ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 264
Avg Goals 2.17
Avg Home 1.06
Avg Away 1.11
Home Win % 32.2%
Draw % 29.2%
Away Win % 38.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 264
Avg Brier Score 0.6494
Pick Accuracy 41.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6473
Market Brier 0.6520
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 21
Value Bet Hit Rate 14.3%
ROI (flat stake) -10.7%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 66.7% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 21 of 264 matches had at least one · staked 21.00, profit -2.25 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 7 14.3% 7.00 -1.00 -14.3%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 14 14.3% 14.00 -1.25 -8.9%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 17.6% 22.2% 36
20–30% 27.1% 28.2% 213
30–40% 33.4% 32.4% 404
40–50% 43.9% 46.0% 100
50–60% 54.3% 45.9% 37
60–70% 62.9% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
07.10.23 Mouna FC vs San Pedro FC 0-2 19% 17% 15.3 29% 30% -5.7 52% 65% -19.1
08.10.23 Bouake FC vs CO Korhogo 0-1 34% 38% -11.6 32% 35% -9.6 34% 38% -10.9
08.10.23 SOL FC vs Stade D`Abidjan 1-1 37% 43% -14.2 33% 37% -11.4 30% 32% -7.3
08.10.23 Sporting Club De Gagnoa vs SO Armee 1-0 32% 34% -8.0 31% 34% -9.3 37% 43% -14.9
08.10.23 Stella Club d'Adjame vs Zoman FC 0-1 42% 50% -16.0 31% 35% -9.6 27% 28% -4.5
09.10.23 AFAD Djekanou vs AS Denguele 1-3 44% 53% -15.5 31% 34% -8.6 25% 26% -4.2
09.10.23 ASEC Mimosas vs ASI d'Abengourou 4-0 65% 82% -20.6 23% 21% 9.2 12% 8% 52.2
10.10.23 Lys Sassandra vs Racing Club dAbidjan 0-1 33% 38% -12.4 30% 33% -8.9 37% 42% -13.2
11.10.23 Stella Club d'Adjame vs SOL FC 1-1 40% 47% -14.8 31% 34% -9.7 29% 32% -9.4
11.10.23 Zoman FC vs Stade D`Abidjan 1-0 35% 40% -12.2 31% 35% -9.7 33% 38% -11.4
12.10.23 ASEC Mimosas vs AFAD Djekanou 1-0 58% 72% -19.4 27% 28% -2.1 15% 11% 29.6
12.10.23 ASI d'Abengourou vs AS Denguele 1-1 37% 43% -13.1 30% 32% -7.3 33% 38% -12.2
12.10.23 San Pedro FC vs CO Korhogo 0-1 47% 57% -17.5 29% 31% -5.8 24% 24% -2.3
13.10.23 Mouna FC vs Bouake FC 0-0 34% 38% -9.7 32% 35% -9.9 34% 40% -14.2
13.10.23 SO Armee vs Racing Club dAbidjan 0-1 43% 51% -15.4 30% 32% -7.1 27% 29% -7.0
13.10.23 Sporting Club De Gagnoa vs Lys Sassandra 1-2 40% 45% -11.8 30% 33% -8.5 29% 34% -13.2
16.10.23 Bouake FC vs San Pedro FC 0-2 22% 22% 1.1 30% 32% -8.5 48% 59% -17.6
16.10.23 SOL FC vs Zoman FC 0-1 37% 42% -12.9 32% 36% -10.2 31% 34% -9.5
16.10.23 Stade D`Abidjan vs Stella Club d'Adjame 0-0 34% 38% -11.1 32% 36% -10.5 34% 39% -12.1
18.10.23 Lys Sassandra vs SO Armee 1-2 24% 25% -2.2 31% 34% -10.0 45% 53% -16.3
18.10.23 Racing Club dAbidjan vs Sporting Club De Gagnoa 1-0 36% 42% -12.8 30% 32% -7.3 34% 38% -12.2
21.10.23 Bouake FC vs AFAD Djekanou 2-4 26% 29% -7.3 31% 35% -10.5 42% 49% -13.7
21.10.23 CO Korhogo vs AS Denguele 0-2 37% 43% -13.8 31% 34% -9.5 32% 36% -10.0
21.10.23 Mouna FC vs ASEC Mimosas 2-3 15% 13% 12.0 25% 26% -4.2 60% 71% -16.2
22.10.23 San Pedro FC vs ASI d'Abengourou 1-0 49% 60% -18.0 29% 31% -5.7 22% 21% 2.5
22.10.23 SOL FC vs Lys Sassandra 1-1 37% 42% -11.5 33% 38% -11.5 29% 32% -9.2
22.10.23 Stella Club d'Adjame vs Sporting Club De Gagnoa 3-1 36% 40% -10.9 33% 37% -11.4 32% 36% -11.7
23.10.23 Stade D`Abidjan vs Racing Club dAbidjan 2-2 32% 35% -9.8 32% 35% -9.9 37% 42% -12.9
25.10.23 AFAD Djekanou vs CO Korhogo 1-1 42% 51% -16.4 31% 34% -9.1 27% 29% -5.6
25.10.23 AS Denguele vs Bouake FC 2-1 43% 51% -15.0 31% 33% -8.3 27% 29% -7.2
25.10.23 ASEC Mimosas vs San Pedro FC 4-2 46% 56% -16.6 30% 32% -7.2 24% 24% -2.7
26.10.23 ASI d'Abengourou vs Mouna FC 2-0 39% 44% -13.0 31% 34% -9.1 30% 33% -10.0
26.10.23 Lys Sassandra vs Stade D`Abidjan 0-1 28% 29% -4.9 30% 33% -8.7 42% 50% -16.9
26.10.23 Racing Club dAbidjan vs SOL FC 0-0 40% 47% -14.3 30% 32% -7.1 30% 33% -9.5
26.10.23 SO Armee vs Stella Club d'Adjame 0-0 38% 44% -13.6 35% 41% -14.0 26% 28% -4.6
28.10.23 San Pedro FC vs AS Denguele 5-0 38% 42% -10.3 32% 36% -10.5 30% 35% -13.4
29.10.23 Stade D`Abidjan vs SO Armee 1-2 28% 30% -6.7 30% 33% -8.6 41% 49% -15.4
29.10.23 Stella Club d'Adjame vs Lys Sassandra 0-1 43% 51% -14.5 32% 35% -9.7 25% 27% -5.7
30.10.23 CO Korhogo vs ASI d'Abengourou 1-0 34% 39% -12.5 31% 34% -8.8 35% 39% -11.3
30.10.23 Mouna FC vs AFAD Djekanou 1-0 32% 35% -9.6 32% 35% -9.8 37% 42% -13.2
30.10.23 SOL FC vs Sporting Club De Gagnoa 1-1 32% 35% -8.7 31% 34% -8.8 37% 43% -14.8
03.11.23 ASI d'Abengourou vs Bouake FC 2-0 31% 34% -7.2 29% 31% -5.8 40% 48% -17.0
04.11.23 AFAD Djekanou vs San Pedro FC 0-2 26% 27% -3.4 31% 34% -9.8 43% 51% -15.9
04.11.23 ASEC Mimosas vs CO Korhogo 2-0 56% 68% -18.1 27% 28% -2.7 17% 16% 8.1
04.11.23 Racing Club dAbidjan vs Stella Club d'Adjame 1-1 39% 45% -14.9 32% 35% -9.9 30% 32% -7.9
04.11.23 SO Armee vs SOL FC 1-0 46% 55% -16.3 30% 32% -7.0 24% 25% -3.0
04.11.23 Sporting Club De Gagnoa vs Stade D`Abidjan 0-1 35% 39% -10.2 31% 34% -8.7 34% 39% -13.8
05.11.23 AS Denguele vs Mouna FC 1-1 47% 56% -16.3 31% 33% -8.2 22% 22% -0.6
05.11.23 Lys Sassandra vs Zoman FC 0-0 33% 36% -9.6 34% 39% -12.5 33% 36% -9.8
08.11.23 Lys Sassandra vs AFAD Djekanou 0-0 30% 33% -9.6 32% 36% -11.0 38% 43% -11.8
08.11.23 SOL FC vs Bouake FC 2-1 39% 45% -14.0 31% 34% -9.1 30% 32% -8.3
08.11.23 Sporting Club De Gagnoa vs ASEC Mimosas 1-0 20% 19% 3.1 28% 31% -7.5 52% 62% -16.4
08.11.23 Zoman FC vs San Pedro FC 0-1 25% 26% -4.5 32% 36% -11.0 43% 51% -14.7
09.11.23 Racing Club dAbidjan vs AS Denguele 0-0 41% 49% -16.9 30% 33% -8.6 29% 31% -5.8
09.11.23 Stade D`Abidjan vs CO Korhogo 1-1 38% 43% -13.3 33% 36% -10.5 30% 32% -7.7
11.11.23 ASEC Mimosas vs SO Armee 0-0 55% 68% -19.1 25% 24% 2.8 20% 19% 4.4
12.11.23 AFAD Djekanou vs Racing Club dAbidjan 0-1 32% 36% -11.1 33% 38% -12.0 34% 38% -10.4
12.11.23 AS Denguele vs Lys Sassandra 2-1 41% 48% -13.8 33% 37% -11.2 26% 28% -6.2
12.11.23 Bouake FC vs Stade D`Abidjan 2-2 34% 38% -11.0 33% 36% -10.5 33% 37% -10.4
12.11.23 San Pedro FC vs Stella Club d'Adjame 3-0 46% 55% -16.3 30% 33% -8.5 24% 24% -3.6
13.11.23 CO Korhogo vs SOL FC 3-1 37% 43% -13.7 32% 35% -9.8 32% 35% -9.2
13.11.23 Mouna FC vs Zoman FC 1-1 36% 43% -14.2 33% 37% -11.6 31% 33% -7.8
15.11.23 Lys Sassandra vs ASEC Mimosas 0-1 16% 14% 12.4 26% 28% -5.1 58% 69% -17.1
16.11.23 SO Armee vs AS Denguele 1-1 40% 48% -15.2 31% 35% -9.7 28% 30% -7.0
16.11.23 SOL FC vs Mouna FC 0-1 39% 44% -13.3 33% 36% -10.5 29% 31% -7.4
16.11.23 Sporting Club De Gagnoa vs AFAD Djekanou 0-0 35% 40% -11.7 33% 36% -10.6 32% 36% -10.0
16.11.23 Stade D`Abidjan vs San Pedro FC 2-0 22% 21% 2.8 30% 33% -9.3 48% 58% -17.2
16.11.23 Zoman FC vs CO Korhogo 1-0 34% 39% -12.2 32% 36% -10.9 33% 37% -10.4
18.11.23 ASEC Mimosas vs Racing Club dAbidjan 0-1 50% 61% -17.2 30% 32% -7.2 20% 19% 4.4
18.11.23 ASI d'Abengourou vs Lys Sassandra 1-1 39% 43% -11.2 33% 36% -10.0 29% 31% -8.3
19.11.23 AFAD Djekanou vs SO Armee 1-1 28% 30% -6.5 31% 33% -8.1 41% 48% -13.9
19.11.23 AS Denguele vs Sporting Club De Gagnoa 2-0 36% 41% -11.2 31% 34% -8.8 32% 36% -11.1
19.11.23 Bouake FC vs Zoman FC 0-0 35% 39% -10.6 33% 37% -10.5 32% 35% -8.8
19.11.23 CO Korhogo vs Stella Club d'Adjame 0-2 33% 37% -10.0 32% 35% -9.2 35% 39% -11.2
20.11.23 Mouna FC vs Stade D`Abidjan 1-1 34% 38% -10.8 34% 39% -12.9 32% 36% -10.0
20.11.23 San Pedro FC vs SOL FC 0-0 52% 62% -16.8 28% 29% -3.9 20% 19% 3.5
22.11.23 Lys Sassandra vs Bouake FC 3-1 34% 38% -11.3 31% 34% -9.6 35% 40% -13.3
22.11.23 Zoman FC vs ASI d'Abengourou 1-0 44% 53% -17.0 32% 36% -10.1 24% 24% 1.6
23.11.23 Racing Club dAbidjan vs CO Korhogo 1-1 41% 48% -13.6 32% 35% -9.2 27% 29% -7.5
23.11.23 SO Armee vs San Pedro FC 3-2 29% 30% -5.7 34% 38% -12.3 38% 43% -13.3
23.11.23 SOL FC vs AFAD Djekanou 1-1 34% 38% -10.8 33% 37% -10.9 33% 37% -9.9
23.11.23 Sporting Club De Gagnoa vs Mouna FC 0-1 36% 40% -10.9 32% 35% -9.6 33% 38% -12.9
23.11.23 Stade D`Abidjan vs AS Denguele 1-1 34% 39% -12.3 32% 36% -10.9 33% 37% -10.2
26.11.23 AFAD Djekanou vs Stade D`Abidjan 1-0 36% 41% -12.4 33% 38% -12.1 31% 34% -10.0
26.11.23 AS Denguele vs SOL FC 4-1 40% 47% -14.2 32% 36% -10.6 28% 29% -6.1
26.11.23 Bouake FC vs Racing Club dAbidjan 1-0 27% 29% -7.2 30% 33% -9.2 42% 51% -15.9
26.11.23 CO Korhogo vs Lys Sassandra 1-1 38% 43% -11.8 33% 36% -10.6 30% 33% -10.1
27.11.23 Mouna FC vs SO Armee 1-3 32% 36% -11.6 32% 36% -11.2 36% 40% -11.1
27.11.23 San Pedro FC vs Sporting Club De Gagnoa 2-1 48% 56% -15.1 30% 32% -7.1 22% 23% -2.9
29.11.23 Racing Club dAbidjan vs ASI d'Abengourou 2-1 45% 54% -16.4 31% 33% -8.3 24% 25% -3.1
02.12.23 Lys Sassandra vs Mouna FC 2-1 33% 38% -11.4 33% 37% -11.4 34% 38% -10.6
02.12.23 SO Armee vs CO Korhogo 1-2 44% 53% -15.8 31% 34% -8.6 25% 26% -3.6
02.12.23 Sporting Club De Gagnoa vs Bouake FC 1-0 39% 44% -13.0 32% 36% -10.2 29% 32% -9.3
03.12.23 Stade D`Abidjan vs ASI d'Abengourou 5-1 46% 56% -17.9 30% 32% -7.2 24% 24% 0.5
03.12.23 Zoman FC vs AS Denguele 3-2 32% 36% -11.0 32% 36% -11.1 35% 40% -11.8
04.12.23 Racing Club dAbidjan vs San Pedro FC 4-0 33% 38% -12.3 33% 37% -11.8 34% 38% -10.9
04.12.23 Stella Club d'Adjame vs AFAD Djekanou 3-0 40% 47% -14.8 32% 35% -9.9 29% 31% -7.9
08.12.23 Bouake FC vs SO Armee 0-0 27% 29% -7.9 31% 35% -10.5 42% 49% -14.4
09.12.23 AS Denguele vs Stella Club d'Adjame 1-0 38% 43% -13.3 32% 35% -9.7 31% 34% -9.6
09.12.23 ASI d'Abengourou vs SOL FC 2-1 33% 38% -11.8 32% 36% -11.0 34% 38% -10.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 264 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 San Pedro FC 1798.26
2 Stade D`Abidjan 1793.58
3 ASEC Mimosas 1785.07
4 AFAD Djekanou 1662.31
5 Mouna FC 1616.86
6 SO Armee 1599.25
7 Stella Club d'Adjame 1579.53
8 Zoman FC 1578.22
9 Lys Sassandra 1576.24
10 Bouake FC 1549.47
11 SOL FC 1534.91
12 Racing Club dAbidjan 1512.91
13 INOVA SCA 1508.60
14 FC OSA 1505.20
15 AS Denguele 1454.57
16 CO Korhogo 1451.05

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Stella Club d'Adjame 1702.25
2 Stade D`Abidjan 1699.51
3 ASEC Mimosas 1689.98
4 AFAD Djekanou 1604.37
5 Lys Sassandra 1603.74
6 SOL FC 1593.82
7 Zoman FC 1592.76
8 Racing Club dAbidjan 1567.73
9 San Pedro FC 1563.06
10 Mouna FC 1551.63
11 Bouake FC 1511.61
12 SO Armee 1510.43
13 FC OSA 1459.12
14 INOVA SCA 1452.21
15 AS Denguele 1434.39
16 CO Korhogo 1352.05