ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 397
Avg Goals 3.18
Avg Home 1.69
Avg Away 1.49
Home Win % 42.8%
Draw % 24.2%
Away Win % 33.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 397
Avg Brier Score 0.6323
Pick Accuracy 46.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6359
Market Brier 0.6327
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 5
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 5 of 397 matches had at least one · staked 5.00, profit -5.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 18.1% 19.2% 26
20–30% 25.2% 25.7% 567
30–40% 34.8% 31.7% 281
40–50% 44.6% 46.9% 224
50–60% 54.2% 53.8% 80
60–70% 62.3% 69.2% 13
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
24.07.24 Northern Tigers vs Dulwich Hill SC 4-2 48% 56% -15.3 25% 27% -7.6 27% 29% -6.7
27.07.24 Bulls FC Academy vs SD Raiders 0-4 42% 52% -18.5 25% 27% -7.3 33% 33% -1.8
27.07.24 Dulwich Hill SC vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1-0 36% 37% -3.1 25% 28% -8.3 39% 48% -18.8
27.07.24 Northern Tigers vs Nepean FC 4-0 49% 62% -20.7 24% 25% -4.7 27% 25% 7.6
30.07.24 Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Dunbar Rovers FC 1-0 52% 62% -16.4 23% 24% -3.4 25% 26% -3.5
03.08.24 Bankstown City Lions vs Nepean FC 1-0 62% 79% -21.5 21% 20% 4.0 17% 12% 39.0
03.08.24 Dulwich Hill SC vs Inter Lions 0-0 39% 41% -5.5 26% 29% -9.6 36% 43% -18.1
03.08.24 Hakoah Sydney City East vs UNSW FC 2-3 39% 47% -16.6 25% 28% -8.5 36% 38% -7.0
03.08.24 Mt Druitt Town Rangers vs Blacktown Spartans 2-2 53% 65% -18.2 23% 24% -4.3 23% 23% 1.9
07.08.24 Nepean FC vs Inter Lions 3-1 25% 23% 6.5 26% 28% -7.7 50% 61% -17.9
10.08.24 Dulwich Hill SC vs Rydalmere Lions 0-2 38% 43% -11.6 23% 24% -3.9 38% 44% -14.2
10.08.24 Dunbar Rovers FC vs Northern Tigers 1-4 24% 26% -8.2 24% 26% -7.5 52% 60% -13.5
10.08.24 Hakoah Sydney City East vs Mt Druitt Town Rangers 1-1 40% 45% -13.1 25% 27% -6.7 36% 40% -11.0
11.08.24 Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Nepean FC 2-0 39% 49% -20.2 25% 28% -9.3 36% 36% -1.3
16.08.24 Blacktown Spartans vs Bankstown City Lions 5-1 26% 28% -6.3 24% 26% -6.4 50% 58% -14.6
17.08.24 Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs UNSW FC 1-6 28% 30% -7.6 25% 27% -7.8 47% 55% -14.3
17.08.24 Inter Lions vs MacArthur Rams 3-3 41% 45% -10.4 26% 28% -7.8 34% 38% -12.5
17.08.24 Mt Druitt Town Rangers vs Bulls FC Academy 0-0 42% 47% -8.9 26% 29% -9.7 32% 38% -15.6
17.08.24 Northern Tigers vs Hakoah Sydney City East 3-0 35% 38% -8.1 26% 28% -7.7 39% 45% -14.2
17.08.24 Rydalmere Lions vs SD Raiders 3-1 29% 31% -6.7 25% 27% -7.4 46% 54% -14.4
24.08.24 Bankstown City Lions vs MacArthur Rams 4-0 49% 60% -18.2 24% 25% -4.7 28% 28% -1.0
24.08.24 Bulls FC Academy vs Hakoah Sydney City East 1-3 46% 55% -15.7 24% 26% -5.3 29% 31% -6.0
24.08.24 Northern Tigers vs SD Raiders 2-1 37% 43% -13.7 25% 27% -7.2 38% 43% -10.2
24.08.24 UNSW FC vs Dulwich Hill SC 0-1 56% 65% -15.0 22% 23% -2.8 22% 24% -6.0
06.09.24 Nepean FC vs Mounties Wanderers 0-0 30% 33% -9.6 25% 27% -7.5 45% 53% -14.2
08.02.25 Rydalmere Lions vs Blacktown Spartans 0-0 33% 33% -1.8 25% 27% -7.0 42% 53% -19.3
15.02.25 Bankstown City Lions vs MacArthur Rams 1-0 52% 65% -18.8 24% 25% -4.4 24% 22% 6.7
16.02.25 Hakoah Sydney City East vs SD Raiders 1-3 45% 55% -18.3 23% 24% -4.0 32% 33% -4.2
22.02.25 Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Inter Lions 1-4 38% 48% -20.2 25% 28% -9.3 37% 37% -0.7
28.02.25 Blacktown Spartans vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles 3-2 37% 42% -10.1 26% 29% -9.9 36% 42% -13.6
01.03.25 Bankstown City Lions vs Dulwich Hill SC 2-4 60% 72% -17.0 21% 21% 0.6 19% 18% 5.0
01.03.25 Mounties Wanderers vs UNSW FC 0-0 21% 21% 2.0 22% 23% -2.9 57% 68% -17.2
02.03.25 Hakoah Sydney City East vs Canterbury Bankstown FC 3-2 45% 54% -16.7 25% 27% -7.2 30% 32% -6.4
08.03.25 Hills Brumbies vs SD Raiders 0-1 34% 38% -10.3 25% 26% -6.8 42% 49% -14.7
14.03.25 Blacktown Spartans vs Bulls FC Academy 2-2 39% 43% -10.9 25% 27% -7.1 36% 42% -13.2
15.03.25 Bankstown City Lions vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles 0-0 42% 48% -11.5 26% 29% -9.1 32% 36% -12.2
22.03.25 Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Hills Brumbies 3-2 27% 29% -4.4 25% 27% -7.5 48% 56% -15.6
29.03.25 Bankstown City Lions vs Blacktown Spartans 0-2 47% 53% -12.1 26% 29% -9.6 27% 31% -10.8
29.03.25 Hills Brumbies vs Bulls FC Academy 0-1 40% 43% -8.0 26% 29% -9.5 34% 41% -16.4
29.03.25 SD Raiders vs Canterbury Bankstown FC 3-1 61% 74% -17.5 22% 22% -0.6 18% 16% 10.9
30.03.25 Hakoah Sydney City East vs Northern Tigers 0-2 31% 33% -6.0 26% 29% -8.9 43% 51% -15.5
04.04.25 Blacktown Spartans vs UNSW FC 0-5 34% 39% -13.0 25% 27% -7.8 41% 47% -11.9
05.04.25 Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Bankstown City Lions 2-0 32% 35% -8.8 25% 27% -7.2 43% 50% -13.7
05.04.25 Hills Brumbies vs Rydalmere Lions 0-3 49% 54% -10.1 25% 27% -8.8 27% 31% -14.4
06.04.25 Bulls FC Academy vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles 3-1 49% 58% -15.7 27% 30% -10.8 24% 24% -0.6
11.04.25 Blacktown Spartans vs Northern Tigers 1-3 32% 33% -5.2 26% 28% -8.1 43% 51% -16.4
12.04.25 Bankstown City Lions vs Mounties Wanderers 2-1 46% 53% -13.6 25% 27% -7.2 30% 33% -10.7
12.04.25 Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Newcastle Jets U23 2-4 38% 41% -6.1 26% 28% -8.2 36% 43% -16.8
12.04.25 Dulwich Hill SC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC 0-0 38% 41% -7.9 25% 28% -8.5 37% 44% -16.7
12.04.25 Rydalmere Lions vs MacArthur Rams 4-1 44% 53% -18.0 25% 26% -6.3 32% 32% -2.3
12.04.25 SD Raiders vs Inter Lions 0-2 58% 71% -17.9 22% 22% -0.9 20% 18% 8.6
12.04.25 UNSW FC vs Bulls FC Academy 2-0 43% 49% -12.5 25% 26% -6.4 33% 37% -11.8
13.04.25 Hakoah Sydney City East vs Hills Brumbies 3-3 38% 43% -10.2 26% 29% -8.6 36% 41% -12.6
15.04.25 MacArthur Rams vs Canterbury Bankstown FC 2-2 34% 37% -7.4 26% 29% -8.7 40% 47% -14.8
18.04.25 Northern Tigers vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles 3-0 58% 69% -16.2 21% 22% -1.4 20% 21% -2.1
19.04.25 Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Rydalmere Lions 3-2 38% 42% -10.0 26% 28% -7.8 37% 43% -13.3
19.04.25 Hills Brumbies vs Bankstown City Lions 1-1 40% 44% -11.0 26% 29% -8.8 34% 39% -12.3
19.04.25 Inter Lions vs Blacktown Spartans 1-0 46% 53% -13.8 25% 28% -8.4 28% 31% -8.9
19.04.25 MacArthur Rams vs UNSW FC 1-1 19% 17% 14.1 21% 21% 0.7 60% 74% -18.7
19.04.25 Mounties Wanderers vs SD Raiders 1-2 21% 20% 7.0 24% 26% -5.7 54% 65% -16.7
19.04.25 Newcastle Jets U23 vs Hakoah Sydney City East 1-1 58% 71% -18.4 21% 21% 1.6 21% 19% 8.8
21.04.25 Bulls FC Academy vs Dulwich Hill SC 2-2 56% 66% -14.7 23% 24% -5.5 21% 22% -4.3
25.04.25 UNSW FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC 1-1 54% 63% -14.4 23% 24% -4.5 23% 25% -7.7
26.04.25 Bankstown City Lions vs Newcastle Jets U23 3-2 34% 36% -4.7 26% 29% -8.6 40% 48% -16.3
26.04.25 Dulwich Hill SC vs Hills Brumbies 1-0 32% 33% -4.9 25% 27% -7.0 43% 53% -17.4
26.04.25 Hakoah Sydney City East vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles 5-1 43% 51% -14.6 26% 28% -8.0 31% 34% -7.7
26.04.25 MacArthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans 1-2 32% 33% -4.6 26% 29% -8.9 42% 51% -16.5
26.04.25 Mounties Wanderers vs Inter Lions 0-2 37% 42% -11.0 26% 29% -9.1 37% 43% -13.2
26.04.25 Rydalmere Lions vs Northern Tigers 5-0 26% 26% -0.7 24% 26% -5.8 50% 60% -17.4
26.04.25 SD Raiders vs Bulls FC Academy 1-2 47% 55% -14.5 26% 28% -8.1 27% 29% -6.5
30.04.25 Rydalmere Lions vs Dulwich Hill SC 3-1 47% 54% -13.3 24% 26% -5.7 29% 32% -10.2
02.05.25 Blacktown Spartans vs Mounties Wanderers 2-1 48% 56% -14.6 25% 28% -8.5 27% 29% -6.9
03.05.25 Bankstown City Lions vs Hakoah Sydney City East 2-3 42% 48% -11.3 26% 29% -9.2 32% 36% -12.5
03.05.25 Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Canterbury Bankstown FC 0-0 40% 44% -10.5 27% 29% -9.7 34% 38% -12.5
03.05.25 Bulls FC Academy vs Rydalmere Lions 2-1 47% 54% -13.0 24% 26% -7.1 29% 32% -11.5
03.05.25 Hills Brumbies vs UNSW FC 1-1 32% 34% -6.2 25% 27% -7.2 43% 51% -16.0
03.05.25 Inter Lions vs MacArthur Rams 0-0 54% 64% -15.5 23% 24% -4.6 23% 24% -3.7
03.05.25 Newcastle Jets U23 vs SD Raiders 1-2 39% 45% -14.4 26% 29% -9.3 35% 39% -10.3
03.05.25 Northern Tigers vs Dulwich Hill SC 5-0 63% 76% -16.3 20% 20% 1.1 16% 15% 6.3
10.05.25 Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Northern Tigers 2-0 26% 27% -3.4 24% 26% -6.9 49% 59% -16.0
10.05.25 Dulwich Hill SC vs Inter Lions 3-4 28% 29% -4.4 26% 28% -8.2 46% 55% -15.6
10.05.25 Hakoah Sydney City East vs Bulls FC Academy 1-2 32% 36% -10.4 25% 28% -8.3 43% 49% -12.8
10.05.25 MacArthur Rams vs Newcastle Jets U23 3-4 25% 25% 0.5 24% 25% -5.1 51% 62% -17.7
10.05.25 Mounties Wanderers vs Hills Brumbies 1-0 32% 34% -6.6 26% 29% -9.0 42% 50% -15.3
10.05.25 Rydalmere Lions vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles 4-1 53% 62% -15.2 24% 25% -5.5 24% 25% -5.3
10.05.25 SD Raiders vs Blacktown Spartans 3-1 50% 58% -14.7 25% 27% -7.7 25% 27% -5.7
10.05.25 UNSW FC vs Bankstown City Lions 3-1 51% 57% -11.2 25% 27% -7.9 25% 28% -11.0
16.05.25 Blacktown Spartans vs Hills Brumbies 2-1 37% 41% -9.2 26% 29% -9.9 36% 43% -14.3
17.05.25 Bankstown City Lions vs Rydalmere Lions 1-0 39% 43% -10.6 25% 27% -7.1 36% 42% -13.6
17.05.25 MacArthur Rams vs Hakoah Sydney City East 2-2 34% 36% -7.9 26% 29% -9.0 40% 48% -14.9
17.05.25 Mounties Wanderers vs Bulls FC Academy 0-2 28% 29% -4.3 25% 26% -6.4 47% 56% -15.9
17.05.25 Newcastle Jets U23 vs Canterbury Bankstown FC 4-2 49% 58% -14.5 24% 26% -6.5 27% 29% -9.6
17.05.25 Northern Tigers vs UNSW FC 1-1 31% 31% -1.9 25% 27% -6.9 44% 53% -17.4
17.05.25 SD Raiders vs Dulwich Hill SC 4-2 60% 70% -15.2 21% 22% -1.6 19% 19% -0.6
23.05.25 Blacktown Spartans vs Rydalmere Lions 4-2 40% 45% -11.1 25% 27% -6.9 34% 39% -12.2
24.05.25 Bankstown City Lions vs SD Raiders 3-0 28% 29% -1.6 25% 27% -7.0 47% 56% -16.8
24.05.25 Bulls FC Academy vs Northern Tigers 1-1 41% 47% -11.6 26% 28% -7.9 33% 38% -11.8
24.05.25 Hakoah Sydney City East vs Dulwich Hill SC 2-0 52% 62% -16.1 23% 24% -4.2 24% 25% -3.2
24.05.25 Hills Brumbies vs MacArthur Rams 0-1 50% 57% -12.0 25% 27% -8.2 25% 28% -10.2
24.05.25 Inter Lions vs Newcastle Jets U23 1-0 37% 41% -9.6 26% 28% -7.9 37% 43% -13.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 397 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Parramatta FC Eagles 1600.00
2 Blacktown Spartans 1552.87
3 Bankstown City Lions 1504.15
4 Hills Brumbies 1459.76
5 MacArthur Rams 1420.82
6 Canterbury Bankstown FC 1391.07
7 Hakoah Sydney City East 1382.61
8 Hurstville ZFC 1367.67
9 Western City Rangers 1362.82
10 Inter Lions 1361.65
11 Rydalmere Lions 1347.52
12 Newcastle Jets U23 1343.25
13 Bulls FC Academy 1340.47
14 Prospect United 1310.57
15 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1302.70
16 Dulwich Hill SC 1281.25
17 Central Coast Mariners U21 1274.15
18 Mounties Wanderers 1261.21

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bankstown City Lions 1535.26
2 Blacktown Spartans 1485.39
3 Bulls FC Academy 1345.52
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 1343.69
5 MacArthur Rams 1329.54
6 Hakoah Sydney City East 1328.63
7 Mounties Wanderers 1313.13
8 Hills Brumbies 1305.88
9 Inter Lions 1303.00
10 Central Coast Mariners U21 1302.79
11 Western City Rangers 1300.35
12 Newcastle Jets U23 1295.73
13 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1293.73
14 Prospect United 1287.90
15 Rydalmere Lions 1284.37
16 Parramatta FC Eagles 1282.14
17 Dulwich Hill SC 1281.23
18 Hurstville ZFC 1238.65