ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 688
Avg Goals 3.07
Avg Home 1.63
Avg Away 1.44
Home Win % 44.8%
Draw % 18.9%
Away Win % 36.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 688
Avg Brier Score 0.5695
Pick Accuracy 54.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5689
Market Brier 0.5736
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 688 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.1% 3.7% 27
10–20% 16.4% 15.5% 373
20–30% 23.5% 22.0% 736
30–40% 35.3% 38.0% 305
40–50% 44.8% 44.3% 246
50–60% 54.9% 57.5% 181
60–70% 64.9% 66.2% 133
70–80% 73.9% 75.5% 49
80–90% 81.8% 92.9% 14
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Marconi Stallions vs Bulls FC Academy 5-1 81% 85% -4.0 12% 15% -22.0 7% 9% -18.0
05.08.23 Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-5 30% 34% -11.4 23% 29% -17.9 47% 48% -2.3
05.08.23 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Sydney FC U21 2-1 37% 38% -1.6 23% 27% -16.3 40% 45% -11.5
06.08.23 Blacktown City vs St. George City FA 2-2 52% 53% -2.5 22% 27% -18.6 26% 29% -12.1
06.08.23 Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC 1-2 17% 17% -4.2 18% 21% -13.9 65% 71% -8.4
06.08.23 Wollongong Wolves FC vs Manly United FC 3-1 43% 48% -9.7 22% 27% -15.8 35% 36% -3.3
08.08.23 Sutherland Sharks vs Mt Druitt Town Rangers 1-1 43% 45% -6.2 24% 29% -17.9 33% 35% -5.3
09.08.23 NWS Spirit FC vs Sydney United 3-2 41% 41% -0.4 23% 28% -16.8 36% 41% -11.3
12.08.23 Bulls FC Academy vs Blacktown City 0-2 10% 12% -19.2 13% 17% -19.2 77% 80% -3.7
12.08.23 Manly United FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21 2-2 46% 47% -1.2 22% 27% -17.4 32% 37% -13.6
13.08.23 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney FC U21 3-0 76% 78% -1.7 14% 18% -23.9 10% 13% -22.6
13.08.23 Mt Druitt Town Rangers vs Marconi Stallions 1-2 15% 17% -10.2 18% 21% -16.2 67% 71% -5.6
13.08.23 Rockdale Ilinden FC vs NWS Spirit FC 2-0 58% 60% -4.4 21% 26% -18.4 21% 24% -9.8
13.08.23 St. George City FA vs Sutherland Sharks 3-1 68% 71% -3.8 18% 22% -20.1 14% 16% -12.4
13.08.23 Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners U21 2-1 60% 61% -1.1 20% 24% -19.5 20% 24% -16.2
13.08.23 Wollongong Wolves FC vs Sydney Olympic 2-2 43% 49% -11.0 23% 28% -16.9 33% 34% -1.2
18.08.23 Sydney FC U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC 2-2 23% 25% -8.5 22% 26% -17.1 55% 58% -4.9
19.08.23 Marconi Stallions vs Sydney Olympic 0-1 49% 52% -4.9 22% 27% -17.1 28% 31% -7.9
19.08.23 NWS Spirit FC vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 16% 19% -13.7 18% 22% -17.4 65% 68% -4.2
19.08.23 Sutherland Sharks vs Bulls FC Academy 0-1 63% 67% -6.9 19% 23% -16.6 18% 19% -4.3
20.08.23 Blacktown City vs Wollongong Wolves FC 1-1 59% 61% -3.6 20% 25% -18.6 20% 23% -11.3
20.08.23 Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Manly United FC 0-1 23% 26% -12.0 21% 26% -17.4 56% 58% -3.8
20.08.23 Sydney United vs St. George City FA 0-2 29% 31% -8.6 22% 27% -16.8 49% 52% -5.5
20.08.23 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Mt Druitt Town Rangers 2-1 69% 72% -4.2 17% 21% -18.6 14% 16% -11.6
23.08.23 Sydney Olympic vs Sydney United 3-3 53% 56% -6.0 20% 24% -15.2 27% 29% -9.2
27.08.23 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St. George City FA 2-1 49% 49% 0.3 22% 27% -18.4 29% 35% -15.8
27.08.23 Bulls FC Academy vs Manly United FC 0-2 14% 17% -17.3 17% 21% -18.5 69% 71% -3.2
27.08.23 Marconi Stallions vs Central Coast Mariners U21 5-4 74% 75% -1.7 15% 19% -23.4 11% 15% -22.5
27.08.23 Mt Druitt Town Rangers vs Wollongong Wolves FC 0-5 18% 22% -15.4 18% 22% -16.9 63% 65% -3.4
27.08.23 Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Blacktown City 1-2 36% 38% -6.6 23% 28% -16.4 41% 43% -6.0
27.08.23 Sydney FC U21 vs Sutherland Sharks 3-2 44% 47% -5.2 22% 26% -15.9 34% 37% -8.8
27.08.23 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs NWS Spirit FC 3-3 51% 55% -7.0 21% 24% -15.1 28% 31% -7.5
03.09.23 St. George Saints vs Mt Druitt Town Rangers 1-1 38% 38% -0.9 22% 26% -15.2 40% 44% -11.0
09.09.23 Mt Druitt Town Rangers vs St. George Saints 0-1 46% 48% -3.8 22% 26% -16.2 32% 36% -10.0
16.02.24 Manly United FC vs St. George Saints 3-0 53% 49% 8.3 22% 29% -23.6 25% 33% -23.9
17.02.24 Blacktown City vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-3 42% 44% -4.5 24% 29% -17.5 34% 37% -8.2
17.02.24 Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Sydney United 1-2 26% 29% -10.1 22% 27% -17.1 51% 54% -4.8
17.02.24 Marconi Stallions vs Wollongong Wolves FC 2-1 51% 52% -2.3 23% 28% -18.7 27% 30% -11.6
17.02.24 NWS Spirit FC vs Sydney FC U21 0-0 54% 58% -6.5 21% 26% -16.6 24% 26% -5.4
17.02.24 St. George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden FC 1-2 44% 45% -3.6 23% 28% -16.5 33% 36% -7.7
17.02.24 Sydney Olympic vs Hills Brumbies 1-2 61% 68% -10.3 19% 22% -13.4 20% 19% 3.6
17.02.24 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Sutherland Sharks 3-1 50% 51% -0.8 22% 27% -18.3 28% 32% -13.7
23.02.24 Sydney FC U21 vs Manly United FC 2-0 36% 39% -7.5 23% 28% -16.8 41% 43% -6.6
24.02.24 Hills Brumbies vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1-2 33% 36% -8.2 24% 29% -17.5 43% 45% -5.3
24.02.24 St. George Saints vs Blacktown City 0-0 14% 17% -13.4 17% 21% -17.2 68% 71% -3.9
24.02.24 Sutherland Sharks vs NWS Spirit FC 0-0 35% 38% -9.7 24% 29% -17.5 42% 43% -4.1
24.02.24 Sydney Olympic vs St. George City FA 0-1 41% 45% -9.9 23% 28% -16.3 36% 36% -1.6
25.02.24 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Central Coast Mariners U21 3-1 78% 79% -2.2 13% 17% -24.5 9% 12% -23.5
25.02.24 Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Marconi Stallions 2-2 38% 40% -4.9 24% 29% -17.3 38% 42% -8.0
25.02.24 Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves FC 1-2 31% 33% -6.7 23% 27% -16.4 46% 50% -7.4
02.03.24 Blacktown City vs Sutherland Sharks 3-2 76% 80% -4.5 14% 17% -18.2 9% 10% -8.2
02.03.24 Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC 2-1 69% 74% -6.0 17% 21% -17.8 14% 15% -7.0
02.03.24 St. George Saints vs Sydney FC U21 2-1 36% 38% -5.3 23% 27% -16.0 41% 44% -8.1
02.03.24 Sydney Olympic vs Sydney United 6-0 56% 60% -5.8 21% 26% -17.4 23% 24% -6.8
03.03.24 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Manly United FC 4-0 63% 63% -0.8 19% 25% -22.0 18% 22% -18.4
03.03.24 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC 2-3 39% 43% -8.7 23% 27% -15.3 39% 40% -3.6
03.03.24 Wollongong Wolves FC vs St. George City FA 1-1 38% 41% -6.8 23% 28% -16.2 39% 41% -5.2
05.03.24 NWS Spirit FC vs Sydney United 1-1 39% 43% -8.1 23% 28% -16.3 38% 39% -4.0
06.03.24 Hills Brumbies vs Sydney FC U21 4-2 30% 31% -3.7 22% 26% -15.5 48% 53% -8.6
06.03.24 Manly United FC vs Blacktown City 1-1 20% 24% -14.2 21% 26% -18.5 59% 60% -2.6
06.03.24 Rockdale Ilinden FC vs St. George Saints 4-0 69% 71% -2.5 17% 21% -20.1 14% 17% -15.7
06.03.24 St. George City FA vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 33% 35% -6.1 23% 28% -16.8 44% 48% -7.2
06.03.24 Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves FC 0-4 26% 29% -10.5 23% 28% -18.2 52% 54% -4.3
06.03.24 Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions 1-2 39% 44% -12.1 23% 28% -16.6 38% 38% 0.0
08.03.24 Sydney FC U21 vs Central Coast Mariners U21 4-1 50% 50% 0.1 21% 26% -17.4 29% 34% -15.1
09.03.24 Manly United FC vs Rockdale Ilinden FC 1-1 30% 34% -10.8 23% 27% -16.6 47% 49% -3.2
09.03.24 Marconi Stallions vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 34% 35% -3.6 24% 29% -17.2 43% 47% -8.5
09.03.24 Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Olympic 1-0 18% 20% -11.6 20% 24% -18.1 62% 65% -4.6
09.03.24 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs NWS Spirit FC 4-1 51% 54% -6.0 22% 26% -16.8 27% 29% -7.3
10.03.24 Blacktown City vs Wollongong Wolves FC 0-1 50% 52% -4.5 22% 27% -16.7 28% 31% -8.1
10.03.24 St. George City FA vs St. George Saints 1-1 72% 74% -2.4 16% 21% -22.4 12% 15% -18.5
10.03.24 Sydney United vs Hills Brumbies 3-0 48% 48% 1.5 22% 26% -17.3 30% 35% -14.7
15.03.24 Sydney FC U21 vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21 2-5 39% 42% -6.6 22% 26% -15.6 38% 42% -7.9
15.03.24 Wollongong Wolves FC vs Hills Brumbies 4-0 65% 65% -0.9 18% 23% -20.6 17% 21% -18.5
16.03.24 Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Manly United FC 2-2 26% 27% -3.1 22% 26% -15.2 52% 57% -8.2
16.03.24 NWS Spirit FC vs St. George City FA 1-2 26% 30% -14.3 23% 28% -18.8 51% 53% -2.2
16.03.24 St. George Saints vs Sydney United 2-3 32% 33% -5.3 24% 29% -16.9 45% 48% -6.2
16.03.24 Sutherland Sharks vs Marconi Stallions 1-2 21% 24% -13.9 21% 26% -18.9 58% 60% -3.1
17.03.24 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney Olympic 2-0 54% 57% -4.8 22% 26% -18.2 24% 27% -9.8
17.03.24 Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Blacktown City 2-3 37% 43% -12.2 23% 28% -16.4 39% 39% 0.6
20.03.24 Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21 2-5 18% 18% -3.4 18% 20% -11.9 65% 70% -8.0
22.03.24 Manly United FC vs Sydney Olympic 0-2 26% 29% -8.8 22% 26% -16.4 52% 55% -5.0
23.03.24 Hills Brumbies vs Rockdale Ilinden FC 0-3 20% 23% -11.6 20% 24% -16.5 60% 62% -4.5
23.03.24 Marconi Stallions vs Sydney FC U21 3-0 73% 78% -6.3 15% 17% -14.7 13% 13% -6.1
23.03.24 NWS Spirit FC vs Central Coast Mariners U21 2-1 57% 59% -2.6 20% 24% -18.0 23% 26% -13.7
23.03.24 St. George City FA vs Blacktown City 0-2 38% 41% -8.1 24% 29% -17.8 38% 40% -4.2
23.03.24 St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-2 14% 16% -13.4 17% 21% -17.7 69% 72% -4.3
24.03.24 Sydney United vs Sutherland Sharks 1-0 49% 51% -3.8 23% 28% -18.0 28% 31% -9.3
24.03.24 Wollongong Wolves FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21 0-2 47% 48% -1.9 21% 26% -16.7 32% 37% -13.9
30.03.24 Hills Brumbies vs Manly United FC 2-1 36% 38% -5.4 24% 29% -17.4 40% 43% -7.9
30.03.24 Marconi Stallions vs Central Coast Mariners U21 2-0 71% 71% -1.0 16% 21% -22.6 13% 17% -20.9
30.03.24 Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-7 15% 17% -13.3 18% 22% -17.9 67% 69% -4.0
30.03.24 Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves FC 4-3 43% 45% -5.8 24% 29% -17.7 34% 36% -7.5
30.03.24 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St. George Saints 4-2 70% 74% -5.1 16% 19% -16.4 14% 16% -10.6
31.03.24 Blacktown City vs Sydney United 2-2 65% 67% -3.2 18% 22% -19.1 17% 20% -14.8
31.03.24 Rockdale Ilinden FC vs NWS Spirit FC 3-1 65% 70% -7.0 19% 23% -17.1 16% 17% -3.0
06.04.24 NWS Spirit FC vs St. George Saints 1-3 43% 45% -4.9 24% 29% -17.4 33% 36% -7.1
06.04.24 St. George City FA vs Marconi Stallions 2-1 37% 40% -6.8 24% 29% -17.3 39% 42% -6.3
06.04.24 Sutherland Sharks vs Hills Brumbies 2-1 43% 45% -4.9 24% 29% -17.0 33% 35% -5.8
07.04.24 Blacktown City vs Sydney FC U21 8-0 69% 71% -3.5 17% 21% -19.0 14% 16% -12.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 688 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Sydney United 1792.44
2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1748.73
3 Marconi Stallions 1730.28
4 Rockdale Ilinden FC 1695.39
5 NWS Spirit FC 1646.81
6 Manly United FC 1595.26
7 SD Raiders 1593.92
8 Blacktown City 1592.23
9 UNSW FC 1552.32
10 Wollongong Wolves FC 1551.72
11 Sutherland Sharks 1541.64
12 St. George Saints 1535.63
13 St. George City FA 1531.48
14 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1526.18
15 Sydney FC U21 1489.94
16 Sydney Olympic 1439.15

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Marconi Stallions 1749.65
2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1718.79
3 Sydney United 1689.15
4 Rockdale Ilinden FC 1651.19
5 Sydney FC U21 1601.45
6 SD Raiders 1598.00
7 NWS Spirit FC 1579.82
8 Blacktown City 1541.01
9 UNSW FC 1538.32
10 Manly United FC 1537.43
11 Sutherland Sharks 1536.80
12 St. George City FA 1535.74
13 Sydney Olympic 1464.08
14 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1462.16
15 Wollongong Wolves FC 1456.12
16 St. George Saints 1430.94