ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 416
Avg Goals 3.52
Avg Home 1.77
Avg Away 1.75
Home Win % 42.5%
Draw % 15.9%
Away Win % 41.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 416
Avg Brier Score 0.4773
Pick Accuracy 64.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.4775
Market Brier 0.4750
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 45
Value Bet Hit Rate 2.2%
ROI (flat stake) -80.6%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
  • 73.3% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 42 of 416 matches had at least one · staked 45.00, profit -36.25 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 9 0.0% 9.00 -9.00 -100.0%
draw 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
away 33 3.0% 33.00 -24.25 -73.5%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.8% 4.4% 91
10–20% 16.0% 10.2% 284
20–30% 23.8% 22.3% 373
30–40% 34.7% 37.9% 103
40–50% 45.2% 48.7% 115
50–60% 55.2% 51.1% 94
60–70% 65.1% 75.8% 95
70–80% 74.7% 88.5% 52
80–90% 84.5% 93.9% 33
90–100% 92.4% 100.0% 8
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Prey Veng vs Nagaworld FC 4-5 19% 19% 1.0 21% 23% -9.5 60% 69% -13.3
05.08.23 Visakha FC vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 2-0 88% 96% -8.3 8% 8% -3.8 4% 4% 7.6
06.08.23 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Angkor Tiger 1-0 36% 36% 1.0 24% 29% -14.7 40% 49% -18.9
06.08.23 National Defense Ministry FC vs Svay Rieng 0-2 21% 22% -7.4 22% 25% -13.1 58% 65% -10.6
06.08.23 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Boeung Ket FC 2-1 59% 70% -15.5 20% 22% -8.6 21% 20% 3.1
11.08.23 Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 2-1 35% 38% -9.4 24% 27% -12.2 41% 47% -10.9
12.08.23 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Prey Veng 0-5 46% 49% -6.3 22% 26% -12.3 32% 38% -15.7
12.08.23 Nagaworld FC vs Visakha FC 1-4 34% 38% -9.2 24% 28% -12.9 42% 47% -10.7
13.08.23 Boeung Ket FC vs Angkor Tiger 4-1 61% 71% -13.4 19% 20% -7.0 20% 21% -4.3
13.08.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs National Defense Ministry FC 1-1 23% 28% -18.1 20% 24% -14.3 57% 60% -5.6
19.08.23 Angkor Tiger vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 2-0 46% 50% -8.9 22% 25% -11.0 32% 37% -13.1
20.08.23 Prey Veng vs Boeung Ket FC 1-1 21% 23% -7.6 21% 24% -11.5 58% 65% -10.7
20.08.23 Svay Rieng vs Nagaworld FC 1-0 59% 68% -13.5 22% 25% -12.3 19% 18% 3.5
20.08.23 Visakha FC vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 4-0 81% 91% -11.4 13% 13% -4.1 7% 5% 34.0
26.08.23 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Svay Rieng 1-2 8% 8% -8.1 13% 15% -14.6 79% 86% -8.1
27.08.23 Angkor Tiger vs National Defense Ministry FC 0-3 30% 34% -11.7 24% 28% -13.7 46% 51% -8.7
27.08.23 Boeung Ket FC vs Visakha FC 4-2 28% 30% -7.0 23% 27% -13.1 48% 56% -13.0
27.08.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs Prey Veng 1-2 21% 21% -2.2 19% 20% -5.8 61% 70% -14.0
27.08.23 Nagaworld FC vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 2-3 22% 24% -8.2 22% 25% -12.4 56% 62% -10.3
30.08.23 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs National Defense Ministry FC 1-0 74% 85% -13.2 16% 17% -4.8 11% 9% 21.9
16.09.23 Prey Veng vs National Defense Ministry FC 0-3 36% 42% -14.6 24% 27% -12.6 41% 43% -6.2
16.09.23 Svay Rieng vs Angkor Tiger 5-2 83% 92% -9.0 11% 11% -7.1 6% 6% 6.7
17.09.23 Boeung Ket FC vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 2-0 70% 78% -10.3 16% 17% -8.6 15% 16% -8.9
17.09.23 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Nagaworld FC 1-1 20% 23% -15.4 20% 24% -15.0 60% 65% -7.8
17.09.23 Visakha FC vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 0-1 38% 44% -13.7 24% 28% -13.5 38% 41% -7.9
23.09.23 Angkor Tiger vs Prey Veng 1-2 28% 29% -4.3 23% 26% -11.2 49% 57% -14.1
24.09.23 Nagaworld FC vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 1-1 64% 71% -10.0 18% 21% -12.2 18% 20% -11.7
24.09.23 Visakha FC vs Svay Rieng 0-1 31% 34% -10.7 25% 29% -15.0 44% 49% -9.4
25.09.23 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 4-2 78% 88% -11.1 14% 14% -5.2 8% 7% 14.1
29.09.23 Boeung Ket FC vs Nagaworld FC 3-1 41% 47% -11.4 24% 28% -13.7 35% 39% -11.2
29.09.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 0-1 46% 54% -15.0 22% 25% -10.4 32% 33% -5.0
30.09.23 Angkor Tiger vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 0-3 10% 10% 8.7 14% 15% -3.3 75% 85% -11.9
30.09.23 Prey Veng vs Svay Rieng 3-5 13% 14% -6.7 18% 21% -13.5 69% 76% -10.1
21.10.23 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Prey Veng 3-1 78% 88% -12.2 14% 14% -1.3 9% 7% 25.9
22.10.23 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Boeung Ket FC 2-1 17% 18% -9.1 19% 22% -12.7 64% 72% -10.4
22.10.23 Nagaworld FC vs National Defense Ministry FC 2-1 45% 53% -14.0 24% 27% -12.2 31% 32% -3.9
22.10.23 Svay Rieng vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 2-1 78% 85% -9.0 13% 15% -9.7 9% 9% -2.3
22.10.23 Visakha FC vs Angkor Tiger 2-1 77% 85% -10.5 14% 15% -8.2 9% 9% 3.2
28.10.23 Boeung Ket FC vs Svay Rieng 1-3 28% 31% -10.6 23% 27% -13.2 49% 55% -10.5
29.10.23 Angkor Tiger vs Nagaworld FC 0-0 22% 23% -3.9 22% 26% -12.7 56% 64% -12.4
29.10.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 1-0 10% 10% 2.4 15% 17% -9.6 75% 84% -10.6
29.10.23 Prey Veng vs Visakha FC 0-2 15% 15% 0.6 18% 20% -9.0 67% 76% -12.4
04.11.23 Boeung Ket FC vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 5-5 23% 25% -7.4 23% 26% -13.4 54% 61% -10.8
04.11.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs Visakha FC 0-2 15% 15% -3.6 18% 20% -10.1 67% 76% -11.3
04.11.23 Nagaworld FC vs Prey Veng 0-4 54% 62% -13.5 23% 26% -12.1 24% 24% -2.7
05.11.23 Angkor Tiger vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 2-1 34% 37% -8.2 23% 27% -12.1 43% 49% -12.7
05.11.23 Svay Rieng vs National Defense Ministry FC 1-0 53% 60% -12.6 22% 26% -12.5 25% 27% -6.7
25.11.23 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Svay Rieng 0-0 41% 48% -13.3 24% 28% -13.5 35% 38% -8.2
25.11.23 Prey Veng vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 0-1 49% 56% -13.5 22% 24% -10.0 29% 31% -6.6
25.11.23 Visakha FC vs Nagaworld FC 1-1 63% 75% -15.0 20% 22% -8.4 17% 15% 12.3
26.11.23 Angkor Tiger vs Boeung Ket FC 3-3 21% 23% -6.0 21% 23% -10.6 58% 66% -12.4
26.11.23 National Defense Ministry FC vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 4-2 53% 60% -11.1 23% 27% -13.9 24% 26% -8.2
02.12.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs Angkor Tiger 1-3 43% 48% -9.6 24% 28% -13.5 33% 37% -11.2
03.12.23 Boeung Ket FC vs Prey Veng 2-2 50% 57% -12.4 22% 25% -11.3 28% 30% -8.4
03.12.23 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Visakha FC 1-1 13% 14% -8.7 17% 19% -12.3 70% 78% -10.1
04.12.23 National Defense Ministry FC vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 0-3 18% 19% -6.1 20% 22% -11.3 62% 70% -11.4
08.12.23 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Nagaworld FC 1-1 69% 79% -13.7 19% 22% -11.0 12% 10% 21.3
09.12.23 Svay Rieng vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 1-2 75% 83% -9.7 16% 18% -12.3 9% 9% 4.0
10.12.23 National Defense Ministry FC vs Angkor Tiger 3-1 50% 55% -8.9 23% 27% -13.9 27% 31% -12.7
10.12.23 Prey Veng vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 2-2 54% 64% -14.9 22% 24% -10.7 24% 24% -1.6
10.12.23 Visakha FC vs Boeung Ket FC 2-0 49% 56% -12.0 23% 26% -12.9 28% 30% -8.9
16.12.23 Angkor Tiger vs Svay Rieng 1-7 13% 13% 2.3 18% 20% -10.1 69% 78% -11.2
16.12.23 National Defense Ministry FC vs Prey Veng 2-4 43% 49% -11.2 23% 26% -11.7 33% 37% -9.7
17.12.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs Boeung Ket FC 0-6 20% 21% -3.8 21% 24% -11.4 59% 67% -12.6
17.12.23 Nagaworld FC vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 2-3 46% 51% -9.3 24% 28% -13.7 30% 34% -10.8
18.12.23 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Visakha FC 3-1 52% 58% -11.3 23% 26% -13.4 25% 28% -8.8
23.12.23 National Defense Ministry FC vs Boeung Ket FC 0-0 26% 26% 1.2 22% 25% -10.4 52% 61% -15.8
23.12.23 Prey Veng vs Angkor Tiger 2-3 55% 65% -15.0 21% 24% -9.8 24% 24% -0.3
23.12.23 Svay Rieng vs Visakha FC 4-3 51% 60% -14.3 25% 29% -13.9 24% 24% 2.6
24.12.23 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 0-2 14% 15% -7.3 18% 20% -11.7 68% 76% -10.2
24.12.23 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs Nagaworld FC 6-1 22% 22% -1.4 22% 25% -11.6 56% 65% -13.2
07.01.24 National Defense Ministry FC vs Visakha FC 1-2 19% 19% 1.9 23% 27% -13.8 58% 66% -13.0
07.01.24 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Angkor Tiger 3-2 82% 92% -10.7 10% 10% 7.9 8% 7% 13.0
07.01.24 Svay Rieng vs Prey Veng 2-0 73% 85% -14.0 15% 15% -0.8 12% 10% 18.5
12.01.24 National Defense Ministry FC vs Nagaworld FC 1-1 37% 40% -6.7 24% 28% -13.0 38% 44% -13.4
13.01.24 Angkor Tiger vs Visakha FC 3-4 17% 18% -6.9 19% 21% -10.7 64% 72% -10.7
13.01.24 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs Svay Rieng 0-4 9% 9% 1.9 14% 15% -8.3 77% 85% -10.3
14.01.24 Boeung Ket FC vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 4-1 54% 61% -12.5 23% 26% -13.5 24% 25% -5.8
14.01.24 Prey Veng vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 0-3 14% 15% -5.9 17% 18% -9.0 70% 78% -11.0
20.01.24 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 4-1 82% 90% -9.2 11% 12% -4.8 7% 7% 5.3
20.01.24 Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket FC 3-3 55% 63% -12.5 22% 25% -12.6 23% 24% -6.6
21.01.24 Nagaworld FC vs Angkor Tiger 4-1 51% 59% -12.9 22% 25% -11.3 27% 29% -6.9
21.01.24 National Defense Ministry FC vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 4-0 42% 47% -9.3 24% 28% -13.1 34% 38% -10.8
21.01.24 Visakha FC vs Prey Veng 3-1 63% 73% -13.9 19% 21% -7.7 18% 17% 3.1
27.01.24 Prey Veng vs Nagaworld FC 2-2 33% 36% -8.7 25% 29% -13.9 42% 48% -11.4
27.01.24 Visakha FC vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 6-1 78% 88% -11.4 14% 14% -4.2 9% 7% 16.6
28.01.24 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Angkor Tiger 7-1 44% 50% -12.4 24% 27% -12.7 33% 36% -8.7
28.01.24 National Defense Ministry FC vs Svay Rieng 0-1 19% 19% -2.7 20% 22% -10.2 62% 70% -12.7
28.01.24 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs Boeung Ket FC 1-0 57% 64% -10.7 21% 24% -12.5 22% 24% -8.4
03.02.24 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Prey Veng 1-1 46% 54% -14.8 23% 26% -10.8 31% 32% -3.6
03.02.24 Nagaworld FC vs Visakha FC 3-1 26% 29% -10.4 24% 28% -14.4 50% 55% -9.2
04.02.24 Boeung Ket FC vs Angkor Tiger 5-2 73% 85% -13.4 15% 15% -2.4 12% 10% 12.7
04.02.24 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC vs National Defense Ministry FC 2-0 31% 35% -12.2 22% 24% -10.3 47% 53% -10.1
04.02.24 Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown FC 3-2 37% 43% -12.2 26% 30% -15.0 37% 39% -5.9
17.02.24 Angkor Tiger vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 2-2 38% 44% -13.9 24% 28% -13.0 38% 40% -6.1
18.02.24 Phnom Penh Crown FC vs National Defense Ministry FC 2-1 68% 78% -12.8 18% 20% -9.3 14% 13% 6.3
18.02.24 Prey Veng vs Boeung Ket FC 0-2 20% 21% -5.8 21% 24% -12.1 59% 67% -11.4
18.02.24 Svay Rieng vs Nagaworld FC 4-3 66% 76% -13.3 18% 20% -8.2 15% 15% 4.2
18.02.24 Visakha FC vs ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 1-3 63% 74% -14.6 19% 20% -6.5 18% 17% 3.5
24.02.24 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC vs Svay Rieng 2-4 15% 15% -3.8 18% 20% -10.2 67% 76% -11.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 416 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

11 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Phnom Penh Crown FC 1803.05
2 Svay Rieng 1770.65
3 Visakha FC 1630.99
4 Angkor Tiger 1628.16
5 Boeung Ket FC 1543.49
6 Nagaworld FC 1542.55
7 Ministry of Interior FA 1486.18
8 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 1331.62
9 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 1295.45
10 Life FC SihanoukVille 1246.03
11 National Defense Ministry FC 1149.57

Away Ratings

11 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Visakha FC 1660.17
2 Svay Rieng 1653.68
3 Angkor Tiger 1632.79
4 Phnom Penh Crown FC 1629.99
5 Ministry of Interior FA 1520.80
6 Nagaworld FC 1504.73
7 Boeung Ket FC 1438.47
8 Life FC SihanoukVille 1270.34
9 ISI Dangkor Senchey FC 1258.63
10 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey FC 1217.51
11 National Defense Ministry FC 1151.14