ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 123
Avg Goals 2.99
Avg Home 1.63
Avg Away 1.36
Home Win % 46.3%
Draw % 15.4%
Away Win % 38.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 123
Avg Brier Score 0.4577
Pick Accuracy 68.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.4614
Market Brier 0.4771
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 6
Value Bet Hit Rate 33.3%
ROI (flat stake) -35.8%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 6 of 123 matches had at least one · staked 6.00, profit -2.15 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 3 33.3% 3.00 -1.00 -33.3%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 3 33.3% 3.00 -1.15 -38.3%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.9% 4.3% 23
10–20% 15.5% 6.4% 78
20–30% 24.2% 19.7% 122
30–40% 34.0% 41.4% 29
40–50% 44.6% 48.4% 31
50–60% 53.7% 59.3% 27
60–70% 64.0% 81.2% 32
70–80% 75.3% 94.4% 18
80–90% 82.8% 75.0% 8
90–100% 90.5% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
19.08.23 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Messager Ngozi 1-2 30% 30% -2.4 24% 30% -20.4 46% 53% -12.1
20.08.23 Vital'O FC vs Tel Aviv FC 3-1 63% 64% -1.3 21% 27% -23.3 16% 21% -22.0
27.08.23 Rukinzo FC vs Musongati FC 1-0 39% 41% -3.8 28% 36% -22.9 33% 36% -8.4
02.09.23 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Aigle Noir FC 0-1 25% 29% -12.5 22% 28% -20.6 53% 56% -5.8
02.09.23 Sports Dynamic vs Magara Young Boys 2-1 27% 32% -15.1 26% 35% -24.0 46% 45% 1.5
03.09.23 Kayanza United vs Tel Aviv FC 1-0 53% 57% -7.0 25% 31% -21.1 22% 24% -6.7
03.09.23 Vital'O FC vs Rukinzo FC 3-0 51% 48% 7.0 26% 35% -25.2 23% 29% -22.5
09.09.23 Magara Young Boys vs LLB Amasipiri FC 1-3 43% 43% 0.4 25% 31% -20.6 32% 38% -15.7
09.09.23 Rukinzo FC vs AS Inter Star 2-1 62% 61% 2.2 22% 30% -26.3 16% 21% -25.4
10.09.23 Bumamuru FC vs Tel Aviv FC 2-0 78% 81% -3.7 14% 19% -25.6 8% 11% -26.7
15.09.23 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Tigre Noir Ruyigi 0-0 46% 44% 2.8 25% 32% -22.0 29% 36% -18.4
16.09.23 AS Inter Star vs Messager Ngozi 2-2 25% 29% -13.2 24% 31% -22.6 51% 53% -3.1
16.09.23 Tel Aviv FC vs Moso Sugar Company 1-0 29% 29% -2.4 23% 29% -18.8 48% 54% -11.0
17.09.23 Flambeau du Centre vs Magara Young Boys 2-1 68% 67% 0.8 19% 26% -25.9 13% 18% -26.9
17.09.23 Vital'O FC vs Olympic Star 1-0 70% 75% -6.0 19% 25% -22.3 10% 12% -10.9
22.09.23 Rukinzo FC vs Tel Aviv FC 2-0 66% 63% 4.2 21% 29% -28.2 13% 18% -28.6
23.09.23 Magara Young Boys vs Musongati FC 0-2 27% 30% -11.9 23% 29% -20.9 50% 53% -4.9
23.09.23 Messager Ngozi vs Kayanza United 1-0 64% 67% -3.4 21% 27% -22.3 15% 17% -16.3
23.09.23 Sports Dynamic vs LLB Amasipiri FC 0-2 38% 41% -7.5 26% 33% -21.4 36% 38% -6.3
24.09.23 Bumamuru FC vs Moso Sugar Company 1-1 67% 66% 0.4 20% 27% -26.0 13% 18% -25.9
30.09.23 Moso Sugar Company vs Rukinzo FC 0-1 28% 31% -9.5 27% 36% -23.7 45% 47% -3.4
01.10.23 Flambeau du Centre vs Sports Dynamic 2-0 56% 50% 11.6 25% 36% -28.9 19% 27% -29.4
01.10.23 Vital'O FC vs Magara Young Boys 5-0 83% 87% -4.3 12% 16% -26.8 5% 7% -26.9
03.10.23 Tel Aviv FC vs Messager Ngozi 1-1 15% 17% -16.4 20% 27% -24.7 65% 68% -3.9
04.10.23 Musongati FC vs Tigre Noir Ruyigi 2-0 56% 55% 2.5 25% 34% -25.3 18% 23% -20.5
06.10.23 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Flambeau du Centre 2-3 24% 23% 2.1 25% 31% -21.0 52% 58% -10.5
06.10.23 Magara Young Boys vs AS Inter Star 1-4 16% 18% -10.7 20% 26% -21.9 64% 68% -6.3
07.10.23 Musongati FC vs Sports Dynamic 2-0 60% 58% 2.3 22% 29% -25.2 18% 24% -25.4
08.10.23 Bumamuru FC vs Rukinzo FC 2-0 61% 68% -10.9 22% 26% -18.1 18% 17% 2.4
13.10.23 Tel Aviv FC vs Aigle Noir FC 1-3 16% 21% -21.5 21% 29% -26.4 63% 63% -1.1
14.10.23 AS Inter Star vs Tigre Noir Ruyigi 1-0 55% 55% 0.2 25% 32% -23.8 20% 25% -18.7
15.10.23 Vital'O FC vs Sports Dynamic 0-1 84% 88% -3.8 11% 15% -25.7 5% 6% -25.9
21.10.23 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Vital'O FC 1-2 16% 22% -27.4 19% 26% -27.4 65% 64% 2.4
21.10.23 Sports Dynamic vs AS Inter Star 3-0 37% 41% -9.1 26% 32% -20.8 37% 39% -4.8
22.10.23 Bumamuru FC vs Messager Ngozi 1-1 51% 57% -10.5 24% 29% -18.8 25% 25% 0.0
28.10.23 AS Inter Star vs LLB Amasipiri FC 0-1 54% 52% 4.8 24% 32% -24.5 21% 28% -23.1
04.11.23 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Kayanza United 2-0 44% 49% -10.0 26% 32% -20.4 30% 31% -1.2
04.11.23 Magara Young Boys vs Rukinzo FC 0-4 12% 15% -24.3 17% 23% -26.7 72% 73% -1.8
05.11.23 Bumamuru FC vs Olympic Star 2-0 68% 76% -10.8 20% 24% -16.8 13% 11% 13.7
05.11.23 Sports Dynamic vs Tel Aviv FC 7-3 63% 62% 0.3 23% 30% -25.6 15% 19% -22.4
08.11.23 Bumamuru FC vs Kayanza United 2-1 76% 85% -10.9 13% 14% -6.7 10% 10% 5.0
10.11.23 Rukinzo FC vs Tigre Noir Ruyigi 3-0 66% 67% -1.0 21% 29% -25.3 12% 15% -20.8
11.11.23 AS Inter Star vs Musongati FC 0-3 33% 33% -0.2 27% 34% -21.7 40% 44% -10.6
11.11.23 Tel Aviv FC vs LLB Amasipiri FC 1-0 26% 27% -5.7 23% 29% -20.5 51% 56% -9.0
12.11.23 Vital'O FC vs Bumamuru FC 1-0 43% 45% -4.7 26% 33% -21.2 30% 33% -8.7
17.11.23 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Moso Sugar Company 1-0 48% 49% -0.9 26% 33% -22.5 26% 30% -14.8
17.11.23 Sports Dynamic vs Rukinzo FC 2-4 31% 38% -17.6 25% 32% -22.6 44% 42% 4.1
18.11.23 Flambeau du Centre vs Tel Aviv FC 4-1 79% 79% -0.4 14% 20% -32.0 7% 11% -34.0
18.11.23 Magara Young Boys vs Olympic Star 2-3 16% 22% -25.9 20% 28% -27.6 64% 62% 2.1
18.11.23 Vital'O FC vs AS Inter Star 3-0 74% 76% -2.4 17% 23% -27.0 9% 12% -26.2
19.11.23 Bumamuru FC vs Aigle Noir FC 1-1 53% 56% -4.2 24% 31% -21.7 23% 26% -13.7
25.11.23 Rukinzo FC vs LLB Amasipiri FC 3-2 65% 66% -1.1 19% 26% -24.4 16% 21% -25.3
26.11.23 AS Inter Star vs Bumamuru FC 2-4 6% 8% -24.9 14% 19% -28.8 80% 83% -3.0
26.11.23 Tel Aviv FC vs Musongati FC 1-5 11% 15% -27.0 15% 21% -27.7 74% 76% -2.2
19.01.24 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Rukinzo FC 0-2 29% 33% -12.9 25% 32% -22.0 46% 47% -1.5
19.01.24 Sports Dynamic vs Messager Ngozi 1-2 25% 30% -17.4 24% 31% -23.6 51% 51% -0.4
20.01.24 Magara Young Boys vs Aigle Noir FC 0-2 8% 11% -28.5 13% 19% -29.2 78% 80% -2.1
21.01.24 Vital'O FC vs Kayanza United 2-0 76% 81% -5.2 14% 18% -20.8 9% 11% -20.2
23.01.24 Rukinzo FC vs Sports Dynamic 3-3 66% 67% -1.7 20% 27% -24.4 14% 17% -21.7
24.01.24 AS Inter Star vs Vital'O FC 0-3 12% 16% -24.7 21% 29% -29.3 67% 67% 0.7
27.01.24 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Tel Aviv FC 1-1 62% 60% 3.0 22% 29% -26.9 16% 23% -27.8
27.01.24 Magara Young Boys vs Messager Ngozi 0-5 9% 12% -24.3 16% 22% -27.7 75% 77% -2.4
27.01.24 Sports Dynamic vs Moso Sugar Company 4-0 45% 48% -4.8 26% 33% -21.5 28% 31% -8.8
28.01.24 Bumamuru FC vs Vital'O FC 0-1 41% 38% 8.4 25% 31% -21.2 34% 43% -20.7
28.01.24 Musongati FC vs AS Inter Star 2-1 82% 83% -2.1 13% 19% -31.0 5% 8% -31.8
31.01.24 Bumamuru FC vs AS Inter Star 4-0 67% 62% 8.1 19% 29% -32.9 14% 22% -35.1
03.02.24 Tel Aviv FC vs Sports Dynamic 2-4 21% 25% -15.1 22% 28% -21.9 57% 59% -2.9
04.02.24 AS Inter Star vs Flambeau du Centre 0-2 15% 19% -18.7 20% 27% -24.9 64% 67% -3.3
04.02.24 Vital'O FC vs Musongati FC 3-0 42% 42% 0.8 26% 34% -22.1 32% 37% -14.7
09.02.24 Bumamuru FC vs Musongati FC 1-1 41% 37% 10.2 26% 33% -22.7 33% 43% -21.5
10.02.24 LLB Amasipiri FC vs AS Inter Star 1-1 54% 53% 2.9 24% 31% -23.4 22% 28% -21.2
11.02.24 Magara Young Boys vs Moso Sugar Company 3-3 7% 8% -12.8 18% 25% -27.3 75% 78% -3.8
11.02.24 Sports Dynamic vs Kayanza United 4-3 44% 51% -12.4 25% 32% -21.1 30% 30% -0.0
16.02.24 AS Inter Star vs Sports Dynamic 2-0 19% 21% -6.6 21% 26% -19.9 60% 66% -8.8
17.02.24 Vital'O FC vs LLB Amasipiri FC 2-2 81% 83% -2.6 13% 18% -29.4 6% 9% -30.8
18.02.24 Musongati FC vs Flambeau du Centre 1-0 43% 41% 4.7 26% 33% -22.3 31% 38% -18.4
18.02.24 Rukinzo FC vs Olympic Star 1-2 41% 43% -5.6 24% 30% -19.6 35% 38% -10.1
20.02.24 Sports Dynamic vs Vital'O FC 0-1 18% 22% -18.9 20% 26% -23.4 63% 65% -2.8
21.02.24 Bumamuru FC vs Flambeau du Centre 0-1 42% 35% 20.6 26% 34% -24.7 32% 43% -26.4
21.02.24 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Musongati FC 1-2 17% 23% -24.3 20% 27% -26.0 63% 62% 1.3
24.02.24 AS Inter Star vs Magara Young Boys 2-0 72% 71% 0.5 16% 22% -27.6 12% 18% -31.4
24.02.24 Vital'O FC vs Tigre Noir Ruyigi 3-0 82% 85% -3.1 13% 18% -28.7 5% 7% -28.4
25.02.24 Rukinzo FC vs Bumamuru FC 0-1 46% 47% -1.7 25% 32% -21.6 29% 34% -14.5
01.03.24 Rukinzo FC vs Moso Sugar Company 1-0 69% 69% -1.0 20% 27% -26.2 11% 15% -23.9
02.03.24 Bumamuru FC vs LLB Amasipiri FC 1-2 63% 61% 4.6 21% 29% -27.2 16% 22% -28.8
02.03.24 Magara Young Boys vs Vital'O FC 1-2 2% 3% -35.0 7% 11% -35.0 91% 93% -3.1
09.03.24 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Sports Dynamic 1-2 45% 47% -4.2 25% 32% -21.2 30% 34% -11.4
09.03.24 Vital'O FC vs Aigle Noir FC 3-0 62% 62% -0.4 23% 30% -25.5 16% 20% -22.2
10.03.24 Flambeau du Centre vs Tigre Noir Ruyigi 2-1 77% 79% -2.5 16% 23% -28.5 7% 10% -27.1
10.03.24 Tel Aviv FC vs Rukinzo FC 1-4 10% 14% -32.6 14% 20% -31.6 77% 76% 0.5
23.08.24 Academie Deira FC vs Royal Vision 2026 5-0 52% 53% -1.9 25% 31% -21.4 24% 28% -14.3
30.08.24 AS Inter Star vs Ngozi City FC 3-2 45% 47% -2.2 25% 32% -21.1 29% 33% -12.8
30.08.24 Sports Dynamic vs Kayanza United 1-1 51% 56% -9.8 24% 30% -20.0 25% 26% -3.3
01.09.24 Musongati FC vs LLB Amasipiri FC 9-1 78% 80% -2.8 15% 21% -27.8 7% 10% -27.9
01.09.24 Rukinzo FC vs Aigle Noir FC 2-2 46% 48% -3.9 25% 31% -20.5 29% 33% -11.9
06.09.24 Academie Deira FC vs Moso Sugar Company 2-1 50% 50% 0.2 25% 33% -23.9 25% 30% -19.1
06.09.24 LLB Amasipiri FC vs Sports Dynamic 1-2 47% 52% -9.3 25% 31% -20.3 28% 29% -4.5
07.09.24 Aigle Noir FC vs Royal Vision 2026 2-0 60% 58% 3.0 24% 32% -27.1 16% 22% -25.4
07.09.24 Vital'O FC vs Flambeau du Centre 2-2 50% 55% -8.4 25% 32% -21.2 25% 26% -4.3
08.09.24 Bumamuru FC vs Musongati FC 0-0 32% 32% -2.2 25% 31% -19.7 44% 49% -10.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 123 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Flambeau du Centre 1847.49
2 Bumamuru FC 1771.69
3 Musongati FC 1771.21
4 Vital'O FC 1719.95
5 Olympic Star 1718.06
6 Aigle Noir FC 1708.02
7 Rukinzo FC 1697.55
8 Kayanza United 1684.40
9 Messager Ngozi 1666.40
10 Sports Dynamic 1544.15
11 Royal Vision 2026 1514.27
12 AS Inter Star 1494.74
13 LLB Amasipiri FC 1494.46
14 Ngozi City FC 1491.23
15 Moso Sugar Company 1393.71
16 Academie Deira FC 1387.09

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Vital'O FC 1812.82
2 Rukinzo FC 1692.89
3 Messager Ngozi 1646.53
4 Bumamuru FC 1621.42
5 Musongati FC 1617.76
6 Kayanza United 1550.22
7 Academie Deira FC 1550.00
8 Flambeau du Centre 1539.83
9 Aigle Noir FC 1513.50
10 Olympic Star 1476.27
11 LLB Amasipiri FC 1474.92
12 Moso Sugar Company 1466.48
13 Ngozi City FC 1462.12
14 Sports Dynamic 1429.18
15 AS Inter Star 1427.69
16 Royal Vision 2026 1373.77