ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 171
Avg Goals 2.71
Avg Home 1.33
Avg Away 1.38
Home Win % 33.3%
Draw % 31.6%
Away Win % 35.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 171
Avg Brier Score 0.5669
Pick Accuracy 55.0%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5654
Market Brier 0.5740
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 13
Value Bet Hit Rate 23.1%
ROI (flat stake) 98.1%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 84.6% of value bets are on 'draw' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 13 of 171 matches had at least one · staked 13.00, profit 12.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 11 27.3% 11.00 14.75 134.1%
away 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.0% 5.7% 53
10–20% 15.4% 16.1% 87
20–30% 25.4% 27.4% 135
30–40% 33.5% 35.4% 99
40–50% 44.9% 51.6% 31
50–60% 54.9% 47.4% 38
60–70% 65.2% 63.0% 27
70–80% 73.8% 68.2% 22
80–90% 84.4% 69.2% 13
90–100% 92.5% 87.5% 8
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
22.12.23 Bangladesh Police AC vs Abahani Chittagong 2-0 49% 57% -14.5 27% 26% 2.9 24% 29% -15.8
22.12.23 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Rahmatgonj MFS 1-1 72% 81% -11.1 19% 19% 1.3 9% 11% -16.9
22.12.23 Fortis FC Limited vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-2 20% 25% -21.8 27% 28% -2.9 53% 59% -9.1
29.12.23 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Sheikh Russel 1-1 52% 64% -17.9 27% 27% 3.0 20% 22% -6.9
30.12.23 Bangladesh Police AC vs Sheikh Jamal 0-1 45% 60% -24.6 28% 28% 2.5 27% 25% 6.5
30.12.23 Bashundhara Kings vs Abahani Chittagong 4-1 81% 90% -9.6 13% 12% 8.0 6% 7% -21.4
30.12.23 Fortis FC Limited vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 1-0 16% 22% -27.7 25% 28% -9.7 59% 62% -5.2
12.01.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Fortis FC Limited 3-1 79% 88% -10.2 15% 14% 4.8 6% 8% -18.4
12.01.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Abahani Chittagong 1-1 38% 47% -18.0 30% 31% -1.1 31% 35% -10.4
12.01.24 Sheikh Jamal vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 0-1 20% 28% -28.8 26% 29% -9.4 54% 56% -2.2
13.01.24 Sheikh Russel vs Bangladesh Police AC 0-1 33% 43% -23.7 29% 29% -1.3 38% 40% -5.5
19.01.24 Fortis FC Limited vs Rahmatgonj MFS 2-2 45% 56% -19.2 29% 29% 1.3 26% 29% -8.3
19.01.24 Sheikh Jamal vs Bashundhara Kings 0-3 5% 7% -29.8 12% 13% -9.4 83% 89% -7.0
20.01.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Mohammedan Dhaka 2-3 32% 43% -25.5 30% 31% -4.2 38% 37% 1.8
20.01.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Sheikh Russel 3-1 62% 73% -15.6 24% 22% 6.9 15% 16% -8.6
26.01.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Bashundhara Kings 0-2 14% 19% -24.4 23% 24% -4.1 62% 68% -9.2
26.01.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Abahani Chittagong 0-0 67% 77% -13.3 22% 21% 4.3 12% 13% -13.1
27.01.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Bangladesh Police AC 0-0 21% 29% -28.5 26% 29% -8.3 53% 55% -4.0
27.01.24 Sheikh Russel vs Fortis FC Limited 0-0 37% 45% -18.9 30% 29% 0.4 34% 38% -11.0
02.02.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 1-2 17% 23% -25.2 25% 27% -6.0 58% 62% -7.9
02.02.24 Sheikh Russel vs Rahmatgonj MFS 0-0 34% 40% -14.6 31% 32% -2.8 34% 40% -13.8
03.02.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka 0-1 71% 81% -12.7 19% 17% 8.8 10% 12% -14.4
09.02.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-1 15% 21% -26.0 27% 30% -11.1 58% 61% -4.9
10.02.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Bashundhara Kings 0-3 10% 15% -30.7 20% 23% -14.1 70% 74% -5.0
10.02.24 Sheikh Jamal vs Fortis FC Limited 1-0 46% 57% -19.8 31% 31% -2.1 24% 24% -3.3
16.02.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Rahmatgonj MFS 4-1 85% 93% -7.8 11% 11% -1.8 4% 5% -24.9
16.02.24 Fortis FC Limited vs Bangladesh Police AC 2-1 25% 33% -26.2 30% 32% -8.3 46% 48% -3.7
17.02.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Abahani Chittagong 2-2 64% 74% -12.5 23% 23% 0.5 13% 15% -16.6
17.02.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Sheikh Jamal 0-0 59% 72% -18.4 25% 23% 8.2 16% 16% -0.7
23.02.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Sheikh Russel 1-1 77% 84% -8.5 16% 17% -4.7 7% 10% -24.6
23.02.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 2-2 40% 51% -21.6 30% 31% -1.4 30% 31% -3.9
23.02.24 Sheikh Jamal vs Rahmatgonj MFS 2-1 40% 49% -17.5 32% 34% -5.0 28% 30% -9.2
24.02.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Fortis FC Limited 0-2 32% 41% -21.4 33% 35% -6.2 35% 36% -3.0
29.03.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Bangladesh Police AC 0-1 19% 26% -26.4 26% 28% -6.3 55% 58% -6.1
29.03.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Fortis FC Limited 4-0 48% 57% -15.1 29% 29% -1.1 22% 26% -12.6
30.03.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 0-3 19% 25% -25.2 29% 32% -10.2 52% 55% -4.8
05.04.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Bashundhara Kings 0-5 4% 6% -31.2 10% 12% -10.8 85% 91% -6.4
05.04.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Fortis FC Limited 1-1 51% 61% -15.5 27% 27% 1.7 21% 24% -12.7
06.04.24 Sheikh Jamal vs Bangladesh Police AC 2-2 24% 32% -24.4 29% 30% -5.2 47% 50% -6.3
06.04.24 Sheikh Russel vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-3 20% 27% -26.6 27% 29% -8.2 53% 56% -4.9
19.04.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Sheikh Russel 1-0 45% 53% -14.6 29% 29% -0.7 26% 30% -14.8
19.04.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Sheikh Jamal 2-1 49% 60% -17.4 29% 29% 0.4 22% 24% -9.1
20.04.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Rahmatgonj MFS 2-1 34% 44% -23.0 31% 32% -4.2 35% 36% -4.1
20.04.24 Fortis FC Limited vs Bashundhara Kings 0-1 7% 10% -28.0 15% 17% -7.2 78% 84% -7.6
26.04.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis FC Limited 1-2 30% 38% -20.7 34% 36% -7.9 37% 38% -4.9
26.04.24 Sheikh Russel vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 0-1 19% 24% -23.9 29% 32% -9.6 52% 56% -7.0
27.04.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Bangladesh Police AC 0-0 48% 60% -19.1 30% 29% 0.3 22% 23% -3.2
03.05.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-1 11% 15% -28.5 20% 22% -9.3 70% 74% -5.9
04.05.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Rahmatgonj MFS 2-0 45% 54% -16.9 31% 32% -3.1 24% 26% -7.2
04.05.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 2-1 66% 76% -13.4 22% 22% 3.0 12% 14% -13.1
04.05.24 Fortis FC Limited vs Sheikh Russel 1-2 36% 43% -17.0 33% 35% -5.3 31% 34% -8.8
10.05.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Bangladesh Police AC 1-1 38% 47% -19.1 30% 31% -1.5 32% 36% -10.3
10.05.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Sheikh Russel 1-1 40% 51% -21.1 31% 32% -3.3 29% 30% -4.5
11.05.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Bashundhara Kings 1-2 9% 11% -23.2 20% 22% -6.6 71% 78% -8.9
17.05.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Rahmatgonj MFS 3-3 71% 84% -15.3 19% 16% 18.9 10% 10% -2.1
18.05.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Bangladesh Police AC 2-2 73% 81% -8.9 18% 18% -2.4 9% 11% -23.0
18.05.24 Fortis FC Limited vs Sheikh Jamal 0-0 34% 42% -20.5 31% 32% -3.6 35% 38% -8.0
24.05.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Fortis FC Limited 1-2 41% 50% -17.2 32% 33% -4.3 27% 29% -9.1
24.05.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Bashundhara Kings 0-0 6% 10% -34.2 11% 13% -14.5 82% 89% -7.8
25.05.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 2-3 9% 12% -22.6 19% 19% -0.2 72% 79% -9.8
25.05.24 Sheikh Jamal vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-3 16% 22% -27.2 26% 29% -10.2 59% 62% -5.8
29.05.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-2 31% 39% -20.3 29% 29% 0.4 40% 45% -11.9
29.11.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Abahani Chittagong 7-0 93% 98% -5.1 6% 7% -17.9 1% 1% -27.9
29.11.24 Dhaka Wanderers Club vs Mohammedan Dhaka 0-6 7% 9% -18.8 17% 17% 4.0 75% 85% -11.2
30.11.24 Fakirerpool vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 0-2 16% 22% -27.6 22% 23% -3.8 62% 67% -7.0
30.11.24 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis FC Limited 3-1 26% 34% -23.3 31% 33% -7.1 43% 45% -5.3
06.12.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Rahmatgonj MFS 0-2 9% 12% -23.8 18% 17% 1.1 73% 81% -9.6
06.12.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Bashundhara Kings 1-0 22% 31% -29.6 28% 31% -11.5 50% 50% 0.7
07.12.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Fakirerpool 4-1 56% 68% -18.1 25% 22% 10.8 19% 21% -7.3
07.12.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Dhaka Wanderers Club 1-0 84% 93% -10.0 12% 11% 12.0 4% 5% -14.3
13.12.24 Fakirerpool vs Fortis FC Limited 0-3 15% 19% -20.7 23% 22% 3.6 62% 71% -12.1
14.12.24 Bashundhara Kings vs Rahmatgonj MFS 4-1 67% 74% -9.4 21% 23% -5.4 11% 15% -22.9
14.12.24 Dhaka Wanderers Club vs Bangladesh Police AC 0-4 12% 17% -25.3 21% 22% -3.2 66% 73% -8.9
14.12.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 1-0 50% 65% -21.8 28% 27% 4.4 22% 21% 3.1
20.12.24 Bangladesh Police AC vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-3 22% 30% -27.7 27% 29% -7.9 51% 53% -3.1
20.12.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Bashundhara Kings 1-0 17% 24% -29.1 25% 29% -11.2 57% 60% -3.7
21.12.24 Abahani Chittagong vs Fakirerpool 0-2 36% 45% -20.4 30% 30% -1.0 34% 37% -8.7
21.12.24 Fortis FC Limited vs Dhaka Wanderers Club 1-1 90% 98% -8.7 8% 7% 20.4 2% 2% -9.8
27.12.24 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Fortis FC Limited 1-0 62% 76% -18.6 23% 20% 14.9 15% 15% -0.4
28.12.24 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Bangladesh Police AC 2-0 37% 45% -18.2 30% 31% -0.9 32% 36% -9.5
28.12.24 Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS 1-6 7% 9% -22.5 16% 16% 0.6 77% 85% -8.9
03.01.25 Bangladesh Police AC vs Bashundhara Kings 0-5 9% 12% -27.5 19% 21% -9.0 72% 78% -7.4
03.01.25 Fortis FC Limited vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 0-0 31% 40% -21.9 31% 32% -4.1 38% 40% -5.4
04.01.25 Abahani Chittagong vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-5 1% 2% -31.7 6% 7% -17.4 93% 98% -5.3
04.01.25 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Dhaka Wanderers Club 6-1 90% 98% -8.1 8% 6% 21.1 2% 3% -15.8
10.01.25 Bangladesh Police AC vs Fortis FC Limited 1-1 32% 40% -18.9 32% 33% -4.4 36% 39% -8.9
10.01.25 Bashundhara Kings vs Fakirerpool 4-1 94% 99% -4.9 4% 4% 1.9 1% 2% -27.1
10.01.25 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-3 25% 32% -23.7 28% 29% -2.7 48% 51% -7.2
17.01.25 Fakirerpool vs Dhaka Wanderers Club 4-1 37% 49% -23.2 28% 28% 2.0 34% 36% -4.2
18.01.25 Fortis FC Limited vs Bashundhara Kings 1-1 16% 23% -29.9 25% 29% -13.1 59% 61% -2.2
18.01.25 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 0-1 31% 40% -22.3 30% 31% -2.7 39% 42% -6.4
24.01.25 Bangladesh Police AC vs Rahmatgonj MFS 2-1 27% 33% -18.5 29% 29% -0.9 44% 50% -12.6
24.01.25 Mohammedan Dhaka vs Fakirerpool 0-1 90% 97% -6.9 7% 7% -4.6 3% 4% -30.3
21.02.25 Fortis FC Limited vs Rahmatgonj MFS 3-1 32% 41% -20.4 32% 33% -5.0 36% 39% -8.6
22.02.25 Abahani Chittagong vs Bashundhara Kings 0-2 2% 3% -32.7 6% 7% -16.7 92% 97% -5.2
22.02.25 Dhaka Abahani Ltd vs Fakirerpool 6-1 81% 88% -7.1 13% 14% -8.2 5% 7% -27.1
11.04.25 Fakirerpool vs Bangladesh Police AC 0-3 9% 12% -25.4 18% 18% -1.7 73% 79% -8.3
11.04.25 Rahmatgonj MFS vs Abahani Chittagong 2-0 72% 78% -8.2 19% 20% -6.7 10% 13% -25.5
12.04.25 Bashundhara Kings vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1-2 43% 52% -17.3 30% 31% -1.2 27% 29% -9.1
12.04.25 Dhaka Wanderers Club vs Dhaka Abahani Ltd 1-4 1% 2% -31.1 4% 5% -13.0 95% 99% -4.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 171 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

13 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bangladesh Police AC 1815.40
2 Bashundhara Kings 1815.13
3 Mohammedan Dhaka 1752.81
4 Dhaka Abahani Ltd 1675.81
5 Rahmatgonj MFS 1600.73
6 Chattogram City FC 1600.00
7 MSPCC City Club 1592.32
8 Fortis FC Limited 1534.88
9 Arambagh KS 1382.64
10 PWD SC 1337.35
11 Dhaka Wanderers Club 1289.58
12 Fakirerpool 1194.23
13 Brothers Union 1185.20

Away Ratings

13 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Dhaka Abahani Ltd 1792.04
2 Bashundhara Kings 1773.56
3 Mohammedan Dhaka 1692.58
4 Fortis FC Limited 1662.34
5 Bangladesh Police AC 1610.62
6 Rahmatgonj MFS 1556.57
7 MSPCC City Club 1520.35
8 PWD SC 1453.41
9 Fakirerpool 1331.58
10 Chattogram City FC 1320.01
11 Arambagh KS 1296.64
12 Brothers Union 1147.24
13 Dhaka Wanderers Club 1112.83