ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 294
Avg Goals 3.25
Avg Home 1.88
Avg Away 1.37
Home Win % 50.7%
Draw % 15.3%
Away Win % 34.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 294
Avg Brier Score 0.5733
Pick Accuracy 55.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5647
Market Brier 0.5753
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 50.0%
ROI (flat stake) 85.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 294 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit 1.70 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 50.0% 2.00 1.70 85.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.0% 0.0% 5
10–20% 17.0% 16.5% 91
20–30% 24.2% 16.7% 366
30–40% 35.2% 41.3% 172
40–50% 44.7% 54.1% 122
50–60% 54.4% 63.5% 74
60–70% 63.4% 59.0% 39
70–80% 72.9% 81.8% 11
80–90% 83.7% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
10.05.24 West Torrens Birkalla vs Fulham United 1-0 38% 47% -17.6 25% 28% -11.6 37% 38% -1.7
11.05.24 Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 2-3 29% 29% -0.2 24% 26% -9.9 48% 58% -17.4
11.05.24 Cumberland United vs Adelaide Atletico VSC 2-0 49% 55% -10.5 24% 28% -12.3 26% 29% -10.1
11.05.24 Salisbury United vs Playford City Patriots 2-2 25% 31% -19.9 23% 28% -16.7 52% 54% -3.4
18.05.24 Adelaide Atletico VSC vs West Adelaide 1-2 33% 36% -7.1 25% 29% -11.7 42% 48% -12.6
18.05.24 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Cumberland United 1-3 58% 67% -12.6 22% 25% -11.5 20% 21% -5.8
18.05.24 Fulham United vs Salisbury United 0-2 45% 50% -9.7 24% 28% -12.0 30% 35% -12.7
18.05.24 Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Cobras 3-2 43% 45% -4.6 25% 29% -14.1 31% 38% -16.9
25.05.24 Adelaide Atletico VSC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 2-1 20% 21% -2.8 20% 21% -5.3 60% 70% -14.2
25.05.24 Fulham United vs Western Strikers 3-2 45% 50% -9.1 24% 28% -12.2 30% 35% -13.4
25.05.24 Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide Cobras 0-2 61% 68% -9.7 20% 22% -11.0 19% 22% -13.4
25.05.24 Sturt Lions vs Cumberland United 1-0 35% 36% -1.9 26% 29% -13.0 39% 48% -17.3
25.05.24 Vipers FC vs Salisbury United 3-2 34% 37% -9.4 24% 27% -10.8 42% 49% -13.2
30.05.24 West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide Atletico VSC 3-1 56% 65% -13.1 22% 24% -9.5 22% 23% -5.5
01.06.24 Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United 2-0 41% 45% -10.3 25% 29% -12.0 34% 38% -11.3
01.06.24 Cumberland United vs Playford City Patriots 1-4 33% 37% -12.1 24% 27% -11.2 43% 49% -10.9
01.06.24 West Adelaide vs Salisbury United 1-2 40% 43% -5.4 24% 28% -11.8 35% 42% -16.4
08.06.24 Fulham United vs Cumberland United 0-1 31% 32% -3.9 25% 29% -12.1 44% 52% -15.3
08.06.24 Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 0-0 44% 50% -11.5 25% 28% -11.6 31% 35% -10.4
08.06.24 Salisbury United vs West Torrens Birkalla 1-0 38% 43% -9.8 25% 28% -10.9 37% 42% -11.4
08.06.24 Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Atletico VSC 3-1 51% 56% -8.6 24% 28% -13.8 25% 29% -14.2
08.06.24 Vipers FC vs Adelaide Cobras 1-1 35% 38% -6.5 25% 28% -11.0 40% 47% -14.0
15.06.24 Adelaide Atletico VSC vs Salisbury United 2-4 26% 27% -0.6 23% 26% -9.4 50% 60% -16.6
15.06.24 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Fulham United 4-0 63% 70% -10.9 20% 23% -10.6 17% 18% -6.8
15.06.24 Cumberland United vs Vipers FC 1-0 51% 55% -7.0 23% 27% -13.2 26% 31% -16.6
15.06.24 West Adelaide vs Adelaide Cobras 3-0 38% 39% -2.2 25% 29% -12.4 37% 44% -17.6
21.06.24 West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide Cobras 3-0 54% 61% -10.9 23% 25% -9.8 23% 26% -8.6
22.06.24 Fulham United vs Sturt Lions 3-0 33% 34% -4.5 25% 28% -11.1 42% 50% -15.2
22.06.24 Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide Atletico VSC 1-0 72% 81% -10.4 16% 17% -7.4 12% 12% -3.7
22.06.24 Salisbury United vs Western Strikers 2-1 57% 63% -10.3 22% 25% -11.8 21% 24% -11.0
22.06.24 Vipers FC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 2-0 21% 22% -3.1 21% 23% -8.2 58% 67% -14.0
22.06.24 West Adelaide vs Cumberland United 1-2 36% 37% -2.7 26% 29% -13.2 38% 47% -17.4
29.06.24 Cumberland United vs West Torrens Birkalla 3-0 37% 40% -7.0 26% 29% -13.0 37% 43% -14.4
29.06.24 Playford City Patriots vs Fulham United 0-0 65% 74% -12.5 19% 21% -7.8 16% 16% -1.3
04.07.24 West Adelaide vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 1-1 26% 26% 0.1 23% 25% -8.5 51% 61% -16.1
07.07.24 Adelaide Atletico VSC vs Western Strikers 1-0 44% 49% -10.1 25% 29% -12.8 31% 36% -12.6
09.07.24 Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United 3-2 36% 39% -7.5 24% 27% -10.1 40% 47% -14.5
12.07.24 West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 3-2 35% 39% -10.1 26% 29% -13.0 39% 44% -11.9
13.07.24 Fulham United vs Adelaide Atletico VSC 3-0 49% 53% -9.2 24% 28% -12.4 27% 31% -11.8
13.07.24 Salisbury United vs Cumberland United 3-1 38% 40% -5.5 26% 30% -13.9 36% 43% -15.1
13.07.24 Western Strikers vs Adelaide Cobras 2-3 39% 43% -10.9 24% 27% -9.8 37% 41% -9.6
27.07.24 Adelaide Cobras vs Cumberland United 0-1 38% 42% -8.9 25% 29% -11.9 37% 42% -12.6
27.07.24 Salisbury United vs Sturt Lions 1-2 46% 51% -9.4 24% 28% -12.2 29% 33% -12.5
27.07.24 Vipers FC vs Adelaide Atletico VSC 3-1 49% 54% -10.1 24% 27% -11.7 28% 31% -11.9
27.07.24 West Adelaide vs Fulham United 1-0 45% 48% -6.2 25% 29% -13.7 30% 35% -14.6
27.07.24 Western Strikers vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 1-7 22% 24% -8.8 22% 25% -11.5 56% 63% -11.3
03.08.24 Adelaide Atletico VSC vs Cumberland United 1-1 22% 21% 3.5 21% 23% -6.3 57% 68% -16.3
03.08.24 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Adelaide Cobras 3-2 59% 66% -10.7 22% 24% -11.6 20% 22% -9.6
03.08.24 Fulham United vs West Torrens Birkalla 0-2 32% 34% -5.9 25% 29% -11.6 42% 49% -13.3
03.08.24 Playford City Patriots vs Salisbury United 3-3 55% 62% -11.0 22% 25% -10.4 22% 24% -8.5
10.08.24 Adelaide Cobras vs Sturt Lions 2-1 40% 44% -9.1 25% 29% -12.5 35% 40% -13.5
10.08.24 Cumberland United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 3-3 32% 34% -5.8 24% 27% -10.6 43% 51% -15.4
10.08.24 Salisbury United vs Fulham United 4-2 51% 57% -10.7 22% 25% -10.1 26% 30% -12.6
10.08.24 West Adelaide vs Adelaide Atletico VSC 7-0 63% 70% -9.4 20% 23% -12.2 16% 18% -9.8
17.08.24 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs West Adelaide 4-2 48% 53% -9.3 24% 27% -12.0 28% 32% -13.4
17.08.24 Cumberland United vs Salisbury United 2-3 45% 51% -10.1 25% 28% -11.7 30% 34% -11.3
24.08.24 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Playford City Patriots 1-0 40% 44% -9.9 25% 28% -11.2 35% 40% -11.8
24.08.24 Salisbury United vs West Torrens Birkalla 1-3 30% 32% -5.9 25% 28% -11.5 45% 53% -14.4
31.08.24 Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 2-1 45% 50% -10.0 24% 27% -10.9 31% 35% -11.9
31.08.24 West Torrens Birkalla vs Salisbury United 1-2 54% 61% -10.2 22% 25% -10.9 23% 26% -11.4
22.02.25 Adelaide Cobras vs South Adelaide Panthers 2-2 37% 40% -6.5 24% 27% -10.6 38% 45% -15.4
23.02.25 Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 1-0 38% 42% -8.5 24% 27% -10.3 38% 44% -14.5
23.02.25 Cumberland United vs Salisbury United 2-0 44% 48% -7.8 25% 29% -13.3 31% 37% -15.4
23.02.25 Sturt Lions vs The Cove FC 8-2 47% 55% -13.7 25% 28% -11.3 28% 29% -5.0
24.02.25 Pontian Eagles SC vs Fulham United 2-0 32% 36% -11.2 25% 28% -11.3 43% 48% -9.6
28.02.25 South Adelaide Panthers vs Sturt Lions 0-2 39% 40% -3.6 24% 27% -10.3 37% 44% -16.3
01.03.25 Fulham United vs Adelaide Cobras 3-1 32% 32% -1.0 25% 29% -12.0 43% 52% -17.1
01.03.25 Salisbury United vs Adelaide Olympic 3-2 32% 34% -5.9 27% 31% -14.4 41% 48% -13.2
03.03.25 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Vipers FC 1-2 65% 72% -10.1 19% 22% -11.5 16% 17% -10.0
16.03.25 Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC 2-2 54% 62% -13.5 22% 24% -8.2 24% 26% -7.2
16.03.25 Sturt Lions vs Fulham United 2-1 50% 56% -9.2 24% 28% -13.5 26% 29% -13.2
16.03.25 Vipers FC vs Salisbury United 0-2 27% 29% -4.1 23% 25% -8.6 50% 58% -14.9
16.03.25 West Adelaide vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 0-3 34% 36% -4.7 25% 28% -11.1 41% 49% -15.4
21.03.25 South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide Olympic 0-1 30% 31% -2.5 24% 27% -10.2 46% 55% -16.6
22.03.25 Adelaide Cobras vs West Adelaide 0-1 41% 44% -8.4 25% 28% -11.3 35% 40% -13.4
22.03.25 Fulham United vs Cumberland United 0-1 26% 27% -2.5 24% 27% -10.5 50% 58% -14.9
22.03.25 Salisbury United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 2-3 38% 42% -10.6 24% 27% -10.6 38% 43% -12.3
22.03.25 The Cove FC vs Vipers FC 4-2 40% 43% -7.2 24% 26% -10.0 36% 43% -15.4
05.04.25 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs The Cove FC 2-0 60% 68% -12.3 21% 23% -9.2 19% 20% -5.2
05.04.25 Adelaide Olympic vs Fulham United 0-0 53% 57% -7.4 24% 28% -14.9 23% 28% -15.5
05.04.25 Cumberland United vs Pontian Eagles SC 3-1 79% 88% -10.5 12% 11% 1.7 9% 10% -3.5
05.04.25 Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Cobras 2-1 51% 57% -10.0 22% 25% -10.5 26% 30% -13.5
05.04.25 Vipers FC vs South Adelaide Panthers 2-1 44% 49% -9.4 23% 26% -9.9 33% 38% -14.9
06.04.25 West Adelaide vs Salisbury United 1-2 42% 45% -8.5 25% 28% -11.1 34% 38% -12.3
11.04.25 South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 1-4 20% 20% 1.2 21% 22% -6.6 59% 69% -15.1
12.04.25 Adelaide Cobras vs Cumberland United 1-0 33% 36% -9.1 25% 28% -11.0 42% 48% -11.3
12.04.25 Fulham United vs Vipers FC 3-2 47% 53% -11.6 23% 26% -8.9 29% 32% -8.9
12.04.25 Pontian Eagles SC vs Adelaide Olympic 3-3 18% 19% -4.0 21% 23% -9.6 61% 70% -12.5
12.04.25 The Cove FC vs Salisbury United 1-2 31% 34% -7.9 24% 26% -10.2 45% 53% -14.2
25.04.25 West Adelaide vs The Cove FC 7-1 55% 62% -12.5 21% 23% -7.6 24% 26% -8.8
26.04.25 Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Fulham United 1-2 57% 63% -10.2 22% 25% -11.9 21% 24% -11.2
26.04.25 Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Cobras 1-0 34% 34% -1.2 25% 28% -11.5 41% 51% -18.1
26.04.25 Cumberland United vs Sturt Lions 0-2 34% 36% -4.5 25% 28% -11.1 41% 49% -15.6
26.04.25 Salisbury United vs South Adelaide Panthers 0-4 63% 70% -10.9 20% 22% -9.2 18% 19% -8.0
02.05.25 South Adelaide Panthers vs The Cove FC 2-4 44% 50% -12.7 23% 26% -9.2 33% 37% -10.7
03.05.25 Adelaide Cobras vs Vipers FC 3-1 57% 65% -11.9 21% 24% -9.7 22% 24% -9.1
03.05.25 Cumberland United vs West Adelaide 1-3 37% 38% -4.5 25% 29% -12.2 38% 45% -16.1
03.05.25 Fulham United vs Salisbury United 3-1 38% 43% -11.9 25% 28% -11.0 38% 42% -9.3
03.05.25 Pontian Eagles SC vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 0-5 13% 12% 2.9 16% 17% -3.4 71% 81% -12.6
03.05.25 Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Olympic 4-0 67% 75% -9.8 18% 20% -9.6 15% 16% -8.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 294 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Modbury Jets 1445.05
2 Fulham United 1407.39
3 Adelaide Raiders 1402.46
4 Cumberland United 1357.79
5 Adelaide Olympic 1343.44
6 Adelaide Blue Eagles 1332.92
7 Adelaide Atletico VSC 1283.45
8 The Cove FC 1234.81
9 Salisbury United 1209.72
10 Adelaide Cobras 1208.34
11 Eastern United 1147.09
12 South Adelaide Panthers 1082.93

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Modbury Jets 1431.49
2 Fulham United 1400.31
3 Adelaide Raiders 1343.67
4 Adelaide Blue Eagles 1324.58
5 Adelaide Olympic 1307.61
6 Cumberland United 1304.39
7 Adelaide Atletico VSC 1277.75
8 The Cove FC 1240.95
9 Salisbury United 1175.32
10 Adelaide Cobras 1141.14
11 Eastern United 1139.72
12 South Adelaide Panthers 1051.63