ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 116
Avg Goals 2.25
Avg Home 1.34
Avg Away 0.91
Home Win % 49.1%
Draw % 25.9%
Away Win % 25.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 116
Avg Brier Score 0.5071
Pick Accuracy 61.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5101
Market Brier 0.5169
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 116 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.1% 3.8% 26
10–20% 15.7% 7.7% 52
20–30% 25.6% 21.7% 106
30–40% 32.6% 38.7% 62
40–50% 44.9% 39.0% 41
50–60% 54.9% 66.7% 21
60–70% 63.4% 81.2% 16
70–80% 74.9% 88.9% 18
80–90% 84.2% 83.3% 6
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
20.01.24 Aguia Maraba vs Tuna Luso 0-0 39% 48% -17.5 32% 34% -8.5 29% 31% -5.2
20.01.24 Cameta EC vs Castanhal EC 2-2 36% 41% -12.6 31% 34% -7.8 33% 38% -12.4
20.01.24 Paysandu SC vs Santa Rosa EC PA 1-0 72% 78% -6.6 18% 21% -12.3 9% 12% -25.1
20.01.24 Sao Francisco PA vs Caete 0-1 36% 41% -11.1 31% 34% -7.9 32% 38% -13.9
21.01.24 Clube Do Remo vs Canaa FC PA 5-0 71% 75% -5.4 20% 23% -14.5 10% 13% -25.2
23.01.24 Tapajos FC vs Aguia Maraba 1-1 21% 29% -29.7 26% 31% -16.4 53% 52% 2.7
24.01.24 Caete vs Paysandu SC 0-1 18% 26% -29.2 22% 26% -12.9 60% 60% -1.2
24.01.24 Santa Rosa EC PA vs Sao Francisco PA 0-1 45% 48% -5.3 29% 32% -10.1 26% 33% -22.3
24.01.24 Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA 2-2 57% 56% 1.2 25% 31% -18.9 17% 25% -30.1
25.01.24 Castanhal EC vs Clube Do Remo 0-1 19% 24% -21.8 27% 31% -10.9 54% 57% -6.3
27.01.24 Aguia Maraba vs Paysandu SC 0-3 28% 36% -22.1 28% 31% -7.5 43% 45% -4.9
28.01.24 Bragantino PA vs Sao Francisco PA 2-1 49% 50% -1.7 28% 31% -11.9 23% 31% -25.4
28.01.24 Santa Rosa EC PA vs Castanhal EC 1-0 24% 28% -13.0 29% 31% -5.8 47% 53% -12.4
28.01.24 Tuna Luso vs Cameta EC 3-0 50% 52% -2.8 28% 32% -12.9 22% 29% -24.6
01.02.24 Cameta EC vs Tapajos FC 2-0 52% 55% -4.7 28% 31% -11.4 20% 26% -22.2
03.02.24 Caete vs Bragantino PA 1-1 41% 41% 0.2 30% 34% -10.3 29% 37% -22.5
03.02.24 Santa Rosa EC PA vs Aguia Maraba 1-1 25% 31% -21.4 30% 33% -10.5 46% 48% -4.2
04.02.24 Castanhal EC vs Tuna Luso 2-2 37% 40% -7.4 30% 32% -6.7 33% 40% -17.8
04.02.24 Paysandu SC vs Clube Do Remo 0-0 41% 47% -11.1 31% 34% -8.6 28% 32% -14.1
04.02.24 Sao Francisco PA vs Cameta EC 1-1 35% 41% -14.1 30% 32% -6.2 35% 39% -11.6
08.02.24 Canaa FC PA vs Santa Rosa EC PA 0-0 41% 42% -2.3 31% 35% -11.3 28% 36% -22.0
08.02.24 Castanhal EC vs Caete 2-3 48% 50% -4.4 29% 32% -11.0 23% 30% -22.6
08.02.24 Paysandu SC vs Bragantino PA 2-1 75% 77% -2.5 17% 22% -23.7 8% 12% -32.6
08.02.24 Sao Francisco PA vs Aguia Maraba 0-1 28% 36% -22.8 30% 34% -10.6 42% 42% -1.3
09.02.24 Clube Do Remo vs Tuna Luso 2-3 64% 68% -5.8 22% 26% -12.9 14% 18% -25.4
15.02.24 Tapajos FC vs Clube Do Remo 1-3 6% 10% -32.2 18% 24% -25.8 76% 78% -2.1
17.02.24 Aguia Maraba vs Caete 1-0 50% 55% -8.7 29% 32% -10.0 21% 26% -17.8
18.02.24 Bragantino PA vs Santa Rosa EC PA 0-1 48% 51% -5.5 30% 34% -12.2 22% 29% -21.3
18.02.24 Cameta EC vs Paysandu SC 0-1 14% 19% -28.4 24% 29% -18.0 62% 63% -1.7
18.02.24 Tapajos FC vs Castanhal EC 0-2 34% 42% -19.7 30% 32% -7.1 36% 38% -6.0
18.02.24 Tuna Luso vs Canaa FC PA 1-0 63% 67% -5.5 23% 27% -13.5 13% 17% -24.1
24.02.24 Castanhal EC vs Sao Francisco PA 0-0 50% 54% -7.2 29% 32% -10.9 21% 26% -20.0
25.02.24 Cameta EC vs Bragantino PA 1-0 39% 44% -12.1 31% 33% -7.7 30% 35% -13.4
25.02.24 Clube Do Remo vs Aguia Maraba 2-0 72% 72% -1.3 19% 26% -24.3 9% 13% -32.0
25.02.24 Tuna Luso vs Santa Rosa EC PA 4-0 61% 62% -2.2 24% 29% -16.5 15% 21% -27.9
29.02.24 Clube Do Remo vs Sao Francisco PA 1-1 79% 80% -1.4 14% 20% -28.8 7% 11% -34.6
03.03.24 Aguia Maraba vs Cameta EC 1-0 49% 53% -6.2 29% 32% -10.3 22% 27% -19.8
03.03.24 Bragantino PA vs Clube Do Remo 1-0 19% 26% -27.9 25% 29% -13.4 56% 57% -1.5
03.03.24 Caete vs Tuna Luso 2-2 28% 33% -15.7 30% 32% -6.9 42% 47% -9.9
03.03.24 Paysandu SC vs Castanhal EC 3-0 77% 81% -4.2 15% 19% -19.9 7% 11% -30.7
03.03.24 Santa Rosa EC PA vs Tapajos FC 1-0 41% 45% -9.0 30% 32% -7.7 29% 35% -17.8
03.03.24 Sao Francisco PA vs Canaa FC PA 2-0 49% 55% -11.2 29% 31% -7.2 22% 26% -13.5
09.03.24 Aguia Maraba vs Caete 2-0 52% 56% -7.8 29% 32% -11.2 19% 24% -18.9
09.03.24 Sao Francisco PA vs Tuna Luso 1-0 22% 28% -20.4 29% 32% -10.0 49% 52% -5.7
10.03.24 Santa Rosa EC PA vs Clube Do Remo 0-3 11% 16% -32.0 21% 27% -23.0 68% 68% -0.3
16.03.24 Clube Do Remo vs Santa Rosa EC PA 2-0 81% 83% -2.2 14% 20% -28.7 5% 7% -33.6
17.03.24 Caete vs Aguia Maraba 0-2 28% 34% -19.6 31% 35% -10.4 41% 43% -5.6
17.03.24 Paysandu SC vs Bragantino PA 3-1 78% 82% -4.7 15% 19% -19.0 6% 9% -28.8
17.03.24 Tuna Luso vs Sao Francisco PA 2-1 61% 62% -2.3 24% 29% -15.8 15% 21% -27.4
28.03.24 Aguia Maraba vs Paysandu SC 1-1 22% 30% -26.7 28% 32% -13.7 50% 50% -0.1
29.03.24 Tuna Luso vs Clube Do Remo 1-2 21% 26% -20.4 27% 29% -8.0 52% 56% -8.0
18.01.25 Clube Do Remo vs Sao Francisco PA 5-0 80% 83% -4.0 14% 19% -24.6 6% 8% -32.1
19.01.25 Castanhal EC vs Caete 1-0 43% 48% -9.4 30% 33% -9.2 27% 32% -17.6
19.01.25 Paysandu SC vs Capitao Poco EC PA 4-1 88% 93% -5.0 10% 13% -23.2 2% 3% -28.3
19.01.25 Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA 2-1 56% 61% -7.0 26% 29% -9.7 18% 23% -21.4
25.01.25 Aguia Maraba vs Paysandu SC 2-4 12% 19% -34.4 22% 29% -26.8 66% 64% 3.6
25.01.25 Bragantino PA vs Santa Rosa EC PA 1-0 55% 60% -8.4 27% 30% -9.8 18% 22% -18.5
25.01.25 Sao Francisco PA vs Castanhal EC 0-2 24% 28% -14.8 30% 33% -8.9 46% 51% -10.4
26.01.25 Caete vs Clube Do Remo 0-4 7% 10% -29.3 17% 22% -20.2 76% 79% -4.0
29.01.25 Cameta EC vs Santa Rosa EC PA 2-1 58% 59% -2.1 26% 31% -16.4 16% 22% -26.6
29.01.25 Paysandu SC vs Tuna Luso 2-1 72% 76% -5.2 19% 23% -16.1 9% 12% -26.7
30.01.25 Aguia Maraba vs Clube Do Remo 0-1 10% 15% -31.8 22% 29% -23.9 68% 67% 1.0
01.02.25 Tuna Luso vs Cameta EC 3-0 52% 56% -7.0 27% 29% -8.9 21% 27% -21.4
02.02.25 Castanhal EC vs Aguia Maraba 1-1 47% 49% -4.0 29% 33% -11.9 24% 31% -22.7
04.02.25 Clube Do Remo vs Capitao Poco EC PA 2-2 88% 92% -4.4 9% 12% -23.4 3% 4% -31.0
09.02.25 Bragantino PA vs Paysandu SC 0-0 16% 23% -32.0 25% 32% -22.4 59% 56% 4.9
09.02.25 Tuna Luso vs Clube Do Remo 0-3 16% 21% -24.9 27% 31% -15.2 58% 60% -4.0
10.02.25 Sao Francisco PA vs Aguia Maraba 2-3 27% 29% -9.5 32% 35% -9.5 42% 49% -14.7
15.02.25 Aguia Maraba vs Caete 1-0 64% 66% -3.0 23% 28% -17.0 13% 18% -27.6
16.02.25 Castanhal EC vs Tuna Luso 2-2 41% 45% -10.5 30% 32% -6.4 29% 34% -14.1
16.02.25 Clube Do Remo vs Santa Rosa EC PA 1-0 81% 83% -1.7 13% 18% -29.4 6% 9% -34.5
18.02.25 Paysandu SC vs Independente AC Tucurui 1-0 82% 87% -5.3 13% 16% -20.9 5% 7% -30.4
22.02.25 Aguia Maraba vs Independente AC Tucurui 0-0 61% 68% -10.8 25% 26% -6.6 14% 17% -14.3
23.02.25 Castanhal EC vs Cameta EC 3-1 47% 51% -9.1 31% 35% -10.7 22% 26% -14.0
23.02.25 Clube Do Remo vs Paysandu SC 1-1 43% 48% -9.9 34% 38% -12.9 24% 27% -12.7
24.02.25 Sao Francisco PA vs Tuna Luso 2-1 23% 29% -20.4 28% 31% -8.6 49% 53% -6.7
02.03.25 Paysandu SC vs Castanhal EC 2-0 63% 65% -1.6 24% 29% -18.6 13% 17% -27.6
02.03.25 Santa Rosa EC PA vs Sao Francisco PA 1-0 49% 51% -5.0 29% 33% -12.5 22% 29% -22.6
02.03.25 Tuna Luso vs Caete 2-1 73% 76% -4.3 18% 22% -18.0 9% 13% -29.2
29.03.25 Bragantino PA vs Aguia Maraba 0-0 35% 43% -17.4 32% 35% -8.8 33% 35% -5.8
29.03.25 Paysandu SC vs Capitao Poco EC PA 2-0 79% 83% -5.5 15% 18% -16.5 6% 8% -26.8
30.03.25 Castanhal EC vs Tuna Luso 3-3 36% 40% -10.1 30% 32% -6.3 34% 40% -15.4
30.03.25 Clube Do Remo vs Santa Rosa EC PA 2-0 85% 88% -2.6 11% 16% -31.1 4% 5% -34.5
02.04.25 Paysandu SC vs Aguia Maraba 3-1 74% 78% -5.9 18% 22% -15.3 8% 11% -25.3
03.04.25 Clube Do Remo vs Tuna Luso 2-1 71% 72% -1.8 20% 26% -22.6 9% 13% -30.2
08.05.25 Paysandu SC vs Clube Do Remo 2-3 31% 36% -14.3 33% 36% -10.3 37% 41% -10.0
11.05.25 Clube Do Remo vs Paysandu SC 0-1 40% 42% -3.8 30% 33% -9.4 30% 38% -21.2
24.01.26 Clube Do Remo vs Bragantino PA 2-1 75% 81% -7.2 18% 20% -10.6 7% 9% -19.9
25.01.26 Aguia Maraba vs Santa Rosa EC PA 2-0 65% 66% -1.4 23% 29% -20.0 12% 17% -29.0
25.01.26 Paysandu SC vs Sao Raimundo EC Santarem PA 2-0 64% 69% -7.8 23% 26% -9.7 13% 16% -19.8
31.01.26 Bragantino PA vs Cameta EC 1-1 42% 50% -15.8 31% 34% -8.0 27% 29% -6.5
31.01.26 Castanhal EC vs Santa Rosa EC PA 1-0 62% 63% -2.8 25% 29% -16.7 14% 19% -26.6
31.01.26 Sao Francisco PA vs Clube Do Remo 0-0 17% 25% -31.0 27% 34% -21.4 56% 53% 5.8
01.02.26 Paysandu SC vs Capitao Poco EC PA 1-0 74% 80% -8.1 19% 21% -11.1 8% 10% -20.7
01.02.26 Tuna Luso vs Aguia Maraba 0-2 41% 43% -4.4 32% 36% -10.9 27% 34% -18.9
04.02.26 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu SC 1-0 25% 26% -4.8 31% 33% -7.4 44% 53% -16.3
05.02.26 Capitao Poco EC PA vs Bragantino PA 2-1 28% 36% -23.3 31% 34% -11.3 42% 42% -0.4
06.02.26 Clube Do Remo vs Aguia Maraba 3-0 46% 52% -11.8 30% 32% -7.8 25% 29% -14.1
07.02.26 Castanhal EC vs Tuna Luso 0-1 46% 50% -7.1 29% 32% -10.2 25% 31% -21.3
08.02.26 Paysandu SC vs Clube Do Remo 1-1 26% 29% -11.2 31% 34% -8.9 42% 49% -13.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 116 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Clube Do Remo 1821.12
2 Paysandu SC 1806.67
3 Aguia Maraba 1704.14
4 Castanhal EC 1667.06
5 Cameta EC 1603.19
6 Bragantino PA 1584.57
7 Tuna Luso 1576.44
8 Capitao Poco EC PA 1573.97
9 Santa Rosa EC PA 1541.72
10 Amazonia IFC PA 1469.43
11 Sao Francisco PA 1459.37
12 Sao Raimundo EC Santarem PA 1450.73

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Clube Do Remo 1703.98
2 Paysandu SC 1681.56
3 Aguia Maraba 1537.54
4 Cameta EC 1510.01
5 Tuna Luso 1500.14
6 Amazonia IFC PA 1495.65
7 Castanhal EC 1480.17
8 Bragantino PA 1445.95
9 Sao Francisco PA 1426.05
10 Santa Rosa EC PA 1370.32
11 Sao Raimundo EC Santarem PA 1342.28
12 Capitao Poco EC PA 1314.23