ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 727
Avg Goals 3.20
Avg Home 1.98
Avg Away 1.22
Home Win % 53.5%
Draw % 22.4%
Away Win % 24.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 727
Avg Brier Score 0.5446
Pick Accuracy 56.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5530
Market Brier 0.5452
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 3
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 66.7% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 3 of 727 matches had at least one · staked 3.00, profit -3.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.0% 3.9% 128
10–20% 15.5% 15.1% 397
20–30% 25.0% 26.0% 804
30–40% 34.7% 32.1% 193
40–50% 44.9% 41.5% 195
50–60% 55.4% 56.9% 197
60–70% 64.4% 64.7% 133
70–80% 75.0% 80.8% 73
80–90% 84.4% 86.7% 60
90–100% 90.8% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 Universitario de Vinto vs Libertad Gran Mamore 1-1 65% 68% -5.5 22% 26% -15.7 14% 17% -21.6
05.08.23 Bolivar vs Blooming 6-1 78% 84% -6.7 14% 17% -14.6 7% 10% -23.0
05.08.23 Club Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora Cochabamba 1-1 33% 38% -13.2 28% 31% -9.8 39% 43% -10.2
05.08.23 Nacional Potosi vs CD Vaca Diez 6-1 81% 87% -6.5 12% 14% -14.6 7% 9% -25.1
06.08.23 Atletico Palmaflor vs Oriente Petrolero 1-2 44% 48% -8.3 28% 31% -10.6 29% 34% -15.0
06.08.23 Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest 0-0 26% 34% -24.3 28% 33% -15.3 46% 45% 1.5
07.08.23 Jorge Wilstermann vs Club Always Ready 3-0 35% 40% -11.6 29% 33% -12.0 35% 40% -11.8
11.08.23 CD Vaca Diez vs Universitario de Vinto 0-0 41% 45% -9.3 28% 31% -9.7 31% 36% -13.2
12.08.23 Aurora Cochabamba vs Bolivar 2-1 38% 42% -9.5 28% 31% -9.8 34% 39% -13.1
12.08.23 Club Always Ready vs Nacional Potosi 3-3 57% 62% -8.3 23% 26% -9.9 20% 24% -17.8
13.08.23 Libertad Gran Mamore vs Club Independiente Petrolero 0-1 51% 58% -12.8 27% 29% -9.8 22% 24% -8.0
13.08.23 Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo 2-0 59% 64% -6.9 23% 27% -12.2 17% 21% -17.9
13.08.23 The Strongest vs Real Santa Cruz 4-0 88% 92% -4.5 8% 11% -25.0 4% 6% -32.3
14.08.23 Royal Pari FC vs Deportivo Guabira 4-1 57% 58% -3.0 24% 28% -14.8 20% 26% -23.6
15.08.23 Blooming vs Atletico Palmaflor 1-1 73% 78% -6.0 17% 20% -15.2 10% 13% -23.9
19.08.23 Atletico Palmaflor vs Aurora Cochabamba 0-1 26% 29% -10.7 27% 29% -8.4 47% 53% -12.5
19.08.23 Bolivar vs Libertad Gran Mamore 3-0 89% 94% -5.3 7% 9% -19.5 3% 5% -29.2
19.08.23 Real Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero 0-5 28% 30% -6.5 28% 31% -9.3 44% 51% -14.7
20.08.23 Club Independiente Petrolero vs CD Vaca Diez 0-1 64% 70% -8.4 22% 24% -11.7 14% 17% -16.2
20.08.23 Nacional Potosi vs Jorge Wilstermann 2-1 67% 70% -4.9 20% 24% -16.4 13% 17% -24.5
20.08.23 Universitario de Vinto vs Club Always Ready 1-1 37% 43% -12.8 29% 32% -10.7 34% 38% -9.7
22.08.23 Real Tomayapo vs Blooming 0-0 43% 49% -12.3 29% 32% -10.7 28% 31% -7.8
23.08.23 Jorge Wilstermann vs Universitario de Vinto 0-0 46% 47% -0.6 28% 33% -16.1 26% 33% -22.6
24.08.23 Aurora Cochabamba vs Real Tomayapo 1-2 71% 73% -2.6 19% 24% -21.8 10% 14% -28.2
24.08.23 The Strongest vs Royal Pari FC 3-2 82% 87% -6.2 12% 15% -17.3 6% 8% -26.3
25.08.23 Blooming vs Real Santa Cruz 1-3 65% 65% -1.2 21% 26% -20.0 15% 21% -28.6
26.08.23 Oriente Petrolero vs Deportivo Guabira 1-0 60% 62% -4.8 23% 28% -15.9 17% 22% -22.9
03.10.23 Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi 0-0 37% 43% -12.6 28% 31% -8.9 35% 38% -9.6
04.10.23 Bolivar vs Club Always Ready 5-0 62% 67% -8.3 22% 25% -10.4 16% 19% -15.6
04.10.23 Club Independiente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann 0-3 44% 48% -8.4 28% 32% -11.7 28% 32% -13.5
04.10.23 Real Santa Cruz vs Aurora Cochabamba 1-1 33% 36% -8.9 29% 32% -10.4 38% 43% -12.7
05.10.23 Real Tomayapo vs Libertad Gran Mamore 3-2 63% 70% -9.3 22% 25% -11.2 14% 17% -14.0
05.10.23 Royal Pari FC vs Oriente Petrolero 1-1 38% 40% -5.1 28% 31% -10.8 34% 42% -18.0
06.10.23 Deportivo Guabira vs Blooming 2-1 44% 48% -8.4 28% 31% -10.9 29% 33% -14.3
07.10.23 Nacional Potosi vs Club Independiente Petrolero 2-4 74% 79% -6.1 17% 20% -17.4 10% 13% -25.8
08.10.23 Club Always Ready vs Atletico Palmaflor 2-0 79% 82% -4.2 14% 17% -21.5 8% 11% -29.9
08.10.23 Jorge Wilstermann vs Bolivar 3-1 23% 28% -15.8 27% 31% -11.1 49% 53% -7.9
09.10.23 CD Vaca Diez vs Real Tomayapo 0-1 41% 48% -13.0 29% 32% -11.4 30% 33% -10.1
09.10.23 Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest 1-1 36% 43% -16.4 28% 31% -9.8 36% 38% -5.8
10.10.23 Aurora Cochabamba vs Deportivo Guabira 1-0 73% 77% -5.6 17% 21% -16.7 10% 13% -24.6
10.10.23 Blooming vs Royal Pari FC 1-1 42% 42% -0.2 27% 31% -12.0 31% 40% -21.7
20.10.23 Royal Pari FC vs Aurora Cochabamba 2-2 46% 49% -6.4 28% 31% -11.9 27% 32% -16.9
21.10.23 Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi 4-3 71% 77% -8.0 18% 20% -11.1 11% 14% -20.1
21.10.23 Real Tomayapo vs Club Always Ready 2-0 38% 44% -15.5 30% 34% -12.1 33% 34% -5.3
21.10.23 The Strongest vs Blooming 1-0 83% 88% -5.3 11% 14% -20.2 6% 8% -28.4
22.10.23 Club Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto 0-2 47% 51% -7.4 28% 32% -12.7 25% 29% -14.7
22.10.23 Deportivo Guabira vs Libertad Gran Mamore 2-2 59% 65% -8.3 23% 26% -10.7 18% 22% -17.5
04.11.23 Aurora Cochabamba vs The Strongest 0-3 37% 44% -16.6 28% 31% -9.6 35% 36% -4.6
04.11.23 CD Vaca Diez vs Deportivo Guabira 3-0 43% 47% -6.9 27% 30% -10.6 30% 36% -17.1
04.11.23 Club Always Ready vs Real Santa Cruz 2-0 83% 88% -5.8 11% 14% -17.8 6% 8% -27.8
05.11.23 Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar 2-2 27% 32% -16.7 28% 31% -10.3 46% 49% -6.7
06.11.23 Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero 2-1 44% 48% -8.1 27% 31% -11.1 29% 34% -16.3
06.11.23 Nacional Potosi vs Atletico Palmaflor 4-1 76% 81% -5.9 15% 17% -14.8 9% 12% -25.7
07.11.23 Club Always Ready vs Club Independiente Petrolero 3-2 72% 77% -6.5 18% 21% -14.8 10% 13% -22.4
07.11.23 Jorge Wilstermann vs Real Tomayapo 3-0 59% 62% -5.0 25% 29% -16.2 17% 21% -20.5
08.11.23 CD Vaca Diez vs Bolivar 4-3 18% 24% -25.4 23% 26% -13.6 59% 62% -4.2
08.11.23 Deportivo Guabira vs The Strongest 4-1 26% 33% -21.5 27% 30% -11.7 47% 49% -3.6
10.11.23 Atletico Palmaflor vs Universitario de Vinto 1-1 43% 48% -10.1 28% 31% -10.8 29% 34% -13.5
11.11.23 Bolivar vs Club Independiente Petrolero 5-1 81% 85% -4.0 12% 16% -22.8 6% 9% -30.3
11.11.23 The Strongest vs Libertad Gran Mamore 8-0 89% 94% -5.5 8% 10% -21.1 3% 5% -29.9
12.11.23 Deportivo Guabira vs Club Always Ready 0-0 42% 51% -16.0 27% 29% -7.9 30% 32% -5.5
12.11.23 Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi 0-0 43% 50% -13.2 27% 29% -9.1 30% 34% -11.9
13.11.23 Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora Cochabamba 1-0 50% 53% -5.5 27% 31% -13.6 23% 29% -19.0
18.11.23 Nacional Potosi vs Real Santa Cruz 6-0 85% 90% -5.9 10% 11% -15.4 6% 8% -27.9
18.11.23 Universitario de Vinto vs Real Tomayapo 0-1 55% 58% -5.8 26% 31% -14.8 19% 23% -17.8
19.11.23 Jorge Wilstermann vs Deportivo Guabira 1-0 63% 67% -5.6 22% 26% -15.6 15% 19% -21.9
19.11.23 Libertad Gran Mamore vs Oriente Petrolero 3-1 33% 38% -13.9 28% 31% -9.5 39% 43% -10.2
20.11.23 Club Independiente Petrolero vs Atletico Palmaflor 1-0 65% 69% -6.9 21% 24% -12.5 15% 18% -20.2
23.11.23 CD Vaca Diez vs The Strongest 2-2 23% 32% -28.1 24% 29% -14.9 52% 51% 2.4
23.11.23 Club Always Ready vs Royal Pari FC 3-0 73% 79% -8.0 17% 19% -11.2 10% 12% -19.6
24.11.23 Aurora Cochabamba vs Blooming 3-1 67% 72% -7.0 20% 23% -12.7 13% 17% -20.6
25.11.23 Deportivo Guabira vs Nacional Potosi 6-1 44% 52% -15.4 26% 28% -6.1 30% 32% -6.7
25.11.23 Real Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Vinto 0-0 39% 45% -14.6 29% 32% -10.8 32% 35% -7.6
25.11.23 Real Tomayapo vs Club Independiente Petrolero 2-1 54% 58% -7.3 26% 29% -12.7 21% 25% -17.1
26.11.23 Atletico Palmaflor vs Bolivar 1-7 24% 32% -25.7 25% 29% -12.9 51% 52% -1.3
26.11.23 The Strongest vs Club Always Ready 1-1 58% 65% -10.5 23% 25% -7.2 19% 22% -12.3
27.11.23 Blooming vs Libertad Gran Mamore 0-1 60% 64% -6.0 22% 25% -11.6 18% 23% -20.8
28.11.23 Oriente Petrolero vs CD Vaca Diez 1-0 69% 71% -3.8 18% 22% -18.1 13% 18% -28.0
01.12.23 Universitario de Vinto vs Deportivo Guabira 1-0 51% 53% -5.3 27% 31% -13.3 23% 28% -18.3
02.12.23 Bolivar vs Real Tomayapo 4-1 76% 80% -4.5 15% 18% -20.0 9% 13% -29.5
02.12.23 CD Vaca Diez vs Blooming 0-3 47% 53% -11.0 26% 29% -8.5 27% 30% -12.4
02.12.23 Club Always Ready vs Oriente Petrolero 4-1 74% 78% -5.7 17% 20% -16.8 10% 13% -25.2
02.12.23 Club Independiente Petrolero vs Real Santa Cruz 1-0 73% 79% -6.9 17% 20% -14.9 10% 12% -22.6
02.12.23 Jorge Wilstermann vs The Strongest 1-1 43% 50% -14.7 28% 31% -9.9 29% 31% -6.5
02.12.23 Libertad Gran Mamore vs Aurora Cochabamba 0-1 39% 47% -15.1 28% 31% -9.9 32% 35% -7.2
03.12.23 Nacional Potosi vs Royal Pari FC 6-1 81% 88% -7.1 11% 13% -11.4 7% 10% -25.4
05.12.23 Real Santa Cruz vs Bolivar 3-1 17% 24% -26.8 22% 25% -13.6 61% 63% -3.7
06.12.23 Aurora Cochabamba vs CD Vaca Diez 3-0 74% 79% -6.2 16% 18% -13.4 10% 13% -23.8
06.12.23 Deportivo Guabira vs Club Independiente Petrolero 2-0 67% 74% -9.6 19% 21% -7.5 14% 16% -15.2
06.12.23 Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann 3-0 45% 47% -3.9 35% 43% -20.0 21% 23% -11.1
06.12.23 Royal Pari FC vs Universitario de Vinto 1-1 41% 43% -5.5 28% 32% -11.7 30% 36% -16.3
07.12.23 Blooming vs Club Always Ready 2-1 39% 48% -18.3 27% 29% -8.2 34% 36% -4.5
07.12.23 Real Tomayapo vs Atletico Palmaflor 4-0 82% 88% -7.6 11% 12% -3.8 7% 9% -20.2
07.12.23 The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi 1-0 57% 65% -12.0 23% 24% -6.0 20% 23% -12.1
13.12.23 San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Libertad Gran Mamore 2-0 57% 56% 0.4 23% 28% -17.1 20% 28% -27.1
16.12.23 Libertad Gran Mamore vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-0 55% 60% -7.2 24% 28% -12.1 20% 25% -18.7
17.02.24 Bolivar vs Gualberto Villarroel San Jose 3-1 78% 86% -10.0 14% 14% 1.2 8% 10% -11.2
17.02.24 Club Always Ready vs Universitario de Vinto 1-1 68% 71% -3.9 19% 24% -18.1 12% 17% -26.0
18.02.24 Deportivo Guabira vs Club Independiente Petrolero 2-1 62% 68% -9.0 23% 26% -11.6 15% 18% -15.3
18.02.24 Nacional Potosi vs Blooming 3-3 71% 74% -4.1 18% 22% -18.0 12% 16% -27.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 727 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bolivar 1936.96
2 Club Always Ready 1833.84
3 The Strongest 1768.43
4 Oriente Petrolero 1744.16
5 Blooming 1735.08
6 Nacional Potosi 1729.75
7 Real Potosi 1710.94
8 Aurora Cochabamba 1693.51
9 Club Independiente Petrolero 1641.89
10 Gualberto Villarroel San Jose 1618.00
11 Deportivo Guabira 1615.07
12 Universitario de Vinto 1607.33
13 Academia del Balompie 1570.23
14 Real Oruro 1563.56
15 Real Tomayapo 1545.83
16 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1532.52

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bolivar 1826.95
2 Club Always Ready 1786.80
3 The Strongest 1705.21
4 Aurora Cochabamba 1643.06
5 Nacional Potosi 1600.66
6 Real Potosi 1591.98
7 Oriente Petrolero 1589.42
8 Universitario de Vinto 1541.63
9 Real Oruro 1470.03
10 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1465.54
11 Club Independiente Petrolero 1465.53
12 Academia del Balompie 1460.65
13 Deportivo Guabira 1452.82
14 Gualberto Villarroel San Jose 1450.07
15 Blooming 1448.17
16 Real Tomayapo 1431.11