Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5

Countries 150

Status Live

Continent

Country

League

No cached league history dataset for this league yet.

Matches 113

Avg Goals 2.32

Avg Home 1.38

Avg Away 0.94

Home Win % 37.2%

Draw % 35.4%

Away Win % 27.4%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.

Home Team

Away Team

Margin %

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Rows Created0

Rows Ready0

Margin0.00%

Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Value edge threshold (relative %)

Flat stake (units)

Market weight (0–1)

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…

Matches Backtested 113

Avg Brier Score 0.5637

Pick Accuracy 47.8%

Source postgres

Raw Model Brier 0.5613

Market Brier 0.5701

Blended Model Beats Market? Yes

Market Weight 0.7

"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.

Value Bets Found 1

Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%

ROI (flat stake) -100.0%

ROI Trustworthy? No

Before trusting this ROI:

100.0% of value bets are on 'draw' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.

Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 113 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.

Side	Bets	Hit Rate	Staked	Profit	ROI
home	0	-	0.00	0.00	-
draw	1	0.0%	1.00	-1.00	-100.0%
away	0	-	0.00	0.00	-

Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.

Predicted Range	Predicted Avg	Actual Freq	Samples
0–10%	6.5%	0.0%	23
10–20%	15.4%	12.1%	58
20–30%	25.2%	33.3%	81
30–40%	33.2%	36.5%	85
40–50%	45.1%	27.6%	29
50–60%	54.1%	40.0%	25
60–70%	64.9%	72.2%	18
70–80%	75.7%	80.0%	15
80–90%	84.1%	100.0%	5

Date	Match	Result	HOME (1)			DRAW (X)			AWAY (2)
Date	Match	Result	Model	Price	Edge	Model	Price	Edge	Model	Price	Edge
20.01.24	Nacional AM vs Sao Raimundo AM	2-2	61%	70%	-13.0	25%	25%	1.9	14%	16%	-14.4
20.01.24	Princesa do Solimoes vs Unidos do Alvorada EC AM	2-0	74%	88%	-15.4	18%	15%	24.6	7%	7%	5.8
21.01.24	Amazonas FC vs Manauara EC AM	1-2	53%	61%	-13.0	29%	29%	-2.0	18%	22%	-16.8
21.01.24	Manaus FC vs Atletico Rio Negro Clube	0-0	69%	76%	-9.2	21%	22%	-3.9	10%	13%	-23.5
21.01.24	Parintins FC vs Operario Esporte Clube AM	2-0	55%	58%	-6.0	26%	27%	-4.3	20%	27%	-26.8
23.01.24	Unidos do Alvorada EC AM vs Parintins FC	0-2	10%	12%	-13.7	22%	21%	3.0	68%	78%	-12.7
24.01.24	Manauara EC AM vs Nacional AM	0-0	50%	62%	-18.7	29%	29%	2.4	21%	22%	-5.5
25.01.24	Amazonas FC vs Princesa do Solimoes	1-1	57%	68%	-15.9	27%	26%	2.8	16%	17%	-9.7
25.01.24	Sao Raimundo AM vs Manaus FC	1-1	13%	16%	-19.6	25%	26%	-4.1	63%	70%	-11.2
27.01.24	Nacional AM vs Princesa do Solimoes	1-1	37%	45%	-18.8	33%	34%	-3.7	30%	33%	-8.7
28.01.24	Manaus FC vs Manauara EC AM	2-1	37%	41%	-10.2	32%	33%	-3.5	31%	38%	-19.0
28.01.24	Operario Esporte Clube AM vs Sao Raimundo AM	0-1	37%	44%	-17.6	32%	33%	-3.5	31%	36%	-12.6
28.01.24	Parintins FC vs Amazonas FC	1-1	20%	21%	-5.9	29%	28%	2.8	52%	63%	-18.1
02.02.24	Unidos do Alvorada EC AM vs Sao Raimundo AM	0-1	12%	14%	-18.3	23%	23%	-0.3	66%	74%	-11.3
03.02.24	Amazonas FC vs Atletico Rio Negro Clube	2-0	79%	87%	-8.8	16%	16%	-2.7	5%	7%	-23.2
03.02.24	Nacional AM vs Parintins FC	1-1	42%	50%	-15.6	32%	33%	-3.5	26%	29%	-12.9
03.02.24	Princesa do Solimoes vs Manaus FC	1-3	40%	47%	-14.4	32%	33%	-3.0	28%	32%	-13.6
04.02.24	Manauara EC AM vs Operario Esporte Clube AM	2-1	68%	75%	-9.0	22%	23%	-5.2	10%	13%	-24.5
06.02.24	Atletico Rio Negro Clube vs Nacional AM	0-1	9%	12%	-24.6	21%	23%	-8.3	70%	76%	-7.9
06.02.24	Manaus FC vs Parintins FC	0-1	48%	53%	-10.0	31%	32%	-5.2	22%	27%	-20.4
07.02.24	Manauara EC AM vs Unidos do Alvorada EC AM	5-0	87%	92%	-4.8	11%	14%	-24.2	2%	3%	-33.4
07.02.24	Sao Raimundo AM vs Amazonas FC	0-3	16%	18%	-14.6	28%	29%	-3.0	57%	65%	-13.2
10.02.24	Manauara EC AM vs Sao Raimundo AM	1-2	55%	58%	-4.7	28%	31%	-10.2	17%	24%	-27.4
11.02.24	Amazonas FC vs Operario Esporte Clube AM	4-0	81%	89%	-8.9	14%	15%	-2.3	4%	5%	-22.3
11.02.24	Parintins FC vs Princesa do Solimoes	3-0	49%	60%	-18.9	31%	31%	-0.3	20%	21%	-2.8
17.02.24	Amazonas FC vs Nacional AM	2-1	54%	62%	-13.0	29%	30%	-3.4	16%	19%	-14.3
18.02.24	Parintins FC vs Sao Raimundo AM	0-0	66%	73%	-9.1	24%	27%	-8.1	9%	11%	-20.0
25.02.24	Amazonas FC vs Sao Raimundo AM	2-0	64%	68%	-5.9	24%	26%	-10.6	12%	17%	-27.8
01.03.24	Amazonas FC vs Nacional AM	0-0	57%	65%	-11.8	28%	29%	-2.5	15%	18%	-16.2
02.03.24	Unidos do Alvorada EC AM vs Manaus FC	0-2	3%	5%	-32.4	10%	12%	-19.8	87%	91%	-4.8
03.03.24	Sao Raimundo AM vs Parintins FC	0-2	38%	50%	-23.5	31%	32%	-2.6	30%	30%	0.1
09.03.24	Manaus FC vs Amazonas FC	3-1	32%	36%	-11.5	32%	33%	-3.3	36%	43%	-18.1
10.03.24	Atletico Rio Negro Clube vs Sao Raimundo AM	2-4	11%	13%	-17.0	24%	25%	-4.1	65%	73%	-10.5
10.03.24	Parintins FC vs Manauara EC AM	0-0	39%	50%	-22.3	32%	32%	-2.3	30%	30%	-2.3
16.03.24	Manauara EC AM vs Atletico Rio Negro Clube	8-0	85%	90%	-5.8	11%	12%	-12.6	4%	6%	-32.0
16.03.24	Nacional AM vs Manaus FC	1-1	28%	32%	-12.4	32%	33%	-3.5	40%	48%	-16.9
17.03.24	Amazonas FC vs Operario Esporte Clube AM	3-1	76%	83%	-8.4	16%	17%	-5.3	7%	10%	-27.8
19.03.24	Princesa do Solimoes vs Sao Raimundo AM	1-1	44%	49%	-9.4	30%	31%	-2.0	26%	32%	-20.6
20.03.24	Nacional AM vs Unidos do Alvorada EC AM	0-0	75%	79%	-5.0	17%	20%	-14.2	8%	12%	-31.7
24.03.24	Operario Esporte Clube AM vs Nacional AM	2-2	23%	29%	-20.1	29%	29%	-2.0	48%	54%	-10.5
24.03.24	Sao Raimundo AM vs Manauara EC AM	1-2	19%	23%	-16.3	29%	29%	-2.0	52%	59%	-11.9
26.03.24	Unidos do Alvorada EC AM vs Amazonas FC	0-2	8%	12%	-30.8	15%	17%	-11.8	77%	81%	-5.9
28.03.24	Manaus FC vs Operario Esporte Clube AM	4-0	74%	79%	-7.4	19%	20%	-7.2	8%	11%	-26.7
25.01.25	Amazonas FC vs Sete FC Manaus AM	4-0	74%	84%	-11.8	19%	18%	3.9	7%	8%	-15.6
26.01.25	Manaus FC vs Nacional AM	0-1	44%	49%	-9.5	32%	33%	-5.1	24%	30%	-20.0
26.01.25	Princesa do Solimoes vs Manauara EC AM	1-1	22%	24%	-11.7	30%	31%	-1.6	48%	57%	-15.7
26.01.25	Sao Raimundo AM vs Parintins FC	1-0	32%	41%	-21.4	31%	32%	-3.2	37%	40%	-8.3
29.01.25	Parintins FC vs Amazonas FC	0-2	18%	21%	-12.8	28%	29%	-0.6	53%	62%	-14.5
29.01.25	Sete FC Manaus AM vs Sao Raimundo AM	2-2	15%	19%	-20.6	25%	26%	-2.5	60%	68%	-11.9
30.01.25	Manauara EC AM vs Manaus FC	1-2	47%	52%	-10.1	30%	31%	-3.4	24%	30%	-21.8
30.01.25	Nacional AM vs Princesa do Solimoes	1-1	52%	60%	-12.8	30%	31%	-3.4	18%	21%	-14.0
01.02.25	Nacional AM vs Sete FC Manaus AM	3-0	75%	79%	-5.0	20%	24%	-18.8	5%	8%	-29.5
02.02.25	Manauara EC AM vs Parintins FC	2-0	59%	64%	-7.8	27%	29%	-6.8	15%	19%	-23.4
02.02.25	Manaus FC vs Amazonas FC	2-2	26%	29%	-12.9	32%	32%	-2.1	43%	50%	-14.4
08.02.25	Amazonas FC vs Princesa do Solimoes	1-0	63%	68%	-8.7	24%	26%	-5.4	13%	17%	-24.3
08.02.25	Parintins FC vs Nacional AM	1-0	21%	25%	-14.9	31%	32%	-4.1	48%	55%	-13.0
09.02.25	Sao Raimundo AM vs Manaus FC	1-1	26%	30%	-13.4	30%	30%	-0.1	44%	52%	-16.1
09.02.25	Sete FC Manaus AM vs Manauara EC AM	1-3	7%	10%	-28.8	16%	18%	-11.9	77%	83%	-6.6
15.02.25	Manauara EC AM vs Nacional AM	0-0	42%	47%	-10.7	32%	33%	-5.1	27%	34%	-20.8
16.02.25	Parintins FC vs Princesa do Solimoes	2-1	35%	41%	-14.8	34%	36%	-6.1	31%	36%	-13.0
23.02.25	Manaus FC vs Parintins FC	2-2	50%	57%	-12.1	31%	32%	-5.0	19%	23%	-17.1
25.02.25	Amazonas FC vs Manauara EC AM	0-0	51%	58%	-12.4	29%	30%	-2.9	20%	24%	-17.6
09.03.25	Amazonas FC vs Manaus FC	2-2	49%	53%	-8.4	30%	32%	-5.9	21%	27%	-21.6
11.03.25	Parintins FC vs Princesa do Solimoes	2-2	37%	43%	-15.8	34%	36%	-5.6	29%	32%	-9.9
12.03.25	Manauara EC AM vs Sao Raimundo AM	0-0	61%	68%	-10.2	25%	25%	-1.4	14%	18%	-21.6
13.03.25	Amazonas FC vs Nacional AM	0-1	50%	56%	-9.7	30%	31%	-4.5	20%	25%	-20.1
14.03.25	Manaus FC vs Sete FC Manaus AM	2-0	80%	85%	-6.8	16%	18%	-10.8	4%	6%	-24.9
15.03.25	Amazonas FC vs Manauara EC AM	0-1	45%	51%	-10.7	32%	33%	-4.4	23%	28%	-17.1
15.03.25	Nacional AM vs Sao Raimundo AM	4-1	49%	55%	-9.6	30%	32%	-6.0	20%	26%	-20.9
16.03.25	Manaus FC vs Parintins FC	0-0	53%	61%	-12.9	29%	29%	-2.7	18%	22%	-17.5
16.03.25	Sete FC Manaus AM vs Princesa do Solimoes	3-4	18%	24%	-26.7	27%	29%	-9.4	55%	58%	-5.1
19.03.25	Parintins FC vs Sete FC Manaus AM	3-0	72%	79%	-9.4	19%	19%	0.8	9%	11%	-22.4
19.03.25	Sao Raimundo AM vs Amazonas FC	0-3	14%	17%	-17.3	27%	28%	-4.1	59%	67%	-12.1
20.03.25	Manauara EC AM vs Nacional AM	1-2	40%	45%	-11.2	34%	36%	-6.0	26%	31%	-16.6
20.03.25	Princesa do Solimoes vs Manaus FC	0-1	26%	31%	-17.2	31%	32%	-2.8	43%	48%	-10.2
22.03.25	Parintins FC vs Amazonas FC	2-1	18%	23%	-19.7	29%	31%	-6.3	52%	58%	-10.3
23.03.25	Manauara EC AM vs Princesa do Solimoes	6-0	61%	68%	-10.2	26%	27%	-3.8	13%	16%	-19.1
25.03.25	Nacional AM vs Parintins FC	0-0	48%	53%	-9.6	31%	32%	-5.1	21%	26%	-20.1
27.03.25	Manaus FC vs Manauara EC AM	1-1	34%	38%	-12.3	39%	43%	-11.2	28%	31%	-10.1
29.03.25	Nacional AM vs Manaus FC	2-0	36%	41%	-12.3	34%	36%	-5.6	30%	36%	-16.1
02.04.25	Nacional AM vs Amazonas FC	1-2	26%	31%	-14.0	31%	31%	-1.4	43%	51%	-15.4
10.01.26	Amazonas FC vs Sao Raimundo AM	3-0	67%	75%	-10.3	22%	22%	-0.4	11%	14%	-20.8
11.01.26	Nacional AM vs Itacoatiara FC AM	3-0	71%	81%	-12.2	21%	20%	3.5	8%	10%	-15.1
12.01.26	Manauara EC AM vs Princesa do Solimoes	1-0	63%	70%	-11.0	25%	26%	-2.8	12%	15%	-19.4
13.01.26	Manaus FC vs Parintins FC	1-0	63%	71%	-11.8	25%	26%	-2.1	12%	14%	-16.9
17.01.26	Nacional AM vs Amazonas FC	1-1	25%	29%	-15.4	32%	33%	-4.3	43%	50%	-13.5
17.01.26	Parintins FC vs Princesa do Solimoes	0-2	39%	47%	-15.9	33%	34%	-4.6	28%	32%	-13.2
18.01.26	Manaus FC vs Manauara EC AM	2-0	22%	25%	-10.8	34%	36%	-6.1	44%	51%	-13.9
24.01.26	Amazonas FC vs Manaus FC	2-1	53%	59%	-9.4	32%	35%	-9.7	15%	18%	-17.4
24.01.26	Manauara EC AM vs Nacional AM	1-1	45%	48%	-4.7	32%	35%	-9.0	23%	30%	-24.5
25.01.26	Sao Raimundo AM vs Parintins FC	0-3	25%	28%	-8.9	34%	35%	-4.5	41%	49%	-15.6
28.01.26	Parintins FC vs Nacional AM	0-1	30%	34%	-11.7	34%	36%	-6.1	35%	42%	-16.1
28.01.26	Princesa do Solimoes vs Amazonas FC	1-1	16%	21%	-22.4	28%	31%	-8.3	55%	60%	-6.8
28.01.26	Sao Raimundo AM vs Manauara EC AM	2-2	6%	7%	-13.8	17%	17%	0.5	77%	86%	-10.9
01.02.26	Princesa do Solimoes vs Manaus FC	0-0	30%	36%	-15.6	33%	35%	-4.7	37%	42%	-12.1
04.02.26	Amazonas FC vs Itacoatiara FC AM	2-0	80%	89%	-9.9	15%	14%	6.1	5%	6%	-19.0
05.02.26	Nacional AM vs Princesa do Solimoes	1-0	48%	53%	-10.3	31%	33%	-6.7	21%	26%	-20.5
08.02.26	Amazonas FC vs Nacional AM	0-0	46%	49%	-5.9	33%	36%	-9.1	21%	27%	-21.1
10.02.26	Manauara EC AM vs Parintins FC	2-1	62%	66%	-6.3	25%	29%	-11.4	13%	17%	-27.1
11.02.26	Manaus FC vs Princesa do Solimoes	2-1	42%	47%	-9.8	33%	34%	-5.4	25%	31%	-18.6

Showing the 100 most recent of 113 evaluated matches.

Filter teams

Home Ratings

8 teams

Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank	Team	Rating
1	Manauara EC AM	1796.76
2	Nacional AM	1772.43
3	Amazonas FC	1691.83
4	Manaus FC	1648.55
5	Itacoatiara FC AM	1600.00
6	Princesa do Solimoes	1570.69
7	Parintins FC	1550.62
8	Sao Raimundo AM	1400.84

Away Ratings

8 teams

Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank	Team	Rating
1	Manauara EC AM	1686.83
2	Nacional AM	1652.81
3	Manaus FC	1625.21
4	Amazonas FC	1584.10
5	Princesa do Solimoes	1550.62
6	Parintins FC	1521.88
7	Itacoatiara FC AM	1355.26
8	Sao Raimundo AM	1306.70