ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 694
Avg Goals 2.83
Avg Home 1.46
Avg Away 1.37
Home Win % 40.1%
Draw % 23.2%
Away Win % 36.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 694
Avg Brier Score 0.5899
Pick Accuracy 53.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5907
Market Brier 0.5900
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 694 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.8% 0.0% 1
10–20% 17.0% 13.3% 166
20–30% 25.0% 22.5% 984
30–40% 34.9% 33.6% 339
40–50% 44.6% 51.0% 304
50–60% 54.5% 59.6% 198
60–70% 63.9% 69.1% 81
70–80% 71.7% 88.9% 9
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
11.08.23 RFC Seresien vs Standard Liege II 3-0 54% 60% -10.5 24% 28% -13.3 22% 24% -9.7
11.08.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1-3 28% 33% -14.7 26% 30% -14.6 46% 49% -6.3
12.08.23 Club Brugge II vs Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 33% 37% -11.6 26% 29% -12.4 41% 45% -8.7
12.08.23 Patro Eisden vs KMSK Deinze 3-1 44% 49% -10.7 26% 30% -13.8 30% 34% -10.5
12.08.23 RFC Liege vs FCV Dender EH 0-1 49% 54% -9.2 25% 29% -12.9 26% 29% -11.4
13.08.23 KRC Genk II vs SK Beveren 1-0 17% 20% -13.7 21% 24% -13.1 62% 68% -8.8
13.08.23 SV Zulte-Waregem vs Royal Francs Borains 1-3 63% 68% -7.7 20% 24% -15.0 17% 20% -17.4
18.08.23 FCV Dender EH vs RSC Anderlecht II 2-3 48% 54% -11.6 26% 29% -12.9 27% 29% -7.0
18.08.23 Lommel SK vs Club Brugge II 1-0 54% 61% -11.6 24% 27% -11.7 23% 25% -8.5
19.08.23 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs SV Zulte-Waregem 1-2 36% 43% -16.3 26% 30% -13.9 38% 40% -4.3
19.08.23 SK Beveren vs RFC Seresien 1-1 55% 60% -8.7 23% 27% -13.6 22% 25% -13.4
20.08.23 Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden 2-1 36% 41% -12.8 26% 29% -12.6 39% 42% -8.3
20.08.23 Royal Francs Borains vs KRC Genk II 2-5 46% 53% -12.2 25% 29% -12.1 29% 31% -8.3
20.08.23 Standard Liege II vs RFC Liege 2-1 25% 30% -17.0 24% 28% -14.1 51% 54% -5.6
25.08.23 KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II 0-3 48% 56% -15.7 24% 26% -9.4 29% 29% -3.0
25.08.23 RFC Seresien vs SV Zulte-Waregem 0-5 27% 30% -12.3 26% 30% -14.6 48% 52% -8.2
26.08.23 Patro Eisden vs SK Beveren 2-1 34% 40% -16.1 27% 31% -14.5 40% 41% -2.7
27.08.23 FCV Dender EH vs Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 44% 50% -11.9 26% 29% -12.9 30% 33% -9.0
27.08.23 RFC Liege vs KV Oostende 2-0 38% 44% -14.9 26% 30% -13.3 36% 38% -4.8
27.08.23 Royal Francs Borains vs RSC Anderlecht II 1-0 37% 40% -8.2 26% 29% -12.2 37% 43% -12.0
01.09.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs KRC Genk II 1-1 38% 43% -11.6 26% 29% -12.2 36% 39% -8.9
02.09.23 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Royal Francs Borains 2-1 56% 64% -11.6 23% 26% -11.6 21% 23% -9.1
02.09.23 KMSK Deinze vs RFC Liege 3-1 45% 54% -16.5 25% 29% -11.4 30% 29% 0.5
02.09.23 KV Oostende vs RFC Seresien 1-1 43% 48% -9.6 26% 29% -12.4 31% 35% -10.5
03.09.23 Club Brugge II vs Patro Eisden 2-2 32% 39% -18.6 26% 30% -14.7 42% 43% -0.8
03.09.23 Lierse Kempenzonen vs Lommel SK 1-2 33% 36% -10.4 25% 29% -11.4 42% 47% -9.4
03.09.23 SK Beveren vs Standard Liege II 2-0 70% 79% -11.2 18% 19% -8.1 13% 13% -5.6
15.09.23 KRC Genk II vs SV Zulte-Waregem 2-4 27% 32% -17.7 23% 27% -13.1 50% 53% -5.1
15.09.23 RFC Liege vs Club Brugge II 3-1 51% 59% -12.8 24% 27% -10.4 25% 26% -5.7
16.09.23 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs SK Beveren 0-0 33% 38% -13.8 26% 29% -13.1 42% 45% -7.8
16.09.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs Patro Eisden 1-3 26% 30% -13.7 26% 31% -15.5 48% 52% -7.7
17.09.23 KMSK Deinze vs RFC Seresien 1-0 54% 65% -16.1 23% 26% -9.4 23% 22% 2.0
17.09.23 Royal Francs Borains vs Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 40% 45% -11.2 26% 29% -12.6 34% 38% -10.1
22.09.23 Patro Eisden vs FCV Dender EH 1-1 44% 52% -14.4 26% 29% -12.5 30% 31% -4.3
23.09.23 Club Brugge II vs Standard Liege II 4-1 50% 57% -13.1 25% 28% -11.3 26% 27% -4.9
23.09.23 KV Oostende vs KRC Genk II 2-2 53% 60% -11.6 24% 27% -11.7 24% 26% -9.5
23.09.23 RFC Seresien vs RSC Anderlecht II 1-1 45% 50% -9.6 25% 29% -13.3 29% 33% -12.1
24.09.23 Lierse Kempenzonen vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1-3 29% 35% -16.0 25% 29% -13.3 46% 49% -6.2
24.09.23 Lommel SK vs Royal Francs Borains 3-0 54% 62% -12.7 24% 26% -10.5 22% 23% -3.9
24.09.23 SK Beveren vs RFC Liege 1-2 49% 54% -9.8 25% 29% -13.4 26% 30% -12.6
29.09.23 KMSK Deinze vs SK Beveren 0-0 39% 45% -14.8 26% 29% -12.6 36% 38% -5.8
29.09.23 Standard Liege II vs Patro Eisden 0-1 17% 19% -12.6 20% 23% -12.1 63% 70% -10.0
30.09.23 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs KV Oostende 1-1 47% 56% -15.0 25% 28% -11.3 28% 29% -4.4
30.09.23 Royal Francs Borains vs RFC Seresien 0-2 40% 47% -14.4 26% 29% -12.3 34% 36% -5.4
30.09.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs Lierse Kempenzonen 3-3 40% 45% -12.7 25% 29% -11.7 35% 38% -8.8
01.10.23 FCV Dender EH vs KRC Genk II 1-3 50% 58% -12.7 24% 27% -10.8 25% 27% -6.0
01.10.23 RFC Liege vs Lommel SK 2-1 35% 40% -11.4 26% 29% -12.2 39% 43% -9.0
01.10.23 SV Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge II 0-1 60% 68% -12.4 21% 23% -8.3 20% 21% -7.1
06.10.23 RFC Seresien vs FCV Dender EH 1-3 29% 33% -11.9 25% 29% -13.4 45% 50% -9.7
07.10.23 Club Brugge II vs Royal Francs Borains 1-0 43% 51% -14.7 25% 29% -11.7 32% 33% -5.0
07.10.23 KRC Genk II vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1-2 29% 35% -17.3 24% 28% -13.2 47% 50% -6.3
07.10.23 Patro Eisden vs RFC Liege 0-2 40% 43% -8.7 27% 31% -14.5 34% 38% -12.7
08.10.23 KV Oostende vs RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 51% 56% -9.3 25% 29% -13.4 24% 27% -11.1
08.10.23 Lierse Kempenzonen vs KMSK Deinze 0-1 25% 31% -17.6 24% 28% -14.2 51% 53% -4.9
08.10.23 SK Beveren vs SV Zulte-Waregem 0-3 41% 45% -10.1 26% 29% -12.7 33% 38% -11.4
20.10.23 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Lommel SK 2-1 38% 43% -12.3 26% 29% -12.2 36% 39% -8.1
20.10.23 KMSK Deinze vs KRC Genk II 3-2 50% 57% -12.0 24% 28% -12.2 25% 28% -8.9
21.10.23 Lierse Kempenzonen vs RFC Seresien 1-0 41% 48% -14.7 26% 29% -12.6 34% 36% -5.7
21.10.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs Standard Liege II 3-0 56% 64% -11.7 23% 26% -11.5 21% 23% -8.8
21.10.23 SV Zulte-Waregem vs RFC Liege 1-0 51% 57% -11.1 24% 27% -11.3 25% 28% -9.2
22.10.23 Club Brugge II vs SK Beveren 0-3 27% 32% -14.9 25% 29% -13.4 48% 51% -6.8
22.10.23 Royal Francs Borains vs Patro Eisden 0-0 29% 34% -14.3 26% 30% -14.7 45% 49% -7.5
27.10.23 KV Oostende vs Patro Eisden 0-0 37% 42% -11.9 28% 32% -14.5 35% 38% -6.6
28.10.23 KRC Genk II vs Lierse Kempenzonen 1-3 43% 49% -11.3 25% 29% -11.9 32% 35% -10.0
28.10.23 RFC Seresien vs Club Brugge II 2-1 40% 47% -13.8 27% 31% -13.5 33% 34% -3.0
28.10.23 SK Beveren vs Royal Francs Borains 3-0 57% 65% -11.3 23% 26% -12.1 20% 21% -6.7
29.10.23 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs FCV Dender EH 0-1 43% 50% -14.1 26% 29% -12.6 31% 33% -6.0
29.10.23 RFC Liege vs RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 55% 63% -12.7 23% 26% -10.5 22% 23% -5.7
03.11.23 KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege 2-3 32% 36% -11.2 25% 29% -12.4 43% 49% -11.3
04.11.23 Lierse Kempenzonen vs SK Beveren 2-2 22% 26% -15.6 23% 27% -14.0 55% 60% -7.8
04.11.23 Royal Francs Borains vs Standard Liege II 2-1 54% 60% -9.5 24% 27% -12.8 23% 26% -12.0
04.11.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs Lommel SK 1-1 27% 31% -14.2 26% 31% -15.1 47% 50% -5.8
05.11.23 Club Brugge II vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 0-2 28% 33% -17.3 25% 29% -14.9 47% 50% -5.2
05.11.23 Patro Eisden vs RFC Seresien 2-1 54% 61% -11.2 25% 29% -13.3 21% 23% -5.8
10.11.23 FCV Dender EH vs Club Brugge II 2-0 53% 61% -12.9 24% 27% -11.5 23% 24% -5.0
10.11.23 Standard Liege II vs KRC Genk II 3-1 25% 28% -11.2 23% 26% -11.4 52% 58% -10.5
11.11.23 KV Oostende vs Royal Francs Borains 1-0 49% 56% -12.6 26% 29% -13.0 25% 26% -4.9
11.11.23 RFC Seresien vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1-2 26% 31% -15.7 25% 29% -14.1 49% 53% -6.7
11.11.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs KMSK Deinze 1-3 28% 33% -16.3 25% 29% -14.6 47% 50% -6.1
12.11.23 Patro Eisden vs SV Zulte-Waregem 0-3 27% 29% -9.3 26% 29% -13.2 48% 53% -10.2
12.11.23 RFC Liege vs Lierse Kempenzonen 2-4 52% 60% -13.8 24% 27% -10.9 24% 26% -5.2
12.11.23 SK Beveren vs Lommel SK 2-2 45% 50% -10.2 26% 30% -13.8 29% 32% -10.1
24.11.23 Lommel SK vs Patro Eisden 1-2 50% 57% -12.8 26% 30% -13.9 24% 25% -3.6
24.11.23 SK Beveren vs FCV Dender EH 3-2 43% 48% -9.2 26% 30% -13.8 31% 35% -12.1
25.11.23 Club Brugge II vs KV Oostende 3-3 31% 37% -15.1 26% 29% -13.2 43% 45% -5.4
25.11.23 Royal Francs Borains vs KMSK Deinze 0-1 24% 27% -9.9 25% 29% -13.9 50% 56% -9.4
25.11.23 SV Zulte-Waregem vs RSC Anderlecht II 2-5 63% 70% -10.4 21% 24% -12.2 16% 18% -9.7
26.11.23 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs RFC Liege 3-0 45% 51% -11.4 25% 29% -11.3 30% 32% -7.3
26.11.23 KRC Genk II vs RFC Seresien 1-1 43% 49% -11.5 26% 29% -12.4 31% 34% -8.3
26.11.23 Lierse Kempenzonen vs Standard Liege II 1-4 55% 62% -12.1 23% 26% -10.1 22% 24% -6.0
01.12.23 Lommel SK vs KRC Genk II 0-1 57% 65% -12.3 22% 25% -10.5 20% 22% -6.4
01.12.23 Patro Eisden vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 0-2 32% 37% -13.1 26% 29% -12.7 42% 45% -7.3
02.12.23 KMSK Deinze vs Club Brugge II 1-3 63% 72% -12.9 20% 22% -8.1 17% 17% -2.7
02.12.23 RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren 0-2 24% 28% -13.7 24% 28% -13.5 52% 56% -7.9
03.12.23 KV Oostende vs Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 49% 56% -12.9 25% 28% -11.4 26% 28% -5.8
03.12.23 RFC Liege vs RFC Seresien 2-1 50% 56% -10.5 24% 28% -11.9 26% 29% -9.6
05.12.23 FCV Dender EH vs Royal Francs Borains 2-0 60% 67% -10.8 22% 25% -11.2 18% 19% -5.8
05.12.23 Standard Liege II vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1-0 20% 24% -16.6 22% 26% -14.4 58% 62% -6.9
08.12.23 KRC Genk II vs Patro Eisden 0-1 33% 38% -11.9 26% 29% -12.8 41% 45% -9.6
08.12.23 RFC Seresien vs Lommel SK 2-2 27% 32% -15.7 26% 30% -15.2 47% 50% -5.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 694 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

15 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1913.11
2 AS Eupen 1834.99
3 FCV Dender EH 1822.18
4 Sporting Hasselt FC 1775.73
5 KSC Lokeren 1746.43
6 Patro Eisden 1745.59
7 RFC Seresien 1713.79
8 Royal Francs Borains 1703.95
9 Excelsior Virton 1685.00
10 KAA Gent II 1662.50
11 RFC Liege 1660.27
12 Lierse Kempenzonen 1656.49
13 KRC Genk II 1652.58
14 Club Brugge II 1652.27
15 RSC Anderlecht II 1652.06

Away Ratings

15 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1851.62
2 FCV Dender EH 1763.00
3 AS Eupen 1758.24
4 Patro Eisden 1736.40
5 KSC Lokeren 1734.84
6 Royal Francs Borains 1715.17
7 Sporting Hasselt FC 1695.93
8 RFC Seresien 1657.81
9 Excelsior Virton 1657.08
10 Lierse Kempenzonen 1651.76
11 RFC Liege 1643.35
12 RSC Anderlecht II 1639.89
13 Club Brugge II 1619.57
14 KRC Genk II 1593.80
15 KAA Gent II 1521.72