ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 651
Avg Goals 2.89
Avg Home 1.51
Avg Away 1.38
Home Win % 42.1%
Draw % 22.9%
Away Win % 35.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 651
Avg Brier Score 0.6070
Pick Accuracy 49.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6105
Market Brier 0.6072
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 651 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.9% 0.0% 8
10–20% 16.9% 15.7% 172
20–30% 24.7% 24.3% 852
30–40% 34.8% 36.6% 355
40–50% 44.4% 42.3% 312
50–60% 54.5% 55.5% 164
60–70% 64.3% 70.4% 71
70–80% 73.3% 77.8% 18
80–90% 80.2% 0.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 FC Admira Wacker Mödling vs SV Stripfing 1-0 41% 44% -7.6 25% 29% -13.5 34% 37% -7.5
28.07.23 FC Liefering vs FC Dornbirn 0-1 55% 60% -7.6 22% 26% -13.0 23% 25% -9.2
28.07.23 Grazer AK vs SKU Amstetten 3-0 58% 64% -8.4 22% 25% -12.5 20% 21% -5.2
28.07.23 SV Lafnitz vs SV Kapfenberg 3-0 57% 62% -7.3 22% 26% -13.3 21% 22% -7.6
28.07.23 SW Bregenz vs First Vienna FC 1894 2-0 35% 35% 0.6 25% 29% -13.6 40% 47% -13.9
30.07.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Ried 1-1 40% 40% -0.1 26% 31% -15.5 34% 39% -13.2
30.07.23 SK Sturm Graz II vs SKN St. Pölten 1-4 21% 24% -12.7 22% 26% -16.2 57% 60% -4.0
04.08.23 SKN St. Pölten vs SV Lafnitz 2-0 49% 53% -7.3 25% 29% -14.0 27% 29% -6.7
04.08.23 SV Kapfenberg vs Floridsdorfer AC 1-1 25% 27% -8.1 24% 29% -15.3 51% 54% -5.7
04.08.23 SV Ried vs FC Admira Wacker Mödling 2-2 45% 48% -4.5 25% 29% -13.8 30% 33% -10.3
04.08.23 SV Stripfing vs DSV Leoben 1-4 38% 42% -8.3 25% 29% -14.3 37% 39% -6.8
05.08.23 SKU Amstetten vs SW Bregenz 1-2 48% 52% -6.7 24% 29% -14.7 27% 30% -9.9
06.08.23 First Vienna FC 1894 vs SK Sturm Graz II 2-2 46% 51% -8.1 25% 29% -14.0 29% 31% -7.1
11.08.23 FC Admira Wacker Mödling vs SV Horn 1-0 52% 56% -7.0 23% 27% -13.2 25% 27% -7.9
11.08.23 First Vienna FC 1894 vs Grazer AK 2-3 21% 23% -9.3 22% 26% -15.6 57% 61% -6.8
11.08.23 SKN St. Pölten vs FC Liefering 0-1 60% 67% -10.6 21% 23% -9.8 19% 19% 0.5
11.08.23 SV Stripfing vs SV Ried 1-0 32% 34% -7.5 25% 29% -13.7 43% 47% -6.6
12.08.23 SW Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg 0-2 49% 53% -8.3 24% 28% -13.1 27% 29% -5.2
13.08.23 DSV Leoben vs SKU Amstetten 1-0 51% 57% -10.5 24% 27% -12.6 25% 26% -1.6
13.08.23 SK Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC 2-2 26% 29% -10.5 24% 28% -14.8 50% 53% -5.0
18.08.23 FC Liefering vs SW Bregenz 2-1 52% 57% -9.2 23% 26% -12.3 25% 26% -4.8
18.08.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Lafnitz 3-0 45% 49% -7.3 26% 30% -15.0 29% 31% -5.7
18.08.23 Grazer AK vs SK Sturm Graz II 1-0 71% 78% -8.1 17% 18% -8.4 12% 12% -3.2
18.08.23 SKU Amstetten vs SV Stripfing 1-1 39% 44% -11.7 25% 29% -14.0 36% 38% -4.1
18.08.23 SV Horn vs First Vienna FC 1894 2-0 39% 42% -7.5 25% 29% -14.3 36% 39% -7.6
19.08.23 FC Dornbirn vs FC Admira Wacker Mödling 1-0 32% 34% -6.8 25% 29% -14.5 43% 47% -7.0
20.08.23 SV Kapfenberg vs SKN St. Pölten 0-3 19% 22% -16.1 21% 26% -17.6 60% 61% -1.8
22.08.23 SV Horn vs FC Liefering 2-1 33% 38% -13.7 24% 28% -14.1 44% 44% -1.9
25.08.23 DSV Leoben vs First Vienna FC 1894 0-1 50% 53% -5.9 24% 28% -13.8 27% 29% -9.7
25.08.23 FC Admira Wacker Mödling vs SKU Amstetten 3-1 50% 56% -10.1 24% 27% -12.3 26% 27% -2.5
25.08.23 FC Dornbirn vs SW Bregenz 0-5 40% 43% -6.0 26% 31% -15.6 34% 36% -7.6
25.08.23 FC Liefering vs SV Ried 1-1 32% 35% -9.0 25% 29% -14.7 43% 45% -5.4
25.08.23 SKN St. Pölten vs Floridsdorfer AC 2-0 45% 47% -4.0 26% 30% -14.7 30% 32% -8.5
25.08.23 SV Stripfing vs SV Horn 3-1 48% 51% -6.2 24% 28% -13.9 28% 31% -10.5
27.08.23 SK Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg 3-3 43% 49% -11.5 24% 28% -12.8 33% 33% -2.2
01.09.23 FC Admira Wacker Mödling vs SK Sturm Graz II 1-1 56% 62% -8.5 22% 25% -12.2 22% 23% -6.6
01.09.23 First Vienna FC 1894 vs SV Stripfing 1-0 38% 41% -7.5 25% 29% -13.8 37% 39% -6.0
01.09.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs FC Liefering 3-1 51% 56% -8.7 24% 28% -13.9 25% 26% -5.8
01.09.23 SKU Amstetten vs SKN St. Pölten 0-1 16% 17% -8.1 20% 23% -14.3 64% 68% -5.6
02.09.23 SW Bregenz vs SV Lafnitz 2-1 37% 40% -8.4 25% 29% -14.3 38% 41% -6.4
03.09.23 SV Kapfenberg vs DSV Leoben 2-1 30% 34% -11.8 25% 29% -15.6 45% 47% -3.7
15.09.23 FC Dornbirn vs SKU Amstetten 1-0 38% 42% -8.2 26% 30% -15.0 36% 38% -6.3
15.09.23 FC Liefering vs SV Stripfing 1-2 40% 44% -9.2 25% 29% -13.9 35% 38% -7.1
15.09.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs FC Admira Wacker Mödling 3-2 46% 49% -4.7 26% 30% -15.4 28% 31% -9.4
15.09.23 SKN St. Pölten vs First Vienna FC 1894 1-2 64% 67% -4.3 20% 24% -14.7 16% 18% -12.6
17.09.23 SK Sturm Graz II vs SW Bregenz 0-2 37% 42% -11.0 24% 28% -13.2 39% 41% -4.9
17.09.23 SV Ried vs SV Kapfenberg 2-0 63% 67% -6.3 20% 23% -13.0 17% 19% -10.7
22.09.23 DSV Leoben vs Floridsdorfer AC 0-4 34% 36% -7.1 26% 30% -15.1 40% 43% -6.8
22.09.23 FC Admira Wacker Mödling vs SKN St. Pölten 2-2 31% 34% -10.6 25% 30% -15.9 44% 45% -3.9
22.09.23 SKU Amstetten vs SV Lafnitz 1-2 33% 35% -6.6 24% 28% -13.3 43% 48% -9.4
22.09.23 SV Stripfing vs SV Kapfenberg 2-3 53% 57% -7.7 24% 28% -14.1 23% 25% -6.4
23.09.23 First Vienna FC 1894 vs FC Dornbirn 0-0 52% 58% -9.8 24% 27% -12.8 24% 25% -2.7
23.09.23 Grazer AK vs FC Liefering 3-0 59% 64% -6.8 22% 25% -13.5 19% 21% -8.7
23.09.23 SW Bregenz vs SV Ried 0-0 23% 25% -6.2 24% 29% -15.5 52% 56% -6.7
24.09.23 SV Horn vs SK Sturm Graz II 4-0 52% 57% -9.7 23% 26% -12.3 25% 27% -4.9
29.09.23 FC Dornbirn vs SV Stripfing 1-3 29% 32% -9.5 25% 29% -15.5 46% 49% -5.8
29.09.23 FC Liefering vs DSV Leoben 2-2 41% 44% -7.2 24% 28% -12.4 34% 37% -7.1
29.09.23 SKN St. Pölten vs Grazer AK 1-3 41% 44% -7.3 26% 30% -15.1 33% 36% -7.4
30.09.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs SW Bregenz 1-2 55% 60% -7.4 24% 28% -14.8 21% 23% -6.6
30.09.23 SV Kapfenberg vs FC Admira Wacker Mödling 1-1 28% 32% -12.4 25% 29% -16.2 47% 49% -3.5
01.10.23 SK Sturm Graz II vs SKU Amstetten 3-2 33% 37% -9.8 24% 28% -13.0 42% 44% -4.5
01.10.23 SV Lafnitz vs First Vienna FC 1894 2-3 45% 48% -5.9 25% 29% -13.6 30% 33% -8.5
06.10.23 First Vienna FC 1894 vs Floridsdorfer AC 2-2 30% 34% -10.4 25% 29% -15.1 45% 47% -4.0
06.10.23 SKU Amstetten vs SV Ried 2-3 19% 20% -3.0 22% 25% -13.4 59% 65% -8.6
06.10.23 SV Horn vs SV Kapfenberg 0-2 39% 43% -7.4 25% 29% -13.9 35% 38% -6.5
06.10.23 SV Stripfing vs SKN St. Pölten 4-1 26% 29% -9.9 24% 29% -15.3 49% 52% -4.9
07.10.23 FC Dornbirn vs SK Sturm Graz II 2-3 41% 45% -8.9 25% 29% -13.3 34% 36% -5.3
07.10.23 Grazer AK vs SW Bregenz 1-0 62% 66% -5.7 21% 24% -13.9 17% 18% -8.9
08.10.23 FC Liefering vs FC Admira Wacker Mödling 1-1 35% 38% -9.9 25% 29% -14.1 41% 43% -6.1
20.10.23 FC Admira Wacker Mödling vs Grazer AK 0-0 32% 35% -9.2 25% 29% -14.1 44% 47% -5.8
20.10.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs SKU Amstetten 0-0 59% 64% -7.6 22% 25% -12.9 19% 21% -6.9
20.10.23 SV Lafnitz vs SV Stripfing 0-3 38% 42% -9.0 25% 29% -13.5 37% 39% -5.9
20.10.23 SV Ried vs First Vienna FC 1894 4-1 65% 70% -6.4 20% 23% -13.0 15% 16% -7.6
21.10.23 SK Sturm Graz II vs FC Liefering 1-1 32% 36% -10.6 23% 26% -12.3 45% 48% -5.5
21.10.23 SV Kapfenberg vs FC Dornbirn 3-2 50% 54% -8.2 25% 29% -14.6 25% 26% -3.9
21.10.23 SW Bregenz vs SV Horn 3-1 45% 49% -7.0 25% 29% -14.1 29% 31% -6.0
22.10.23 SKN St. Pölten vs DSV Leoben 1-2 48% 50% -4.8 25% 29% -15.5 28% 31% -11.8
27.10.23 DSV Leoben vs FC Admira Wacker Mödling 3-2 41% 44% -7.2 26% 31% -15.6 32% 34% -6.1
27.10.23 FC Dornbirn vs Floridsdorfer AC 1-2 22% 25% -14.0 23% 29% -17.8 55% 56% -2.1
27.10.23 SKU Amstetten vs SV Kapfenberg 1-1 40% 43% -7.0 26% 30% -14.5 34% 36% -5.7
27.10.23 SV Lafnitz vs SK Sturm Graz II 5-2 53% 57% -8.1 23% 26% -11.7 25% 27% -6.8
28.10.23 First Vienna FC 1894 vs FC Liefering 2-0 42% 48% -12.4 25% 29% -14.4 33% 33% -0.7
28.10.23 SV Stripfing vs SW Bregenz 1-1 51% 56% -8.3 24% 28% -13.5 25% 26% -5.0
29.10.23 SV Ried vs SKN St. Pölten 1-1 45% 49% -6.8 26% 30% -15.3 29% 31% -7.6
03.11.23 FC Admira Wacker Mödling vs SV Lafnitz 1-0 48% 52% -7.8 25% 29% -13.9 28% 29% -6.2
03.11.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Horn 0-1 59% 64% -7.2 22% 25% -13.2 19% 21% -7.9
04.11.23 FC Liefering vs SKU Amstetten 2-2 51% 56% -9.2 23% 27% -13.1 25% 27% -5.8
04.11.23 SKN St. Pölten vs FC Dornbirn 2-0 71% 76% -6.9 18% 20% -12.4 11% 12% -6.1
04.11.23 SV Kapfenberg vs First Vienna FC 1894 0-0 36% 39% -9.0 26% 30% -15.2 39% 41% -5.4
05.11.23 Grazer AK vs SV Stripfing 3-0 54% 57% -6.3 23% 26% -12.8 24% 26% -8.3
05.11.23 SW Bregenz vs DSV Leoben 0-0 34% 38% -10.3 26% 30% -15.4 40% 42% -4.0
10.11.23 First Vienna FC 1894 vs FC Admira Wacker Mödling 2-1 35% 40% -11.3 26% 30% -15.3 39% 40% -2.9
10.11.23 SV Horn vs SKU Amstetten 3-1 47% 51% -8.9 24% 28% -12.9 29% 31% -5.3
10.11.23 SV Stripfing vs SK Sturm Graz II 2-1 59% 65% -8.8 21% 24% -11.8 20% 22% -7.3
10.11.23 SW Bregenz vs SKN St. Pölten 2-3 22% 24% -10.6 24% 29% -17.3 54% 56% -3.0
12.11.23 FC Liefering vs SV Kapfenberg 0-1 48% 51% -7.3 25% 29% -14.1 28% 30% -7.8
12.11.23 Grazer AK vs Floridsdorfer AC 1-3 51% 56% -8.8 24% 28% -13.9 25% 26% -5.7
24.11.23 Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Stripfing 2-0 45% 50% -9.1 26% 30% -15.3 29% 30% -4.7
24.11.23 SKN St. Pölten vs SV Horn 0-2 62% 67% -6.3 21% 24% -14.1 17% 18% -8.9
24.11.23 SV Kapfenberg vs Grazer AK 2-3 20% 22% -10.3 23% 28% -17.2 57% 60% -5.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 651 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Blau-Weiss Linz 1971.58
2 ASK Voitsberg 1852.71
3 SKN St. Pölten 1852.18
4 First Vienna FC 1894 1840.94
5 SKU Amstetten 1810.04
6 FC Wacker Innsbruck 1809.75
7 FC Admira Wacker Mödling 1787.29
8 SV Austria Salzburg 1782.02
9 SW Bregenz 1769.57
10 Floridsdorfer AC 1766.84
11 FC Liefering 1754.23
12 SK Sturm Graz II 1733.14
13 FK Austria Wien II 1723.99
14 FC Hertha Wels 1716.39
15 SK Rapid Wien II 1674.24
16 SV Kapfenberg 1590.72

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 First Vienna FC 1894 1876.83
2 Blau-Weiss Linz 1875.12
3 SKN St. Pölten 1833.67
4 SKU Amstetten 1826.99
5 SW Bregenz 1775.52
6 FC Admira Wacker Mödling 1762.48
7 SV Austria Salzburg 1759.82
8 ASK Voitsberg 1751.07
9 FC Wacker Innsbruck 1738.33
10 Floridsdorfer AC 1734.42
11 SK Sturm Graz II 1727.57
12 FC Liefering 1717.90
13 FK Austria Wien II 1706.82
14 FC Hertha Wels 1687.71
15 SV Kapfenberg 1630.59
16 SK Rapid Wien II 1612.09