ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 242
Avg Goals 3.07
Avg Home 1.63
Avg Away 1.44
Home Win % 44.6%
Draw % 19.4%
Away Win % 36.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 242
Avg Brier Score 0.5543
Pick Accuracy 57.0%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5563
Market Brier 0.5547
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 29
Value Bet Hit Rate 6.9%
ROI (flat stake) 89.7%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 28 of 242 matches had at least one · staked 29.00, profit 26.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 14 14.3% 14.00 41.00 292.9%
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 14 0.0% 14.00 -14.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.0% 10.5% 19
10–20% 16.0% 12.9% 116
20–30% 24.4% 22.7% 282
30–40% 35.2% 35.1% 94
40–50% 44.5% 49.4% 77
50–60% 54.4% 52.2% 67
60–70% 65.3% 79.5% 44
70–80% 74.6% 73.9% 23
80–90% 83.6% 75.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
26.08.23 FK Lida vs Volna Pinsk 1-1 34% 37% -8.5 27% 31% -14.3 39% 43% -9.6
03.09.23 FC Vitebsk vs FK Lida 0-0 74% 84% -11.9 16% 17% -6.4 10% 9% 11.4
10.09.23 Dnepr Mogilyov vs Niva Dolbizno 2-1 66% 79% -15.8 19% 19% -2.2 15% 13% 17.1
10.09.23 Lokomotiv Gomel vs Volna Pinsk 1-0 58% 68% -14.6 21% 23% -7.3 20% 20% 2.4
10.09.23 ML Vitebsk vs FC Osipovichi 2-1 84% 96% -12.6 10% 8% 20.6 6% 4% 53.1
15.10.23 FK Orsha vs FC Osipovichi 3-0 67% 76% -12.6 19% 20% -6.5 15% 14% 2.2
15.10.23 Niva Dolbizno vs Slonim-2017 1-0 47% 51% -9.2 25% 29% -13.9 29% 33% -13.4
15.10.23 Volna Pinsk vs FC Molodechno 2-2 39% 41% -5.6 25% 29% -13.6 36% 43% -15.2
21.10.23 ML Vitebsk vs Niva Dolbizno 6-3 64% 74% -13.9 19% 20% -4.5 17% 17% 2.7
22.10.23 Lokomotiv Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1-3 23% 23% 1.0 23% 26% -10.2 54% 63% -15.2
29.10.23 BumProm Gomel vs FK Orsha 2-2 41% 43% -2.6 25% 29% -14.5 33% 41% -18.2
29.10.23 Volna Pinsk vs FC Osipovichi 2-1 69% 80% -14.0 19% 20% -5.8 12% 10% 20.2
03.11.23 FK Ostrovets vs Dnepr Mogilyov 0-0 15% 13% 19.7 19% 20% -3.9 65% 78% -16.4
04.11.23 FK Orsha vs Volna Pinsk 0-1 36% 39% -7.1 27% 31% -14.8 37% 42% -12.5
04.11.23 ML Vitebsk vs FK Lida 1-0 65% 76% -15.2 19% 20% -5.0 16% 15% 5.8
11.11.23 FC Vitebsk vs FK Orsha 3-2 77% 86% -10.7 15% 16% -7.0 8% 7% 9.9
12.11.23 FK Lida vs FK Ostrovets 4-0 40% 43% -5.7 27% 31% -14.9 33% 38% -13.5
12.11.23 Zhodino Yuzhnoe vs FC Osipovichi 2-0 69% 80% -13.5 18% 20% -7.9 12% 11% 8.5
19.11.23 FC Molodechno vs FK Lida 2-3 51% 62% -16.8 23% 25% -9.0 26% 26% 0.9
19.11.23 FK Orsha vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe 2-5 32% 37% -12.6 24% 28% -12.8 43% 49% -11.0
19.11.23 Slonim-2017 vs FK Baranovichi 0-3 27% 29% -8.3 27% 32% -16.1 46% 51% -9.0
04.05.24 Slonim-2017 vs ML Vitebsk 1-4 12% 12% 4.6 19% 22% -11.5 68% 78% -11.7
08.06.24 ML Vitebsk vs Volna Pinsk 2-0 46% 50% -7.7 25% 29% -13.6 29% 34% -13.9
09.06.24 FK Ostrovets vs BumProm Gomel 0-0 45% 50% -9.4 26% 31% -15.2 28% 31% -9.6
16.06.24 Niva Dolbizno vs ML Vitebsk 3-1 33% 36% -9.8 28% 33% -16.1 39% 43% -7.8
29.06.24 Niva Dolbizno vs FC Molodechno 0-0 35% 38% -6.2 26% 30% -13.9 39% 44% -13.3
31.07.24 BumProm Gomel vs Slonim-2017 1-0 52% 58% -10.8 24% 27% -12.2 25% 27% -8.7
31.07.24 Torpedo Zhodino II vs FK Lida 0-1 28% 26% 7.0 24% 27% -10.6 48% 60% -19.3
01.08.24 Belshina Bobruisk vs FK Orsha 5-0 60% 67% -10.4 21% 24% -12.3 19% 21% -9.6
01.08.24 ML Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov II 1-0 43% 49% -11.7 25% 29% -12.6 32% 35% -9.0
01.08.24 Niva Dolbizno vs Lokomotiv Gomel 2-0 50% 60% -16.2 24% 28% -11.9 25% 24% 2.8
01.08.24 Volna Pinsk vs Dinamo Minsk II 1-2 44% 53% -16.9 25% 29% -13.4 30% 30% 0.1
04.08.24 Energetik BGU Minsk vs FK Ostrovets 0-1 31% 35% -10.9 24% 27% -11.3 45% 51% -11.7
05.08.24 Belshina Bobruisk vs Slonim-2017 4-0 76% 85% -10.9 15% 17% -8.4 9% 9% 1.5
05.08.24 FK Baranovichi vs BATE Borisov II 0-1 30% 34% -12.5 23% 26% -11.2 47% 52% -9.3
05.08.24 FK Orsha vs Torpedo Zhodino II 0-2 56% 60% -7.0 24% 29% -16.8 20% 22% -12.2
05.08.24 ML Vitebsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel 3-0 55% 62% -11.8 22% 24% -10.0 23% 25% -8.4
05.08.24 Volna Pinsk vs FK Lida 2-1 45% 52% -12.6 24% 27% -11.1 31% 33% -8.0
10.08.24 BumProm Gomel vs Energetik BGU Minsk 4-1 63% 76% -17.4 20% 21% -4.0 17% 15% 17.4
10.08.24 Dinamo Minsk II vs ML Vitebsk 1-0 22% 20% 9.7 26% 31% -14.5 52% 61% -15.6
10.08.24 FK Orsha vs Volna Pinsk 1-1 31% 33% -7.5 25% 29% -13.5 44% 50% -12.5
10.08.24 Slonim-2017 vs Torpedo Zhodino II 0-1 41% 43% -4.8 25% 29% -13.4 34% 41% -17.0
16.08.24 FK Baranovichi vs Dinamo Minsk II 0-3 38% 42% -9.0 26% 31% -14.2 36% 40% -10.8
24.08.24 BumProm Gomel vs Torpedo Zhodino II 1-0 52% 55% -5.3 25% 30% -16.8 23% 27% -14.9
24.08.24 FK Lida vs FK Baranovichi 3-0 43% 49% -12.7 27% 31% -14.5 31% 32% -4.8
24.08.24 Slonim-2017 vs Niva Dolbizno 0-3 12% 11% 8.8 20% 22% -11.8 69% 78% -11.5
31.08.24 ML Vitebsk vs Slonim-2017 5-0 72% 78% -7.5 19% 23% -18.2 10% 11% -9.9
01.09.24 Volna Pinsk vs BumProm Gomel 3-0 50% 57% -12.5 25% 29% -12.9 25% 26% -4.5
06.09.24 Dinamo Minsk II vs Shakhtior Soligorsk II 0-1 67% 74% -10.1 19% 21% -11.0 15% 16% -8.5
06.09.24 Lokomotiv Gomel vs BATE Borisov II 1-2 36% 43% -15.2 25% 29% -13.7 39% 41% -5.5
07.09.24 Belshina Bobruisk vs Volna Pinsk 3-1 49% 56% -12.8 26% 31% -14.9 25% 26% -3.2
07.09.24 FK Lida vs FK Ostrovets 0-1 39% 43% -10.7 27% 32% -15.5 34% 37% -8.5
08.09.24 BumProm Gomel vs Niva Dolbizno 0-0 24% 26% -7.4 24% 28% -13.3 52% 58% -11.8
08.09.24 FK Orsha vs FC Molodechno 0-1 18% 19% -6.1 21% 24% -11.7 61% 68% -10.8
11.09.24 BATE Borisov II vs Dinamo Minsk II 0-5 38% 43% -11.8 26% 30% -13.8 36% 38% -7.7
15.09.24 FK Ostrovets vs FK Orsha 0-5 45% 49% -6.8 27% 32% -16.3 28% 31% -12.0
15.09.24 ML Vitebsk vs BumProm Gomel 0-0 59% 65% -9.5 24% 29% -17.0 16% 17% -5.3
20.09.24 FK Lida vs BATE Borisov II 2-0 37% 43% -14.0 24% 28% -12.2 39% 43% -8.3
20.09.24 FK Orsha vs Shakhtior Soligorsk II 3-2 59% 66% -10.0 21% 24% -11.0 20% 22% -9.8
20.09.24 Volna Pinsk vs Energetik BGU Minsk 3-2 57% 66% -14.7 22% 24% -8.4 22% 22% -0.3
25.09.24 FK Lida vs Belshina Bobruisk 1-5 17% 16% 9.0 20% 22% -6.6 62% 74% -15.3
28.09.24 BATE Borisov II vs FK Orsha 4-0 43% 47% -8.2 26% 30% -14.4 31% 36% -12.2
29.09.24 Niva Dolbizno vs Volna Pinsk 1-2 44% 48% -8.4 27% 32% -15.6 29% 32% -9.6
05.10.24 FK Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 50% 58% -13.8 25% 29% -13.3 24% 24% 0.0
11.10.24 Dinamo Minsk II vs FK Orsha 2-2 51% 58% -12.3 24% 28% -12.4 24% 26% -4.9
12.10.24 Energetik BGU Minsk vs FK Lida 0-0 28% 29% -3.6 27% 32% -15.7 45% 52% -12.6
12.10.24 FK Baranovichi vs Volna Pinsk 3-2 23% 22% 5.1 25% 29% -13.7 52% 61% -15.6
12.10.24 FK Ostrovets vs Belshina Bobruisk 2-2 7% 2% 175.5 14% 13% 7.1 79% 93% -14.7
12.10.24 Lokomotiv Gomel vs Slonim-2017 1-0 47% 50% -6.0 26% 30% -15.6 27% 32% -14.9
13.10.24 ML Vitebsk vs Niva Dolbizno 0-1 55% 62% -11.9 22% 25% -10.6 23% 24% -7.3
13.10.24 Shakhtior Soligorsk II vs BumProm Gomel 2-1 29% 32% -9.1 25% 29% -13.1 46% 52% -11.5
20.10.24 Volna Pinsk vs FC Molodechno 2-1 28% 29% -6.2 28% 33% -16.7 45% 50% -10.7
26.10.24 FC Molodechno vs Niva Dolbizno 1-0 47% 53% -11.4 26% 31% -15.2 26% 28% -5.9
26.10.24 FK Lida vs Slonim-2017 4-0 56% 60% -5.9 24% 29% -17.4 20% 23% -14.6
26.10.24 Lokomotiv Gomel vs BumProm Gomel 2-0 32% 34% -6.0 26% 31% -14.5 41% 48% -13.3
27.10.24 Energetik BGU Minsk vs FK Orsha 1-1 28% 34% -15.9 27% 32% -17.3 45% 47% -3.6
27.10.24 FK Ostrovets vs Volna Pinsk 1-0 26% 26% 2.6 25% 29% -12.4 49% 58% -15.9
01.11.24 BumProm Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk II 3-1 37% 43% -15.4 25% 29% -13.0 38% 41% -6.0
01.11.24 Slonim-2017 vs FK Orsha 2-0 27% 29% -9.7 25% 29% -14.2 48% 53% -9.4
02.11.24 Belshina Bobruisk vs Lokomotiv Gomel 2-1 65% 68% -4.6 21% 26% -20.3 14% 17% -18.9
02.11.24 Niva Dolbizno vs FK Ostrovets 1-0 83% 93% -10.4 13% 13% -4.6 4% 2% 77.9
05.11.24 Slonim-2017 vs Dinamo Minsk II 1-0 19% 20% -5.9 24% 28% -14.8 58% 64% -9.7
08.11.24 Dinamo Minsk II vs Belshina Bobruisk 2-2 24% 24% 0.6 23% 25% -9.4 53% 63% -15.6
10.11.24 BATE Borisov II vs Volna Pinsk 1-3 28% 28% 1.9 28% 33% -15.6 44% 51% -13.7
10.11.24 Energetik BGU Minsk vs Slonim-2017 6-0 42% 47% -9.9 27% 32% -15.3 31% 33% -7.7
10.11.24 FK Ostrovets vs ML Vitebsk 1-2 12% 13% -9.4 18% 22% -15.7 70% 76% -8.3
23.11.24 BATE Borisov II vs ML Vitebsk 0-6 14% 12% 10.6 18% 19% -4.8 68% 79% -13.6
23.11.24 Dinamo Minsk II vs Volna Pinsk 4-0 30% 31% -3.5 27% 32% -15.3 43% 49% -12.8
23.11.24 FK Lida vs Torpedo Zhodino II 4-0 64% 71% -9.9 21% 25% -14.4 14% 15% -4.1
23.11.24 FK Orsha vs Belshina Bobruisk 1-3 18% 17% 4.0 24% 27% -13.0 58% 67% -13.0
23.11.24 FK Ostrovets vs FC Molodechno 0-2 14% 15% -11.5 21% 25% -17.5 66% 71% -7.3
23.11.24 Lokomotiv Gomel vs Niva Dolbizno 4-0 3% 2% 32.4 11% 13% -14.0 86% 93% -7.5
23.11.24 Slonim-2017 vs BumProm Gomel 0-0 22% 23% -2.0 25% 29% -13.6 53% 61% -12.5
28.03.25 Volna Pinsk vs FK Lida 3-2 50% 55% -8.7 25% 29% -15.0 25% 29% -12.0
19.04.25 Belshina Bobruisk vs Volna Pinsk 2-2 40% 40% -0.7 25% 29% -13.9 36% 44% -19.7
19.04.25 FK Orsha vs FK Lida 1-3 32% 35% -9.2 24% 27% -11.6 44% 50% -12.1
19.04.25 Lokomotiv Gomel vs FC Minsk II 1-0 53% 63% -16.3 22% 24% -7.2 25% 24% 2.1
25.04.25 Volna Pinsk vs Dinamo Minsk II 1-1 54% 64% -15.2 22% 24% -8.6 24% 24% -0.6
27.04.25 FC Osipovichi vs FK Orsha 4-2 33% 38% -14.8 24% 27% -11.2 44% 47% -6.4
02.05.25 Dinamo Minsk II vs FK Ostrovets 0-1 37% 40% -6.5 24% 27% -11.1 39% 45% -15.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 242 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FK Slutsk 1561.66
2 FC Molodechno 1512.97
3 FK Lida 1505.63
4 Niva Dolbizno 1492.93
5 Shakhtior Soligorsk 1484.38
6 BumProm Gomel 1462.77
7 Lokomotiv Gomel 1436.03
8 FK Ostrovets 1420.53
9 Slonim-2017 1415.15
10 Volna Pinsk 1399.22
11 FC Smorgon 1393.25
12 Dinamo Minsk II 1376.47
13 Uni X Labs 1361.65
14 FK Orsha 1324.63
15 FC Gomel II 1295.43
16 FC Minsk II 1289.02
17 BATE Borisov II 1161.84
18 FC Osipovichi 1127.95

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FK Slutsk 1591.54
2 Niva Dolbizno 1574.98
3 FK Lida 1422.51
4 BumProm Gomel 1412.49
5 Lokomotiv Gomel 1398.66
6 FC Molodechno 1391.27
7 FK Ostrovets 1386.54
8 Shakhtior Soligorsk 1371.08
9 FC Minsk II 1362.12
10 Dinamo Minsk II 1354.96
11 FC Smorgon 1349.22
12 Volna Pinsk 1330.37
13 Uni X Labs 1248.82
14 BATE Borisov II 1235.13
15 FC Gomel II 1231.02
16 FK Orsha 1180.45
17 FC Osipovichi 1134.61
18 Slonim-2017 978.67