ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 585
Avg Goals 2.68
Avg Home 1.45
Avg Away 1.23
Home Win % 40.9%
Draw % 27.2%
Away Win % 32.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 585
Avg Brier Score 0.6172
Pick Accuracy 48.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6205
Market Brier 0.6165
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 33
Value Bet Hit Rate 15.2%
ROI (flat stake) 9.8%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 21 of 585 matches had at least one · staked 33.00, profit 3.25 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 17 23.5% 17.00 8.75 51.5%
away 14 7.1% 14.00 -3.50 -25.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.6% 0.0% 7
10–20% 16.6% 12.4% 121
20–30% 26.6% 26.3% 810
30–40% 34.3% 33.2% 383
40–50% 44.7% 48.6% 259
50–60% 54.3% 56.9% 116
60–70% 63.8% 63.0% 46
70–80% 72.6% 66.7% 12
80–90% 80.3% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien 1-1 47% 53% -10.7 26% 26% 0.5 27% 29% -7.0
29.07.23 SCR Altach vs Red Bull Salzburg 0-2 16% 16% -0.4 23% 23% 1.7 61% 68% -11.0
29.07.23 TSV Hartberg vs SC Austria Lustenau 2-2 49% 55% -10.4 27% 27% -0.3 24% 26% -5.7
29.07.23 Wolfsberger AC vs Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 40% 45% -12.0 28% 29% -1.7 32% 34% -5.8
29.07.23 WSG Tirol vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 1-3 39% 42% -7.3 28% 28% -0.5 34% 38% -10.6
30.07.23 Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz 0-3 30% 32% -8.5 27% 27% -0.4 44% 49% -10.7
05.08.23 Rapid Wien vs SCR Altach 4-0 57% 65% -12.2 24% 23% 3.3 19% 19% -1.5
05.08.23 Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz 2-0 49% 56% -12.4 26% 26% 0.7 25% 26% -3.1
06.08.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs TSV Hartberg 3-3 41% 45% -10.8 28% 29% -1.8 31% 34% -7.4
06.08.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs WSG Tirol 3-0 75% 85% -12.4 16% 12% 27.0 9% 7% 24.9
06.08.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs Austria Wien 0-2 27% 29% -3.8 27% 26% 1.0 46% 53% -12.7
09.08.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs Wolfsberger AC 2-2 36% 40% -9.3 29% 29% -2.7 35% 38% -8.7
12.08.23 LASK Linz vs Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 55% 64% -13.3 24% 23% 5.3 20% 20% 2.4
12.08.23 Sturm Graz vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 0-0 63% 72% -12.6 22% 21% 6.1 15% 14% 5.2
12.08.23 Wolfsberger AC vs SC Austria Lustenau 1-1 50% 56% -11.2 26% 26% 0.1 24% 25% -4.9
13.08.23 Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartberg 0-1 49% 56% -13.2 26% 26% 1.5 25% 26% -2.9
13.08.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Wien 2-0 59% 67% -12.8 23% 22% 6.2 18% 18% 1.1
13.08.23 SCR Altach vs WSG Tirol 1-0 36% 39% -8.3 29% 29% -2.6 35% 39% -9.8
19.08.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz 0-1 18% 17% 3.3 23% 22% 6.0 59% 68% -13.3
19.08.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs SCR Altach 1-1 46% 51% -9.4 28% 29% -2.6 26% 28% -7.4
19.08.23 WSG Tirol vs LASK Linz 1-1 17% 16% 5.4 22% 21% 7.5 61% 70% -13.2
20.08.23 Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC 0-0 44% 49% -10.6 28% 28% -0.7 29% 31% -6.3
20.08.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Rapid Wien 0-5 27% 29% -5.6 27% 27% 0.1 46% 51% -10.3
20.08.23 TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg 1-5 20% 19% 2.9 24% 23% 4.3 56% 65% -13.9
26.08.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs SCR Altach 0-3 34% 35% -3.1 29% 30% -3.6 37% 43% -13.0
26.08.23 Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz 4-1 67% 76% -12.7 20% 18% 12.0 13% 11% 13.8
26.08.23 Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg 1-2 17% 17% 4.9 24% 23% 3.9 59% 67% -12.2
27.08.23 LASK Linz vs Austria Wien 2-0 47% 52% -9.1 26% 26% 0.0 27% 29% -9.6
27.08.23 Rapid Wien vs WSG Tirol 1-1 62% 70% -11.9 22% 21% 5.5 16% 16% -0.2
27.08.23 TSV Hartberg vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 43% 48% -8.7 28% 29% -2.1 29% 31% -8.6
02.09.23 SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz 1-2 19% 19% -1.4 25% 25% 0.2 56% 63% -11.2
02.09.23 Wolfsberger AC vs TSV Hartberg 0-3 41% 45% -9.8 28% 29% -1.5 31% 33% -7.5
02.09.23 WSG Tirol vs Blau-Weiss Linz 2-4 34% 38% -9.2 28% 29% -1.3 38% 41% -8.0
03.09.23 Austria Wien vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 49% 55% -10.6 27% 27% -0.4 25% 26% -6.5
03.09.23 LASK Linz vs SC Austria Lustenau 2-0 66% 75% -11.8 20% 18% 10.6 14% 13% 5.2
03.09.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Wien 2-0 62% 70% -12.4 22% 21% 6.3 16% 15% 3.7
16.09.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs SCR Altach 1-1 39% 43% -7.3 29% 30% -3.5 31% 34% -9.1
16.09.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz 1-3 27% 29% -7.1 29% 30% -4.3 44% 49% -8.9
16.09.23 Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg 2-2 33% 36% -8.8 29% 29% -2.7 39% 43% -8.8
17.09.23 Rapid Wien vs Wolfsberger AC 3-3 53% 61% -14.1 26% 25% 2.5 22% 21% 3.0
17.09.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs WSG Tirol 2-3 38% 41% -7.4 28% 29% -1.3 34% 38% -9.9
17.09.23 TSV Hartberg vs Austria Wien 2-1 35% 38% -7.7 28% 28% -0.6 38% 42% -11.0
23.09.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz 0-1 70% 80% -12.3 19% 17% 13.2 11% 10% 15.4
23.09.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs SC Austria Lustenau 1-0 53% 61% -11.8 26% 26% 0.8 21% 21% -0.7
23.09.23 WSG Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC 2-3 31% 34% -8.5 28% 28% -0.6 41% 45% -8.9
24.09.23 LASK Linz vs TSV Hartberg 0-0 52% 59% -11.9 26% 26% 1.1 22% 23% -2.2
24.09.23 Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz 1-1 34% 38% -11.5 28% 29% -1.9 38% 41% -7.0
24.09.23 SCR Altach vs Austria Wien 2-1 32% 34% -7.0 29% 29% -2.4 39% 43% -9.7
30.09.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 0-0 35% 38% -9.1 29% 30% -3.7 36% 39% -8.6
30.09.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs Red Bull Salzburg 0-4 9% 8% 21.6 17% 14% 17.9 74% 84% -12.2
30.09.23 Wolfsberger AC vs LASK Linz 2-1 31% 33% -7.5 28% 29% -1.6 41% 45% -9.7
01.10.23 Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien 0-0 34% 37% -8.4 28% 28% -0.5 38% 43% -9.6
01.10.23 Sturm Graz vs WSG Tirol 1-0 71% 80% -10.8 18% 17% 9.9 10% 10% 8.3
01.10.23 TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach 0-0 45% 50% -9.0 28% 29% -2.1 27% 29% -7.1
07.10.23 Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz 4-0 49% 55% -11.2 27% 26% 0.8 25% 26% -3.8
07.10.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Wien 0-5 17% 15% 8.0 22% 21% 7.7 61% 71% -14.1
07.10.23 TSV Hartberg vs WSG Tirol 3-0 54% 61% -11.5 25% 24% 1.8 21% 22% -3.9
08.10.23 LASK Linz vs SCR Altach 1-0 50% 56% -10.8 28% 29% -3.1 23% 24% -4.4
08.10.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs Red Bull Salzburg 2-2 16% 15% 6.8 23% 21% 7.0 61% 70% -13.3
08.10.23 Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz 1-2 24% 25% -5.0 27% 27% -0.4 50% 56% -10.6
21.10.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs SC Austria Lustenau 0-0 51% 57% -11.0 26% 27% -0.7 23% 24% -4.7
21.10.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs LASK Linz 0-1 57% 65% -11.3 24% 24% 1.8 19% 19% -2.6
21.10.23 Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg 2-1 54% 61% -11.7 26% 26% -0.2 20% 21% -2.9
22.10.23 Rapid Wien vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 2-3 56% 65% -13.1 24% 24% 2.2 20% 20% -1.9
22.10.23 SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC 0-0 37% 40% -8.0 30% 31% -4.1 34% 37% -9.0
22.10.23 WSG Tirol vs Austria Wien 0-2 25% 26% -3.4 26% 26% 1.9 48% 55% -11.8
28.10.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Wolfsberger AC 2-0 36% 39% -8.9 29% 29% -2.6 36% 39% -9.1
28.10.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach 3-0 68% 76% -11.4 20% 19% 7.5 12% 11% 10.2
28.10.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs WSG Tirol 1-0 51% 58% -11.7 26% 26% -0.1 22% 23% -3.1
29.10.23 Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz 3-3 43% 48% -9.5 28% 28% -0.3 29% 31% -6.5
29.10.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs TSV Hartberg 0-4 23% 23% -0.8 26% 26% 1.5 51% 58% -12.2
29.10.23 Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien 0-1 52% 59% -10.9 26% 26% -0.5 21% 22% -3.6
04.11.23 Austria Wien vs SC Austria Lustenau 1-0 68% 78% -12.6 20% 17% 13.7 12% 11% 15.2
04.11.23 Wolfsberger AC vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 4-0 42% 47% -10.0 28% 29% -1.6 30% 32% -6.9
04.11.23 WSG Tirol vs Red Bull Salzburg 0-2 11% 10% 11.7 18% 16% 13.9 71% 80% -11.7
05.11.23 LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz 3-1 34% 37% -8.0 30% 31% -3.6 36% 39% -7.6
05.11.23 SCR Altach vs Rapid Wien 0-2 25% 25% -1.8 27% 27% -0.3 49% 56% -12.7
05.11.23 TSV Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz 3-2 50% 56% -11.1 27% 27% -0.4 23% 24% -2.7
11.11.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC 2-3 23% 24% -3.1 26% 26% 0.1 51% 57% -11.5
11.11.23 TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Wien 1-0 30% 31% -4.1 27% 27% 0.2 43% 50% -13.2
11.11.23 WSG Tirol vs SCR Altach 5-1 29% 30% -4.9 29% 29% -2.6 43% 48% -10.7
12.11.23 Austria Wien vs Red Bull Salzburg 0-0 24% 26% -5.1 27% 27% -0.3 49% 55% -10.7
12.11.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs LASK Linz 2-0 23% 24% -2.9 27% 28% -1.6 50% 56% -10.8
12.11.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs Sturm Graz 0-3 23% 24% -2.4 27% 28% -1.8 49% 56% -11.9
25.11.23 LASK Linz vs WSG Tirol 1-0 66% 74% -11.4 21% 20% 6.0 13% 12% 5.4
25.11.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg 3-2 60% 67% -10.5 23% 23% 2.8 17% 17% -0.7
25.11.23 Sturm Graz vs SC Austria Lustenau 2-0 74% 84% -11.4 17% 15% 14.4 9% 7% 19.8
26.11.23 Rapid Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 64% 72% -12.0 22% 21% 5.1 14% 14% 4.1
26.11.23 SCR Altach vs SK Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 43% 48% -9.6 30% 31% -3.8 27% 29% -4.2
26.11.23 Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien 1-0 37% 41% -9.5 29% 29% -2.3 34% 37% -7.3
03.12.23 Austria Wien vs LASK Linz 0-0 37% 42% -11.3 29% 29% -2.8 34% 37% -7.0
03.12.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz 1-1 23% 25% -7.4 28% 29% -4.5 49% 53% -8.3
03.12.23 Red Bull Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC 1-0 57% 63% -10.5 24% 24% 1.7 19% 20% -4.5
04.12.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs TSV Hartberg 1-1 27% 28% -2.1 28% 29% -1.8 45% 51% -12.8
05.12.23 SCR Altach vs SC Austria Lustenau 2-0 52% 58% -10.4 28% 29% -3.1 20% 20% -0.5
05.12.23 WSG Tirol vs Rapid Wien 1-2 19% 19% -0.6 23% 22% 4.8 58% 66% -12.7
09.12.23 Rapid Wien vs Red Bull Salzburg 0-1 36% 39% -9.3 28% 28% -0.2 37% 40% -8.2
09.12.23 SC Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz 1-3 14% 12% 9.1 22% 21% 5.2 64% 74% -12.3
09.12.23 SK Austria Klagenfurt vs Austria Wien 2-2 26% 28% -4.6 28% 29% -3.5 45% 51% -12.0
10.12.23 Blau-Weiss Linz vs WSG Tirol 1-2 43% 48% -10.4 29% 29% -2.6 29% 30% -5.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 585 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Red Bull Salzburg 2209.04
2 LASK Linz 2195.21
3 Rapid Wien 2186.59
4 Sturm Graz 2067.97
5 SV Ried 2027.43
6 SCR Altach 1999.50
7 TSV Hartberg 1963.75
8 Austria Wien 1952.66
9 WSG Tirol 1949.05
10 Grazer AK 1923.74
11 Wolfsberger AC 1884.72
12 SC Austria Lustenau 1814.92

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 LASK Linz 2126.19
2 Rapid Wien 2119.92
3 Red Bull Salzburg 2069.63
4 Sturm Graz 2057.96
5 Austria Wien 2007.46
6 SCR Altach 1943.14
7 SV Ried 1941.62
8 TSV Hartberg 1913.62
9 Grazer AK 1889.48
10 WSG Tirol 1886.49
11 Wolfsberger AC 1871.37
12 SC Austria Lustenau 1816.44