ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 408
Avg Goals 3.51
Avg Home 1.76
Avg Away 1.75
Home Win % 40.9%
Draw % 16.2%
Away Win % 42.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 408
Avg Brier Score 0.5144
Pick Accuracy 62.0%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5137
Market Brier 0.5164
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 408 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.6% 4.9% 81
10–20% 15.9% 14.4% 243
20–30% 23.5% 20.2% 392
30–40% 35.1% 40.3% 124
40–50% 45.2% 47.8% 115
50–60% 54.7% 58.5% 106
60–70% 64.6% 72.7% 77
70–80% 74.8% 63.0% 46
80–90% 84.2% 93.5% 31
90–100% 93.2% 100.0% 9
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Cooks Hill United vs Lambton Jaffas 2-3 33% 36% -10.1 23% 27% -13.8 44% 47% -5.4
05.08.23 Edgeworth Eagles vs Adamstown Rosebud 1-1 73% 79% -8.4 15% 17% -11.4 12% 12% -5.1
05.08.23 Maitland FC vs Newcastle Olympic FC 1-2 70% 78% -9.7 16% 17% -6.0 14% 14% 0.2
05.08.23 New Lambton FC vs Weston Workers 0-4 12% 14% -16.3 15% 18% -17.3 73% 77% -4.5
08.08.23 Charlestown Azzurri vs Broadmeadow Magic 0-2 32% 34% -6.3 24% 28% -13.8 44% 48% -7.0
09.08.23 Lake Macquarie City vs Valentine Phoenix FC 1-2 10% 11% -12.2 14% 17% -15.6 76% 81% -5.9
13.08.23 Adamstown Rosebud vs Maitland FC 1-0 6% 7% -16.9 9% 11% -17.2 85% 89% -4.7
13.08.23 Broadmeadow Magic vs Valentine Phoenix FC 5-0 75% 82% -8.1 14% 16% -9.8 10% 10% -0.5
13.08.23 Cooks Hill United vs Weston Workers 2-0 30% 34% -12.6 23% 27% -14.4 47% 49% -3.6
13.08.23 Edgeworth Eagles vs Charlestown Azzurri 0-2 36% 41% -10.8 24% 28% -14.2 40% 42% -4.5
13.08.23 Lake Macquarie City vs New Lambton FC 1-4 22% 26% -13.5 21% 25% -15.6 57% 59% -3.6
13.08.23 Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic FC 1-0 55% 62% -11.3 21% 24% -10.9 23% 23% 1.2
19.08.23 Maitland FC vs Weston Workers 0-2 51% 58% -11.2 22% 26% -12.7 26% 27% -1.5
20.08.23 Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown Azzurri 4-2 56% 62% -10.5 21% 24% -11.2 23% 23% -0.8
26.08.23 Lambton Jaffas vs Broadmeadow Magic 4-2 28% 32% -11.7 23% 27% -14.8 48% 51% -4.0
27.08.23 Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers 1-0 36% 42% -13.3 24% 28% -14.5 40% 41% -1.6
03.09.23 Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown Azzurri 1-0 51% 56% -8.7 22% 26% -12.8 26% 28% -5.1
09.09.23 Lambton Jaffas vs Broadmeadow Magic 2-1 32% 36% -12.4 23% 26% -13.8 45% 48% -4.5
24.02.24 Cooks Hill United vs Newcastle Olympic FC 1-2 35% 38% -6.4 23% 27% -13.4 41% 45% -9.2
24.02.24 Lake Macquarie City vs Lambton Jaffas 0-3 2% 2% -15.9 5% 6% -18.7 93% 97% -4.0
24.02.24 Maitland FC vs Valentine Phoenix FC 0-1 68% 73% -7.4 17% 20% -13.2 15% 17% -9.6
25.02.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs New Lambton FC 2-1 69% 75% -7.8 17% 20% -13.2 14% 15% -6.5
02.03.24 Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri 0-3 12% 13% -9.9 16% 19% -15.6 72% 77% -6.0
02.03.24 Lake Macquarie City vs Broadmeadow Magic 1-4 2% 2% -19.5 4% 5% -20.2 94% 98% -3.9
02.03.24 New Lambton FC vs Valentine Phoenix FC 0-3 24% 26% -6.5 22% 25% -13.5 54% 60% -8.6
02.03.24 Newcastle Olympic FC vs Edgeworth Eagles 1-1 45% 50% -10.7 24% 28% -14.0 31% 32% -2.6
02.03.24 Weston Workers vs Maitland FC 5-1 40% 44% -10.8 24% 28% -13.9 36% 38% -3.4
03.03.24 Lambton Jaffas vs Cooks Hill United 4-1 69% 76% -9.5 17% 19% -9.9 14% 14% 0.1
05.03.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs Adamstown Rosebud 3-2 93% 98% -5.6 5% 6% -6.5 2% 2% 9.7
06.03.24 Edgeworth Eagles vs Weston Workers 0-0 27% 31% -12.7 23% 27% -14.9 50% 52% -2.6
09.03.24 Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine Phoenix FC 0-3 17% 19% -12.4 19% 22% -15.8 65% 68% -5.7
09.03.24 Cooks Hill United vs Broadmeadow Magic 3-4 12% 14% -13.4 15% 18% -15.5 73% 76% -4.8
09.03.24 Edgeworth Eagles vs Lambton Jaffas 0-2 27% 31% -13.5 23% 27% -15.5 50% 51% -2.2
09.03.24 New Lambton FC vs Maitland FC 1-2 17% 20% -17.1 18% 22% -17.2 65% 68% -3.8
10.03.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs Lake Macquarie City 4-1 93% 98% -5.0 5% 6% -13.4 2% 2% -8.0
10.03.24 Weston Workers vs Newcastle Olympic FC 0-1 51% 56% -9.6 23% 26% -13.4 26% 27% -3.4
16.03.24 Adamstown Rosebud vs New Lambton FC 2-2 32% 38% -16.3 23% 28% -15.6 44% 43% 2.0
16.03.24 Cooks Hill United vs Charlestown Azzurri 0-2 22% 25% -10.7 21% 25% -14.7 56% 60% -5.3
16.03.24 Newcastle Olympic FC vs Maitland FC 0-3 34% 39% -12.0 24% 28% -14.2 42% 43% -2.1
16.03.24 Valentine Phoenix FC vs Lake Macquarie City 5-0 85% 90% -5.8 10% 11% -12.9 5% 6% -8.0
17.03.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs Edgeworth Eagles 3-1 61% 66% -8.3 20% 23% -12.7 19% 21% -6.7
17.03.24 Lambton Jaffas vs Weston Workers 2-1 54% 62% -13.2 21% 24% -10.3 24% 23% 5.6
23.03.24 Cooks Hill United vs Valentine Phoenix FC 1-1 27% 28% -1.2 22% 26% -12.3 50% 56% -10.9
23.03.24 Edgeworth Eagles vs Charlestown Azzurri 0-2 33% 36% -9.5 25% 29% -15.7 42% 44% -4.8
23.03.24 Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic FC 1-0 60% 68% -11.5 20% 23% -11.0 20% 19% 2.8
23.03.24 Maitland FC vs Adamstown Rosebud 1-1 78% 85% -7.5 13% 14% -9.1 9% 10% -5.0
23.03.24 New Lambton FC vs Lake Macquarie City 1-2 71% 77% -7.4 16% 18% -11.3 13% 13% -5.0
23.03.24 Weston Workers vs Broadmeadow Magic 2-3 28% 31% -11.0 23% 27% -14.5 49% 52% -4.7
06.04.24 Valentine Phoenix FC vs Edgeworth Eagles 0-2 41% 45% -10.3 24% 29% -14.7 35% 36% -4.0
07.04.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic FC 3-0 63% 69% -8.8 19% 22% -11.9 18% 18% -3.8
07.04.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers 1-3 48% 55% -13.2 23% 27% -13.1 29% 28% 3.8
13.04.24 Adamstown Rosebud vs Cooks Hill United 1-3 22% 24% -7.8 21% 25% -14.2 56% 61% -7.5
13.04.24 Maitland FC vs Lake Macquarie City 2-0 92% 96% -4.3 5% 6% -13.3 3% 3% -11.6
13.04.24 New Lambton FC vs Edgeworth Eagles 0-1 15% 17% -8.0 17% 20% -12.7 67% 72% -6.6
13.04.24 Valentine Phoenix FC vs Weston Workers 2-0 24% 26% -7.9 22% 26% -14.7 53% 57% -6.7
14.04.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs Lambton Jaffas 2-3 44% 49% -9.9 23% 27% -12.6 33% 34% -3.4
14.04.24 Newcastle Olympic FC vs Charlestown Azzurri 3-1 25% 27% -7.9 23% 27% -14.8 52% 56% -6.7
19.04.24 New Lambton FC vs Weston Workers 2-1 12% 13% -12.7 16% 19% -16.6 72% 76% -5.1
21.04.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs Lambton Jaffas 1-2 26% 28% -7.2 23% 28% -15.4 51% 55% -7.2
25.04.24 Adamstown Rosebud vs Weston Workers 0-2 15% 18% -18.9 18% 22% -19.2 68% 69% -2.5
27.04.24 Lake Macquarie City vs Edgeworth Eagles 1-4 8% 10% -19.7 12% 15% -19.8 79% 82% -3.1
27.04.24 Lambton Jaffas vs Valentine Phoenix FC 3-2 67% 72% -6.7 19% 22% -14.6 14% 15% -6.9
27.04.24 Maitland FC vs Cooks Hill United 2-2 57% 61% -5.9 21% 24% -13.8 22% 24% -10.1
28.04.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs Broadmeadow Magic 2-0 24% 25% -4.1 21% 24% -12.5 55% 61% -9.8
28.04.24 Newcastle Olympic FC vs New Lambton FC 2-1 65% 70% -6.9 19% 22% -13.5 16% 17% -7.4
30.04.24 Maitland FC vs Lambton Jaffas 0-5 21% 23% -7.6 21% 24% -13.9 58% 62% -7.1
04.05.24 Cooks Hill United vs Edgeworth Eagles 0-2 32% 36% -9.8 23% 26% -13.1 45% 48% -5.7
04.05.24 Valentine Phoenix FC vs Broadmeadow Magic 2-4 20% 22% -10.2 20% 23% -13.9 61% 65% -6.8
05.05.24 Weston Workers vs Lake Macquarie City 6-1 87% 93% -6.0 8% 8% -4.8 5% 6% -8.7
10.05.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs New Lambton FC 5-1 86% 92% -6.2 9% 10% -8.4 5% 6% -5.3
11.05.24 Lambton Jaffas vs Adamstown Rosebud 7-0 88% 93% -6.1 8% 9% -10.8 4% 4% -4.1
12.05.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs Valentine Phoenix FC 3-0 50% 53% -5.7 23% 27% -13.9 27% 29% -7.8
12.05.24 Weston Workers vs Cooks Hill United 1-2 54% 58% -7.0 22% 26% -14.0 24% 26% -8.0
18.05.24 Adamstown Rosebud vs Broadmeadow Magic 2-8 4% 5% -15.1 8% 10% -17.4 87% 92% -4.9
18.05.24 Lambton Jaffas vs Lake Macquarie City 4-0 95% 98% -3.5 4% 4% -15.4 2% 2% -15.8
18.05.24 Valentine Phoenix FC vs Maitland FC 2-4 38% 43% -10.9 23% 26% -12.6 39% 41% -4.2
19.05.24 New Lambton FC vs Charlestown Azzurri 0-1 11% 12% -8.7 15% 17% -14.1 74% 79% -5.6
19.05.24 Newcastle Olympic FC vs Cooks Hill United 1-1 49% 52% -5.9 23% 27% -14.5 28% 31% -10.0
19.05.24 Weston Workers vs Edgeworth Eagles 0-2 42% 47% -9.0 24% 28% -13.9 34% 36% -5.5
22.05.24 Valentine Phoenix FC vs Newcastle Olympic FC 0-2 38% 42% -7.9 24% 28% -13.6 38% 40% -5.9
24.05.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs Lake Macquarie City 3-1 95% 99% -3.8 3% 4% -15.0 2% 2% -16.0
25.05.24 Cooks Hill United vs Lambton Jaffas 2-3 9% 10% -5.9 13% 14% -11.2 78% 84% -6.8
25.05.24 Edgeworth Eagles vs Newcastle Olympic FC 4-0 44% 50% -11.0 24% 28% -13.9 32% 32% -2.0
25.05.24 Maitland FC vs Weston Workers 0-1 39% 43% -7.6 23% 27% -13.5 37% 41% -8.6
25.05.24 Valentine Phoenix FC vs New Lambton FC 2-0 67% 73% -8.5 17% 19% -9.4 16% 17% -4.2
26.05.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud 4-0 86% 93% -6.7 9% 10% -9.3 4% 4% 3.5
28.05.24 New Lambton FC vs Lambton Jaffas 1-1 5% 6% -13.5 10% 12% -17.6 85% 89% -4.7
29.05.24 Edgeworth Eagles vs Adamstown Rosebud 7-0 79% 86% -8.8 12% 13% -3.6 9% 8% 6.9
29.05.24 Maitland FC vs Charlestown Azzurri 2-2 34% 38% -11.9 23% 27% -13.9 43% 44% -3.6
31.05.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs Cooks Hill United 5-2 80% 85% -6.5 12% 13% -9.6 8% 9% -7.9
04.06.24 Broadmeadow Magic vs Maitland FC 2-0 65% 71% -9.0 18% 20% -9.8 17% 18% -4.1
07.06.24 Cooks Hill United vs Lake Macquarie City 4-1 76% 82% -7.2 13% 15% -8.9 10% 11% -5.8
12.06.24 Cooks Hill United vs New Lambton FC 1-2 59% 65% -9.8 20% 22% -10.4 21% 22% -2.9
12.06.24 Lake Macquarie City vs Adamstown Rosebud 1-3 28% 32% -13.6 22% 25% -13.7 51% 53% -3.9
15.06.24 Lake Macquarie City vs Valentine Phoenix FC 0-2 7% 8% -15.2 11% 13% -16.9 82% 87% -5.1
15.06.24 Maitland FC vs Newcastle Olympic FC 1-2 42% 45% -7.4 23% 26% -12.4 35% 38% -7.6
16.06.24 Charlestown Azzurri vs Cooks Hill United 1-4 66% 72% -9.1 17% 19% -8.8 17% 17% -3.6
16.06.24 Weston Workers vs Lambton Jaffas 1-2 19% 21% -8.3 18% 20% -10.4 63% 68% -8.1
18.06.24 Newcastle Olympic FC vs Adamstown Rosebud 1-2 75% 82% -8.0 14% 15% -7.2 11% 11% -2.4
19.06.24 Edgeworth Eagles vs Maitland FC 2-4 55% 65% -14.8 21% 23% -9.6 24% 22% 8.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 408 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

15 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Newcastle Croatia FC 1600.00
2 Broadmeadow Magic 1550.44
3 Weston Workers 1518.48
4 Edgeworth Eagles 1473.94
5 Lambton Jaffas 1456.95
6 Wallsend FC 1427.92
7 Maitland FC 1427.85
8 Newcastle Olympic FC 1360.96
9 Cooks Hill United 1344.53
10 Belmont Swansea United 1332.40
11 Kahibah FC 1298.57
12 Valentine Phoenix FC 1287.21
13 Charlestown Azzurri 1287.19
14 Adamstown Rosebud 1284.45
15 New Lambton FC 1106.14

Away Ratings

15 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Broadmeadow Magic 1504.77
2 Edgeworth Eagles 1456.27
3 Weston Workers 1439.01
4 Maitland FC 1422.57
5 Lambton Jaffas 1409.72
6 Newcastle Croatia FC 1377.95
7 Newcastle Olympic FC 1370.91
8 Belmont Swansea United 1337.53
9 Adamstown Rosebud 1332.40
10 Valentine Phoenix FC 1245.45
11 Charlestown Azzurri 1231.13
12 Kahibah FC 1213.76
13 Cooks Hill United 1212.76
14 New Lambton FC 1181.20
15 Wallsend FC 993.80