ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 543
Avg Goals 2.51
Avg Home 1.47
Avg Away 1.04
Home Win % 49.7%
Draw % 21.4%
Away Win % 28.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 543
Avg Brier Score 0.5068
Pick Accuracy 61.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5067
Market Brier 0.5071
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 6
Value Bet Hit Rate 16.7%
ROI (flat stake) 29.2%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 83.3% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 6 of 543 matches had at least one · staked 6.00, profit 1.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 5 20.0% 5.00 2.75 55.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.0% 4.3% 92
10–20% 15.2% 10.1% 278
20–30% 25.4% 22.7% 585
30–40% 34.7% 34.1% 220
40–50% 44.8% 48.8% 125
50–60% 54.6% 62.8% 129
60–70% 65.0% 73.3% 101
70–80% 74.8% 87.1% 62
80–90% 83.8% 88.6% 35
90–100% 90.6% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
29.07.23 Velez Mostar vs FK Zvijezda 09 5-0 61% 68% -10.4 23% 26% -13.2 16% 17% -7.0
30.07.23 FK Sarajevo vs FK Sloga Doboj 1-2 66% 78% -15.3 20% 21% -4.3 14% 13% 11.4
04.08.23 NK Posusje vs Siroki Brijeg 1-2 42% 48% -12.2 29% 34% -14.9 29% 31% -4.7
06.08.23 Velez Mostar vs GOSK Gabela 0-0 70% 79% -11.8 19% 21% -9.5 11% 11% 4.1
11.08.23 FK Sarajevo vs NK Posusje 3-0 64% 73% -12.2 22% 24% -11.2 14% 14% -0.2
12.08.23 FK Igman Konjic vs FK Sloga Doboj 1-0 44% 54% -18.1 27% 30% -12.4 29% 29% 2.2
12.08.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka 2-0 44% 49% -10.2 28% 32% -14.1 29% 31% -8.7
13.08.23 Siroki Brijeg vs FK Tuzla City 1-0 43% 49% -12.3 26% 29% -11.7 31% 34% -9.4
19.08.23 FK Zvijezda 09 vs FK Sloga Doboj 1-0 37% 45% -18.9 26% 30% -13.0 37% 37% -0.6
19.08.23 NK Posusje vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1-0 34% 37% -9.1 28% 32% -13.4 38% 43% -9.7
20.08.23 Borac Banja Luka vs FK Igman Konjic 4-1 62% 71% -13.0 22% 24% -9.3 16% 15% 2.5
20.08.23 Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg 1-1 55% 62% -12.5 25% 29% -12.3 20% 21% -2.8
20.08.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs GOSK Gabela 3-1 83% 88% -6.5 12% 14% -17.7 6% 7% -17.5
21.08.23 FK Tuzla City vs FK Sarajevo 1-2 35% 41% -15.2 28% 32% -14.4 38% 40% -5.5
25.08.23 Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sloga Doboj 5-0 70% 84% -17.3 17% 16% 7.4 13% 10% 29.8
26.08.23 FK Igman Konjic vs NK Posusje 2-1 46% 54% -14.1 27% 31% -13.2 26% 27% -2.2
26.08.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Tuzla City 3-1 54% 60% -10.9 25% 29% -13.4 21% 22% -6.3
27.08.23 Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela 2-0 59% 66% -10.2 24% 28% -13.8 17% 18% -6.5
27.08.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Zvijezda 09 5-3 81% 87% -7.1 12% 15% -16.3 7% 8% -18.6
28.08.23 FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar 1-0 50% 57% -12.4 26% 29% -12.3 24% 26% -5.8
30.08.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Igman Konjic 1-0 59% 66% -9.8 23% 27% -13.0 17% 19% -8.4
01.09.23 Borac Banja Luka vs FK Zvijezda 09 4-2 77% 88% -12.4 14% 13% 3.9 9% 9% 6.6
02.09.23 GOSK Gabela vs FK Sarajevo 2-2 21% 23% -9.2 24% 27% -11.6 55% 62% -10.6
02.09.23 NK Posusje vs FK Sloga Doboj 4-0 53% 65% -18.1 25% 28% -9.4 22% 19% 15.4
03.09.23 Velez Mostar vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1-0 45% 52% -12.4 28% 32% -14.2 27% 29% -5.7
13.09.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Posusje 0-1 77% 83% -7.9 15% 17% -13.0 8% 9% -10.7
15.09.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs FK Tuzla City 2-1 41% 49% -15.9 27% 31% -13.5 32% 33% -4.2
15.09.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela 2-3 64% 70% -8.8 21% 25% -14.2 14% 16% -10.6
16.09.23 FK Igman Konjic vs Velez Mostar 2-4 33% 38% -13.6 28% 33% -14.7 39% 41% -4.6
16.09.23 FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 36% 41% -12.6 28% 33% -14.7 36% 38% -6.7
17.09.23 Borac Banja Luka vs NK Posusje 1-0 62% 72% -13.8 22% 24% -8.2 16% 15% 5.9
17.09.23 Siroki Brijeg vs FK Zvijezda 09 2-1 64% 72% -10.9 21% 23% -10.0 15% 16% -5.6
20.09.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3-0 34% 38% -12.3 29% 34% -15.7 37% 40% -7.0
22.09.23 Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo 1-0 32% 36% -12.2 28% 33% -15.2 40% 43% -8.5
23.09.23 FK Tuzla City vs Borac Banja Luka 1-2 28% 31% -8.8 28% 32% -14.1 44% 49% -10.2
23.09.23 Velez Mostar vs FK Sloga Doboj 4-2 66% 78% -14.3 20% 21% -5.0 14% 12% 9.9
24.09.23 FK Zvijezda 09 vs NK Posusje 0-2 39% 45% -15.0 27% 31% -12.5 34% 35% -2.3
24.09.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2-1 68% 75% -9.7 20% 23% -13.0 12% 13% -7.8
27.09.23 FK Tuzla City vs Zrinjski Mostar 2-4 18% 19% -5.9 23% 27% -11.9 59% 66% -11.0
27.09.23 Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka 0-2 33% 38% -12.2 29% 34% -15.1 38% 41% -6.7
30.09.23 FK Sarajevo vs FK Zvijezda 09 2-0 82% 93% -10.9 11% 10% 10.7 7% 7% 4.4
30.09.23 NK Posusje vs FK Tuzla City 1-1 52% 60% -12.8 26% 30% -13.6 22% 23% -3.7
01.10.23 Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar 2-0 52% 60% -13.2 27% 31% -13.8 22% 22% -1.9
01.10.23 FK Igman Konjic vs Zrinjski Mostar 0-2 17% 17% -4.7 22% 25% -10.9 61% 69% -11.9
01.10.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs GOSK Gabela 3-2 48% 52% -7.3 27% 31% -14.9 25% 29% -13.7
02.10.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg 2-1 51% 56% -10.2 26% 29% -13.2 24% 26% -9.9
06.10.23 Velez Mostar vs NK Posusje 2-1 59% 67% -11.7 23% 26% -10.6 18% 19% -4.4
08.10.23 FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3-0 59% 67% -11.2 23% 26% -11.4 18% 18% -3.7
08.10.23 GOSK Gabela vs Borac Banja Luka 0-3 24% 28% -14.8 26% 31% -15.1 50% 53% -6.1
08.10.23 Siroki Brijeg vs FK Igman Konjic 2-0 58% 67% -12.3 23% 26% -11.4 18% 19% -4.2
09.10.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sloga Doboj 2-0 76% 83% -9.3 15% 17% -8.9 9% 10% -7.8
18.10.23 Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo 1-1 44% 52% -14.3 28% 32% -14.0 28% 29% -2.6
18.10.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar 3-0 60% 68% -11.1 23% 26% -12.0 17% 18% -6.7
21.10.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg 1-0 39% 44% -11.2 28% 32% -13.3 33% 35% -6.6
21.10.23 NK Posusje vs GOSK Gabela 0-0 56% 63% -12.1 24% 27% -11.4 20% 22% -6.0
21.10.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Zvijezda 09 1-0 66% 74% -11.3 20% 23% -10.7 14% 15% -5.4
22.10.23 Borac Banja Luka vs Zrinjski Mostar 0-0 36% 42% -15.3 27% 31% -13.3 37% 39% -5.2
22.10.23 FK Igman Konjic vs FK Sarajevo 1-2 18% 20% -8.2 24% 27% -12.8 58% 65% -11.2
23.10.23 FK Tuzla City vs Velez Mostar 1-1 46% 50% -8.0 27% 31% -14.3 27% 31% -13.0
27.10.23 FK Igman Konjic vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2-0 36% 40% -10.6 28% 33% -15.0 36% 40% -10.3
28.10.23 Borac Banja Luka vs Siroki Brijeg 1-0 64% 74% -14.2 21% 23% -7.8 15% 14% 6.0
28.10.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs FK Sarajevo 3-0 27% 30% -11.5 26% 29% -12.5 47% 53% -9.9
29.10.23 FK Zvijezda 09 vs Velez Mostar 0-0 25% 29% -13.8 26% 30% -14.2 49% 53% -7.2
29.10.23 NK Posusje vs Zrinjski Mostar 2-2 24% 28% -14.5 26% 31% -15.0 50% 53% -6.3
03.11.23 GOSK Gabela vs Velez Mostar 0-4 32% 37% -12.5 28% 32% -14.2 40% 43% -8.2
04.11.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sloga Doboj 1-0 53% 60% -11.5 25% 29% -12.2 22% 24% -6.5
05.11.23 FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka 1-1 42% 47% -10.7 28% 32% -14.1 31% 34% -9.3
05.11.23 Siroki Brijeg vs NK Posusje 1-1 44% 51% -12.7 28% 32% -13.8 28% 29% -4.4
05.11.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Tuzla City 3-1 75% 84% -10.6 16% 17% -6.6 9% 10% -2.1
11.11.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs FK Igman Konjic 4-1 53% 61% -12.0 25% 29% -12.5 22% 23% -6.3
11.11.23 NK Posusje vs FK Sarajevo 0-1 39% 44% -12.7 28% 32% -13.3 33% 35% -5.2
12.11.23 Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3-2 62% 70% -11.3 23% 26% -12.2 15% 16% -3.4
13.11.23 Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 31% 38% -19.6 27% 31% -15.2 43% 43% -2.1
22.11.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg 3-1 76% 85% -11.0 15% 15% -2.8 9% 9% 3.5
24.11.23 FK Sarajevo vs FK Tuzla City 6-2 68% 79% -13.1 18% 19% -3.9 13% 13% 2.7
25.11.23 FK Igman Konjic vs Borac Banja Luka 0-1 16% 17% -5.6 22% 26% -12.3 62% 69% -11.0
26.11.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs FK Zvijezda 09 1-0 60% 69% -13.0 22% 24% -8.3 18% 18% -2.1
26.11.23 GOSK Gabela vs Zrinjski Mostar 1-5 13% 15% -14.0 19% 22% -13.8 68% 74% -8.1
26.11.23 Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar 2-2 32% 35% -8.6 29% 34% -15.0 39% 43% -10.1
26.11.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs NK Posusje 1-1 50% 58% -14.6 26% 30% -12.9 24% 24% -0.6
01.12.23 Velez Mostar vs FK Sarajevo 1-0 41% 48% -14.0 28% 32% -13.6 31% 32% -3.4
02.12.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs Borac Banja Luka 0-4 11% 10% 9.7 19% 21% -7.7 69% 79% -12.7
02.12.23 FK Tuzla City vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3-0 37% 42% -11.1 28% 33% -14.7 35% 38% -8.5
03.12.23 GOSK Gabela vs Siroki Brijeg 0-0 36% 39% -9.4 31% 38% -17.4 33% 36% -6.8
03.12.23 NK Posusje vs FK Igman Konjic 4-1 58% 65% -10.8 24% 28% -13.7 18% 19% -7.0
04.12.23 FK Zvijezda 09 vs Zrinjski Mostar 2-1 12% 14% -16.8 18% 21% -14.6 70% 76% -7.9
06.12.23 FK Tuzla City vs Siroki Brijeg 2-0 48% 54% -10.9 27% 31% -13.2 25% 27% -7.0
08.12.23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar 0-1 37% 41% -10.0 28% 32% -14.1 36% 40% -11.1
09.12.23 FK Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela 3-0 70% 79% -11.9 18% 19% -5.9 12% 12% 0.1
09.12.23 FK Sloga Doboj vs NK Posusje 1-0 40% 47% -13.1 28% 33% -14.9 31% 33% -6.3
09.12.23 FK Zvijezda 09 vs Borac Banja Luka 1-2 8% 8% 1.5 14% 14% -1.7 78% 87% -10.9
10.12.23 Siroki Brijeg vs Zrinjski Mostar 0-2 17% 19% -11.5 24% 28% -15.1 60% 65% -8.9
15.12.23 NK Posusje vs Borac Banja Luka 0-2 24% 27% -10.8 28% 33% -15.9 48% 52% -7.6
16.12.23 FK Tuzla City vs FK Sloga Doboj 3-0 58% 67% -13.7 22% 23% -6.7 21% 22% -5.8
16.12.23 GOSK Gabela vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1-0 30% 33% -8.8 27% 31% -13.1 42% 48% -10.9
17.12.23 FK Zvijezda 09 vs Siroki Brijeg 3-0 38% 43% -13.0 29% 34% -14.9 33% 35% -5.0
17.12.23 Velez Mostar vs FK Igman Konjic 1-1 71% 79% -10.0 18% 20% -10.1 11% 12% -5.2
18.12.23 Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo 2-0 51% 57% -10.0 25% 29% -12.5 24% 26% -10.5
16.02.24 FK Sloga Doboj vs Velez Mostar 0-0 28% 33% -14.6 29% 35% -16.7 43% 44% -4.3
17.02.24 NK Posusje vs FK Zvijezda 09 2-0 59% 68% -12.7 23% 26% -11.2 17% 17% -0.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 543 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Borac Banja Luka 2023.20
2 Zrinjski Mostar 1984.86
3 FK Sarajevo 1897.21
4 Velez Mostar 1773.50
5 Siroki Brijeg 1764.13
6 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1738.17
7 Radnik Bijeljina 1714.97
8 FK Sloga Doboj 1714.88
9 NK Celik Zenica 1670.54
10 FK BSK Banja Luka 1669.57

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Zrinjski Mostar 1916.28
2 Borac Banja Luka 1904.22
3 FK Sarajevo 1770.39
4 FK Sloga Doboj 1689.29
5 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1657.54
6 NK Celik Zenica 1648.35
7 Velez Mostar 1627.95
8 Radnik Bijeljina 1619.40
9 FK BSK Banja Luka 1582.66
10 Siroki Brijeg 1578.17