ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 394
Avg Goals 2.17
Avg Home 1.19
Avg Away 0.98
Home Win % 39.8%
Draw % 29.7%
Away Win % 30.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 394
Avg Brier Score 0.6427
Pick Accuracy 43.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6543
Market Brier 0.6391
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 3
Value Bet Hit Rate 66.7%
ROI (flat stake) 291.7%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 3 of 394 matches had at least one · staked 3.00, profit 8.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 3 66.7% 3.00 8.75 291.7%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.2% 66.7% 3
10–20% 16.8% 23.1% 78
20–30% 26.8% 24.6% 435
30–40% 33.4% 34.3% 397
40–50% 44.4% 47.6% 166
50–60% 54.2% 49.4% 85
60–70% 63.9% 58.8% 17
70–80% 72.0% 0.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
27.09.23 Fauve Azur De Yaounde vs Victoria United Limbe 1-2 57% 68% -17.2 26% 28% -6.0 17% 15% 11.6
04.10.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs Colombe Lobo 2-1 53% 60% -12.0 27% 29% -8.5 20% 23% -11.7
04.10.23 Dynamo de Douala vs AS Fortuna Mfou 0-0 43% 49% -11.9 28% 31% -10.1 29% 32% -10.3
04.10.23 Les Astres FC de Douala vs Aigle Royal de la Menoua 2-1 40% 45% -10.9 29% 32% -11.2 31% 35% -11.5
05.10.23 Coton Sport de Garoua vs Stade Renard 0-0 51% 58% -12.9 28% 31% -10.0 21% 23% -8.0
05.10.23 PWD Bamenda vs Bamboutos de Mbouda 1-0 30% 34% -13.6 29% 34% -15.4 41% 43% -5.6
05.10.23 Union Sportive de Douala vs Gazelle FA de Garoua 0-1 30% 29% 0.4 29% 33% -12.5 41% 50% -17.4
08.10.23 Aigle Royal de la Menoua vs AS Fortuna Mfou 0-1 45% 53% -14.0 29% 32% -11.1 26% 28% -6.2
08.10.23 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs Gazelle FA de Garoua 2-0 45% 47% -4.3 30% 35% -13.5 25% 31% -19.6
08.10.23 Coton Sport de Garoua vs Victoria United Limbe 1-0 59% 68% -13.1 26% 28% -6.9 15% 16% -6.1
08.10.23 Les Astres FC de Douala vs Dynamo de Douala 2-3 52% 59% -12.3 27% 29% -8.1 21% 24% -10.2
09.10.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs PWD Bamenda 2-0 60% 67% -10.7 26% 29% -8.2 14% 15% -10.0
09.10.23 Colombe Lobo vs Union Sportive de Douala 1-1 44% 48% -7.8 31% 36% -13.6 25% 29% -14.2
09.10.23 Stade Renard vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 1-0 41% 50% -17.2 29% 34% -13.3 29% 29% 2.3
12.10.23 Colombe Lobo vs PWD Bamenda 0-0 41% 45% -10.0 31% 36% -13.6 28% 31% -9.6
14.10.23 AS Fortuna Mfou vs Les Astres FC de Douala 2-2 40% 45% -12.2 31% 36% -14.3 29% 32% -8.6
14.10.23 Dynamo de Douala vs Aigle Royal de la Menoua 2-1 39% 48% -18.4 29% 34% -14.7 32% 31% 3.1
14.10.23 Fauve Azur De Yaounde vs Coton Sport de Garoua 1-0 17% 20% -12.6 26% 32% -19.0 56% 60% -6.4
14.10.23 Victoria United Limbe vs Stade Renard 1-2 35% 41% -13.9 31% 36% -15.5 34% 36% -4.4
14.10.23 Young Sport Academy Bamenda vs Avion Academy 0-2 40% 41% -2.4 31% 36% -13.7 29% 36% -19.3
15.10.23 Gazelle FA de Garoua vs Canon Sportif Yaounde 0-0 31% 36% -14.2 30% 36% -16.3 39% 42% -5.3
15.10.23 Union Sportive de Douala vs Bamboutos de Mbouda 3-2 31% 36% -12.4 30% 35% -15.1 39% 42% -6.6
17.10.23 Avion Academy vs Coton Sport de Garoua 1-1 23% 27% -14.1 28% 34% -18.2 49% 52% -5.7
18.10.23 APEJES Academy vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 1-1 45% 51% -13.1 29% 33% -12.2 26% 29% -8.5
18.10.23 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs AS Fortuna Mfou 3-0 43% 49% -11.7 29% 33% -12.0 28% 31% -10.3
18.10.23 Fovu De Baham vs Victoria United Limbe 2-1 48% 55% -12.8 29% 32% -10.7 23% 25% -6.8
18.10.23 Gazelle FA de Garoua vs Colombe Lobo 1-0 51% 58% -12.6 29% 32% -11.1 21% 23% -8.5
18.10.23 Les Astres FC de Douala vs Canon Sportif Yaounde 2-1 27% 32% -16.4 27% 32% -15.7 46% 48% -3.8
18.10.23 PWD Bamenda vs Dynamo de Douala 0-2 43% 49% -11.7 29% 33% -11.8 28% 30% -9.1
18.10.23 Union Sportive de Douala vs Aigle Royal de la Menoua 0-0 43% 49% -12.8 30% 34% -12.7 28% 30% -8.1
18.10.23 Young Sport Academy Bamenda vs UMS de Loum 0-0 38% 40% -5.0 29% 33% -11.8 33% 39% -16.8
22.10.23 Aigle Royal de la Menoua vs Gazelle FA de Garoua 1-1 20% 23% -10.5 27% 32% -16.7 53% 57% -7.6
22.10.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs Union Sportive de Douala 0-0 48% 54% -10.4 29% 33% -11.7 22% 25% -11.3
22.10.23 Colombe Lobo vs Les Astres FC de Douala 2-1 31% 34% -7.8 31% 36% -15.2 38% 43% -10.9
22.10.23 Coton Sport de Garoua vs UMS de Loum 4-1 45% 48% -5.5 31% 36% -13.8 24% 29% -17.6
22.10.23 Dynamo de Douala vs Bamboutos de Mbouda 1-2 27% 31% -13.4 30% 37% -17.8 43% 44% -4.3
22.10.23 PWD Bamenda vs AS Fortuna Mfou 1-0 38% 43% -11.6 31% 36% -14.0 31% 33% -7.5
22.10.23 Stade Renard vs Young Sport Academy Bamenda 1-0 47% 54% -12.3 30% 34% -12.1 23% 24% -6.5
23.10.23 Fauve Azur De Yaounde vs Fovu De Baham 0-3 31% 34% -9.4 30% 36% -14.9 38% 42% -9.1
05.11.23 Avion Academy vs Victoria United Limbe 2-2 51% 60% -14.9 27% 29% -8.2 22% 23% -4.4
05.11.23 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs Aigle Royal de la Menoua 3-1 63% 72% -12.1 25% 26% -6.0 12% 13% -6.6
05.11.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs Dynamo de Douala 1-2 52% 58% -11.4 27% 30% -9.4 21% 24% -12.8
05.11.23 Colombe Lobo vs AS Fortuna Mfou 0-0 40% 47% -14.0 30% 35% -13.7 30% 31% -3.5
05.11.23 Coton Sport de Garoua vs Young Sport Academy Bamenda 2-0 67% 76% -11.6 24% 25% -5.6 9% 10% -5.9
05.11.23 Union Sportive de Douala vs PWD Bamenda 1-1 42% 45% -7.9 31% 36% -13.7 27% 30% -11.8
06.11.23 APEJES Academy vs Stade Renard 0-1 38% 45% -15.3 29% 34% -13.5 32% 33% -3.5
06.11.23 UMS de Loum vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 0-0 50% 56% -10.3 28% 31% -9.8 21% 24% -12.1
11.11.23 Stade Renard vs Fovu De Baham 1-0 43% 48% -10.7 30% 34% -12.2 27% 29% -7.5
11.11.23 Young Sport Academy Bamenda vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 3-1 33% 36% -10.3 32% 38% -16.2 35% 37% -5.1
12.11.23 Aigle Royal de la Menoua vs PWD Bamenda 2-2 34% 39% -13.9 31% 36% -15.5 36% 36% -2.4
12.11.23 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs Canon Sportif Yaounde 3-3 39% 44% -11.7 30% 35% -13.3 31% 33% -8.3
12.11.23 Dynamo de Douala vs Colombe Lobo 1-1 48% 56% -13.4 30% 34% -12.5 22% 22% -2.3
12.11.23 Gazelle FA de Garoua vs AS Fortuna Mfou 1-1 53% 59% -10.5 28% 31% -10.3 19% 22% -13.0
12.11.23 Les Astres FC de Douala vs Union Sportive de Douala 0-1 39% 43% -8.3 30% 35% -12.9 31% 35% -12.2
12.11.23 Victoria United Limbe vs UMS de Loum 2-2 36% 43% -16.6 29% 34% -14.7 34% 35% -1.5
18.11.23 Young Sport Academy Bamenda vs Victoria United Limbe 0-2 40% 49% -17.5 28% 32% -12.7 32% 32% -2.0
19.11.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs Aigle Royal de la Menoua 3-0 63% 72% -12.2 24% 24% -3.5 13% 15% -10.2
19.11.23 Colombe Lobo vs Bamboutos de Mbouda 5-3 19% 23% -14.7 27% 34% -19.4 53% 56% -4.1
19.11.23 Fovu De Baham vs Coton Sport de Garoua 0-2 31% 37% -16.9 28% 33% -15.5 41% 43% -3.5
19.11.23 Gazelle FA de Garoua vs Dynamo de Douala 0-1 39% 41% -4.6 31% 36% -13.7 30% 36% -16.9
19.11.23 PWD Bamenda vs Les Astres FC de Douala 1-3 37% 42% -11.6 30% 34% -12.9 33% 36% -8.8
19.11.23 Stade Renard vs Avion Academy 4-2 50% 58% -14.5 29% 32% -10.7 21% 22% -1.1
19.11.23 Union Sportive de Douala vs AS Fortuna Mfou 1-1 44% 50% -12.7 31% 36% -13.7 26% 27% -5.6
25.11.23 Avion Academy vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 1-1 47% 53% -12.6 28% 31% -9.6 25% 27% -7.4
26.11.23 APEJES Academy vs Coton Sport de Garoua 0-4 18% 21% -14.7 25% 31% -18.5 57% 61% -5.7
26.11.23 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs Les Astres FC de Douala 2-1 52% 58% -10.4 27% 30% -9.4 20% 24% -14.1
27.11.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs AS Fortuna Mfou 1-1 55% 62% -12.6 27% 29% -8.2 18% 20% -8.2
06.12.23 Aigle Royal de la Menoua vs Les Astres FC de Douala 2-0 30% 36% -15.7 28% 32% -14.4 42% 44% -4.9
06.12.23 AS Fortuna Mfou vs Dynamo de Douala 0-1 24% 27% -9.7 26% 29% -12.4 50% 56% -10.3
06.12.23 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs PWD Bamenda 0-1 56% 64% -11.9 26% 29% -8.0 18% 20% -12.1
06.12.23 Colombe Lobo vs Canon Sportif Yaounde 0-0 37% 45% -18.9 29% 35% -15.4 34% 32% 4.3
06.12.23 Gazelle FA de Garoua vs Union Sportive de Douala 3-1 36% 36% -1.5 31% 36% -13.3 33% 40% -16.9
06.12.23 Stade Renard vs Coton Sport de Garoua 1-1 29% 36% -18.3 28% 34% -16.9 43% 43% -1.9
06.12.23 Victoria United Limbe vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 1-1 43% 51% -15.0 30% 34% -12.9 28% 29% -3.6
13.12.23 Union Sportive de Douala vs Colombe Lobo 1-2 30% 32% -6.1 29% 34% -13.5 40% 47% -13.2
22.12.23 PWD Bamenda vs Colombe Lobo 2-0 40% 47% -14.2 29% 33% -12.8 31% 33% -6.9
22.12.23 Stade Renard vs Victoria United Limbe 1-2 47% 54% -13.3 29% 32% -10.6 24% 26% -5.2
23.12.23 Avion Academy vs Young Sport Academy Bamenda 0-1 37% 40% -7.2 32% 38% -15.0 31% 35% -11.6
23.12.23 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs Union Sportive de Douala 3-0 57% 62% -8.8 27% 29% -9.7 16% 20% -17.8
23.12.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs Gazelle FA de Garoua 2-0 41% 45% -10.2 30% 34% -12.6 29% 32% -9.9
24.12.23 Coton Sport de Garoua vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 0-1 65% 72% -10.8 24% 26% -6.7 11% 13% -13.9
27.12.23 Colombe Lobo vs Gazelle FA de Garoua 1-1 37% 41% -8.5 32% 38% -15.0 31% 34% -9.8
29.12.23 Canon Sportif Yaounde vs Les Astres FC de Douala 1-0 53% 61% -14.1 27% 29% -7.9 20% 21% -4.0
30.12.23 Aigle Royal de la Menoua vs Union Sportive de Douala 4-1 43% 50% -14.3 29% 32% -11.3 29% 30% -5.8
30.12.23 Coton Sport de Garoua vs Avion Academy 0-0 62% 68% -9.8 25% 28% -8.3 13% 15% -14.1
30.12.23 Dynamo de Douala vs PWD Bamenda 1-2 42% 47% -8.9 29% 32% -11.3 29% 34% -15.9
30.12.23 Fauve Azur De Yaounde vs APEJES Academy 0-0 53% 62% -13.8 27% 29% -8.0 20% 21% -5.2
30.12.23 UMS de Loum vs Young Sport Academy Bamenda 0-2 44% 48% -8.5 31% 36% -14.4 25% 29% -14.1
30.12.23 Victoria United Limbe vs Fovu De Baham 3-0 37% 43% -15.2 28% 32% -12.6 35% 37% -5.8
06.01.24 UMS de Loum vs Coton Sport de Garoua 0-1 28% 33% -17.2 29% 36% -18.2 43% 44% -2.8
07.01.24 APEJES Academy vs Victoria United Limbe 2-3 16% 17% -6.6 24% 28% -15.1 61% 67% -8.7
07.01.24 AS Fortuna Mfou vs PWD Bamenda 0-0 11% 11% 3.2 19% 22% -11.5 69% 78% -11.2
07.01.24 Bamboutos de Mbouda vs Dynamo de Douala 0-0 46% 49% -6.6 29% 32% -10.0 25% 30% -14.8
07.01.24 Fovu De Baham vs Fauve Azur De Yaounde 3-1 36% 40% -8.8 31% 36% -13.7 32% 35% -7.7
07.01.24 Gazelle FA de Garoua vs Aigle Royal de la Menoua 0-2 42% 45% -7.0 31% 35% -12.1 27% 31% -12.0
07.01.24 Les Astres FC de Douala vs Colombe Lobo 0-2 30% 33% -9.2 30% 35% -14.4 39% 42% -6.7
07.01.24 Union Sportive de Douala vs Canon Sportif Yaounde 1-0 10% 11% -8.6 18% 22% -16.5 72% 78% -7.8
07.01.24 Young Sport Academy Bamenda vs Stade Renard 0-1 37% 43% -12.2 32% 37% -14.3 31% 32% -1.9
17.02.24 Young Sport Academy Bamenda vs Coton Sport de Garoua 1-0 24% 29% -18.0 28% 34% -18.3 49% 48% 0.4
18.02.24 Aigle Royal de la Menoua vs Bamboutos de Mbouda 1-0 32% 40% -19.4 29% 35% -16.3 39% 36% 6.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 394 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bamboutos de Mbouda 1716.01
2 Gazelle FA de Garoua 1670.87
3 Colombe Lobo 1667.67
4 Dynamo de Douala 1665.60
5 Panthere du Nde 1650.92
6 Aigle Moungo 1649.62
7 Coton Sport de Garoua 1646.72
8 Victoria United Limbe 1645.73
9 Canon Sportif Yaounde 1634.14
10 AS Fortuna Mfou 1627.26
11 Stade Renard 1580.00
12 PWD Bamenda 1555.67
13 Les Astres FC de Douala 1474.31
14 Young Sport Academy Bamenda 1444.93
15 Union Sportive de Douala 1440.12
16 Fauve Azur De Yaounde 1405.31

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Gazelle FA de Garoua 1667.59
2 Stade Renard 1653.75
3 AS Fortuna Mfou 1631.01
4 Fauve Azur De Yaounde 1627.32
5 Colombe Lobo 1621.90
6 Dynamo de Douala 1621.49
7 Canon Sportif Yaounde 1619.22
8 Aigle Moungo 1616.57
9 Coton Sport de Garoua 1581.66
10 Bamboutos de Mbouda 1560.40
11 Panthere du Nde 1555.13
12 PWD Bamenda 1492.76
13 Victoria United Limbe 1484.81
14 Les Astres FC de Douala 1465.04
15 Young Sport Academy Bamenda 1383.33
16 Union Sportive de Douala 1377.19