ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 30
Avg Goals 2.47
Avg Home 1.30
Avg Away 1.17
Home Win % 40.0%
Draw % 30.0%
Away Win % 30.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
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Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 30
Avg Brier Score 0.5391
Pick Accuracy 63.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5729
Market Brier 0.5303
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 4
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 3 of 30 matches had at least one · staked 4.00, profit -4.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.3% 0.0% 2
10–20% 16.7% 8.3% 12
20–30% 26.6% 25.7% 35
30–40% 34.7% 26.3% 19
40–50% 43.9% 50.0% 8
50–60% 55.6% 66.7% 9
60–70% 66.0% 100.0% 4
70–80% 78.1% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
19.03.25 Wari Club vs Farashganj SC 0-1 60% 68% -12.3 27% 30% -10.9 13% 13% 3.4
20.03.25 Little Friends Club vs MSPCC City Club 1-1 29% 29% -0.3 27% 29% -6.9 43% 54% -19.8
20.03.25 PWD SC vs Dhaka Rangers FC 3-0 44% 49% -10.8 28% 30% -8.3 29% 33% -13.9
23.03.25 Arambagh KS vs Wari Club 1-0 54% 69% -22.3 25% 25% -0.5 21% 17% 27.1
24.03.25 Farashganj SC vs PWD SC 0-1 29% 32% -11.5 29% 32% -10.3 43% 49% -12.8
26.03.25 Wari Club vs BRTC Sports Club 2-2 36% 43% -18.1 28% 30% -8.0 36% 38% -5.1
27.03.25 Farashganj SC vs Arambagh KS 1-3 19% 17% 13.1 23% 23% 2.0 58% 72% -20.0
27.03.25 PWD SC vs Little Friends Club 6-1 56% 66% -14.2 25% 26% -5.6 19% 20% -6.3
27.03.25 Uttar Baridhara vs Dhaka Rangers FC 2-2 28% 33% -15.6 28% 30% -8.9 44% 49% -9.3
07.04.25 MSPCC City Club vs Wari Club 3-1 53% 60% -11.4 28% 31% -10.4 19% 21% -8.5
10.04.25 Arambagh KS vs BRTC Sports Club 3-1 54% 65% -17.2 27% 29% -7.4 19% 17% 7.1
10.04.25 Farashganj SC vs MSPCC City Club 1-3 24% 23% 6.8 28% 31% -8.0 47% 59% -19.4
13.04.25 Little Friends Club vs Wari Club 0-0 41% 47% -11.7 28% 31% -8.3 31% 35% -12.4
14.04.25 BRTC Sports Club vs PWD SC 0-2 13% 10% 25.7 18% 15% 17.8 69% 85% -18.2
14.04.25 Dhaka Rangers FC vs Farashganj SC 2-1 70% 80% -12.6 20% 21% -3.5 10% 10% 2.9
14.04.25 MSPCC City Club vs Arambagh KS 0-0 36% 41% -11.5 28% 30% -7.3 36% 41% -12.3
23.04.25 PWD SC vs BFF Elite Football Academy Team 2-1 64% 72% -11.5 23% 25% -8.0 13% 14% -6.8
24.04.25 MSPCC City Club vs BRTC Sports Club 2-0 55% 61% -9.6 26% 29% -9.7 19% 23% -14.7
27.04.25 Farashganj SC vs Uttar Baridhara 3-2 36% 39% -7.1 30% 33% -10.6 34% 40% -15.6
27.04.25 MSPCC City Club vs PWD SC 1-2 31% 34% -11.4 30% 33% -10.5 40% 44% -10.9
28.04.25 Arambagh KS vs Little Friends Club 0-0 59% 68% -13.5 25% 27% -6.4 16% 17% -2.9
28.04.25 BRTC Sports Club vs Dhaka Rangers FC 1-1 38% 47% -17.5 29% 31% -8.7 33% 35% -5.0
01.05.25 Dhaka Rangers FC vs MSPCC City Club 2-3 31% 34% -9.6 28% 30% -8.0 41% 49% -15.0
01.05.25 Uttar Baridhara vs Arambagh KS 0-0 25% 29% -14.1 27% 29% -8.1 48% 53% -9.4
04.05.25 Farashganj SC vs Wari Club 0-0 37% 43% -14.8 30% 34% -10.8 33% 35% -6.7
05.05.25 Dhaka Rangers FC vs PWD SC 0-5 17% 18% -4.1 22% 22% 0.9 61% 71% -15.1
08.05.25 PWD SC vs Farashganj SC 1-0 78% 86% -9.4 15% 15% -2.1 7% 7% -7.9
11.05.25 Arambagh KS vs Farashganj SC 0-2 51% 56% -8.7 28% 31% -11.8 21% 25% -15.5
12.05.25 Dhaka Rangers FC vs Uttar Baridhara 1-0 40% 42% -5.1 30% 33% -11.0 31% 37% -16.9
14.05.25 Wari Club vs MSPCC City Club 1-0 36% 43% -15.0 28% 31% -7.8 35% 38% -7.8

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Wari Club 1608.70
2 Nofel SC 1578.00
3 BFF Elite Football Academy Team 1533.48
4 Khelaghar Samaj Kalyan Samiti 1494.95
5 Gopalganj SC 1429.73
6 Agrani Bank SC 1416.94
7 BRTC Sports Club 1408.47
8 Little Friends Club 1383.04
9 Dhaka Rangers FC 1361.30
10 Uttara FC 1337.96
11 Uttar Baridhara 1333.54
12 Farashganj SC 1304.22
13 Shuktara Jubo Sangsad 1258.00
14 Kawran Bazar Progoti 1252.63
15 Dhaka City FC 1092.55
16 Abahani Chittagong 1059.34

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 BFF Elite Football Academy Team 1472.14
2 Nofel SC 1470.43
3 Gopalganj SC 1464.95
4 Dhaka City FC 1453.20
5 Little Friends Club 1449.47
6 Khelaghar Samaj Kalyan Samiti 1441.14
7 Farashganj SC 1436.63
8 Dhaka Rangers FC 1358.30
9 Uttar Baridhara 1340.84
10 Agrani Bank SC 1331.53
11 BRTC Sports Club 1329.23
12 Kawran Bazar Progoti 1289.24
13 Wari Club 1266.98
14 Uttara FC 1239.97
15 Abahani Chittagong 1230.94
16 Shuktara Jubo Sangsad 1184.89