ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 685
Avg Goals 2.70
Avg Home 1.49
Avg Away 1.21
Home Win % 45.3%
Draw % 21.5%
Away Win % 33.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 685
Avg Brier Score 0.5295
Pick Accuracy 60.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5289
Market Brier 0.5323
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 685 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.4% 5.8% 120
10–20% 15.4% 12.9% 394
20–30% 25.6% 23.7% 693
30–40% 34.8% 36.3% 262
40–50% 44.6% 47.7% 195
50–60% 55.2% 58.6% 128
60–70% 64.8% 68.2% 107
70–80% 74.2% 79.7% 118
80–90% 83.1% 85.7% 35
90–100% 91.5% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
18.08.23 AE Paphos vs Karmiotissa Polemidion 3-0 70% 75% -6.4 19% 22% -15.6 11% 14% -20.3
19.08.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs Ethnikos Achnas 3-1 57% 60% -4.9 24% 29% -15.5 19% 23% -19.5
19.08.23 Apollon Limassol vs Othellos Athienou 1-1 71% 75% -5.2 18% 22% -17.9 11% 14% -24.0
20.08.23 AE Zakakiou vs Apoel Nikosia 0-2 9% 12% -24.6 16% 20% -20.4 75% 79% -4.8
21.08.23 Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca 2-0 44% 48% -7.6 27% 31% -12.8 29% 33% -13.8
21.08.23 Doxa Katokopias vs AEL Limassol FC 0-1 45% 46% -1.9 27% 31% -13.1 28% 33% -17.1
21.08.23 Omonia Nikosia vs Nea Salamina 4-0 58% 64% -9.0 24% 28% -12.5 18% 20% -11.2
26.08.23 Karmiotissa Polemidion vs Omonia Nikosia 3-3 20% 22% -9.1 25% 29% -12.8 55% 62% -10.3
26.08.23 Othellos Athienou vs Anorthosis Famagusta 0-2 26% 28% -4.7 26% 29% -11.2 47% 56% -14.7
27.08.23 AEL Limassol FC vs AE Zakakiou 4-3 64% 71% -9.9 22% 25% -11.7 14% 15% -9.1
27.08.23 Nea Salamina vs Apollon Limassol 1-1 20% 23% -14.1 24% 28% -13.5 56% 61% -8.5
28.08.23 AEK Larnaca vs Ethnikos Achnas 5-5 74% 77% -3.3 17% 21% -21.5 9% 12% -27.0
28.08.23 Aris Limassol vs Doxa Katokopias 2-1 70% 73% -4.5 19% 24% -19.4 11% 15% -24.2
01.09.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs Nea Salamina 2-2 57% 64% -11.0 23% 26% -9.1 20% 22% -9.9
02.09.23 AE Paphos vs AEL Limassol FC 3-1 65% 71% -8.8 22% 25% -13.8 13% 15% -13.7
02.09.23 Doxa Katokopias vs AEK Larnaca 0-2 24% 26% -6.1 25% 28% -9.7 50% 56% -11.2
02.09.23 Ethnikos Achnas vs Othellos Athienou 1-1 50% 56% -9.4 25% 29% -11.8 24% 29% -14.4
03.09.23 AE Zakakiou vs Aris Limassol 0-5 8% 10% -25.3 15% 19% -21.9 77% 81% -4.7
03.09.23 Apollon Limassol vs Karmiotissa Polemidion 1-0 71% 75% -5.1 18% 22% -17.9 11% 14% -23.4
03.09.23 Omonia Nikosia vs Apoel Nikosia 2-1 32% 38% -17.8 29% 34% -15.4 40% 40% -0.7
16.09.23 AEK Larnaca vs Othellos Athienou 3-2 75% 80% -6.0 16% 19% -17.2 9% 12% -23.6
16.09.23 AEL Limassol FC vs Omonia Nikosia 0-0 28% 33% -14.5 28% 32% -14.6 44% 48% -7.7
17.09.23 Apoel Nikosia vs Apollon Limassol 1-1 46% 51% -9.6 28% 32% -14.1 27% 30% -12.1
17.09.23 Aris Limassol vs AE Paphos 1-1 45% 47% -4.0 27% 31% -13.4 29% 35% -18.2
17.09.23 Karmiotissa Polemidion vs Anorthosis Famagusta 1-3 31% 34% -10.3 27% 30% -11.6 42% 48% -11.2
22.09.23 AE Zakakiou vs AEK Larnaca 3-1 15% 17% -13.3 21% 24% -12.8 64% 69% -8.4
23.09.23 AE Paphos vs Doxa Katokopias 4-0 73% 78% -6.2 17% 20% -16.8 10% 12% -22.3
23.09.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs Apoel Nikosia 1-1 28% 36% -20.3 27% 31% -15.1 45% 45% -1.0
23.09.23 Ethnikos Achnas vs Karmiotissa Polemidion 3-0 42% 47% -8.8 27% 30% -11.8 31% 36% -13.6
24.09.23 Apollon Limassol vs AEL Limassol FC 2-0 56% 58% -2.9 25% 30% -17.9 19% 24% -22.1
25.09.23 Omonia Nikosia vs Aris Limassol 2-2 32% 37% -12.4 28% 32% -13.4 40% 43% -8.9
27.09.23 Apoel Nikosia vs AE Paphos 1-0 35% 40% -12.8 28% 32% -13.4 37% 41% -8.9
30.09.23 AEK Larnaca vs Nea Salamina 1-1 66% 71% -7.6 20% 23% -12.5 14% 17% -17.8
30.09.23 Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol 0-1 52% 55% -5.8 26% 30% -14.6 22% 27% -17.2
01.10.23 AEL Limassol FC vs Anorthosis Famagusta 1-3 30% 32% -6.3 28% 32% -12.9 42% 48% -12.5
01.10.23 Doxa Katokopias vs Omonia Nikosia 1-3 16% 18% -7.7 22% 25% -10.5 61% 68% -10.1
02.10.23 AE Zakakiou vs AE Paphos 1-4 11% 13% -18.7 18% 21% -15.7 71% 76% -6.5
02.10.23 Apoel Nikosia vs Ethnikos Achnas 5-1 72% 78% -8.0 18% 21% -14.3 10% 12% -18.1
07.10.23 AE Paphos vs AEK Larnaca 0-0 51% 54% -4.9 25% 29% -13.9 23% 29% -18.6
07.10.23 Omonia Nikosia vs AE Zakakiou 3-3 76% 82% -7.8 15% 17% -11.5 9% 11% -18.4
07.10.23 Othellos Athienou vs Apoel Nikosia 0-1 14% 18% -20.5 20% 24% -16.6 65% 69% -6.1
08.10.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs Aris Limassol 2-3 29% 35% -17.5 26% 30% -13.5 45% 48% -5.8
08.10.23 Apollon Limassol vs Doxa Katokopias 4-0 73% 77% -5.6 17% 20% -16.6 10% 14% -23.2
08.10.23 Ethnikos Achnas vs AEL Limassol FC 1-0 38% 41% -7.6 28% 31% -12.0 35% 40% -13.1
21.10.23 AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa Polemidion 5-0 70% 75% -6.2 18% 22% -15.5 12% 15% -21.6
21.10.23 Apoel Nikosia vs Nea Salamina 1-0 68% 74% -7.9 20% 23% -12.8 12% 15% -15.8
21.10.23 Aris Limassol vs Ethnikos Achnas 2-0 73% 79% -7.5 17% 19% -13.2 10% 12% -19.6
22.10.23 AE Zakakiou vs Apollon Limassol 0-5 14% 17% -16.7 19% 22% -11.9 66% 72% -8.4
22.10.23 AEL Limassol FC vs Othellos Athienou 2-1 55% 58% -6.8 25% 29% -14.5 20% 24% -16.6
22.10.23 Doxa Katokopias vs Anorthosis Famagusta 0-2 19% 21% -11.1 22% 25% -11.3 59% 67% -12.1
23.10.23 AE Paphos vs Omonia Nikosia 0-2 54% 59% -8.4 25% 29% -13.8 21% 24% -14.7
25.10.23 Nea Salamina vs Ethnikos Achnas 4-0 42% 47% -9.2 26% 29% -11.2 32% 37% -14.5
28.10.23 Karmiotissa Polemidion vs Apoel Nikosia 1-2 12% 14% -11.2 19% 22% -11.5 69% 75% -8.9
28.10.23 Nea Salamina vs AEL Limassol FC 2-1 39% 42% -8.0 27% 31% -12.4 34% 39% -13.8
29.10.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs AE Zakakiou 1-1 75% 83% -9.3 15% 17% -7.2 10% 11% -14.1
29.10.23 Apollon Limassol vs AE Paphos 0-3 41% 47% -10.9 27% 31% -12.1 31% 34% -9.8
29.10.23 Omonia Nikosia vs AEK Larnaca 0-0 41% 45% -9.0 27% 30% -11.8 32% 37% -13.8
30.10.23 Othellos Athienou vs Aris Limassol 0-1 12% 15% -20.5 19% 22% -16.4 69% 74% -5.9
03.11.23 AE Zakakiou vs Ethnikos Achnas 1-1 37% 42% -12.9 26% 29% -10.6 37% 41% -9.4
04.11.23 Aris Limassol vs Nea Salamina 2-1 71% 77% -8.0 18% 21% -13.6 11% 14% -18.8
04.11.23 Omonia Nikosia vs Apollon Limassol 2-0 39% 44% -11.5 27% 31% -11.6 33% 37% -9.7
05.11.23 AE Paphos vs Anorthosis Famagusta 1-0 52% 57% -8.2 26% 29% -13.2 22% 26% -14.3
05.11.23 AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nikosia 0-3 38% 42% -7.9 28% 32% -13.0 34% 38% -12.7
05.11.23 AEL Limassol FC vs Karmiotissa Polemidion 2-1 57% 62% -7.3 24% 28% -13.8 19% 23% -16.9
10.11.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs Omonia Nikosia 2-0 39% 44% -11.2 27% 31% -12.0 33% 38% -11.3
11.11.23 Apoel Nikosia vs AEL Limassol FC 1-0 69% 75% -8.2 20% 23% -13.2 12% 14% -15.0
11.11.23 Ethnikos Achnas vs AE Paphos 1-4 15% 17% -14.2 22% 25% -14.0 64% 69% -8.5
12.11.23 Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca 0-1 44% 48% -7.2 27% 31% -12.6 29% 34% -14.8
12.11.23 Karmiotissa Polemidion vs Aris Limassol 4-1 10% 12% -16.0 17% 19% -12.8 73% 79% -7.7
25.11.23 AE Paphos vs Othellos Athienou 3-0 81% 86% -5.9 13% 15% -18.2 6% 8% -24.8
25.11.23 Aris Limassol vs Apoel Nikosia 1-0 41% 45% -9.0 28% 32% -13.4 31% 35% -12.5
26.11.23 Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta 0-1 45% 48% -6.4 27% 31% -12.8 29% 34% -15.6
26.11.23 Omonia Nikosia vs Ethnikos Achnas 4-1 72% 78% -7.7 18% 20% -12.5 10% 12% -17.0
27.11.23 AEK Larnaca vs AEL Limassol FC 3-0 65% 70% -6.9 21% 24% -13.7 14% 17% -16.8
01.12.23 Othellos Athienou vs Omonia Nikosia 1-2 11% 13% -17.8 18% 22% -16.2 71% 76% -6.8
02.12.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs AEK Larnaca 0-0 43% 48% -9.3 27% 31% -12.8 30% 34% -12.8
02.12.23 Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol 2-2 21% 25% -15.1 24% 28% -12.9 55% 59% -7.2
03.12.23 Nea Salamina vs AE Paphos 0-2 16% 17% -9.0 22% 25% -11.3 62% 68% -9.5
04.12.23 AEL Limassol FC vs Aris Limassol 0-4 20% 24% -14.8 25% 29% -14.0 55% 60% -7.4
08.12.23 Othellos Athienou vs Apollon Limassol 0-3 13% 16% -17.4 20% 24% -15.5 67% 72% -7.3
09.12.23 AEK Larnaca vs Aris Limassol 2-1 33% 36% -7.2 29% 33% -13.8 38% 43% -12.4
09.12.23 AEL Limassol FC vs Doxa Katokopias 2-0 65% 69% -6.4 21% 23% -7.7 14% 15% -8.7
09.12.23 Apoel Nikosia vs AE Zakakiou 3-1 82% 88% -6.6 12% 14% -13.1 6% 8% -20.7
10.12.23 Ethnikos Achnas vs Anorthosis Famagusta 0-1 21% 24% -13.0 24% 28% -12.6 55% 60% -9.5
10.12.23 Karmiotissa Polemidion vs AE Paphos 2-1 9% 10% -14.7 15% 17% -12.4 76% 83% -7.8
10.12.23 Nea Salamina vs Omonia Nikosia 0-2 27% 31% -15.0 26% 30% -13.5 47% 51% -7.9
16.12.23 Anorthosis Famagusta vs Othellos Athienou 2-1 72% 76% -6.2 18% 21% -15.4 11% 13% -20.7
16.12.23 Ethnikos Achnas vs AEK Larnaca 0-3 21% 23% -10.2 24% 27% -11.2 55% 62% -10.5
16.12.23 Omonia Nikosia vs Karmiotissa Polemidion 2-1 71% 76% -5.8 18% 22% -16.5 10% 13% -21.2
17.12.23 AE Paphos vs Apoel Nikosia 0-1 46% 50% -7.5 28% 32% -14.2 26% 30% -13.9
17.12.23 AE Zakakiou vs AEL Limassol FC 1-4 27% 32% -16.1 26% 30% -13.5 47% 50% -6.6
17.12.23 Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamina 0-2 64% 69% -8.4 21% 24% -12.0 15% 17% -14.3
18.12.23 Doxa Katokopias vs Aris Limassol 2-0 9% 11% -15.4 17% 19% -14.0 75% 78% -4.5
21.12.23 Othellos Athienou vs Ethnikos Achnas 2-1 33% 37% -9.6 28% 32% -13.1 38% 43% -11.4
22.12.23 AEK Larnaca vs Doxa Katokopias 2-1 78% 82% -4.2 15% 17% -15.6 7% 9% -20.0
22.12.23 Aris Limassol vs AE Zakakiou 1-0 85% 92% -7.0 9% 11% -11.2 5% 7% -23.3
22.12.23 Karmiotissa Polemidion vs Apollon Limassol 3-4 16% 19% -14.6 24% 29% -16.0 60% 64% -6.2
23.12.23 AEL Limassol FC vs AE Paphos 1-2 16% 18% -13.7 21% 24% -11.9 63% 69% -8.8
23.12.23 Apoel Nikosia vs Omonia Nikosia 3-0 46% 51% -8.7 28% 32% -13.7 26% 29% -11.4
23.12.23 Nea Salamina vs Anorthosis Famagusta 0-3 26% 29% -10.5 27% 31% -12.9 48% 53% -9.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 685 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 AE Paphos 2058.86
2 Omonia Nikosia 2058.09
3 AEK Larnaca 1992.74
4 Apollon Limassol 1950.05
5 Apoel Nikosia 1900.53
6 Aris Limassol 1895.69
7 Anorthosis Famagusta 1826.86
8 Olympiakos Nikosia 1801.65
9 AEL Limassol FC 1783.91
10 Nea Salamina 1766.87
11 Omonia Aradippou 1721.72
12 Karmiotissa Polemidion 1686.32
13 Krasava Ypsonas 1659.13
14 ALS Omonia May 29 1622.92

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Omonia Nikosia 1980.89
2 Apollon Limassol 1956.14
3 Apoel Nikosia 1948.59
4 AE Paphos 1930.78
5 AEK Larnaca 1910.70
6 Aris Limassol 1894.67
7 Olympiakos Nikosia 1767.97
8 AEL Limassol FC 1759.54
9 Omonia Aradippou 1739.86
10 Anorthosis Famagusta 1721.04
11 Krasava Ypsonas 1690.89
12 Nea Salamina 1686.14
13 Karmiotissa Polemidion 1646.97
14 ALS Omonia May 29 1574.09