ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 314
Avg Goals 3.16
Avg Home 1.73
Avg Away 1.43
Home Win % 45.5%
Draw % 16.9%
Away Win % 37.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 314
Avg Brier Score 0.4575
Pick Accuracy 65.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.4605
Market Brier 0.4590
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 314 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.1% 4.1% 123
10–20% 15.1% 11.1% 199
20–30% 23.9% 24.3% 268
30–40% 35.1% 40.4% 52
40–50% 45.4% 42.6% 61
50–60% 55.1% 54.7% 75
60–70% 65.1% 73.1% 52
70–80% 75.0% 76.0% 50
80–90% 84.4% 91.1% 45
90–100% 92.8% 100.0% 17
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
25.08.23 KAA Gent (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 0-0 6% 8% -21.1 10% 12% -18.2 84% 89% -6.3
25.08.23 SC Charleroi (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 1-2 4% 5% -24.2 9% 12% -24.2 87% 92% -4.8
26.08.23 Club Brügge (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 0-1 22% 24% -6.3 23% 27% -14.4 55% 62% -11.1
26.08.23 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs FC White Star Woluwe (W) 4-1 84% 86% -2.0 10% 14% -31.8 6% 9% -33.1
26.08.23 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 0-3 40% 44% -10.9 26% 31% -16.5 35% 38% -8.0
01.09.23 KRC Genk (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 2-4 45% 49% -7.7 24% 29% -15.4 31% 35% -12.2
02.09.23 FC White Star Woluwe (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 0-2 27% 29% -4.6 23% 27% -13.4 49% 56% -12.7
02.09.23 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) 4-1 89% 93% -4.2 8% 11% -28.4 4% 5% -29.3
02.09.23 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 2-5 15% 19% -21.6 15% 17% -13.8 70% 75% -6.8
03.09.23 Standard Liege (W) vs SC Charleroi (W) 1-1 88% 91% -3.4 8% 12% -31.9 4% 6% -32.7
08.09.23 FC White Star Woluwe (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 0-4 13% 15% -10.2 18% 22% -15.1 68% 75% -8.6
09.09.23 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 4-1 81% 86% -6.5 12% 14% -18.3 8% 10% -18.9
09.09.23 SC Charleroi (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 0-0 15% 19% -21.8 17% 21% -18.0 68% 71% -5.0
10.09.23 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 1-3 11% 11% -5.2 16% 18% -11.7 73% 81% -9.3
13.09.23 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 1-2 11% 14% -22.6 15% 19% -19.8 74% 78% -5.0
15.09.23 KRC Genk (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 1-1 26% 29% -9.7 23% 27% -13.8 51% 56% -9.3
16.09.23 Club Brügge (W) vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) 5-0 61% 67% -8.5 20% 23% -14.2 19% 22% -11.9
16.09.23 Standard Liege (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 2-1 29% 31% -6.2 24% 29% -14.6 47% 53% -11.2
17.09.23 KAA Gent (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 0-2 40% 48% -15.7 26% 30% -15.6 34% 34% 1.1
30.09.23 KAA Gent (W) vs SC Charleroi (W) 3-1 58% 65% -11.5 22% 25% -13.9 21% 22% -5.1
30.09.23 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 1-1 78% 83% -6.6 14% 17% -17.1 8% 10% -12.6
30.09.23 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs FC White Star Woluwe (W) 3-1 55% 59% -7.2 22% 27% -15.9 23% 26% -12.6
30.09.23 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 0-3 4% 4% 3.5 8% 8% -0.7 88% 96% -8.1
01.10.23 Standard Liege (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 2-1 51% 53% -5.5 24% 29% -17.7 25% 29% -14.1
06.10.23 FC White Star Woluwe (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 0-4 6% 7% -17.6 10% 12% -16.0 83% 89% -6.6
06.10.23 SC Charleroi (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 0-0 20% 23% -14.7 20% 24% -14.7 60% 65% -8.2
07.10.23 Club Brügge (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 0-2 56% 61% -7.6 22% 26% -16.6 22% 26% -14.0
07.10.23 KRC Genk (W) vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) 4-1 84% 90% -6.6 10% 12% -18.1 6% 7% -15.7
07.10.23 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 3-2 59% 62% -4.5 21% 26% -18.0 20% 24% -17.8
20.10.23 KAA Gent (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 1-0 18% 21% -13.0 21% 24% -15.2 61% 66% -7.9
21.10.23 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs SC Charleroi (W) 8-1 94% 99% -4.6 4% 6% -30.2 2% 2% -30.5
21.10.23 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 4-1 56% 62% -10.5 22% 25% -13.7 23% 25% -8.6
21.10.23 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 0-1 31% 33% -7.6 25% 29% -15.8 44% 51% -12.1
03.11.23 FC White Star Woluwe (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 0-2 14% 15% -5.5 18% 21% -12.3 68% 76% -10.6
03.11.23 KRC Genk (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 0-0 57% 58% -2.3 22% 27% -19.4 21% 26% -20.0
04.11.23 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 1-3 41% 45% -10.7 24% 29% -14.6 35% 38% -8.9
04.11.23 Standard Liege (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 1-0 66% 71% -6.5 19% 23% -18.1 15% 17% -15.2
17.11.23 KAA Gent (W) vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) 6-2 68% 71% -5.4 18% 23% -19.7 14% 17% -18.6
17.11.23 SC Charleroi (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 0-5 4% 5% -20.2 8% 10% -19.4 88% 93% -5.7
18.11.23 Club Brügge (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 5-3 11% 11% -4.1 17% 20% -14.2 72% 80% -9.8
18.11.23 Standard Liege (W) vs FC White Star Woluwe (W) 3-0 86% 92% -6.0 9% 11% -20.4 5% 6% -20.8
18.11.23 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 0-2 25% 27% -9.1 25% 29% -16.0 51% 55% -7.7
25.11.23 KRC Genk (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 0-1 36% 41% -11.6 25% 30% -16.1 38% 42% -7.6
25.11.23 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 3-0 85% 90% -5.5 10% 12% -22.6 5% 7% -22.4
25.11.23 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 2-0 79% 84% -6.3 13% 17% -20.8 8% 10% -19.5
25.11.23 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 0-1 17% 19% -11.0 19% 21% -11.7 64% 71% -9.1
08.12.23 FC White Star Woluwe (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 0-4 2% 2% -18.4 5% 6% -16.9 93% 99% -5.8
08.12.23 KRC Genk (W) vs SC Charleroi (W) 3-0 76% 79% -4.5 15% 20% -24.1 9% 12% -23.1
09.12.23 Club Brügge (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 2-2 15% 17% -13.3 19% 22% -14.6 66% 72% -7.8
09.12.23 Standard Liege (W) vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) 8-1 84% 88% -5.2 11% 13% -20.9 6% 7% -19.4
09.12.23 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 3-2 31% 32% -4.5 26% 31% -16.5 43% 49% -11.7
15.12.23 KAA Gent (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 1-4 13% 15% -12.9 17% 20% -14.3 70% 76% -7.7
15.12.23 SC Charleroi (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 0-2 5% 6% -8.0 10% 11% -11.2 85% 92% -7.3
16.12.23 Club Brügge (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 3-0 56% 61% -8.2 22% 26% -16.6 22% 25% -13.2
16.12.23 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs FC White Star Woluwe (W) 4-0 94% 98% -4.2 4% 6% -28.1 2% 2% -28.2
17.12.23 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 1-2 14% 16% -14.5 17% 19% -13.2 70% 76% -7.9
12.01.24 KAA Gent (W) vs FC White Star Woluwe (W) 3-0 79% 83% -5.7 13% 17% -20.3 8% 10% -18.9
12.01.24 KRC Genk (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 3-4 16% 18% -12.0 20% 24% -16.4 64% 69% -8.4
13.01.24 Standard Liege (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 3-0 62% 67% -6.6 21% 25% -17.8 17% 20% -14.2
13.01.24 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs SC Charleroi (W) 1-1 59% 62% -4.6 21% 26% -19.1 19% 24% -18.4
26.01.24 KRC Genk (W) vs FC White Star Woluwe (W) 8-0 84% 89% -5.8 10% 12% -21.0 6% 8% -22.1
27.01.24 Club Brügge (W) vs SC Charleroi (W) 4-1 73% 77% -4.7 15% 19% -20.5 12% 15% -22.1
27.01.24 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 0-1 51% 58% -12.3 22% 25% -11.8 27% 29% -5.6
27.01.24 Standard Liege (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 2-0 64% 70% -8.6 18% 21% -13.4 17% 20% -13.0
27.01.24 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) 3-0 65% 72% -9.7 18% 21% -12.6 17% 18% -8.7
02.02.24 FC White Star Woluwe (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 0-2 1% 2% -11.6 5% 5% -16.4 94% 99% -5.0
03.02.24 KAA Gent (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 0-1 36% 39% -9.3 26% 31% -16.9 38% 43% -9.7
03.02.24 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 4-0 78% 83% -6.4 14% 17% -18.9 9% 10% -17.0
03.02.24 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 1-0 83% 88% -6.0 11% 14% -20.3 6% 7% -18.0
16.02.24 KRC Genk (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 2-0 60% 65% -8.2 21% 24% -15.1 19% 22% -11.3
16.02.24 SC Charleroi (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 1-3 16% 18% -12.3 20% 23% -15.2 64% 70% -8.4
17.02.24 Club Brügge (W) vs FC White Star Woluwe (W) 4-1 93% 98% -4.8 5% 6% -24.0 2% 2% -22.9
17.02.24 Standard Liege (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 3-0 29% 31% -5.3 23% 27% -13.4 47% 55% -13.2
17.02.24 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 0-5 3% 4% -22.3 6% 8% -20.1 91% 96% -5.8
01.03.24 FC White Star Woluwe (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 1-0 10% 11% -13.1 17% 20% -17.4 74% 79% -7.3
02.03.24 Club Brügge (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 2-2 42% 47% -10.6 25% 30% -16.1 33% 36% -7.7
02.03.24 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 3-2 48% 50% -3.8 25% 30% -18.3 27% 32% -15.9
02.03.24 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 0-2 16% 19% -16.1 19% 22% -15.7 65% 70% -7.3
08.03.24 KAA Gent (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 1-0 38% 43% -13.1 24% 29% -14.4 38% 40% -5.6
09.03.24 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 1-0 72% 76% -6.2 16% 20% -17.9 12% 14% -16.3
09.03.24 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs SC Charleroi (W) 6-0 93% 98% -4.7 5% 6% -29.2 2% 3% -29.8
09.03.24 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 0-1 11% 12% -6.9 19% 22% -16.5 70% 77% -8.8
23.03.24 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 8-0 80% 85% -6.8 12% 15% -18.8 8% 10% -17.7
23.03.24 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 5-0 78% 84% -7.4 14% 17% -17.0 8% 10% -12.0
23.03.24 Standard Liege (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 3-0 71% 75% -5.4 18% 23% -21.6 11% 13% -16.3
23.03.24 SV Zulte Waregem (W) vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) 1-1 56% 58% -4.6 23% 28% -19.0 22% 26% -17.6
04.05.24 KAA Gent (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 0-2 46% 55% -15.8 24% 28% -14.3 30% 30% -1.3
04.05.24 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 0-1 37% 40% -6.8 24% 29% -15.0 38% 44% -13.6
04.05.24 Standard Liege (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 4-2 85% 92% -7.2 10% 12% -14.2 5% 5% -4.0
04.05.24 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen (W) vs SV Zulte Waregem (W) 0-2 40% 45% -12.8 26% 31% -16.3 35% 36% -4.8
11.05.24 Club Brügge (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 1-0 50% 59% -14.3 23% 26% -12.9 27% 27% -1.3
11.05.24 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 0-1 45% 50% -10.4 24% 28% -14.6 31% 35% -10.2
11.05.24 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 5-2 87% 93% -5.8 9% 11% -19.4 4% 5% -15.6
17.05.24 KAA Gent (W) vs Standard Liege (W) 0-2 12% 15% -21.8 16% 19% -18.5 72% 77% -5.8
17.05.24 KRC Genk (W) vs Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 2-5 11% 13% -16.2 14% 17% -13.4 74% 81% -7.7
18.05.24 Club Brügge (W) vs RSC Anderlecht (W) 0-2 11% 14% -18.9 14% 17% -14.9 75% 80% -6.7
25.05.24 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) vs KAA Gent (W) 7-0 84% 89% -5.8 10% 12% -18.6 6% 8% -21.1
25.05.24 RSC Anderlecht (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 4-2 89% 95% -6.6 7% 8% -15.6 4% 5% -16.6
25.05.24 Standard Liege (W) vs Club Brügge (W) 5-1 74% 79% -6.2 16% 20% -20.8 10% 12% -17.3
30.08.24 KAA Gent (W) vs KRC Genk (W) 2-1 50% 59% -15.1 24% 29% -14.8 26% 25% 2.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 314 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

8 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 RSC Anderlecht (W) 1951.91
2 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 1782.27
3 Club Brügge (W) 1709.21
4 Standard Liege (W) 1670.66
5 KRC Genk (W) 1601.96
6 RAAL La Louviere (W) 1569.27
7 SV Zulte Waregem (W) 1524.45
8 KAA Gent (W) 1460.97

Away Ratings

8 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 RSC Anderlecht (W) 1860.97
2 Oud Heverlee Leuven (W) 1770.01
3 Club Brügge (W) 1722.01
4 RAAL La Louviere (W) 1628.04
5 Standard Liege (W) 1486.46
6 SV Zulte Waregem (W) 1473.50
7 KRC Genk (W) 1461.30
8 KAA Gent (W) 1451.26