ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 411
Avg Goals 2.87
Avg Home 1.56
Avg Away 1.32
Home Win % 44.8%
Draw % 18.0%
Away Win % 37.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 411
Avg Brier Score 0.5010
Pick Accuracy 62.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5034
Market Brier 0.5019
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 411 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.3% 6.0% 83
10–20% 15.3% 12.6% 285
20–30% 24.7% 22.0% 377
30–40% 34.8% 40.7% 113
40–50% 45.2% 43.3% 104
50–60% 54.9% 60.0% 80
60–70% 65.4% 73.6% 87
70–80% 74.9% 74.6% 71
80–90% 83.6% 96.6% 29
90–100% 91.4% 75.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
29.07.23 FC Noah vs FC Van 1-0 54% 61% -11.2 24% 29% -15.4 22% 23% -3.3
29.07.23 FC West Armenia vs Shirak Giumri 2-4 40% 41% -0.9 27% 33% -18.5 32% 38% -15.8
30.07.23 Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia 1-3 21% 22% -4.6 24% 29% -16.1 55% 62% -10.4
30.07.23 BKMA Yerevan vs FC Urartu 1-2 19% 21% -10.4 22% 26% -15.9 60% 66% -9.2
31.07.23 Alashkert FC vs Pyunik Yerevan 0-2 23% 25% -9.7 26% 31% -18.3 52% 56% -7.6
04.08.23 BKMA Yerevan vs FC Noah 1-0 36% 38% -6.1 27% 32% -16.9 37% 42% -11.0
05.08.23 FC Van vs Shirak Giumri 1-0 36% 38% -7.0 27% 33% -17.6 37% 41% -9.9
06.08.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat Yerevan 1-1 71% 74% -3.4 18% 24% -23.6 11% 14% -21.8
07.08.23 FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia 2-1 36% 38% -5.9 27% 33% -17.7 36% 41% -10.9
07.08.23 FC West Armenia vs Alashkert FC 1-4 17% 17% -0.8 20% 23% -12.2 63% 71% -11.5
11.08.23 Shirak Giumri vs BKMA Yerevan 0-1 38% 42% -8.6 27% 33% -17.7 34% 38% -8.6
12.08.23 Ararat Yerevan vs FC West Armenia 1-0 57% 60% -3.9 23% 28% -18.6 20% 24% -17.4
13.08.23 FC Noah vs FC Urartu 2-0 24% 26% -8.2 24% 28% -15.2 53% 59% -10.1
14.08.23 Alashkert FC vs FC Van 0-0 67% 72% -7.2 19% 23% -16.8 14% 16% -13.2
18.08.23 FC Noah vs Shirak Giumri 4-0 55% 62% -10.7 23% 28% -15.5 21% 22% -5.3
19.08.23 BKMA Yerevan vs Alashkert FC 0-4 19% 20% -4.9 23% 28% -16.3 58% 65% -10.5
19.08.23 FC Van vs Ararat Yerevan 1-2 35% 37% -4.2 27% 33% -17.7 37% 42% -12.1
20.08.23 FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan 1-1 31% 35% -11.7 26% 31% -16.5 43% 45% -5.6
20.08.23 FC West Armenia vs Ararat-Armenia 1-4 10% 11% -10.1 16% 19% -15.8 74% 80% -7.5
23.08.23 Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan 1-2 34% 39% -12.4 28% 34% -18.1 38% 39% -3.5
25.08.23 Alashkert FC vs FC Noah 3-1 46% 49% -5.0 26% 31% -17.5 28% 32% -13.6
25.08.23 Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA Yerevan 0-2 43% 45% -4.5 27% 33% -18.6 29% 34% -13.2
26.08.23 Shirak Giumri vs FC Urartu 0-2 15% 17% -11.2 21% 26% -17.7 63% 68% -7.4
27.08.23 Ararat-Armenia vs FC Van 3-0 72% 79% -8.2 17% 20% -15.4 11% 12% -8.4
28.08.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs FC West Armenia 3-0 89% 95% -6.6 8% 10% -16.6 3% 3% -8.7
31.08.23 FC Noah vs Ararat Yerevan 3-0 52% 56% -7.9 24% 29% -16.8 24% 27% -10.9
31.08.23 Shirak Giumri vs Alashkert FC 2-3 15% 15% 1.9 21% 24% -13.6 64% 73% -11.9
01.09.23 BKMA Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia 1-1 18% 20% -10.9 21% 24% -15.1 61% 67% -8.4
01.09.23 FC West Armenia vs FC Urartu 2-5 8% 8% -3.9 12% 13% -8.2 80% 88% -9.1
02.09.23 FC Van vs Pyunik Yerevan 0-5 11% 12% -9.9 19% 23% -18.1 70% 76% -7.4
14.09.23 Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Giumri 2-1 48% 51% -6.7 26% 31% -17.2 26% 29% -10.7
14.09.23 FC West Armenia vs FC Van 2-0 38% 43% -12.5 26% 30% -15.8 36% 39% -7.0
15.09.23 Alashkert FC vs FC Urartu 4-2 40% 44% -9.6 26% 31% -16.0 34% 36% -7.6
15.09.23 Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah 4-3 50% 54% -7.2 25% 30% -17.7 25% 29% -12.8
16.09.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA Yerevan 3-0 82% 88% -7.2 12% 14% -14.0 6% 6% -6.4
19.09.23 FC Urartu vs FC Van 3-1 70% 78% -9.2 17% 20% -13.1 12% 13% -5.6
19.09.23 Shirak Giumri vs Ararat-Armenia 1-3 13% 13% -2.7 18% 20% -12.0 70% 78% -9.9
20.09.23 Alashkert FC vs Ararat Yerevan 2-1 69% 75% -8.4 19% 22% -16.3 13% 14% -9.3
21.09.23 FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan 0-1 25% 29% -11.6 25% 29% -16.5 50% 54% -7.2
24.09.23 Ararat Yerevan vs FC Urartu 1-1 20% 22% -9.2 24% 29% -17.1 56% 61% -8.5
24.09.23 FC Van vs BKMA Yerevan 1-2 38% 41% -6.7 27% 32% -16.9 35% 39% -10.5
25.09.23 Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert FC 3-1 45% 50% -9.8 25% 29% -15.5 30% 33% -9.9
25.09.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs Shirak Giumri 1-0 83% 90% -7.5 11% 13% -14.8 6% 6% -9.3
26.09.23 FC West Armenia vs FC Noah 2-4 14% 15% -3.5 19% 22% -13.1 67% 75% -11.1
28.09.23 FC Urartu vs BKMA Yerevan 2-1 69% 76% -9.0 18% 22% -15.4 12% 13% -6.2
29.09.23 Ararat-Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan 2-1 74% 81% -8.9 16% 18% -13.3 10% 11% -6.2
29.09.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs Alashkert FC 3-1 55% 61% -10.7 24% 28% -15.4 22% 23% -6.0
30.09.23 FC Van vs FC Noah 0-2 20% 21% -3.2 22% 26% -13.6 58% 65% -11.8
30.09.23 Shirak Giumri vs FC West Armenia 0-0 43% 45% -6.5 25% 29% -16.0 33% 38% -14.8
03.10.23 Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu 1-2 47% 53% -11.0 24% 29% -14.5 28% 30% -6.9
03.10.23 Shirak Giumri vs FC Van 2-0 45% 50% -10.2 26% 31% -16.6 29% 31% -7.1
04.10.23 Alashkert FC vs FC West Armenia 2-0 70% 75% -6.8 17% 20% -16.4 13% 16% -17.2
04.10.23 Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan 0-5 13% 15% -11.6 19% 22% -16.6 68% 74% -7.7
05.10.23 FC Noah vs BKMA Yerevan 3-0 68% 75% -9.1 18% 21% -13.7 14% 15% -9.0
19.10.23 FC West Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan 0-2 26% 26% 0.4 23% 26% -11.3 51% 60% -14.6
20.10.23 FC Van vs Alashkert FC 2-1 16% 17% -6.1 20% 24% -14.3 63% 70% -10.2
20.10.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia 1-1 49% 54% -9.5 25% 30% -16.3 26% 28% -7.4
21.10.23 BKMA Yerevan vs Shirak Giumri 1-3 41% 44% -7.7 27% 32% -17.1 32% 36% -9.7
21.10.23 FC Urartu vs FC Noah 1-0 42% 45% -8.0 25% 30% -16.1 33% 37% -11.6
24.10.23 Ararat Yerevan vs FC Van 2-1 52% 58% -10.1 25% 29% -16.2 23% 25% -6.5
24.10.23 Ararat-Armenia vs FC West Armenia 4-0 85% 91% -6.7 11% 13% -17.9 5% 5% -10.5
25.10.23 Alashkert FC vs BKMA Yerevan 1-0 67% 73% -8.0 19% 23% -16.8 14% 16% -12.9
25.10.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu 3-1 56% 62% -10.7 23% 27% -15.1 21% 23% -6.5
26.10.23 Shirak Giumri vs FC Noah 0-2 20% 21% -5.5 23% 27% -15.3 57% 64% -9.9
28.10.23 FC Van vs Ararat-Armenia 0-2 11% 12% -12.2 16% 19% -16.1 73% 80% -8.3
29.10.23 BKMA Yerevan vs Ararat Yerevan 2-0 34% 36% -6.8 27% 32% -17.2 39% 44% -11.3
29.10.23 FC West Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan 2-3 3% 2% 12.3 6% 6% -1.4 91% 98% -7.1
30.10.23 FC Noah vs Alashkert FC 4-2 47% 51% -9.3 24% 29% -14.7 29% 32% -9.8
30.10.23 FC Urartu vs Shirak Giumri 2-2 73% 81% -9.8 16% 19% -13.6 11% 11% -5.4
02.11.23 Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA Yerevan 4-1 80% 88% -8.5 13% 15% -14.4 7% 8% -8.2
02.11.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Van 6-0 84% 90% -6.5 10% 12% -16.2 6% 7% -15.4
03.11.23 Ararat Yerevan vs FC Noah 0-2 18% 19% -3.2 22% 25% -13.5 60% 67% -10.7
03.11.23 FC Urartu vs FC West Armenia 1-2 91% 97% -6.3 6% 6% -8.1 3% 3% -9.5
04.11.23 Alashkert FC vs Shirak Giumri 0-0 66% 72% -8.9 19% 23% -15.7 14% 16% -9.4
06.11.23 BKMA Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan 1-4 9% 10% -2.4 15% 17% -11.2 76% 83% -8.9
07.11.23 FC Noah vs Ararat-Armenia 1-0 31% 33% -8.2 25% 29% -15.3 44% 50% -11.0
07.11.23 FC Van vs FC West Armenia 4-1 40% 40% 0.9 25% 29% -16.4 35% 43% -19.4
08.11.23 FC Urartu vs Alashkert FC 1-0 45% 50% -9.1 25% 29% -15.7 30% 33% -10.7
08.11.23 Shirak Giumri vs Ararat Yerevan 1-2 35% 38% -6.1 27% 32% -16.9 38% 43% -11.2
11.11.23 Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Giumri 2-0 74% 79% -7.2 16% 20% -18.0 10% 11% -13.1
11.11.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Noah 3-1 61% 67% -9.5 21% 24% -15.0 19% 21% -11.2
12.11.23 Ararat Yerevan vs Alashkert FC 0-1 26% 28% -6.7 26% 31% -16.8 48% 54% -10.3
12.11.23 FC Van vs FC Urartu 2-2 14% 15% -10.0 18% 21% -14.3 68% 75% -8.7
28.11.23 Shirak Giumri vs Pyunik Yerevan 1-1 11% 11% -4.8 17% 19% -13.1 73% 79% -8.6
29.11.23 FC Urartu vs Ararat Yerevan 2-1 64% 71% -10.1 20% 24% -14.3 16% 17% -5.2
30.11.23 Alashkert FC vs Ararat-Armenia 1-1 30% 32% -7.0 26% 31% -16.4 44% 49% -10.1
30.11.23 BKMA Yerevan vs FC Van 7-1 44% 45% -3.2 26% 31% -17.0 30% 35% -14.3
04.12.23 BKMA Yerevan vs FC Urartu 2-0 18% 20% -10.8 20% 24% -14.8 62% 68% -9.7
04.12.23 FC Noah vs FC Van 3-1 84% 91% -7.4 10% 12% -11.6 5% 6% -5.3
05.12.23 Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia 0-1 14% 14% 0.2 19% 22% -12.6 67% 76% -11.3
06.12.23 Alashkert FC vs Pyunik Yerevan 1-1 29% 32% -9.8 26% 31% -16.2 45% 49% -7.5
08.12.23 BKMA Yerevan vs FC Noah 0-2 15% 16% -9.2 19% 23% -15.3 66% 73% -9.2
09.12.23 FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia 1-3 30% 32% -7.7 26% 31% -16.5 45% 50% -11.0
09.12.23 FC Van vs Shirak Giumri 4-0 28% 30% -7.9 26% 31% -16.7 46% 52% -10.3
11.12.23 Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat Yerevan 2-2 80% 87% -8.0 13% 15% -13.4 7% 8% -6.7
22.02.24 FC Noah vs FC Urartu 1-1 46% 51% -11.0 24% 29% -14.3 30% 32% -7.3
22.02.24 Shirak Giumri vs BKMA Yerevan 1-0 42% 44% -5.4 27% 32% -17.4 31% 36% -12.3
23.02.24 Alashkert FC vs FC Van 0-1 73% 79% -7.6 16% 20% -17.8 10% 12% -13.2
23.02.24 Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan 3-1 39% 43% -9.2 26% 31% -16.3 34% 38% -9.0
24.02.24 Ararat Yerevan vs FC West Armenia 1-0 55% 56% -2.9 24% 29% -19.6 21% 26% -18.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 411 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Noah 1959.43
2 Pyunik Yerevan 1858.97
3 Ararat-Armenia 1830.20
4 Alashkert FC 1792.46
5 FC Urartu 1677.03
6 Shirak Giumri 1620.82
7 FC Syunik 1553.33
8 Ararat Yerevan 1528.59
9 Sardarapat FC 1525.42
10 Gandzasar Kapan 1518.17
11 BKMA Yerevan 1498.27
12 FC Van 1438.28

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Noah 1921.59
2 Pyunik Yerevan 1825.12
3 Alashkert FC 1792.25
4 Ararat-Armenia 1779.17
5 FC Urartu 1660.36
6 Sardarapat FC 1572.43
7 Shirak Giumri 1519.72
8 FC Van 1483.53
9 Ararat Yerevan 1473.14
10 BKMA Yerevan 1459.57
11 FC Syunik 1450.21
12 Gandzasar Kapan 1431.52