ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 859
Avg Goals 2.31
Avg Home 1.36
Avg Away 0.95
Home Win % 46.7%
Draw % 26.1%
Away Win % 27.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 859
Avg Brier Score 0.5760
Pick Accuracy 54.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5769
Market Brier 0.5794
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 859 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.4% 7.3% 41
10–20% 15.9% 11.1% 332
20–30% 26.1% 24.6% 1029
30–40% 33.7% 34.1% 484
40–50% 44.9% 49.8% 309
50–60% 54.7% 54.9% 193
60–70% 64.5% 71.3% 143
70–80% 74.6% 84.1% 44
80–90% 80.1% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
02.08.23 Leones FC vs Deportes Quindio 0-0 40% 43% -8.7 28% 31% -9.5 32% 38% -15.6
05.08.23 Llaneros FC vs Leones FC 4-3 49% 51% -5.3 27% 31% -12.5 24% 29% -18.1
05.08.23 Orsomarso SC vs Fortaleza FC 0-1 22% 27% -18.4 28% 32% -13.2 50% 53% -5.1
05.08.23 Real Santander vs Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 32% 38% -14.5 31% 36% -13.1 37% 39% -6.5
06.08.23 Real Cartagena vs Boca Juniors de Cali 3-2 57% 62% -7.0 24% 27% -11.8 19% 24% -20.1
06.08.23 Real Cundinamarca vs Barranquilla FC 1-1 54% 58% -7.7 26% 29% -12.5 21% 25% -17.7
07.08.23 Atletico FC vs FC Bogota 0-2 39% 44% -11.6 31% 36% -13.8 29% 32% -9.0
09.08.23 Deportes Quindio vs Cortulua 2-1 45% 48% -5.6 28% 32% -12.2 27% 32% -17.2
09.08.23 Tigres Zipaquira vs Cucuta Deportivo 2-2 31% 34% -8.9 33% 38% -14.5 36% 40% -9.4
12.08.23 Cortulua vs Tigres Zipaquira 3-0 48% 51% -6.7 29% 33% -14.4 24% 29% -17.3
12.08.23 Cucuta Deportivo vs Barranquilla FC 1-2 73% 76% -4.1 18% 22% -18.6 10% 13% -25.3
12.08.23 Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Quindio 1-0 55% 58% -6.0 26% 29% -13.1 20% 24% -18.7
12.08.23 Leones FC vs Atletico FC 1-2 58% 61% -5.6 24% 28% -13.9 18% 23% -21.2
12.08.23 Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena 1-1 39% 43% -9.1 30% 34% -11.6 31% 36% -12.2
13.08.23 FC Bogota vs Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 29% 33% -12.2 32% 36% -13.4 39% 43% -7.8
14.08.23 Orsomarso SC vs Llaneros FC 0-2 34% 38% -12.2 31% 35% -12.5 36% 39% -9.4
16.08.23 Boca Juniors de Cali vs Real Santander 0-0 43% 49% -12.2 27% 29% -7.7 30% 34% -11.4
18.08.23 Real Santander vs Cortulua 2-2 35% 38% -9.9 30% 33% -11.1 36% 41% -12.5
19.08.23 Atletico FC vs Cucuta Deportivo 1-0 25% 29% -14.1 29% 32% -11.4 47% 51% -8.6
19.08.23 Barranquilla FC vs Deportes Quindio 4-1 30% 34% -12.7 29% 32% -10.2 41% 45% -10.0
19.08.23 Patriotas Boyaca vs Leones FC 1-3 61% 65% -5.2 23% 27% -14.7 16% 20% -21.1
20.08.23 Fortaleza FC vs Boca Juniors de Cali 1-0 66% 68% -3.6 22% 27% -18.6 12% 16% -23.5
21.08.23 Llaneros FC vs Real Cundinamarca 3-0 61% 65% -7.0 24% 29% -15.0 15% 18% -17.7
21.08.23 Real Cartagena vs FC Bogota 3-3 45% 49% -7.1 29% 34% -13.1 25% 29% -14.2
21.08.23 Tigres Zipaquira vs Orsomarso SC 1-3 54% 56% -4.0 27% 32% -16.8 19% 24% -21.1
22.08.23 Cortulua vs Barranquilla FC 1-1 67% 72% -6.5 19% 22% -11.8 14% 17% -22.0
23.08.23 Deportes Quindio vs Real Santander 1-1 58% 62% -7.0 25% 29% -13.9 18% 22% -19.0
24.08.23 Boca Juniors de Cali vs Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 34% 41% -15.7 29% 32% -10.2 37% 39% -6.6
24.08.23 Real Cartagena vs Atletico FC 3-1 62% 67% -7.8 23% 26% -12.6 15% 18% -17.1
24.08.23 Real Cundinamarca vs Tigres Zipaquira 2-0 37% 41% -8.9 31% 35% -12.4 32% 36% -11.8
25.08.23 FC Bogota vs Llaneros FC 0-0 41% 45% -10.1 32% 38% -14.7 27% 29% -8.4
25.08.23 Leones FC vs Orsomarso SC 4-0 57% 62% -6.9 24% 27% -12.6 19% 24% -20.7
26.08.23 Real Santander vs Real Cartagena 0-1 39% 44% -11.6 28% 31% -9.6 32% 37% -12.4
27.08.23 Orsomarso SC vs Boca Juniors de Cali 0-1 37% 41% -8.6 30% 33% -11.3 33% 38% -13.8
28.08.23 Atletico FC vs Real Cundinamarca 1-2 41% 47% -11.7 29% 33% -11.8 30% 33% -11.4
28.08.23 Barranquilla FC vs FC Bogota 2-0 41% 48% -14.2 29% 33% -11.5 30% 32% -8.0
28.08.23 Tigres Zipaquira vs Llaneros FC 0-1 39% 42% -8.3 30% 35% -12.8 31% 36% -13.4
30.08.23 Fortaleza FC vs Leones FC 3-1 52% 56% -8.5 26% 29% -11.0 22% 26% -15.8
30.08.23 Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportes Quindio 1-2 50% 53% -6.5 29% 33% -14.2 22% 26% -15.5
01.09.23 Boca Juniors de Cali vs Real Cundinamarca 1-0 47% 50% -6.7 29% 33% -13.7 25% 29% -16.5
02.09.23 Cortulua vs Atletico FC 0-1 61% 62% -3.0 23% 29% -17.8 16% 21% -24.4
02.09.23 Deportes Quindio vs Cucuta Deportivo 0-1 39% 43% -10.4 30% 33% -11.3 31% 36% -11.9
02.09.23 FC Bogota vs Real Santander 1-2 54% 60% -8.7 27% 31% -12.8 19% 22% -13.2
03.09.23 Leones FC vs Tigres Zipaquira 1-2 54% 58% -7.0 25% 29% -13.5 20% 25% -19.4
03.09.23 Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso SC 1-0 62% 66% -6.2 23% 27% -13.9 15% 19% -19.6
04.09.23 Patriotas Boyaca vs Barranquilla FC 2-0 60% 63% -5.8 24% 28% -14.4 17% 21% -20.4
05.09.23 Cucuta Deportivo vs Real Santander 1-1 63% 66% -5.5 23% 28% -16.7 14% 18% -21.5
06.09.23 Atletico FC vs Boca Juniors de Cali 2-0 37% 41% -10.3 27% 29% -7.7 36% 43% -14.8
06.09.23 Orsomarso SC vs Deportes Quindio 0-0 27% 30% -10.7 30% 34% -12.3 43% 48% -10.3
06.09.23 Real Cundinamarca vs Leones FC 1-2 40% 45% -12.3 28% 30% -8.7 32% 37% -12.3
06.09.23 Tigres Zipaquira vs FC Bogota 0-1 40% 43% -6.4 32% 38% -15.0 28% 32% -12.9
08.09.23 Fortaleza FC vs Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 52% 56% -7.2 29% 33% -14.4 20% 23% -13.8
09.09.23 Barranquilla FC vs Real Cartagena 0-0 35% 39% -10.4 30% 34% -11.4 35% 39% -11.2
09.09.23 Cortulua vs Orsomarso SC 3-0 56% 58% -3.1 25% 30% -16.5 18% 24% -22.7
09.09.23 Deportes Quindio vs Real Cundinamarca 1-1 62% 66% -6.0 24% 29% -15.9 14% 17% -17.9
09.09.23 Real Santander vs Leones FC 2-1 40% 45% -11.2 28% 31% -9.5 31% 36% -12.2
10.09.23 FC Bogota vs Cucuta Deportivo 0-2 33% 37% -11.6 31% 35% -12.6 37% 41% -10.4
11.09.23 Boca Juniors de Cali vs Llaneros FC 0-0 38% 42% -9.8 30% 34% -12.1 32% 36% -11.8
11.09.23 Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico FC 2-1 62% 65% -4.8 23% 27% -15.5 15% 19% -21.6
12.09.23 Barranquilla FC vs Fortaleza FC 1-1 29% 33% -14.3 29% 33% -11.9 42% 47% -9.6
12.09.23 Real Cartagena vs Tigres Zipaquira 1-1 59% 63% -7.0 25% 29% -13.8 17% 20% -17.4
14.09.23 Orsomarso SC vs Real Santander 2-2 33% 35% -6.8 30% 34% -11.5 37% 43% -14.2
15.09.23 Atletico FC vs Deportes Quindio 2-2 37% 43% -15.9 26% 28% -5.5 37% 41% -8.9
15.09.23 Real Cundinamarca vs Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 31% 34% -10.1 31% 35% -12.2 38% 43% -10.2
16.09.23 Cucuta Deportivo vs Real Cartagena 2-0 55% 60% -8.4 26% 29% -12.6 20% 24% -16.9
16.09.23 Llaneros FC vs Barranquilla FC 3-0 61% 65% -7.0 23% 27% -14.1 16% 20% -20.1
16.09.23 Tigres Zipaquira vs Boca Juniors de Cali 0-1 45% 49% -7.9 30% 34% -13.7 25% 29% -13.9
17.09.23 Leones FC vs FC Bogota 1-0 48% 53% -8.8 27% 30% -11.4 25% 30% -17.0
19.09.23 Deportes Quindio vs Llaneros FC 0-0 46% 50% -8.5 30% 35% -13.3 24% 27% -10.9
19.09.23 Patriotas Boyaca vs Orsomarso SC 1-0 69% 72% -4.4 20% 25% -18.6 11% 14% -23.6
20.09.23 Barranquilla FC vs Atletico FC 3-1 44% 49% -8.9 28% 31% -11.3 28% 33% -16.4
20.09.23 Boca Juniors de Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo 1-0 31% 35% -11.3 30% 34% -11.8 38% 43% -9.6
20.09.23 Cortulua vs Leones FC 0-1 43% 47% -7.8 29% 32% -11.6 29% 34% -15.7
20.09.23 Fortaleza FC vs Real Cartagena 1-0 59% 66% -10.3 24% 27% -10.9 17% 19% -13.2
20.09.23 Real Santander vs Tigres Zipaquira 1-2 53% 58% -8.2 26% 30% -12.7 20% 24% -16.1
21.09.23 FC Bogota vs Real Cundinamarca 0-0 44% 45% -3.7 29% 33% -13.6 27% 34% -19.1
23.09.23 Tigres Zipaquira vs Atletico FC 2-3 46% 51% -9.7 27% 31% -10.7 26% 31% -14.8
24.09.23 Llaneros FC vs Real Santander 2-0 53% 57% -6.7 27% 31% -13.9 20% 24% -16.8
24.09.23 Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindio 2-0 45% 50% -9.7 29% 32% -11.5 26% 30% -13.2
25.09.23 Cucuta Deportivo vs Patriotas Boyaca 4-3 48% 52% -6.4 29% 33% -13.5 23% 27% -14.9
25.09.23 Orsomarso SC vs FC Bogota 2-0 35% 38% -8.4 30% 34% -11.5 35% 40% -13.1
25.09.23 Real Cundinamarca vs Fortaleza FC 2-2 28% 32% -13.4 31% 36% -13.3 41% 44% -7.5
26.09.23 Boca Juniors de Cali vs Cortulua 1-0 46% 50% -8.6 28% 31% -10.7 26% 31% -14.3
26.09.23 Leones FC vs Barranquilla FC 2-0 62% 67% -7.2 22% 26% -13.2 16% 20% -20.6
29.09.23 Patriotas Boyaca vs Fortaleza FC 0-2 34% 38% -9.0 31% 35% -12.1 35% 39% -11.2
30.09.23 Atletico FC vs Llaneros FC 0-0 31% 35% -11.2 30% 34% -12.2 39% 43% -11.2
30.09.23 FC Bogota vs Tigres Zipaquira 1-0 44% 47% -4.5 30% 34% -14.0 26% 31% -17.1
01.10.23 Real Santander vs Cucuta Deportivo 0-0 38% 43% -11.6 30% 34% -11.3 32% 36% -9.5
02.10.23 Barranquilla FC vs Boca Juniors de Cali 1-0 42% 48% -10.8 29% 32% -10.5 29% 32% -11.1
03.10.23 Cortulua vs Real Cartagena 0-1 45% 51% -10.5 27% 30% -9.3 27% 31% -12.6
03.10.23 Deportes Quindio vs Orsomarso SC 0-1 69% 74% -6.5 20% 23% -14.9 12% 15% -21.5
04.10.23 Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca 3-2 60% 65% -7.7 24% 27% -12.9 17% 21% -18.8
05.10.23 Llaneros FC vs Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 56% 61% -7.2 28% 33% -16.2 16% 18% -12.9
05.10.23 Tigres Zipaquira vs Deportes Quindio 0-1 26% 29% -9.4 30% 34% -11.9 44% 50% -11.5
06.10.23 Boca Juniors de Cali vs Atletico FC 1-2 40% 43% -5.6 29% 32% -11.3 31% 38% -17.3
07.10.23 Cortulua vs Patriotas Boyaca 3-1 24% 24% -0.5 28% 31% -8.9 48% 56% -15.3
07.10.23 Fortaleza FC vs FC Bogota 2-1 68% 71% -4.8 20% 25% -18.5 12% 15% -24.3
07.10.23 Real Santander vs Barranquilla FC 4-1 54% 58% -6.5 26% 30% -13.9 20% 24% -18.6
08.10.23 Cucuta Deportivo vs Leones FC 2-2 55% 60% -8.4 25% 29% -11.7 20% 24% -17.1
09.10.23 Orsomarso SC vs Real Cundinamarca 0-0 37% 41% -8.8 30% 34% -12.0 32% 37% -12.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 859 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

17 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Real Cartagena 1741.13
2 Union Magdalena 1691.79
3 Deportes Quindio 1675.62
4 CD Real Cartagena FC (COL) 1669.88
5 Patriotas Boyaca 1637.15
6 Envigado 1628.28
7 Real Cundinamarca 1619.43
8 Internacional De Palmira 1594.44
9 Tigres Zipaquira 1591.72
10 Orsomarso SC 1556.12
11 FC Bogota 1538.95
12 Independiente Yumbo 1523.21
13 Real Santander 1490.67
14 Boca Juniors de Cali 1478.71
15 Leones FC 1449.04
16 Barranquilla FC 1438.62
17 Atletico FC 1368.92

Away Ratings

17 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CD Real Cartagena FC (COL) 1622.77
2 Real Cartagena 1615.53
3 Envigado 1557.09
4 Deportes Quindio 1550.21
5 Internacional De Palmira 1541.84
6 Real Cundinamarca 1523.54
7 Union Magdalena 1516.70
8 Independiente Yumbo 1509.73
9 Patriotas Boyaca 1496.64
10 FC Bogota 1476.07
11 Orsomarso SC 1452.48
12 Tigres Zipaquira 1446.03
13 Real Santander 1435.55
14 Boca Juniors de Cali 1421.60
15 Leones FC 1407.27
16 Barranquilla FC 1390.98
17 Atletico FC 1357.40