ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1437
Avg Goals 2.00
Avg Home 1.31
Avg Away 0.70
Home Win % 51.4%
Draw % 30.1%
Away Win % 18.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1437
Avg Brier Score 0.5753
Pick Accuracy 52.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5780
Market Brier 0.5796
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 100.0%
ROI (flat stake) 165.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 1437 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit 1.65 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 100.0% 1.00 1.65 165.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 6.8% 117
10–20% 15.6% 11.3% 666
20–30% 25.6% 24.7% 1215
30–40% 33.1% 34.2% 1134
40–50% 44.9% 44.8% 473
50–60% 54.6% 57.4% 390
60–70% 64.4% 68.5% 238
70–80% 73.4% 85.3% 75
80–90% 83.4% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
02.08.23 CA Juventud Unida Universitario vs CS Penarol de San Juan 2-1 64% 66% -3.2 24% 29% -16.4 12% 17% -28.5
02.08.23 CA Sansinena vs Club Circulo Deportivo 1-2 68% 72% -4.9 22% 26% -14.9 10% 13% -26.6
02.08.23 CD San Martin de Formosa vs Sarmiento de Resistencia 5-0 55% 60% -7.8 30% 34% -12.5 15% 19% -18.8
02.08.23 Crucero del Norte vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 2-2 62% 69% -11.0 24% 26% -4.8 14% 17% -17.2
02.08.23 Huracan Las Heras vs CD Argentino Monte Maiz 1-1 37% 41% -8.8 32% 34% -8.1 31% 38% -17.6
02.08.23 Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Pronunciamiento 1-0 71% 75% -5.0 21% 25% -17.8 8% 11% -28.1
02.08.23 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas vs Estudiantes de San Luis 2-2 61% 63% -4.2 25% 29% -13.8 14% 19% -26.3
03.08.23 AC San Martin de Mendoza vs Ciudad de Bolivar 1-1 32% 38% -14.2 34% 38% -10.4 34% 37% -8.7
03.08.23 CA Liniers Bahia Blanca vs Club Olimpo 1-3 23% 28% -18.0 30% 33% -9.9 47% 51% -8.0
03.08.23 Club Villa Mitre vs CA Sol de Mayo 4-1 73% 76% -4.2 17% 21% -17.2 9% 14% -31.6
03.08.23 Deportivo Santamarina vs CA Germinal 3-0 63% 67% -6.1 24% 27% -11.5 13% 17% -24.9
03.08.23 Douglas Haig vs Sportivo Belgrano 1-0 57% 60% -3.5 27% 32% -15.4 15% 21% -26.6
03.08.23 Gimnasia y Esgrima CU vs D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 2-0 48% 51% -5.8 31% 35% -11.4 21% 26% -20.8
03.08.23 Juventud Antoniana vs CA Sol de America de Formosa 1-1 46% 50% -8.9 33% 37% -11.4 22% 26% -15.6
03.08.23 Sportivo Las Parejas vs Club Atletico El Linqueno 3-1 52% 53% -1.9 28% 32% -12.9 19% 26% -26.2
06.08.23 CA Germinal vs Club Cipolletti 0-0 43% 50% -13.6 32% 35% -7.8 25% 27% -8.7
06.08.23 CD Argentino Monte Maiz vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 0-0 69% 72% -5.3 21% 24% -13.2 11% 15% -27.7
06.08.23 Ciudad de Bolivar vs Huracan Las Heras 1-0 64% 67% -5.3 24% 28% -14.4 13% 17% -27.3
06.08.23 Club Atletico El Linqueno vs Independiente Chivilcoy 2-0 33% 36% -10.2 32% 35% -8.1 35% 42% -15.3
06.08.23 Club Circulo Deportivo vs CA Liniers Bahia Blanca 0-0 47% 53% -13.0 31% 33% -6.9 22% 25% -10.1
06.08.23 Club Olimpo vs Club Villa Mitre 3-2 47% 50% -5.6 32% 37% -13.4 21% 26% -21.1
06.08.23 CS Penarol de San Juan vs AC San Martin de Mendoza 3-1 37% 41% -10.3 33% 36% -8.9 31% 36% -15.2
06.08.23 D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo vs Douglas Haig 1-3 30% 34% -11.4 34% 38% -9.9 36% 40% -10.1
06.08.23 Defensores Pronunciamiento vs Gimnasia y Esgrima CU 1-2 48% 53% -8.8 31% 34% -9.3 21% 26% -17.2
06.08.23 Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Gimnasia y Tiro 2-1 39% 42% -8.6 34% 38% -10.3 28% 32% -14.5
07.08.23 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Juventud Antoniana 2-0 68% 75% -9.4 24% 26% -10.0 8% 10% -13.5
07.08.23 CA Sol de America de Formosa vs Boca Unidos 2-1 61% 65% -6.9 27% 30% -12.4 13% 16% -21.1
07.08.23 CA Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Santamarina 1-1 55% 60% -8.7 27% 29% -8.1 18% 23% -20.9
07.08.23 Sportivo Belgrano vs Union Sunchales 1-0 65% 68% -4.4 24% 29% -17.6 11% 15% -27.6
19.08.23 Club Villa Mitre vs Club Circulo Deportivo 1-1 77% 79% -3.4 16% 20% -20.8 8% 11% -32.4
19.08.23 Crucero del Norte vs Sarmiento de Resistencia 0-0 44% 48% -8.2 33% 36% -10.6 24% 29% -16.8
19.08.23 Union Sunchales vs D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 2-0 46% 50% -7.9 31% 34% -9.2 23% 29% -18.8
20.08.23 AC San Martin de Mendoza vs CA Juventud Unida Universitario 2-1 46% 48% -3.1 32% 36% -12.1 22% 28% -21.2
20.08.23 Boca Unidos vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1-1 47% 54% -13.1 30% 32% -6.1 23% 26% -11.3
20.08.23 CA Ferrocarril Oeste General Pico vs CD Argentino Monte Maiz 1-2 33% 38% -15.4 32% 35% -8.2 35% 38% -8.3
20.08.23 Club Cipolletti vs CA Sol de Mayo 0-0 54% 61% -11.2 28% 29% -5.5 18% 22% -15.4
20.08.23 Deportivo Santamarina vs Club Olimpo 1-1 30% 36% -16.8 32% 36% -9.5 38% 41% -7.0
20.08.23 Douglas Haig vs Defensores Pronunciamiento 0-0 69% 72% -3.7 21% 25% -17.2 10% 14% -29.6
20.08.23 Gimnasia y Esgrima CU vs Club Atletico El Linqueno 0-0 36% 38% -3.3 31% 33% -7.5 33% 42% -21.6
20.08.23 Gimnasia y Tiro vs CD San Martin de Formosa 3-0 58% 61% -5.5 28% 32% -13.5 14% 18% -22.3
20.08.23 Huracan Las Heras vs CS Penarol de San Juan 1-0 62% 63% -2.2 24% 29% -14.7 14% 19% -27.8
20.08.23 Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas 0-0 57% 61% -5.8 28% 32% -12.9 15% 19% -22.1
20.08.23 Juventud Antoniana vs Central Norte de Salta 0-1 35% 42% -16.2 34% 38% -10.8 31% 32% -4.5
20.08.23 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas vs Ciudad de Bolivar 1-0 34% 41% -17.2 31% 34% -7.5 35% 38% -7.7
26.08.23 Club Atletico El Linqueno vs Douglas Haig 0-1 29% 29% -2.5 32% 35% -7.9 39% 48% -18.1
26.08.23 Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Juventud Antoniana 1-1 60% 64% -5.6 27% 31% -13.7 13% 17% -22.5
26.08.23 Sportivo Las Parejas vs Gimnasia y Esgrima CU 0-1 55% 56% -2.7 28% 32% -14.4 17% 24% -26.9
27.08.23 CA Juventud Unida Universitario vs Huracan Las Heras 1-0 56% 58% -4.2 28% 33% -14.9 16% 21% -25.0
27.08.23 CA Sansinena vs Club Villa Mitre 2-4 26% 29% -7.4 33% 36% -9.4 41% 48% -14.8
27.08.23 CA Sol de Mayo vs CA Germinal 2-1 53% 55% -3.7 28% 32% -12.2 19% 25% -24.8
27.08.23 CD Argentino Monte Maiz vs Estudiantes de San Luis 0-1 68% 70% -3.5 21% 25% -16.6 11% 16% -30.1
27.08.23 CD San Martin de Formosa vs Crucero del Norte 1-0 57% 61% -7.6 27% 30% -10.6 16% 21% -22.1
27.08.23 Central Norte de Salta vs Boca Unidos 3-0 61% 62% -1.9 26% 31% -17.3 14% 19% -28.4
27.08.23 Club Circulo Deportivo vs Deportivo Santamarina 1-0 37% 43% -12.8 33% 36% -8.4 30% 34% -11.0
27.08.23 Club Olimpo vs Club Cipolletti 3-2 65% 68% -4.6 23% 27% -14.8 12% 16% -27.3
27.08.23 CS Penarol de San Juan vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 1-1 41% 45% -10.5 31% 33% -6.7 28% 33% -15.2
27.08.23 D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo vs Sportivo Belgrano 3-2 39% 42% -8.6 33% 36% -8.9 29% 34% -16.1
28.08.23 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Sol de America de Formosa 2-0 45% 53% -15.0 31% 34% -7.6 24% 26% -9.1
02.09.23 AC San Martin de Mendoza vs Huracan Las Heras 2-2 44% 45% -2.6 31% 35% -10.7 24% 31% -22.0
02.09.23 CA Juventud Unida Universitario vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 4-0 48% 50% -4.1 29% 32% -10.8 23% 31% -25.5
02.09.23 Independiente Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia y Esgrima CU 0-0 60% 62% -2.8 26% 30% -15.6 14% 20% -27.9
02.09.23 Sportivo Las Parejas vs Douglas Haig 1-2 42% 45% -8.5 33% 36% -10.1 26% 31% -16.4
03.09.23 CA Liniers Bahia Blanca vs Club Villa Mitre 0-2 20% 23% -14.7 29% 32% -9.3 51% 57% -10.7
03.09.23 CA Sansinena vs Deportivo Santamarina 1-0 48% 52% -7.1 30% 33% -10.1 22% 28% -21.2
03.09.23 CD San Martin de Formosa vs Juventud Antoniana 3-0 64% 70% -7.9 24% 27% -10.1 12% 15% -21.4
03.09.23 Central Norte de Salta vs CA Sol de America de Formosa 2-1 57% 62% -7.8 28% 31% -10.8 15% 19% -19.9
03.09.23 Club Atletico El Linqueno vs Union Sunchales 2-0 61% 64% -3.5 24% 28% -13.4 14% 20% -27.6
03.09.23 Club Circulo Deportivo vs Club Cipolletti 1-2 33% 39% -15.3 33% 36% -8.9 34% 38% -9.2
03.09.23 Club Olimpo vs CA Germinal 3-0 71% 74% -3.0 19% 23% -18.4 10% 15% -31.8
03.09.23 Defensores Pronunciamiento vs Sportivo Belgrano 2-0 38% 43% -11.3 32% 35% -8.0 30% 35% -14.0
03.09.23 Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Boca Unidos 1-2 57% 60% -3.5 27% 32% -15.5 15% 21% -26.7
09.09.23 Boca Unidos vs CD San Martin de Formosa 2-0 40% 44% -9.3 34% 38% -10.7 26% 30% -14.2
09.09.23 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Central Norte de Salta 1-1 59% 68% -13.1 28% 29% -5.8 13% 14% -4.6
09.09.23 CA Ferrocarril Oeste General Pico vs CA Juventud Unida Universitario 1-2 43% 47% -7.4 33% 37% -11.4 24% 29% -18.0
09.09.23 CA Germinal vs Club Circulo Deportivo 2-0 75% 81% -7.0 18% 20% -10.8 7% 10% -24.6
09.09.23 CA Sol de America de Formosa vs Sarmiento de Resistencia 2-0 62% 67% -7.7 26% 29% -10.2 12% 15% -19.5
09.09.23 CA Sol de Mayo vs Club Olimpo 0-2 28% 32% -11.7 31% 33% -6.8 40% 47% -13.1
09.09.23 CD Argentino Monte Maiz vs Ciudad de Bolivar 2-2 53% 57% -6.9 28% 31% -8.9 19% 24% -21.2
09.09.23 D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo vs Defensores Pronunciamiento 1-0 51% 54% -4.8 29% 33% -12.0 19% 25% -23.2
09.09.23 Juventud Antoniana vs Gimnasia y Tiro 0-0 27% 33% -17.6 32% 36% -10.3 40% 43% -6.8
09.09.23 Sportivo Belgrano vs Club Atletico El Linqueno 4-0 55% 56% -2.9 27% 31% -12.4 18% 24% -25.8
09.09.23 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas vs AC San Martin de Mendoza 1-0 46% 48% -2.5 30% 34% -11.6 23% 30% -23.8
09.09.23 Union Sunchales vs Sportivo Las Parejas 5-1 34% 39% -14.2 32% 34% -7.5 34% 38% -10.5
10.09.23 Club Cipolletti vs CA Sansinena 2-1 56% 58% -4.5 28% 32% -12.9 16% 21% -23.7
10.09.23 Deportivo Santamarina vs CA Liniers Bahia Blanca 1-1 66% 69% -5.6 24% 28% -14.6 11% 14% -25.2
10.09.23 Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy 1-1 56% 60% -6.3 29% 33% -12.8 15% 19% -20.5
13.09.23 CA Sansinena vs CA Germinal 1-0 50% 55% -8.6 29% 32% -9.3 20% 26% -20.1
13.09.23 CD San Martin de Formosa vs CA Sol de America de Formosa 1-0 55% 63% -13.0 28% 29% -5.0 17% 19% -10.8
13.09.23 Club Circulo Deportivo vs CA Sol de Mayo 3-2 38% 47% -17.2 30% 32% -5.6 31% 34% -8.4
13.09.23 Crucero del Norte vs Juventud Antoniana 2-0 53% 56% -6.4 29% 32% -10.4 18% 23% -21.0
13.09.23 CS Penarol de San Juan vs CD Argentino Monte Maiz 0-0 28% 34% -19.2 29% 31% -6.6 43% 47% -7.6
13.09.23 Gimnasia y Tiro vs Boca Unidos 1-0 83% 88% -5.1 12% 15% -17.1 5% 6% -30.1
13.09.23 Huracan Las Heras vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 1-0 55% 58% -5.1 27% 31% -11.4 18% 24% -24.7
13.09.23 Independiente Chivilcoy vs Union Sunchales 2-0 71% 76% -6.5 20% 23% -13.9 9% 12% -27.6
13.09.23 Sarmiento de Resistencia vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 0-0 48% 56% -13.6 30% 32% -6.3 22% 24% -10.6
14.09.23 AC San Martin de Mendoza vs CA Ferrocarril Oeste General Pico 0-0 59% 63% -7.1 27% 30% -12.3 15% 19% -23.3
14.09.23 CA Juventud Unida Universitario vs Estudiantes de San Luis 2-0 62% 65% -5.5 24% 28% -12.6 14% 19% -26.4
14.09.23 CA Liniers Bahia Blanca vs Club Cipolletti 0-1 36% 42% -14.7 32% 35% -8.1 32% 36% -9.9
14.09.23 Club Atletico El Linqueno vs D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 3-0 51% 53% -2.4 28% 32% -12.6 20% 28% -26.5
14.09.23 Club Villa Mitre vs Deportivo Santamarina 2-0 65% 68% -3.8 23% 27% -16.0 12% 17% -28.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 1437 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

37 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club Olimpo 1745.05
2 CA Alvarado 1724.42
3 Douglas Haig 1710.55
4 Club Villa Mitre 1700.58
5 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1657.22
6 Sportivo Belgrano 1654.28
7 Club Circulo Deportivo 1650.99
8 CA Kimberley 1646.74
9 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Chivilcoy 1638.61
10 Club Atletico El Linqueno 1637.47
11 Sportivo Las Parejas 1631.54
12 D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 1623.94
13 Atletico Sarmiento de la Banda 1619.56
14 Deportivo Rincon 1619.50
15 Juventud Antoniana 1614.33
16 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 1609.65
17 Club Cipolletti 1603.00
18 CD San Martin de Formosa 1600.00
19 CA Juventud Unida Universitario 1577.71
20 AC San Martin de Mendoza 1576.57
21 Defensores de Puerto Vilelas 1568.38
22 CD Argentino Monte Maiz 1563.85
23 Ateltico Escobar FC 1561.71
24 FADEP Mendoza 1557.02
25 Independiente Chivilcoy 1555.85
26 CA Costa Brava de General Pico 1541.85
27 Guillermo Brown 1539.42
28 Gimnasia y Esgrima CU 1531.89
29 Boca Unidos 1529.92
30 CA Sol de America de Formosa 1514.62
31 Deportivo Santamarina 1500.03
32 Huracan Las Heras 1495.89
33 CA Sol de Mayo 1470.99
34 CA Germinal 1468.48
35 CA Bartolome Mitre 1452.34
36 Club Tucuman Central Deportes 1368.93
37 Sarmiento de Resistencia 1362.06

Away Ratings

37 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Club Cipolletti 1674.43
2 Club Villa Mitre 1645.46
3 Club Olimpo 1621.43
4 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Chivilcoy 1576.57
5 CD San Martin de Formosa 1571.63
6 CA Alvarado 1563.64
7 Douglas Haig 1557.42
8 CA Kimberley 1531.58
9 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 1530.82
10 Juventud Antoniana 1518.00
11 Club Atletico El Linqueno 1514.30
12 CA Juventud Unida Universitario 1497.90
13 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1497.13
14 Gimnasia y Esgrima CU 1497.13
15 CD Argentino Monte Maiz 1482.67
16 Atletico Sarmiento de la Banda 1481.43
17 Sportivo Las Parejas 1479.94
18 CA Costa Brava de General Pico 1478.26
19 D. Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 1462.40
20 AC San Martin de Mendoza 1457.26
21 Ateltico Escobar FC 1452.00
22 Deportivo Rincon 1444.32
23 Huracan Las Heras 1438.50
24 FADEP Mendoza 1429.10
25 Club Circulo Deportivo 1417.40
26 Guillermo Brown 1416.63
27 Sportivo Belgrano 1411.65
28 CA Sol de America de Formosa 1410.07
29 CA Bartolome Mitre 1380.31
30 Independiente Chivilcoy 1372.01
31 Club Tucuman Central Deportes 1356.35
32 Sarmiento de Resistencia 1353.26
33 Defensores de Puerto Vilelas 1347.90
34 Boca Unidos 1336.45
35 CA Germinal 1318.65
36 Deportivo Santamarina 1298.65
37 CA Sol de Mayo 1224.22