ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1745
Avg Goals 2.02
Avg Home 1.16
Avg Away 0.86
Home Win % 41.9%
Draw % 32.8%
Away Win % 25.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1602
Avg Brier Score 0.6355
Pick Accuracy 42.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6360
Market Brier 0.6360
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 10
Value Bet Hit Rate 20.0%
ROI (flat stake) 135.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 9 of 1602 matches had at least one · staked 10.00, profit 13.50 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 5 0.0% 5.00 -5.00 -100.0%
away 4 50.0% 4.00 19.50 487.5%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.8% 33.3% 9
10–20% 16.8% 12.0% 309
20–30% 25.9% 26.6% 1299
30–40% 33.6% 33.5% 2219
40–50% 44.5% 44.7% 673
50–60% 54.3% 57.3% 241
60–70% 63.6% 59.2% 49
70–80% 72.8% 85.7% 7
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
17.07.23 Argentinos Juniors vs Colon de Santa Fe 1-0 55% 62% -11.1 28% 28% -0.5 17% 17% -1.3
17.07.23 Arsenal De Sarandi vs Instituto AC Cordoba 0-2 32% 34% -6.7 34% 36% -6.2 34% 36% -7.3
17.07.23 Atletico Lanus vs CA Banfield 2-2 43% 47% -6.7 32% 33% -5.1 25% 28% -10.1
17.07.23 CA Tigre vs Barracas Central 0-1 41% 44% -7.2 32% 33% -4.3 27% 29% -8.7
17.07.23 Central Cordoba vs CA Independiente 0-1 38% 41% -7.0 33% 35% -5.0 29% 31% -7.4
18.07.23 Newell`s Old Boys vs Atletico Tucuman 0-0 44% 49% -9.3 32% 34% -5.2 24% 25% -5.4
22.07.23 Estudiantes La Plata vs CA Belgrano 4-0 52% 60% -11.9 29% 29% -1.2 18% 18% 1.7
22.07.23 San Lorenzo vs Argentinos Juniors 0-2 34% 38% -9.2 35% 38% -7.9 30% 31% -3.0
23.07.23 Atletico Tucuman vs CA Independiente 1-0 37% 40% -6.7 34% 36% -5.7 29% 31% -7.2
23.07.23 CA Platense vs CA Huracan 0-1 39% 43% -8.4 34% 37% -7.0 27% 28% -4.3
23.07.23 CSD Defensa y Justicia vs Club Atletico Sarmiento 3-0 51% 56% -9.1 29% 29% -1.9 21% 22% -7.2
24.07.23 CA Banfield vs Godoy Cruz 2-0 50% 56% -10.8 30% 31% -2.7 20% 20% -1.6
24.07.23 Rosario Central vs River Plate 3-3 31% 35% -12.8 31% 31% -2.2 39% 41% -4.8
24.07.23 Talleres Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata 2-2 61% 69% -12.1 25% 24% 3.9 14% 14% 3.0
24.07.23 Velez Sarsfield vs CA Union Santa Fe 0-0 45% 49% -8.2 33% 35% -6.0 22% 23% -3.7
25.07.23 Barracas Central vs Arsenal De Sarandi 0-0 49% 55% -10.3 31% 32% -4.7 20% 21% -4.0
25.07.23 Boca Juniors vs Newell`s Old Boys 2-1 40% 42% -5.8 34% 36% -7.3 27% 29% -9.7
25.07.23 Colon de Santa Fe vs CA Tigre 1-3 40% 43% -9.0 32% 33% -4.1 28% 31% -7.5
25.07.23 Racing Club vs Central Cordoba 3-1 47% 53% -10.4 30% 31% -3.0 23% 24% -5.4
26.07.23 Instituto AC Cordoba vs Atletico Lanus 2-1 33% 36% -7.6 34% 36% -6.0 33% 36% -8.0
28.07.23 Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata 2-3 37% 40% -7.7 32% 34% -4.2 31% 33% -8.2
28.07.23 CA Union Santa Fe vs CSD Defensa y Justicia 2-0 48% 55% -12.6 29% 29% -0.1 23% 23% -1.0
29.07.23 CA Belgrano vs Rosario Central 0-0 38% 43% -10.5 34% 36% -6.0 28% 29% -3.6
29.07.23 CA Independiente vs Boca Juniors 0-2 34% 36% -4.8 34% 36% -6.6 32% 36% -10.2
29.07.23 Central Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman 0-2 38% 42% -8.4 32% 34% -4.7 30% 32% -8.5
29.07.23 Club Atletico Sarmiento vs CA Banfield 0-0 32% 35% -8.0 33% 35% -5.1 35% 38% -7.6
29.07.23 Newell`s Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba 1-1 32% 33% -5.1 33% 34% -4.5 35% 39% -9.6
29.07.23 River Plate vs Racing Club 2-1 58% 65% -10.8 25% 24% 3.4 17% 18% -5.1
30.07.23 Atletico Lanus vs Barracas Central 2-0 46% 50% -8.2 31% 33% -5.9 23% 25% -9.1
30.07.23 CA Huracan vs Velez Sarsfield 1-0 35% 38% -8.0 34% 37% -7.1 30% 32% -6.4
30.07.23 CA Tigre vs San Lorenzo 2-0 43% 49% -11.4 32% 33% -3.8 25% 25% -1.1
30.07.23 Gimnasia La Plata vs CA Platense 1-1 40% 44% -9.8 33% 35% -5.6 27% 29% -5.5
31.07.23 Godoy Cruz vs Instituto AC Cordoba 4-2 38% 41% -7.7 33% 35% -5.6 29% 32% -8.7
18.08.23 CA Belgrano vs Estudiantes La Plata 2-1 28% 29% -4.0 34% 36% -6.4 38% 42% -9.4
19.08.23 Boca Juniors vs CA Platense 3-1 52% 58% -9.5 31% 32% -5.4 17% 17% -1.4
19.08.23 CA Independiente vs Colon de Santa Fe 0-1 48% 54% -10.6 31% 32% -4.5 21% 22% -4.0
19.08.23 CA Union Santa Fe vs Racing Club 1-1 46% 53% -12.4 31% 32% -3.3 23% 23% -0.1
20.08.23 Arsenal De Sarandi vs Instituto AC Cordoba 0-1 29% 31% -5.8 34% 36% -6.5 37% 40% -8.6
20.08.23 Atletico Lanus vs San Lorenzo 0-1 39% 43% -7.2 35% 38% -8.2 26% 28% -6.8
20.08.23 Club Atletico Sarmiento vs CA Tigre 2-0 35% 38% -9.3 32% 33% -4.2 33% 36% -8.7
20.08.23 Gimnasia La Plata vs Talleres Cordoba 0-3 31% 35% -9.7 31% 32% -2.7 37% 40% -7.2
20.08.23 Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman 0-0 46% 51% -9.6 30% 31% -2.6 24% 26% -7.8
20.08.23 Velez Sarsfield vs Barracas Central 1-0 44% 48% -7.5 33% 35% -6.6 23% 25% -7.2
21.08.23 Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate 3-2 29% 31% -6.3 31% 31% -1.8 40% 45% -10.9
21.08.23 CA Huracan vs CA Banfield 2-0 40% 44% -11.0 34% 36% -6.2 27% 28% -3.0
22.08.23 Newell`s Old Boys vs Central Cordoba 2-0 58% 67% -12.7 27% 27% 1.1 15% 14% 7.7
26.08.23 Arsenal De Sarandi vs Argentinos Juniors 3-2 24% 24% -3.6 31% 32% -3.7 45% 51% -11.4
26.08.23 Colon de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 48% 56% -12.8 29% 29% 0.2 23% 24% -3.7
26.08.23 Estudiantes La Plata vs CA Union Santa Fe 1-3 42% 47% -9.8 32% 33% -4.3 26% 28% -5.9
26.08.23 San Lorenzo vs CA Belgrano 2-2 46% 51% -8.5 34% 36% -7.8 20% 21% -2.8
27.08.23 CA Platense vs CSD Defensa y Justicia 0-0 42% 48% -12.2 32% 33% -4.2 26% 27% -2.8
27.08.23 CA Tigre vs Racing Club 1-2 54% 62% -13.8 28% 28% 1.2 18% 17% 5.5
27.08.23 Club Atletico Sarmiento vs Boca Juniors 1-0 32% 34% -7.7 33% 34% -4.8 35% 38% -8.2
27.08.23 Godoy Cruz vs Central Cordoba 1-0 49% 55% -11.6 29% 29% -0.7 22% 23% -3.7
27.08.23 Newell`s Old Boys vs Atletico Lanus 1-0 42% 47% -9.7 33% 36% -6.5 25% 26% -4.0
27.08.23 Talleres Cordoba vs CA Huracan 2-1 46% 51% -8.9 31% 32% -3.2 23% 24% -4.2
28.08.23 CA Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield 2-1 36% 38% -6.5 34% 37% -7.2 30% 32% -8.1
28.08.23 River Plate vs Barracas Central 5-1 69% 78% -11.3 21% 19% 9.0 10% 10% 5.0
29.08.23 Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto AC Cordoba 0-0 41% 44% -7.9 33% 34% -5.3 26% 29% -7.5
29.08.23 CA Banfield vs Rosario Central 3-0 41% 45% -10.7 32% 34% -4.7 27% 29% -5.0
02.09.23 Atletico Lanus vs Godoy Cruz 2-2 45% 49% -7.8 30% 31% -2.4 25% 27% -8.0
02.09.23 Central Cordoba vs CA Platense 3-2 34% 36% -7.0 34% 37% -7.1 32% 34% -7.8
02.09.23 Gimnasia La Plata vs CA Independiente 1-2 33% 36% -8.3 33% 34% -5.0 34% 37% -8.5
03.09.23 Argentinos Juniors vs Atletico Tucuman 2-2 52% 58% -10.8 29% 29% -1.4 19% 19% -1.2
03.09.23 Boca Juniors vs CA Tigre 0-1 43% 48% -10.4 32% 34% -5.2 25% 27% -5.5
03.09.23 CA Belgrano vs Newell`s Old Boys 1-1 31% 32% -5.2 36% 38% -7.7 34% 36% -6.8
03.09.23 CA Huracan vs Colon de Santa Fe 2-1 41% 44% -7.4 33% 36% -6.8 26% 28% -8.0
03.09.23 CSD Defensa y Justicia vs Club Atletico Sarmiento 1-1 47% 53% -11.9 30% 30% -1.7 23% 24% -4.2
03.09.23 Instituto AC Cordoba vs CA Banfield 0-1 37% 41% -8.5 35% 37% -6.8 28% 29% -4.3
03.09.23 Rosario Central vs Talleres Cordoba 2-0 30% 31% -2.5 31% 32% -3.0 38% 44% -14.0
03.09.23 Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate 2-0 24% 24% -3.4 30% 31% -2.0 46% 53% -12.0
04.09.23 Barracas Central vs Arsenal De Sarandi 2-1 41% 43% -5.5 33% 35% -6.0 26% 29% -9.3
04.09.23 Racing Club vs Estudiantes La Plata 2-1 36% 40% -10.7 32% 33% -4.2 32% 35% -7.2
05.09.23 CA Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo 1-1 41% 44% -8.2 34% 37% -7.1 25% 26% -3.4
12.09.23 CSD Defensa y Justicia vs Godoy Cruz 2-2 41% 44% -7.8 31% 31% -1.9 28% 31% -9.3
13.09.23 Gimnasia La Plata vs Velez Sarsfield 2-1 29% 31% -6.0 32% 33% -4.2 39% 43% -11.0
14.09.23 Club Atletico Sarmiento vs Central Cordoba 0-1 44% 49% -9.6 32% 34% -5.7 24% 26% -6.8
15.09.23 CA Independiente vs CA Huracan 1-0 41% 43% -6.8 35% 38% -8.0 25% 26% -5.9
15.09.23 CA Platense vs Atletico Lanus 2-1 33% 34% -5.0 34% 37% -7.2 33% 36% -9.7
15.09.23 CA Tigre vs Estudiantes La Plata 0-0 38% 43% -9.8 32% 33% -4.3 30% 32% -7.8
15.09.23 CSD Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors 1-0 34% 37% -7.3 31% 32% -3.4 34% 39% -12.0
16.09.23 CA Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors 0-1 28% 29% -3.3 33% 35% -5.3 39% 43% -11.3
16.09.23 Colon de Santa Fe vs Rosario Central 2-1 37% 40% -8.3 31% 32% -3.1 32% 36% -10.2
16.09.23 Newell`s Old Boys vs CA Union Santa Fe 1-1 41% 45% -10.2 33% 35% -5.8 26% 28% -5.2
16.09.23 San Lorenzo vs Racing Club 1-1 39% 42% -6.5 33% 35% -6.1 28% 31% -10.1
17.09.23 Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central 1-0 51% 57% -10.3 30% 31% -2.9 19% 19% -1.1
17.09.23 Godoy Cruz vs CA Belgrano 0-0 45% 49% -8.3 32% 33% -4.6 23% 25% -6.2
17.09.23 Talleres Cordoba vs Instituto AC Cordoba 0-0 45% 49% -6.9 31% 33% -5.6 23% 26% -9.8
18.09.23 River Plate vs Arsenal De Sarandi 3-1 73% 81% -10.3 19% 17% 8.7 8% 8% 6.5
19.09.23 Atletico Lanus vs Club Atletico Sarmiento 0-0 51% 56% -9.8 30% 31% -3.2 19% 20% -3.8
19.09.23 Central Cordoba vs Boca Juniors 0-3 29% 30% -5.3 32% 34% -4.5 39% 43% -10.5
20.09.23 Barracas Central vs CA Banfield 1-0 32% 33% -5.0 34% 36% -6.3 34% 38% -9.2
20.09.23 CA Huracan vs Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 45% 49% -8.7 32% 34% -5.0 23% 24% -4.7
20.09.23 CSD Defensa y Justicia vs CA Tigre 2-0 38% 42% -9.1 31% 32% -2.7 31% 33% -7.8
20.09.23 Estudiantes La Plata vs San Lorenzo 0-0 42% 44% -6.2 33% 36% -6.5 25% 27% -7.8
20.09.23 Rosario Central vs CA Independiente 1-1 38% 40% -5.5 33% 34% -5.5 30% 33% -11.2
20.09.23 Velez Sarsfield vs Arsenal De Sarandi 2-1 52% 57% -8.6 30% 31% -4.8 18% 19% -5.5
21.09.23 CA Belgrano vs CA Platense 3-0 40% 44% -9.1 34% 36% -6.9 26% 27% -4.7
21.09.23 CA Union Santa Fe vs Godoy Cruz 0-0 40% 43% -7.0 32% 34% -6.0 27% 30% -10.4
21.09.23 Instituto AC Cordoba vs Colon de Santa Fe 3-1 42% 45% -8.3 32% 33% -4.3 26% 29% -7.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 1602 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

30 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 River Plate 2054.23
2 Boca Juniors 2029.22
3 Rosario Central 1974.25
4 Argentinos Juniors 1954.77
5 Instituto AC Cordoba 1936.06
6 Atletico Lanus 1925.38
7 Independiente Rivadavia 1925.07
8 Gimnasia La Plata 1917.57
9 CA Tigre 1897.06
10 Estudiantes La Plata 1893.05
11 CA Independiente 1887.56
12 Velez Sarsfield 1884.42
13 CA Belgrano 1876.01
14 CA Huracan 1872.63
15 Racing Club 1864.66
16 CSD Defensa y Justicia 1855.70
17 Newell`s Old Boys 1852.29
18 Deportivo Riestra 1847.05
19 CA Platense 1838.87
20 CA Union Santa Fe 1822.54
21 Talleres Cordoba 1821.42
22 Atletico Tucuman 1817.34
23 Barracas Central 1802.76
24 Gimnasia Mendoza 1798.92
25 San Lorenzo 1787.96
26 Club Atletico Sarmiento 1750.35
27 CA Banfield 1737.80
28 CA Aldosivi 1718.70
29 Central Cordoba 1705.25
30 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1682.69

Away Ratings

30 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Boca Juniors 1985.95
2 River Plate 1973.55
3 Rosario Central 1887.15
4 Independiente Rivadavia 1852.67
5 Argentinos Juniors 1846.63
6 Estudiantes La Plata 1835.90
7 Atletico Lanus 1830.73
8 CA Belgrano 1825.57
9 Velez Sarsfield 1809.10
10 CA Tigre 1806.10
11 Racing Club 1805.15
12 Gimnasia La Plata 1804.89
13 CA Independiente 1796.12
14 CA Huracan 1795.96
15 Instituto AC Cordoba 1783.85
16 CSD Defensa y Justicia 1778.19
17 Deportivo Riestra 1775.93
18 San Lorenzo 1771.17
19 Talleres Cordoba 1766.40
20 CA Platense 1760.69
21 Newell`s Old Boys 1752.78
22 CA Union Santa Fe 1741.34
23 Atletico Tucuman 1731.73
24 Barracas Central 1726.40
25 Gimnasia Mendoza 1710.88
26 Club Atletico Sarmiento 1707.87
27 CA Banfield 1701.67
28 CA Aldosivi 1677.04
29 Central Cordoba 1634.62
30 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1583.76