.3
11.09.25 Defensores De Glew vs Social Atletico Television 2-4 26% 33% -21.6 26% 32% -18.7 48% 47% 2.4
11.09.25 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos 4-1 30% 37% -17.7 26% 31% -16.9 44% 43% 0.2
11.09.25 Estrella De Berisso vs Belgrano de Zarate 1-1 23% 29% -22.2 26% 32% -19.4 51% 51% 1.2
11.09.25 FC Ezeiza vs Club Atletico Pilar 6-0 74% 79% -6.8 17% 22% -22.5 9% 9% -3.5
11.09.25 Nautico Hacoaj vs Everton La Plata 1-0 36% 41% -11.4 28% 34% -18.9 36% 38% -3.7
16.09.25 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Barrancas FC 1-1 35% 42% -15.7 30% 38% -20.8 35% 33% 5.0
26.05.26 FC Ezeiza vs Barrancas FC 0-2 41% 50% -18.2 29% 36% -19.6 30% 27% 14.1
31.05.26 Barrancas FC vs Everton La Plata 2-1 44% 49% -10.6 28% 35% -20.0 28% 29% -0.2
01.06.26 Estrella De Berisso vs Deportivo Metalurgico 0-1 21% 27% -23.3 27% 34% -21.5 52% 51% 1.8
07.06.26 Everton La Plata vs FC Ezeiza 0-0 31% 39% -21.6 30% 38% -20.9 39% 35% 12.3
12.06.26 Defensores De Glew vs Deportivo Metalurgico 1-2 31% 40% -21.6 29% 36% -19.9 40% 36% 10.1
12.06.26 FC Ezeiza vs Las Mandarinas 1-2 50% 60% -15.8 26% 31% -17.4 24% 21% 15.7
13.06.26 Club Atletico Pilar vs Juventud de Bernal 3-0 31% 40% -22.4 29% 36% -20.1 40% 36% 11.2
13.06.26 Nautico Hacoaj vs Social Atletico Television 0-1 35% 38% -9.5 29% 37% -20.5 36% 37% -3.4
13.06.26 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Estrella De Berisso 0-1 42% 40% 5.9 27% 35% -23.0 31% 38% -18.9
14.06.26 Barrancas FC vs Alumni Los Hornos 2-1 51% 61% -15.4 23% 28% -15.6 25% 24% 6.3
17.06.26 Alumni Los Hornos vs FC Ezeiza 0-1 36% 48% -24.8 27% 33% -18.7 37% 31% 20.6
17.06.26 Belgrano de Zarate vs Buenos Aires City 1-0 33% 41% -19.1 29% 36% -20.0 38% 36% 5.7
17.06.26 Las Mandarinas vs Everton La Plata 1-2 31% 38% -19.2 26% 32% -17.9 42% 42% 1.9
20.06.26 Everton La Plata vs Alumni Los Hornos 1-0 38% 45% -17.2 28% 35% -19.3 34% 32% 6.1
20.06.26 Social Atletico Television vs Juventud de Bernal 1-0 81% 85% -5.4 13% 17% -25.5 6% 7% -17.0
20.06.26 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos vs Club Atletico Pilar 1-0 32% 33% -3.5 29% 36% -20.0 39% 43% -9.7
21.06.26 Barrancas FC vs Belgrano de Zarate 1-0 45% 51% -10.1 28% 35% -20.2 27% 26% 1.0
21.06.26 Deportivo Metalurgico vs Nautico Hacoaj 0-1 38% 47% -18.0 30% 38% -20.7 31% 27% 16.1
23.06.26 Estrella De Berisso vs Defensores De Glew 1-1 35% 42% -16.3 28% 35% -19.1 37% 36% 3.4
27.06.26 Defensores De Glew vs Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos 4-2 56% 64% -11.5 24% 29% -18.2 20% 18% 7.6
27.06.26 Nautico Hacoaj vs Estrella De Berisso 2-2 43% 44% -3.7 29% 38% -22.4 28% 30% -7.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 111 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

17 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Deportivo Metalurgico 1724.11
2 Defensores De Glew 1714.09
3 Barrancas FC 1692.47
4 Social Atletico Television 1678.94
5 FC Ezeiza 1639.39
6 Nautico Hacoaj 1625.21
7 Buenos Aires City 1602.73
8 Belgrano de Zarate 1567.30
9 Uribelarrea FC 1549.18
10 Alumni Los Hornos 1543.59
11 Everton La Plata 1541.10
12 Las Mandarinas 1535.13
13 Control Orientado 1516.48
14 Estrella De Berisso 1485.41
15 Club Atletico Pilar 1461.59
16 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos 1409.19
17 Juventud de Bernal 1226.75

Away Ratings

17 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Deportivo Metalurgico 1712.02
2 Social Atletico Television 1698.90
3 Barrancas FC 1587.89
4 Defensores De Glew 1579.44
5 Belgrano de Zarate 1566.67
6 Uribelarrea FC 1565.63
7 FC Ezeiza 1555.01
8 Nautico Hacoaj 1545.87
9 Control Orientado 1494.11
10 Las Mandarinas 1485.17
11 Alumni Los Hornos 1480.22
12 Everton La Plata 1478.50
13 Buenos Aires City 1477.39
14 Estrella De Berisso 1447.87
15 Club Atletico Pilar 1314.04
16 Juventud de Bernal 1276.89
17 Union Deportivo Provincial Lobos 1216.08