ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 676
Avg Goals 2.72
Avg Home 1.53
Avg Away 1.19
Home Win % 46.4%
Draw % 22.0%
Away Win % 31.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 676
Avg Brier Score 0.5984
Pick Accuracy 52.1%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6010
Market Brier 0.6028
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 3
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 3 of 676 matches had at least one · staked 3.00, profit -3.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.5% 7.1% 14
10–20% 16.4% 16.3% 202
20–30% 25.1% 23.3% 910
30–40% 35.1% 35.4% 333
40–50% 45.0% 48.4% 289
50–60% 54.4% 57.5% 160
60–70% 64.0% 65.9% 91
70–80% 73.3% 69.2% 26
80–90% 81.1% 66.7% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Huachipato vs Coquimbo Unido 2-2 49% 50% -2.8 26% 30% -15.4 26% 28% -7.2
05.08.23 Universidad Catolica vs Audax Italiano 0-2 53% 50% 5.1 24% 29% -18.0 23% 29% -18.4
06.08.23 CD Nublense vs CD Cobresal 1-2 37% 41% -8.6 26% 31% -14.5 36% 36% 0.1
06.08.23 Everton CD vs Colo Colo 1-2 34% 35% -1.9 27% 31% -14.3 39% 41% -4.9
07.08.23 Union La Calera vs CD Palestino 2-3 39% 41% -5.3 26% 30% -13.8 35% 36% -3.2
08.08.23 Universidad de Chile vs O´Higgins 2-5 54% 53% 1.3 25% 31% -17.8 21% 24% -12.5
11.08.23 CD Cobresal vs Deportes Magallanes 3-1 61% 60% 1.8 22% 26% -17.2 18% 21% -16.4
12.08.23 Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo 2-2 29% 30% -5.5 26% 31% -14.8 45% 47% -3.0
12.08.23 O´Higgins vs Deportes Copiapo 1-1 50% 51% -3.0 25% 29% -14.7 25% 27% -6.8
13.08.23 CD Palestino vs Universidad Catolica 3-0 54% 55% -2.5 23% 27% -13.3 23% 25% -8.0
13.08.23 Union Espanola vs Huachipato 0-1 43% 44% -3.6 26% 30% -14.5 31% 33% -6.2
14.08.23 Audax Italiano vs Everton CD 0-1 42% 44% -6.4 26% 31% -14.2 32% 32% -0.8
15.08.23 CD Nublense vs Union La Calera 1-1 41% 42% -3.8 27% 31% -14.8 33% 34% -4.9
15.08.23 Universidad de Chile vs Curico Unido 1-1 63% 63% -1.0 21% 26% -16.4 16% 18% -12.6
25.08.23 Audax Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido 1-1 40% 41% -2.9 27% 32% -15.5 33% 35% -5.0
26.08.23 Union La Calera vs Universidad de Chile 2-1 37% 39% -4.9 27% 32% -15.7 36% 37% -4.2
26.08.23 Universidad Catolica vs CD Nublense 2-1 48% 49% -1.5 26% 30% -15.3 26% 29% -8.1
29.08.23 Everton CD vs CD Cobresal 2-2 49% 51% -4.0 25% 29% -14.5 26% 27% -5.3
01.09.23 Union Espanola vs Universidad Catolica 2-2 55% 56% -1.6 23% 27% -14.7 22% 24% -11.1
02.09.23 Union La Calera vs Deportes Copiapo 1-1 62% 63% -2.1 20% 24% -14.0 18% 20% -12.2
02.09.23 Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo 1-1 32% 34% -6.2 27% 31% -14.7 41% 42% -1.6
03.09.23 CD Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido 3-2 56% 58% -2.9 23% 27% -14.0 21% 22% -7.1
03.09.23 Deportes Magallanes vs CD Palestino 2-0 28% 32% -11.7 26% 30% -15.6 46% 45% 1.1
03.09.23 Huachipato vs Curico Unido 3-0 55% 56% -1.9 23% 27% -14.0 22% 24% -9.0
03.09.23 O´Higgins vs Audax Italiano 2-1 42% 43% -0.8 26% 31% -14.8 32% 34% -8.4
04.09.23 CD Nublense vs Everton CD 1-0 37% 40% -6.4 28% 34% -16.2 34% 34% 0.8
13.09.23 Curico Unido vs O´Higgins 1-3 37% 38% -1.6 27% 32% -14.8 35% 37% -4.4
15.09.23 Colo Colo vs Deportes Copiapo 1-1 70% 69% 1.3 17% 22% -20.1 12% 16% -23.0
15.09.23 Huachipato vs CD Palestino 2-2 35% 38% -7.9 27% 31% -15.0 39% 39% -1.3
23.09.23 CD Palestino vs Union Espanola 2-1 52% 53% -0.5 24% 29% -15.2 23% 26% -11.0
23.09.23 Colo Colo vs CD Cobresal 6-0 59% 58% 1.2 22% 26% -16.3 19% 22% -15.5
23.09.23 Coquimbo Unido vs O´Higgins 2-1 45% 45% -1.6 27% 31% -15.1 29% 31% -6.6
23.09.23 Curico Unido vs CD Nublense 0-3 35% 36% -1.7 27% 32% -15.4 38% 40% -6.0
24.09.23 Deportes Copiapo vs Universidad de Chile 3-1 32% 36% -11.6 26% 30% -14.7 42% 41% 2.9
24.09.23 Everton CD vs Huachipato 1-2 47% 48% -1.1 26% 31% -15.6 27% 29% -8.6
24.09.23 Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Magallanes 1-0 46% 45% 0.9 26% 30% -15.5 29% 32% -11.6
25.09.23 Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera 2-1 45% 47% -3.3 26% 30% -14.4 29% 31% -5.5
30.09.23 Coquimbo Unido vs CD Nublense 1-3 47% 48% -1.9 26% 31% -15.3 27% 29% -7.4
30.09.23 Deportes Magallanes vs Everton CD 1-4 36% 39% -9.1 27% 32% -15.9 37% 37% 0.5
30.09.23 Huachipato vs Deportes Copiapo 1-0 63% 64% -1.0 20% 24% -14.5 17% 19% -12.9
01.10.23 CD Cobresal vs CD Palestino 2-1 43% 47% -7.6 26% 30% -14.2 31% 31% -0.7
01.10.23 Colo Colo vs Universidad Catolica 2-1 66% 65% 0.9 20% 24% -18.5 14% 17% -18.6
01.10.23 O´Higgins vs Union La Calera 0-1 42% 43% -1.5 26% 31% -14.3 32% 34% -6.5
03.10.23 Universidad de Chile vs Audax Italiano 2-0 51% 50% 1.3 25% 30% -16.2 24% 27% -11.3
07.10.23 Curico Unido vs CD Cobresal 1-2 28% 32% -13.4 24% 28% -14.1 48% 48% 1.3
07.10.23 O´Higgins vs Universidad Catolica 0-3 50% 50% -0.1 25% 29% -15.7 25% 29% -11.7
07.10.23 Union La Calera vs Huachipato 2-4 43% 44% -3.4 25% 29% -12.5 32% 34% -5.4
08.10.23 CD Palestino vs Colo Colo 1-0 33% 34% -2.6 26% 31% -14.0 41% 43% -4.8
08.10.23 Coquimbo Unido vs Union Espanola 3-1 43% 47% -8.0 26% 29% -13.0 32% 31% 1.2
09.10.23 Audax Italiano vs CD Nublense 1-0 43% 42% 2.6 27% 32% -16.3 30% 33% -10.9
06.11.23 Universidad de Chile vs Everton CD 1-2 47% 48% -1.4 25% 29% -14.2 28% 30% -8.2
07.11.23 Deportes Magallanes vs Colo Colo 1-2 21% 24% -12.5 24% 29% -16.3 55% 55% 0.2
11.11.23 CD Cobresal vs Audax Italiano 3-4 60% 61% -1.5 22% 26% -14.8 18% 21% -11.4
11.11.23 Universidad Catolica vs Universidad de Chile 1-3 32% 35% -7.1 25% 29% -13.7 42% 43% -2.9
12.11.23 CD Nublense vs CD Palestino 1-1 37% 38% -2.5 27% 31% -14.4 36% 38% -5.2
12.11.23 Colo Colo vs Union La Calera 2-0 66% 65% 1.4 20% 24% -19.1 14% 17% -19.7
12.11.23 Deportes Magallanes vs Huachipato 1-1 31% 33% -6.0 25% 29% -13.4 43% 44% -2.9
12.11.23 Everton CD vs Curico Unido 1-1 67% 67% -0.2 19% 23% -17.1 14% 17% -17.6
13.11.23 Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Copiapo 1-0 57% 58% -2.5 23% 27% -14.5 21% 23% -9.7
13.11.23 Union Espanola vs O´Higgins 3-3 51% 50% 1.3 25% 29% -15.5 24% 28% -11.8
23.11.23 CD Palestino vs Everton CD 0-2 50% 51% -3.5 24% 28% -13.3 26% 29% -7.5
24.11.23 Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido 1-2 58% 58% -0.4 23% 28% -16.7 19% 22% -12.8
25.11.23 Huachipato vs Universidad Catolica 1-1 57% 56% 1.2 22% 26% -15.8 21% 25% -16.0
25.11.23 O´Higgins vs CD Cobresal 0-0 38% 41% -6.8 25% 29% -12.3 37% 38% -2.1
25.11.23 Union La Calera vs Union Espanola 4-0 44% 48% -7.5 25% 29% -12.3 31% 31% 0.5
26.11.23 Audax Italiano vs Colo Colo 0-1 22% 25% -12.6 24% 29% -16.2 54% 54% 0.3
27.11.23 Deportes Copiapo vs CD Nublense 1-1 34% 36% -5.7 27% 32% -15.4 38% 39% -2.0
02.12.23 Audax Italiano vs Deportes Magallanes 0-2 46% 45% 1.4 25% 29% -14.3 29% 32% -11.0
02.12.23 CD Palestino vs Curico Unido 4-0 75% 76% -1.2 15% 18% -18.7 10% 12% -21.8
02.12.23 Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera 1-2 43% 47% -7.7 26% 30% -14.2 31% 31% -0.5
02.12.23 Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Copiapo 2-2 52% 53% -2.6 24% 28% -14.0 24% 26% -8.7
03.12.23 CD Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile 4-3 47% 49% -3.1 24% 28% -12.4 28% 30% -6.2
03.12.23 CD Nublense vs Huachipato 0-1 33% 33% 0.4 26% 31% -14.2 40% 43% -7.7
03.12.23 Colo Colo vs Union Espanola 0-2 74% 74% -0.7 16% 20% -17.6 10% 12% -17.5
03.12.23 Everton CD vs O´Higgins 0-2 54% 54% -1.0 24% 29% -15.5 22% 25% -10.6
08.12.23 Curico Unido vs Colo Colo 0-1 7% 10% -26.7 12% 16% -22.9 80% 81% -0.4
08.12.23 Huachipato vs Audax Italiano 2-0 70% 70% -0.5 18% 22% -16.8 12% 15% -16.7
08.12.23 Union Espanola vs CD Cobresal 1-0 28% 32% -12.0 24% 28% -13.7 48% 48% 0.0
09.12.23 Deportes Copiapo vs Everton CD 2-0 32% 38% -13.9 25% 29% -14.6 42% 41% 3.9
09.12.23 Deportes Magallanes vs Coquimbo Unido 2-3 44% 45% -3.0 24% 28% -12.2 32% 34% -7.0
09.12.23 O´Higgins vs CD Palestino 0-1 31% 33% -7.9 25% 29% -14.2 44% 45% -3.1
09.12.23 Union La Calera vs Universidad Catolica 0-3 47% 48% -1.7 24% 29% -14.3 29% 32% -10.9
09.12.23 Universidad de Chile vs CD Nublense 3-1 59% 58% 2.0 22% 27% -17.6 18% 22% -17.0
17.02.24 CD Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido 0-0 48% 49% -1.5 26% 30% -14.6 26% 28% -6.2
17.02.24 Union Espanola vs Colo Colo 0-3 18% 22% -19.4 22% 28% -19.2 60% 57% 4.4
18.02.24 Deportes Copiapo vs O´Higgins 1-3 38% 39% -4.0 27% 31% -14.5 36% 37% -3.8
19.02.24 CD Cobreloa vs Huachipato 1-1 37% 43% -12.2 26% 31% -14.7 36% 34% 5.5
20.02.24 Audax Italiano vs CD Iquique 2-3 48% 49% -1.1 25% 30% -16.0 26% 29% -10.6
23.02.24 Universidad Catolica vs CD Nublense 0-1 47% 48% -1.3 26% 30% -15.5 27% 30% -9.6
24.02.24 CD Palestino vs CD Cobreloa 5-0 58% 59% -1.5 23% 27% -15.6 19% 22% -11.3
24.02.24 Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Copiapo 3-1 52% 54% -3.0 24% 29% -14.6 23% 25% -7.2
24.02.24 Universidad de Chile vs Audax Italiano 1-0 60% 58% 4.3 22% 28% -19.6 17% 22% -20.1
25.02.24 CD Iquique vs Everton CD 1-1 34% 40% -14.1 26% 31% -15.2 40% 37% 6.8
25.02.24 Huachipato vs Union La Calera 0-1 53% 53% -0.2 24% 28% -14.8 23% 26% -11.7
25.02.24 O´Higgins vs Colo Colo 1-0 26% 31% -15.4 26% 31% -17.2 48% 45% 5.8
26.02.24 CD Cobresal vs Union Espanola 2-2 55% 53% 3.9 23% 28% -16.9 22% 27% -17.8
02.03.24 CD Cobreloa vs CD Cobresal 2-1 41% 44% -6.8 26% 29% -13.0 33% 33% -1.1
02.03.24 CD Palestino vs Universidad Catolica 0-2 47% 45% 3.5 25% 29% -13.7 28% 32% -12.3
02.03.24 O´Higgins vs Everton CD 2-1 42% 43% -2.2 27% 31% -14.5 31% 32% -4.6
03.03.24 CD Nublense vs Audax Italiano 1-2 47% 47% 1.2 26% 31% -16.8 27% 31% -12.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 676 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Colo Colo 1841.80
2 Universidad de Chile 1835.76
3 Universidad Catolica 1794.24
4 Coquimbo Unido 1752.33
5 Everton CD 1732.85
6 O´Higgins 1694.53
7 CD Palestino 1680.51
8 CD Nublense 1678.83
9 Deportes Limache 1660.49
10 Deportes Concepcion 1659.13
11 Audax Italiano 1637.43
12 Union La Calera 1636.09
13 CD Cobresal 1634.42
14 CD La Serena 1633.42
15 Universidad de Concepcion 1611.93
16 Huachipato 1591.60

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Colo Colo 1821.71
2 Universidad de Chile 1776.68
3 Universidad Catolica 1734.45
4 Coquimbo Unido 1721.10
5 CD Palestino 1659.13
6 Everton CD 1659.03
7 Deportes Limache 1624.65
8 Union La Calera 1613.62
9 O´Higgins 1611.03
10 CD Nublense 1602.36
11 Deportes Concepcion 1595.43
12 Audax Italiano 1594.35
13 Universidad de Concepcion 1563.49
14 Huachipato 1560.07
15 CD La Serena 1552.83
16 CD Cobresal 1448.41