ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 686
Avg Goals 2.51
Avg Home 1.41
Avg Away 1.09
Home Win % 41.7%
Draw % 29.2%
Away Win % 29.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 686
Avg Brier Score 0.6492
Pick Accuracy 42.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6522
Market Brier 0.6476
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 686 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 18.0% 12.0% 25
20–30% 26.7% 27.6% 1057
30–40% 34.7% 34.5% 473
40–50% 44.6% 43.7% 389
50–60% 53.6% 50.5% 109
60–70% 64.0% 60.0% 5
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
02.08.23 Santiago Morning vs CD San Luis de Quillota 1-0 37% 42% -11.2 28% 32% -12.3 34% 38% -11.0
04.08.23 Deportes Recoleta vs CD Antofagasta 0-1 32% 35% -10.2 28% 30% -8.3 41% 45% -10.1
05.08.23 CD Cobreloa vs CD La Serena 1-0 49% 56% -12.4 26% 29% -11.1 25% 27% -5.5
05.08.23 Deportes Santa Cruz vs CD Puerto Montt 1-0 47% 52% -9.2 27% 31% -14.1 26% 29% -11.3
05.08.23 Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers 0-1 42% 44% -6.6 27% 31% -12.3 31% 36% -13.0
06.08.23 CD Iquique vs Universidad de Concepcion 1-3 43% 47% -8.3 27% 30% -12.3 31% 36% -13.9
06.08.23 CSD Rangers vs CSD Barnechea 1-0 41% 47% -11.9 27% 30% -10.4 32% 35% -9.1
06.08.23 Deportes Temuco vs Santiago Morning 0-2 50% 56% -10.5 25% 29% -11.7 25% 28% -9.8
08.08.23 CD San Luis de Quillota vs San Marcos de Arica 2-3 45% 51% -10.0 27% 30% -12.2 28% 31% -10.6
10.08.23 Santiago Wanderers vs CD Cobreloa 2-0 42% 48% -11.2 28% 32% -12.7 30% 32% -8.4
12.08.23 CSD Barnechea vs Deportes Temuco 1-2 42% 48% -10.8 28% 32% -13.6 30% 33% -11.0
12.08.23 San Marcos de Arica vs CSD Rangers 2-1 51% 57% -11.6 25% 29% -11.6 24% 26% -8.0
12.08.23 Santiago Morning vs Deportes Santa Cruz 0-1 43% 48% -10.3 29% 33% -13.8 29% 31% -8.5
13.08.23 CD Antofagasta vs CD San Luis de Quillota 1-0 53% 58% -8.2 25% 29% -13.3 22% 24% -10.3
13.08.23 CD Puerto Montt vs Deportes Recoleta 2-1 41% 45% -10.0 28% 32% -12.3 31% 34% -9.1
13.08.23 Union San Felipe vs CD Iquique 1-1 49% 54% -10.2 25% 29% -12.3 26% 30% -12.8
19.08.23 CD La Serena vs San Marcos de Arica 1-1 46% 52% -11.7 26% 29% -10.9 28% 31% -8.8
20.08.23 CD San Luis de Quillota vs CD Puerto Montt 0-0 48% 52% -8.0 26% 31% -13.9 26% 29% -12.1
20.08.23 Deportes Temuco vs Union San Felipe 2-1 41% 48% -13.3 28% 31% -11.6 31% 34% -8.2
21.08.23 CD Iquique vs Deportes Recoleta 2-1 48% 54% -10.3 26% 29% -12.2 26% 29% -10.0
26.08.23 Union San Felipe vs CSD Rangers 4-1 54% 60% -10.2 24% 28% -12.6 22% 24% -9.2
27.08.23 CD Antofagasta vs CSD Barnechea 2-0 57% 63% -9.1 24% 28% -13.6 19% 20% -7.7
27.08.23 CD La Serena vs CD Puerto Montt 1-2 47% 51% -9.2 28% 32% -14.3 26% 29% -9.7
27.08.23 Deportes Recoleta vs CD San Luis de Quillota 2-3 42% 48% -11.1 27% 31% -12.4 30% 34% -10.7
27.08.23 Santiago Morning vs CD Iquique 0-3 41% 47% -12.2 27% 30% -10.8 32% 36% -10.1
27.08.23 Santiago Wanderers vs Universidad de Concepcion 1-1 44% 50% -11.5 28% 32% -13.4 28% 30% -8.2
28.08.23 San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Temuco 1-2 50% 57% -12.8 25% 29% -10.9 25% 26% -6.2
01.09.23 Santiago Morning vs Santiago Wanderers 0-0 34% 38% -10.3 29% 32% -11.5 37% 42% -11.3
02.09.23 CSD Rangers vs CD Puerto Montt 3-1 41% 45% -9.9 29% 33% -14.3 30% 34% -11.6
03.09.23 CD San Luis de Quillota vs CSD Barnechea 2-2 46% 52% -10.8 27% 31% -13.3 27% 29% -9.4
03.09.23 Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Recoleta 1-1 46% 52% -11.7 27% 31% -12.1 27% 29% -7.5
03.09.23 Deportes Temuco vs CD Antofagasta 2-1 37% 43% -14.1 29% 32% -10.1 34% 36% -5.3
04.09.23 CD Iquique vs CD Cobreloa 2-2 41% 48% -13.8 28% 31% -11.1 31% 33% -6.6
05.09.23 Universidad de Concepcion vs San Marcos de Arica 2-1 45% 51% -11.3 26% 29% -10.3 30% 33% -11.3
06.09.23 CD La Serena vs Union San Felipe 2-0 37% 42% -10.4 27% 30% -10.1 35% 40% -11.5
08.09.23 Deportes Recoleta vs CD Cobreloa 1-2 33% 38% -13.6 28% 30% -9.2 39% 43% -9.8
08.09.23 Santiago Morning vs CD Puerto Montt 2-2 45% 51% -10.9 28% 32% -14.2 27% 30% -9.9
09.09.23 CD San Luis de Quillota vs CSD Rangers 0-0 50% 55% -9.5 26% 29% -12.3 24% 27% -9.3
10.09.23 CD Antofagasta vs Universidad de Concepcion 3-1 48% 52% -9.2 26% 29% -11.6 26% 29% -10.0
10.09.23 CD Iquique vs Deportes Temuco 1-1 44% 50% -12.2 27% 30% -11.5 29% 32% -9.2
10.09.23 Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz 0-0 49% 54% -9.2 25% 29% -12.2 26% 29% -12.3
11.09.23 San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers 1-2 41% 45% -8.8 26% 29% -10.6 32% 37% -12.9
13.09.23 CD Cobreloa vs Santiago Morning 2-1 60% 67% -10.3 23% 26% -12.1 17% 18% -5.1
14.09.23 Deportes Santa Cruz vs CD Antofagasta 1-0 39% 45% -11.8 28% 31% -10.3 33% 35% -7.1
21.09.23 CD Cobreloa vs Deportes Santa Cruz 2-0 52% 58% -10.4 25% 29% -13.4 23% 25% -9.0
22.09.23 CSD Rangers vs Santiago Morning 0-2 42% 48% -12.0 27% 31% -12.1 31% 34% -9.7
22.09.23 Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Temuco 1-1 45% 51% -11.4 26% 29% -11.7 29% 32% -11.3
23.09.23 CD La Serena vs CD Iquique 0-0 44% 49% -10.7 26% 29% -11.2 30% 34% -12.1
23.09.23 Deportes Recoleta vs CSD Barnechea 1-2 42% 48% -11.3 27% 31% -12.0 31% 34% -11.0
24.09.23 CD Cobreloa vs Union San Felipe 1-0 48% 53% -9.3 27% 31% -14.2 25% 28% -10.3
24.09.23 CD Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica 1-1 43% 49% -12.0 28% 31% -11.9 30% 32% -8.3
24.09.23 Santiago Wanderers vs CD Antofagasta 3-0 43% 47% -10.0 27% 30% -10.6 30% 33% -9.2
27.09.23 CSD Rangers vs Santiago Wanderers 0-0 33% 36% -9.9 28% 31% -10.2 39% 44% -11.8
27.09.23 Deportes Santa Cruz vs CD San Luis de Quillota 1-1 39% 43% -8.1 28% 32% -13.0 33% 38% -13.0
30.09.23 Deportes Temuco vs CD Cobreloa 2-1 40% 47% -14.6 28% 32% -11.8 32% 34% -6.0
30.09.23 Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta 1-2 56% 62% -9.9 24% 28% -13.2 20% 22% -8.7
01.10.23 CD Antofagasta vs CD Puerto Montt 1-1 57% 63% -10.6 24% 28% -12.5 19% 20% -4.3
02.10.23 CD San Luis de Quillota vs CD La Serena 5-0 52% 58% -10.6 26% 29% -13.3 23% 25% -8.7
03.10.23 CD Iquique vs CSD Rangers 1-2 57% 65% -12.1 23% 26% -11.0 20% 22% -7.9
03.10.23 CSD Barnechea vs Santiago Wanderers 0-1 38% 42% -10.8 28% 32% -12.4 34% 38% -11.3
03.10.23 San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz 3-2 45% 50% -10.9 27% 31% -12.8 29% 32% -11.3
08.10.23 Universidad de Concepcion vs Union San Felipe 0-0 42% 48% -10.9 28% 32% -12.8 29% 32% -8.7
09.10.23 CD Cobreloa vs CD San Luis de Quillota 1-0 54% 61% -11.5 25% 29% -12.9 21% 22% -6.2
09.10.23 CD Puerto Montt vs CSD Barnechea 0-3 49% 56% -12.7 26% 29% -11.3 25% 27% -6.1
09.10.23 Deportes Recoleta vs CSD Rangers 1-2 44% 51% -11.9 27% 30% -12.2 29% 32% -10.4
09.10.23 Deportes Santa Cruz vs CD Iquique 1-2 38% 42% -9.2 27% 31% -11.1 34% 39% -12.5
09.10.23 San Marcos de Arica vs CD Antofagasta 4-3 35% 38% -10.2 27% 29% -7.9 38% 43% -10.5
09.10.23 Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Temuco 1-0 46% 52% -10.8 27% 31% -12.4 27% 29% -8.6
14.10.23 CSD Barnechea vs San Marcos de Arica 3-3 42% 48% -12.0 27% 30% -11.9 31% 36% -12.1
14.10.23 Santiago Morning vs Deportes Recoleta 0-1 40% 43% -8.2 27% 31% -12.3 33% 38% -13.4
14.10.23 Union San Felipe vs CD Puerto Montt 0-1 49% 55% -9.8 26% 30% -13.4 24% 27% -9.6
15.10.23 CD Antofagasta vs CD La Serena 0-1 47% 48% -1.8 30% 35% -14.6 23% 24% -5.1
15.10.23 CD Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers 3-2 46% 52% -12.0 27% 30% -12.2 28% 31% -9.6
15.10.23 CD San Luis de Quillota vs Universidad de Concepcion 2-3 53% 62% -13.5 25% 28% -11.0 22% 23% -3.7
15.10.23 CSD Rangers vs CD Cobreloa 1-2 21% 23% -8.8 26% 28% -5.7 53% 61% -13.0
15.10.23 Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz 2-1 52% 58% -10.8 25% 29% -13.4 22% 24% -8.3
08.11.23 CD La Serena vs Deportes Temuco 1-0 40% 45% -12.9 27% 31% -11.3 33% 37% -10.5
09.11.23 CD San Luis de Quillota vs CD Antofagasta 1-1 47% 51% -7.5 27% 29% -8.5 26% 27% -3.7
10.11.23 Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers 2-1 41% 44% -7.5 29% 34% -15.0 30% 33% -11.3
14.11.23 CD Antofagasta vs CD San Luis de Quillota 1-1 43% 47% -7.3 27% 30% -7.9 29% 31% -4.5
15.11.23 Deportes Temuco vs CD La Serena 1-0 51% 58% -10.9 26% 29% -13.1 23% 25% -8.2
15.11.23 Santiago Wanderers vs Union San Felipe 2-0 41% 44% -8.3 27% 31% -11.9 32% 37% -13.2
19.11.23 CD Antofagasta vs CD Iquique 2-2 43% 45% -5.6 26% 28% -6.3 31% 34% -8.3
19.11.23 Deportes Temuco vs Santiago Wanderers 2-3 43% 48% -9.3 28% 32% -12.6 29% 31% -8.4
26.11.23 CD Iquique vs CD Antofagasta 3-0 47% 50% -6.5 25% 26% -4.9 29% 31% -7.2
26.11.23 Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Temuco 1-0 43% 48% -10.6 27% 30% -11.8 31% 35% -11.9
04.12.23 Santiago Wanderers vs CD Iquique 1-1 46% 51% -11.2 27% 30% -12.1 28% 31% -9.6
10.12.23 CD Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers 3-3 43% 48% -10.6 27% 31% -12.2 30% 33% -10.1
24.02.24 CD Antofagasta vs CD La Serena 0-1 51% 53% -5.1 26% 29% -9.9 23% 24% -5.2
24.02.24 Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe 2-0 45% 50% -9.9 27% 31% -12.9 28% 31% -10.0
24.02.24 Deportes Magallanes vs CSD Rangers 0-1 57% 58% -2.6 23% 29% -18.4 20% 25% -19.9
25.02.24 Deportes Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers 3-1 31% 34% -7.9 28% 31% -10.7 41% 48% -14.2
25.02.24 Deportes Santa Cruz vs CSD Barnechea 1-1 45% 50% -10.9 27% 31% -12.8 29% 32% -11.2
26.02.24 San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Temuco 0-1 43% 50% -13.3 27% 31% -12.6 29% 32% -9.0
01.03.24 Santiago Morning vs CD San Luis de Quillota 4-0 35% 40% -12.9 29% 33% -12.2 36% 39% -8.5
02.03.24 CD La Serena vs Deportes Magallanes 1-0 38% 43% -11.8 28% 31% -10.7 34% 37% -8.9
02.03.24 Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Limache 2-3 41% 43% -6.8 28% 33% -14.9 31% 36% -14.5
03.03.24 CSD Rangers vs CD Antofagasta 4-0 38% 40% -6.0 29% 31% -8.0 33% 35% -5.3
03.03.24 Universidad de Concepcion vs San Marcos de Arica 1-3 47% 51% -7.4 27% 31% -14.6 27% 31% -13.7
04.03.24 Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Santa Cruz 1-2 52% 56% -8.2 26% 31% -15.9 22% 25% -11.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 686 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CD Antofagasta 1675.24
2 San Marcos de Arica 1655.09
3 CD Cobreloa 1651.39
4 CD San Luis de Quillota 1645.05
5 CD Iquique 1616.65
6 CSD Rangers 1578.97
7 Deportes Temuco 1566.43
8 Deportes Magallanes 1559.65
9 Union Espanola 1558.43
10 CD Puerto Montt 1557.80
11 Deportes Copiapo 1554.97
12 Santiago Wanderers 1551.71
13 Deportes Recoleta 1546.21
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 1523.58
15 Curico Unido 1494.49
16 Union San Felipe 1470.47

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CD Antofagasta 1607.93
2 CD Iquique 1537.72
3 Union Espanola 1530.99
4 CD San Luis de Quillota 1527.97
5 Deportes Santa Cruz 1520.11
6 CD Cobreloa 1515.74
7 CSD Rangers 1505.52
8 Deportes Temuco 1501.73
9 Deportes Copiapo 1500.67
10 Deportes Recoleta 1495.09
11 San Marcos de Arica 1494.59
12 Deportes Magallanes 1489.34
13 Santiago Wanderers 1482.30
14 Union San Felipe 1444.01
15 CD Puerto Montt 1443.16
16 Curico Unido 1436.30