ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 751
Avg Goals 2.97
Avg Home 1.66
Avg Away 1.32
Home Win % 46.2%
Draw % 26.4%
Away Win % 27.4%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 751
Avg Brier Score 0.6013
Pick Accuracy 51.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6038
Market Brier 0.6009
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 3
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 3 of 751 matches had at least one · staked 3.00, profit -3.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.7% 3.3% 30
10–20% 16.4% 13.0% 184
20–30% 25.7% 24.9% 1022
30–40% 34.9% 34.7% 403
40–50% 44.6% 48.5% 340
50–60% 54.5% 53.4% 174
60–70% 64.4% 73.8% 61
70–80% 75.3% 73.5% 34
80–90% 83.1% 75.0% 4
90–100% 90.4% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Antioquia FC vs ADR Jicaral 1-1 28% 30% -7.4 26% 29% -9.8 46% 53% -13.7
05.08.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs Guadalupe FC 3-1 43% 49% -11.9 26% 29% -10.3 31% 34% -9.5
06.08.23 AD Aserri vs Limon Black Star 1-0 37% 43% -14.2 27% 30% -11.4 36% 39% -8.6
06.08.23 Quepos Cambute vs Marineros de Puntarenas 2-2 48% 54% -12.0 26% 29% -10.1 27% 29% -9.1
06.08.23 Uruguay de Coronado vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 1-2 54% 61% -12.1 25% 28% -10.8 21% 23% -7.8
09.08.23 AD Sarchi vs Antioquia FC 1-2 46% 53% -12.9 26% 29% -10.1 28% 29% -5.8
09.08.23 ADR Jicaral vs Municipal Garabito 7-2 74% 80% -7.2 17% 20% -15.9 9% 11% -16.9
09.08.23 Limon Black Star vs Uruguay de Coronado 2-0 44% 51% -13.5 26% 29% -10.0 31% 34% -9.7
09.08.23 Quepos Cambute vs AD Cofutpa 2-1 41% 45% -10.0 26% 29% -10.2 33% 37% -11.7
10.08.23 AD Aserri vs Municipal Santa Ana 0-1 34% 40% -14.2 26% 29% -10.3 39% 43% -7.6
10.08.23 Cariari Pococi vs Escorpiones FC 2-4 34% 38% -12.2 28% 31% -12.0 39% 43% -9.1
10.08.23 Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Municipal Turrialba 1-1 54% 60% -11.2 25% 28% -11.3 22% 24% -10.5
10.08.23 Marineros de Puntarenas vs AD Carmelita 0-3 27% 29% -8.6 26% 29% -10.0 47% 54% -12.3
12.08.23 Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi 1-1 43% 48% -9.7 25% 28% -9.3 32% 37% -14.2
13.08.23 AD Carmelita vs Quepos Cambute 1-2 52% 58% -10.8 26% 29% -12.1 23% 25% -9.5
13.08.23 Escorpiones FC vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 3-2 54% 60% -10.6 25% 28% -11.6 22% 24% -11.6
13.08.23 Municipal Garabito vs AD Sarchi 1-5 30% 36% -15.7 27% 30% -12.3 43% 47% -6.9
13.08.23 Municipal Turrialba vs Limon Black Star 1-1 22% 24% -9.9 24% 27% -9.9 54% 61% -12.0
16.08.23 Municipal Turrialba vs Cariari Pococi 1-3 34% 40% -14.8 26% 29% -9.7 40% 43% -7.7
19.08.23 AD Sarchi vs Puerto Golfito FC 3-0 67% 76% -11.9 19% 21% -6.8 14% 15% -6.4
19.08.23 Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Guadalupe FC 0-1 40% 45% -12.8 27% 30% -10.9 33% 36% -8.3
20.08.23 AD Aserri vs Municipal Turrialba 1-0 54% 62% -12.9 25% 28% -10.8 21% 23% -7.2
20.08.23 AD Carmelita vs AD Cofutpa 1-1 54% 62% -11.8 25% 28% -11.1 21% 23% -8.1
20.08.23 Limon Black Star vs Escorpiones FC 5-0 40% 45% -12.2 27% 30% -11.4 33% 37% -10.3
20.08.23 Quepos Cambute vs Antioquia FC 3-3 49% 56% -13.1 26% 29% -10.2 25% 27% -6.7
20.08.23 Uruguay de Coronado vs Municipal Santa Ana 2-2 39% 43% -10.5 27% 30% -11.1 34% 38% -11.2
23.08.23 Antioquia FC vs AD Carmelita 1-1 31% 36% -12.0 27% 30% -11.5 42% 47% -10.3
23.08.23 Escorpiones FC vs AD Aserri 5-1 47% 53% -10.0 25% 29% -10.9 27% 31% -13.1
23.08.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi 1-2 52% 60% -12.6 24% 26% -8.6 24% 26% -9.2
23.08.23 Municipal Turrialba vs Uruguay de Coronado 1-2 25% 29% -11.4 26% 29% -11.9 49% 55% -10.8
24.08.23 AD Cofutpa vs ADR Jicaral 2-2 26% 29% -10.0 27% 30% -12.1 48% 53% -10.5
24.08.23 Guadalupe FC vs Limon Black Star 1-1 40% 45% -11.9 26% 29% -10.4 34% 38% -10.9
26.08.23 Antioquia FC vs AD Cofutpa 2-0 43% 49% -11.9 27% 31% -12.1 30% 32% -8.3
26.08.23 Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Cariari Pococi 1-2 38% 43% -13.1 26% 29% -10.6 36% 40% -10.3
27.08.23 AD Aserri vs Guadalupe FC 1-0 43% 49% -12.0 28% 32% -12.9 29% 31% -7.3
27.08.23 AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral 3-2 23% 26% -8.7 25% 28% -10.1 52% 58% -11.7
27.08.23 Municipal Turrialba vs Municipal Santa Ana 1-1 23% 25% -9.8 25% 28% -10.8 53% 60% -11.6
27.08.23 Uruguay de Coronado vs Escorpiones FC 0-1 42% 47% -10.2 26% 29% -9.6 32% 37% -12.5
02.09.23 Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Municipal Santa Ana 1-1 31% 35% -11.2 27% 30% -11.7 42% 48% -11.6
02.09.23 Guadalupe FC vs Uruguay de Coronado 3-2 41% 48% -12.9 27% 31% -11.5 31% 34% -7.7
03.09.23 AD Sarchi vs AD Cofutpa 1-1 43% 49% -12.8 26% 29% -10.6 31% 34% -9.6
03.09.23 ADR Jicaral vs Marineros de Puntarenas 1-1 78% 87% -10.2 14% 15% -4.2 8% 8% -3.1
03.09.23 Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star 1-1 40% 45% -12.9 26% 29% -9.5 35% 38% -10.2
03.09.23 Escorpiones FC vs Municipal Turrialba 5-3 69% 76% -10.2 19% 21% -8.4 12% 13% -5.8
06.09.23 Limon Black Star vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 3-1 57% 66% -12.7 23% 25% -8.0 20% 21% -6.0
06.09.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs Escorpiones FC 1-1 43% 49% -11.8 26% 29% -9.8 31% 35% -11.1
06.09.23 Quepos Cambute vs ADR Jicaral 1-1 32% 39% -18.0 26% 29% -11.8 42% 44% -5.7
07.09.23 AD Aserri vs Cariari Pococi 2-2 46% 54% -14.0 27% 30% -11.8 27% 29% -6.3
07.09.23 AD Cofutpa vs Municipal Garabito 5-1 50% 56% -9.4 24% 27% -9.9 25% 29% -13.9
07.09.23 Marineros de Puntarenas vs AD Sarchi 1-1 39% 47% -15.3 26% 29% -10.6 34% 37% -7.3
07.09.23 Municipal Turrialba vs Guadalupe FC 1-1 27% 31% -14.9 26% 29% -12.5 48% 53% -9.4
09.09.23 AD Carmelita vs ADR Jicaral 0-3 38% 45% -15.8 27% 30% -11.4 35% 37% -5.8
10.09.23 AD Aserri vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 0-0 59% 68% -13.4 24% 26% -8.2 17% 17% 3.0
10.09.23 AD Cofutpa vs Marineros de Puntarenas 0-1 47% 53% -11.1 27% 31% -12.8 26% 29% -9.1
10.09.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs Limon Black Star 2-0 42% 48% -11.8 26% 29% -10.7 32% 36% -11.2
10.09.23 Quepos Cambute vs AD Sarchi 3-0 58% 68% -15.0 23% 24% -7.0 19% 20% -2.6
10.09.23 Uruguay de Coronado vs Cariari Pococi 0-3 45% 52% -12.4 26% 29% -10.1 29% 32% -10.3
15.09.23 Limon Black Star vs AD Aserri 4-1 54% 63% -15.1 25% 27% -8.8 22% 22% -0.5
16.09.23 Cariari Pococi vs Municipal Turrialba 6-0 62% 70% -11.3 21% 23% -7.9 17% 18% -8.0
16.09.23 Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Uruguay de Coronado 3-2 40% 48% -16.2 27% 30% -11.3 33% 35% -4.6
17.09.23 AD Sarchi vs AD Carmelita 4-3 32% 38% -14.9 26% 29% -11.0 42% 45% -8.2
17.09.23 ADR Jicaral vs Antioquia FC 2-1 44% 54% -19.3 26% 29% -9.8 31% 30% 1.1
17.09.23 Guadalupe FC vs Municipal Santa Ana 1-3 36% 41% -11.2 27% 31% -12.2 36% 41% -11.1
18.09.23 Marineros de Puntarenas vs Quepos Cambute 2-1 28% 34% -16.0 25% 29% -11.2 46% 50% -7.7
18.09.23 Puerto Golfito FC vs AD Cofutpa 0-9 15% 14% 5.6 19% 18% 2.5 66% 78% -15.2
22.09.23 AD Carmelita vs Marineros de Puntarenas 1-2 50% 53% -7.4 25% 29% -12.1 25% 30% -16.2
22.09.23 Antioquia FC vs AD Sarchi 3-1 57% 65% -12.1 23% 25% -7.8 20% 22% -7.0
23.09.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs AD Aserri 3-1 54% 62% -13.8 24% 27% -8.3 22% 22% -2.4
23.09.23 Uruguay de Coronado vs Limon Black Star 3-2 35% 40% -12.6 26% 29% -10.1 39% 43% -9.3
24.09.23 AD Cofutpa vs Quepos Cambute 4-3 41% 47% -11.8 26% 29% -9.9 32% 36% -9.0
24.09.23 Municipal Turrialba vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 1-2 32% 37% -14.6 26% 29% -10.1 43% 47% -8.2
24.09.23 San Carlos FC vs ADR Jicaral 0-6 18% 17% 6.1 19% 17% 7.1 63% 76% -16.9
25.09.23 Escorpiones FC vs Cariari Pococi 3-3 46% 51% -11.0 25% 28% -9.5 29% 33% -12.4
30.09.23 Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Escorpiones FC 2-2 28% 31% -10.6 25% 28% -9.1 47% 53% -11.1
01.10.23 AD Aserri vs Uruguay de Coronado 2-0 38% 43% -12.4 27% 30% -11.0 35% 38% -9.1
01.10.23 AD Sarchi vs Municipal Garabito 5-0 70% 79% -11.7 16% 15% 2.3 14% 16% -11.2
01.10.23 Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe FC 1-2 51% 59% -13.6 25% 27% -8.8 25% 26% -6.8
01.10.23 Limon Black Star vs Municipal Turrialba 1-3 70% 78% -9.9 18% 19% -7.3 12% 13% -10.1
01.10.23 Quepos Cambute vs AD Carmelita 3-1 45% 51% -13.1 26% 29% -9.6 30% 32% -8.2
06.10.23 Guadalupe FC vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 2-1 46% 53% -12.7 26% 29% -10.1 28% 31% -9.4
07.10.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs Uruguay de Coronado 1-0 58% 66% -13.1 23% 25% -8.3 20% 21% -6.4
08.10.23 AD Cofutpa vs AD Carmelita 3-1 44% 49% -9.8 26% 29% -10.8 30% 34% -12.2
08.10.23 Antioquia FC vs Quepos Cambute 2-2 41% 48% -14.0 27% 30% -11.1 32% 34% -6.9
08.10.23 Escorpiones FC vs Limon Black Star 2-3 43% 49% -11.6 26% 29% -10.8 31% 34% -11.2
08.10.23 Municipal Turrialba vs AD Aserri 1-0 31% 37% -15.3 26% 29% -10.2 43% 47% -7.6
13.10.23 AD Carmelita vs Antioquia FC 4-0 39% 44% -13.0 27% 30% -11.1 34% 38% -8.8
14.10.23 Uruguay de Coronado vs Municipal Turrialba 2-1 57% 65% -10.9 23% 26% -10.5 20% 22% -11.9
15.10.23 Cariari Pococi vs Municipal Santa Ana 2-1 38% 43% -13.4 27% 31% -11.3 35% 38% -7.1
15.10.23 Limon Black Star vs Guadalupe FC 0-2 51% 58% -12.0 25% 28% -10.4 24% 27% -10.3
21.10.23 Guadalupe FC vs AD Aserri 0-1 46% 53% -12.9 28% 31% -11.8 27% 28% -4.2
21.10.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs Municipal Turrialba 4-1 67% 75% -9.8 19% 21% -9.2 14% 15% -11.7
22.10.23 AD Cofutpa vs Antioquia FC 4-3 46% 53% -13.3 25% 28% -8.6 29% 31% -7.3
22.10.23 ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi 4-2 65% 76% -13.7 19% 20% -2.8 15% 15% -1.5
22.10.23 Cariari Pococi vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 2-1 53% 61% -11.7 24% 26% -9.1 23% 25% -9.6
22.10.23 Escorpiones FC vs Uruguay de Coronado 2-0 54% 61% -11.1 24% 27% -10.2 22% 25% -11.4
28.10.23 Municipal Santa Ana vs Futbol Consultants Moravia 2-2 59% 66% -11.0 23% 25% -9.1 18% 20% -8.3
28.10.23 Uruguay de Coronado vs Guadalupe FC 0-3 40% 45% -11.8 27% 31% -12.1 33% 37% -11.3
29.10.23 AD Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi 2-0 48% 55% -12.0 26% 29% -10.8 26% 28% -7.6
29.10.23 Limon Black Star vs Cariari Pococi 1-2 45% 51% -12.2 25% 27% -8.2 30% 34% -10.9
29.10.23 Marineros de Puntarenas vs ADR Jicaral 3-1 26% 29% -11.5 25% 27% -9.1 49% 56% -11.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 751 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 ADR Jicaral 1685.84
2 Municipal Santa Ana 1602.92
3 Asociacion Deportiva Rosario 1578.59
4 Guadalupe FC 1547.65
5 Quepos Cambute 1531.28
6 Pitbulls FC 1522.91
7 AD Sarchi 1505.78
8 AD Municipal Grecia FC 1504.71
9 Cariari Pococi 1497.97
10 Futbol Consultants Moravia 1494.17
11 AD Aserri 1479.52
12 Limon Black Star 1473.77
13 AD Carmelita 1473.66
14 Deportivo Upala FC 1446.61
15 Uruguay de Coronado 1398.43
16 Santa Cruz 1388.11
17 AD Cofutpa 1383.22
18 Municipal Turrialba 1195.43

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 ADR Jicaral 1578.66
2 Guadalupe FC 1509.18
3 Limon Black Star 1478.02
4 AD Municipal Grecia FC 1459.89
5 Pitbulls FC 1456.88
6 Municipal Santa Ana 1456.10
7 AD Carmelita 1446.77
8 Quepos Cambute 1441.04
9 Cariari Pococi 1440.04
10 Futbol Consultants Moravia 1427.19
11 AD Sarchi 1410.20
12 AD Aserri 1387.22
13 Deportivo Upala FC 1373.51
14 Asociacion Deportiva Rosario 1356.95
15 Uruguay de Coronado 1352.96
16 Santa Cruz 1282.68
17 AD Cofutpa 1274.30
18 Municipal Turrialba 1137.29