ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 409
Avg Goals 2.65
Avg Home 1.44
Avg Away 1.21
Home Win % 41.6%
Draw % 23.5%
Away Win % 35.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 409
Avg Brier Score 0.6252
Pick Accuracy 45.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6302
Market Brier 0.6254
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 409 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.5% 0.0% 1
10–20% 17.4% 20.0% 45
20–30% 26.0% 24.0% 580
30–40% 34.8% 36.7% 286
40–50% 44.2% 45.5% 222
50–60% 54.1% 50.7% 71
60–70% 63.5% 85.7% 21
70–80% 75.5% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 2-3 43% 48% -10.0 27% 32% -16.4 30% 33% -9.4
05.08.23 Deportes Linares vs Deportes Limache 0-1 29% 32% -11.0 26% 31% -15.6 45% 49% -7.9
05.08.23 Deportes Valdivia vs CD General Velasquez 0-0 40% 45% -11.0 28% 33% -16.5 32% 34% -6.4
06.08.23 CD Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Real San Joaquin 0-0 41% 44% -8.3 29% 35% -17.6 31% 33% -8.4
06.08.23 Deportes Concepcion vs Provincial Osorno 2-1 48% 53% -9.2 26% 31% -16.1 26% 29% -9.1
12.08.23 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs Deportes Linares 1-0 47% 52% -9.1 25% 29% -14.6 28% 31% -11.1
12.08.23 Provincial Osorno vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 1-0 43% 49% -11.3 26% 30% -14.4 31% 33% -7.7
12.08.23 Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Melipilla 0-1 38% 43% -10.1 27% 32% -15.7 35% 38% -8.4
13.08.23 CD General Velasquez vs CD Arturo Fernandez Vial 0-1 39% 43% -9.4 29% 36% -17.9 31% 33% -6.2
26.08.23 Real San Joaquin vs Provincial Osorno 0-2 48% 53% -9.4 26% 31% -15.9 26% 28% -8.1
02.09.23 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs Deportes Valdivia 2-2 43% 47% -8.6 26% 31% -15.2 31% 34% -10.2
02.09.23 Provincial Osorno vs CDSC Iberia 0-2 46% 51% -10.5 27% 32% -16.0 27% 29% -5.5
02.09.23 San Antonio Unido vs Real San Joaquin 4-2 42% 44% -6.2 28% 33% -16.8 31% 34% -11.3
03.09.23 Deportes Melipilla vs Deportes Linares 2-0 54% 60% -8.9 24% 29% -15.7 22% 24% -10.9
08.09.23 Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Limache 0-3 31% 34% -10.6 26% 31% -15.1 43% 48% -9.6
09.09.23 CDSC Iberia vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 3-2 41% 45% -10.5 26% 31% -14.8 33% 36% -9.0
09.09.23 Deportes Linares vs San Antonio Unido 1-2 34% 37% -8.5 27% 32% -15.3 39% 43% -8.8
09.09.23 Deportes Valdivia vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 2-1 42% 47% -10.7 27% 32% -15.9 31% 34% -7.6
10.09.23 CD General Velasquez vs Provincial Osorno 2-0 43% 48% -10.0 28% 34% -17.2 29% 31% -7.0
14.09.23 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs San Antonio Unido 0-0 39% 44% -11.4 26% 31% -14.9 34% 38% -8.8
14.09.23 Deportes Linares vs CD General Velasquez 2-0 36% 38% -7.2 28% 33% -16.4 36% 41% -10.7
23.09.23 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs Real San Joaquin 4-1 45% 51% -10.3 27% 32% -16.0 28% 29% -6.2
23.09.23 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs CD Arturo Fernandez Vial 1-1 42% 47% -10.0 27% 32% -15.7 31% 33% -7.3
23.09.23 Provincial Osorno vs Deportes Melipilla 1-0 32% 37% -12.6 27% 32% -16.2 41% 43% -6.7
24.09.23 Deportes Concepcion vs Deportes Linares 0-0 48% 52% -7.3 26% 30% -15.8 26% 30% -12.7
24.09.23 Lautaro de Buin vs CD General Velasquez 0-2 42% 45% -8.3 27% 32% -16.2 31% 35% -10.9
26.09.23 CD Arturo Fernandez Vial vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1-2 45% 51% -11.1 28% 34% -16.9 27% 28% -3.0
30.09.23 CD General Velasquez vs Deportes Limache 1-2 31% 34% -10.9 28% 33% -16.7 42% 44% -6.6
30.09.23 Deportes Linares vs Provincial Osorno 1-0 43% 48% -9.4 27% 31% -15.2 30% 33% -9.0
30.09.23 Deportes Melipilla vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 4-1 52% 58% -10.5 25% 29% -15.7 23% 25% -8.6
30.09.23 Real San Joaquin vs Lautaro de Buin 0-1 39% 43% -7.9 28% 34% -17.1 33% 36% -10.1
01.10.23 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs San Antonio Unido 1-1 41% 45% -10.5 26% 31% -15.4 33% 36% -9.6
05.10.23 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs CD General Velasquez 1-2 46% 51% -10.8 27% 32% -15.9 27% 29% -5.0
07.10.23 Deportes Linares vs CDSC Iberia 2-3 44% 50% -11.3 27% 32% -16.6 29% 31% -8.0
07.10.23 Deportes Valdivia vs Real San Joaquin 0-1 44% 50% -11.1 26% 31% -15.3 29% 32% -8.6
07.10.23 San Antonio Unido vs Provincial Osorno 0-3 46% 49% -6.0 27% 32% -16.2 27% 30% -10.5
08.10.23 CD General Velasquez vs Deportes Melipilla 1-1 37% 42% -12.2 28% 33% -16.8 35% 38% -6.7
08.10.23 Lautaro de Buin vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 2-0 41% 45% -9.6 27% 32% -15.3 32% 34% -6.8
09.10.23 Deportes Concepcion vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 2-0 41% 45% -9.0 27% 32% -16.1 32% 35% -10.0
14.10.23 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs Deportes Linares 1-2 39% 42% -7.1 26% 31% -15.3 34% 39% -12.4
14.10.23 Real San Joaquin vs CD General Velasquez 2-0 39% 43% -9.2 27% 31% -14.9 35% 38% -9.7
15.10.23 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs Deportes Limache 1-1 30% 35% -13.2 25% 29% -14.6 45% 49% -8.5
15.10.23 Provincial Osorno vs Lautaro de Buin 1-1 42% 48% -11.0 26% 31% -15.3 31% 34% -8.1
02.03.24 CD Puerto Montt vs Provincial Ovalle 1-0 54% 56% -2.0 25% 31% -19.6 21% 26% -18.8
02.03.24 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs Deportes Melipilla 0-4 39% 44% -12.5 27% 32% -15.6 34% 36% -5.0
02.03.24 Deportes Concepcion vs Provincial Osorno 1-1 44% 48% -8.4 28% 33% -16.8 29% 31% -8.4
02.03.24 Deportes Linares vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 1-1 46% 50% -8.1 26% 31% -15.6 28% 31% -9.9
03.03.24 CD General Velasquez vs Real San Joaquin 1-1 51% 57% -10.2 26% 30% -15.8 23% 25% -7.3
05.03.24 CDyS Concon National vs San Antonio Unido 1-2 30% 24% 24.9 25% 29% -13.1 45% 59% -22.8
09.03.24 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs Deportes Concepcion 1-1 39% 42% -7.9 27% 32% -15.6 34% 38% -10.1
09.03.24 Provincial Osorno vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1-0 41% 47% -11.5 28% 33% -16.8 31% 33% -6.6
10.03.24 Deportes Melipilla vs CDyS Concon National 2-1 62% 67% -7.0 22% 26% -17.6 16% 19% -14.5
11.03.24 Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Linares 2-1 40% 44% -11.1 27% 32% -15.7 33% 36% -6.8
11.03.24 San Antonio Unido vs CD General Velasquez 2-7 44% 49% -9.2 28% 33% -16.9 28% 30% -7.6
12.03.24 Provincial Ovalle vs Lautaro de Buin 1-0 39% 40% -3.0 26% 31% -15.2 35% 41% -14.9
15.03.24 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 1-3 38% 42% -7.6 25% 29% -13.8 36% 42% -13.2
16.03.24 CD Puerto Montt vs Real San Joaquin 3-0 52% 56% -7.6 25% 30% -16.3 22% 25% -10.2
17.03.24 CD Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Provincial Ovalle 1-1 39% 40% -2.3 27% 32% -16.2 34% 40% -15.3
17.03.24 CD General Velasquez vs Provincial Osorno 1-3 40% 44% -8.9 28% 33% -16.6 32% 35% -8.9
17.03.24 Deportes Concepcion vs CDyS Concon National 3-1 55% 58% -6.0 24% 29% -16.9 22% 26% -15.6
18.03.24 Deportes Linares vs Deportes Melipilla 1-3 37% 42% -11.5 27% 32% -15.6 36% 38% -6.7
22.03.24 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs CD General Velasquez 0-1 41% 44% -7.2 27% 31% -15.1 32% 36% -11.4
23.03.24 Provincial Osorno vs CD Arturo Fernandez Vial 1-0 41% 45% -10.0 29% 34% -17.0 30% 32% -5.5
24.03.24 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs Provincial Ovalle 2-2 36% 36% -2.0 26% 31% -14.9 38% 45% -16.0
24.03.24 Real San Joaquin vs Lautaro de Buin 1-0 41% 47% -11.1 27% 31% -15.1 32% 35% -7.8
25.03.24 Deportes Concepcion vs Deportes Linares 2-1 52% 59% -11.4 25% 29% -13.8 23% 24% -4.6
26.03.24 CDyS Concon National vs CD Puerto Montt 0-3 27% 31% -13.4 25% 30% -15.9 48% 52% -7.6
28.03.24 CD Arturo Fernandez Vial vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 4-0 44% 49% -10.1 27% 32% -16.6 29% 32% -9.4
31.03.24 CD General Velasquez vs Deportes Melipilla 0-5 36% 43% -15.1 26% 30% -14.7 38% 40% -5.0
31.03.24 CDyS Concon National vs Real San Joaquin 0-2 34% 38% -9.4 27% 32% -15.7 39% 43% -9.2
01.04.24 Provincial Ovalle vs Provincial Osorno 4-2 43% 45% -4.8 28% 33% -17.1 29% 33% -12.6
02.04.24 Lautaro de Buin vs Deportes Linares 1-2 46% 53% -11.8 25% 29% -13.9 28% 30% -6.7
02.04.24 San Antonio Unido vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 1-2 39% 43% -10.1 28% 33% -16.8 33% 36% -8.7
06.04.24 Deportes Linares vs CD Puerto Montt 1-1 33% 37% -11.1 26% 31% -15.3 41% 44% -8.7
06.04.24 Provincial Osorno vs CDyS Concon National 2-1 59% 66% -10.8 23% 27% -14.5 18% 19% -4.3
06.04.24 Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Concepcion 0-1 40% 45% -11.8 27% 31% -14.9 33% 36% -6.7
07.04.24 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs Lautaro de Buin 2-3 41% 44% -8.5 27% 32% -16.3 32% 36% -11.1
08.04.24 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs CD General Velasquez 0-0 33% 35% -4.5 27% 31% -15.0 40% 47% -13.6
09.04.24 Provincial Ovalle vs San Antonio Unido 0-1 53% 58% -8.9 24% 29% -14.9 23% 26% -10.1
13.04.24 Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Melipilla 1-1 29% 33% -12.9 26% 31% -16.3 45% 49% -8.1
14.04.24 CD General Velasquez vs Provincial Ovalle 2-0 42% 45% -7.2 26% 30% -15.0 32% 37% -13.4
14.04.24 Lautaro de Buin vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 0-1 52% 58% -10.4 24% 28% -13.7 24% 27% -9.0
16.04.24 CDyS Concon National vs Deportes Linares 0-0 32% 36% -10.0 26% 29% -13.3 42% 47% -8.9
16.04.24 San Antonio Unido vs Provincial Osorno 3-2 35% 40% -13.5 26% 31% -14.8 39% 42% -5.9
20.04.24 CD Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Real San Joaquin 0-0 38% 40% -6.2 27% 32% -16.1 35% 41% -13.2
20.04.24 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs San Antonio Unido 1-2 39% 42% -6.6 27% 31% -15.0 35% 39% -12.0
20.04.24 Deportes Linares vs CD General Velasquez 0-2 37% 42% -10.1 26% 31% -15.2 36% 40% -9.9
21.04.24 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs CDyS Concon National 1-2 59% 65% -9.4 22% 26% -15.1 19% 22% -12.7
21.04.24 Provincial Osorno vs Lautaro de Buin 1-0 48% 55% -12.3 25% 29% -13.7 27% 28% -3.9
21.04.24 Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Concepcion 2-1 37% 40% -8.0 26% 31% -14.6 37% 42% -11.4
27.04.24 CDyS Concon National vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1-0 41% 47% -11.7 26% 31% -14.9 33% 36% -8.3
27.04.24 Deportes Linares vs Provincial Ovalle 2-0 39% 42% -7.1 26% 31% -15.3 34% 39% -12.5
28.04.24 CD General Velasquez vs Lautaro de Buin 6-2 53% 61% -13.3 24% 27% -12.5 23% 24% -2.9
28.04.24 CD Puerto Montt vs Provincial Osorno 1-0 48% 53% -9.6 26% 31% -15.9 26% 28% -7.8
28.04.24 Real San Joaquin vs Club Deportes Rengo Unido 0-1 42% 44% -6.4 26% 31% -15.2 32% 36% -12.2
04.05.24 CD Arturo Fernandez Vial vs CD General Velasquez 1-1 28% 31% -11.5 26% 30% -15.4 47% 51% -8.9
04.05.24 Provincial Osorno vs Deportes Linares 1-1 44% 48% -8.4 27% 32% -16.0 29% 32% -9.3
05.05.24 CD Trasandino de Los Andes vs Deportes Concepcion 0-1 29% 32% -10.4 26% 31% -16.1 45% 50% -10.3
05.05.24 Club Deportes Rengo Unido vs Deportes Melipilla 2-1 27% 29% -9.4 26% 31% -15.7 47% 53% -9.9
05.05.24 Provincial Ovalle vs CDyS Concon National 1-1 52% 56% -7.3 26% 31% -17.5 22% 25% -11.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 409 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Deportes Linares 1449.41
2 Provincial Osorno 1423.99
3 Brujas de Salamanca 1417.53
4 Colchagua CD 1406.42
5 CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1372.93
6 Santiago Morning 1370.79
7 CD Lota Schwager 1366.27
8 CDyS Concon National 1364.62
9 Santiago City FC 1360.28
10 Atletico Colina 1359.17
11 Provincial Ovalle 1338.15
12 CD General Velasquez 1319.44
13 Real San Joaquin 1318.28
14 Club Deportes Rengo Unido 1305.20

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Provincial Osorno 1388.10
2 Deportes Linares 1349.53
3 Brujas de Salamanca 1338.39
4 CDyS Concon National 1327.04
5 Colchagua CD 1326.62
6 CD Lota Schwager 1326.43
7 Santiago Morning 1317.27
8 Santiago City FC 1297.12
9 Club Deportes Rengo Unido 1294.84
10 CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1289.95
11 Atletico Colina 1287.11
12 CD General Velasquez 1270.49
13 Provincial Ovalle 1227.06
14 Real San Joaquin 1215.25