Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5

Countries 150

Status Live

Continent

Country

League

No cached league history dataset for this league yet.

Matches 135

Avg Goals 3.69

Avg Home 1.74

Avg Away 1.95

Home Win % 37.8%

Draw % 11.1%

Away Win % 51.1%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.

Home Team

Away Team

Margin %

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Rows Created0

Rows Ready0

Margin0.00%

Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Value edge threshold (relative %)

Flat stake (units)

Market weight (0–1)

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…

Matches Backtested 135

Avg Brier Score 0.4013

Pick Accuracy 70.4%

Source postgres

Raw Model Brier 0.3916

Market Brier 0.4082

Blended Model Beats Market? Yes

Market Weight 0.7

"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.

Value Bets Found 24

Value Bet Hit Rate 12.5%

ROI (flat stake) 38.5%

ROI Trustworthy? No

Before trusting this ROI:

62.5% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.

Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 19 of 135 matches had at least one · staked 24.00, profit 9.25 units.

Side	Bets	Hit Rate	Staked	Profit	ROI
home	4	0.0%	4.00	-4.00	-100.0%
draw	5	20.0%	5.00	4.75	95.0%
away	15	13.3%	15.00	8.50	56.7%

Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.

Predicted Range	Predicted Avg	Actual Freq	Samples
0–10%	6.3%	2.7%	74
10–20%	14.2%	10.1%	79
20–30%	23.3%	21.6%	97
30–40%	35.1%	39.1%	23
40–50%	44.8%	46.4%	28
50–60%	55.3%	56.0%	25
60–70%	64.2%	71.4%	14
70–80%	75.4%	82.1%	28
80–90%	84.4%	96.3%	27
90–100%	92.2%	90.0%	10

Date	Match	Result	HOME (1)			DRAW (X)			AWAY (2)
Date	Match	Result	Model	Price	Edge	Model	Price	Edge	Model	Price	Edge
20.08.23	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	2-0	78%	83%	-6.4	13%	16%	-17.0	9%	10%	-15.0
26.08.23	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	0-5	9%	10%	-12.8	13%	15%	-13.2	78%	85%	-8.3
26.08.23	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	7-0	90%	98%	-8.0	6%	6%	3.5	4%	3%	7.0
01.09.23	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	1-4	13%	14%	-4.8	17%	18%	-8.7	70%	79%	-10.8
02.09.23	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	12-0	93%	99%	-5.9	4%	5%	-13.8	2%	3%	-14.7
02.09.23	Viktoria Plzen (W) vs FC Banik Ostrava (W)	1-0	79%	87%	-9.2	13%	14%	-9.1	8%	9%	-2.8
09.09.23	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	0-1	24%	28%	-12.8	24%	29%	-15.8	52%	56%	-6.9
16.09.23	FC Banik Ostrava (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	0-1	34%	40%	-15.2	24%	28%	-13.6	42%	44%	-5.4
16.09.23	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	3-0	92%	99%	-7.2	6%	5%	5.5	3%	2%	31.6
30.09.23	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Banik Ostrava (W)	2-2	92%	99%	-7.1	5%	5%	5.0	3%	2%	14.8
30.09.23	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs FK Pardubice (W)	3-2	54%	67%	-19.7	22%	24%	-9.4	24%	21%	17.0
08.10.23	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	2-0	50%	62%	-19.7	24%	27%	-12.1	26%	23%	16.0
14.10.23	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	3-1	63%	76%	-16.5	18%	19%	-3.8	18%	17%	10.7
14.10.23	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs FC Banik Ostrava (W)	3-2	89%	96%	-7.9	8%	8%	-2.4	4%	3%	12.8
14.10.23	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	1-2	23%	29%	-19.6	21%	25%	-15.4	56%	58%	-3.3
15.10.23	FK Pardubice (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	0-6	2%	3%	-29.3	4%	6%	-26.7	93%	98%	-4.7
21.10.23	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	0-0	77%	91%	-15.8	12%	10%	18.9	11%	8%	35.1
21.10.23	FK Pardubice (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	0-4	7%	6%	4.3	11%	12%	-4.6	82%	91%	-9.5
21.10.23	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	0-4	6%	7%	-12.1	11%	13%	-15.1	83%	89%	-6.8
05.11.23	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	0-1	80%	90%	-11.3	13%	13%	-2.5	8%	6%	24.1
10.11.23	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	3-0	80%	89%	-9.9	12%	13%	-8.2	7%	7%	5.8
11.11.23	FC Banik Ostrava (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	1-2	22%	29%	-24.2	20%	25%	-18.4	57%	58%	-1.4
12.11.23	FK Pardubice (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	0-2	4%	4%	-0.7	9%	10%	-10.2	88%	94%	-7.1
09.03.24	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	1-4	4%	3%	28.3	8%	8%	6.9	88%	96%	-8.8
10.03.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	1-1	75%	85%	-12.1	15%	16%	-5.4	10%	9%	14.1
16.03.24	FC Banik Ostrava (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	0-3	5%	7%	-24.5	12%	17%	-26.3	82%	86%	-4.5
23.03.24	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	1-1	24%	28%	-13.9	22%	26%	-13.8	54%	59%	-8.2
23.03.24	FK Pardubice (W) vs FC Banik Ostrava (W)	0-0	21%	22%	-4.1	20%	23%	-9.9	59%	68%	-13.7
04.05.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	0-3	12%	11%	1.1	15%	16%	-5.0	73%	83%	-11.4
04.05.24	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	5-0	69%	78%	-11.6	17%	19%	-8.6	14%	14%	1.8
11.05.24	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	1-6	4%	3%	20.6	8%	7%	7.9	88%	97%	-9.2
11.05.24	FK Pardubice (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	2-1	16%	19%	-14.3	18%	21%	-13.0	66%	72%	-8.9
12.05.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs AC Sparta Praha (W)	1-2	21%	24%	-13.9	18%	19%	-7.1	61%	68%	-10.5
18.05.24	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	1-3	20%	20%	-0.2	21%	23%	-9.8	59%	68%	-13.6
18.05.24	FC Banik Ostrava (W) vs FK Pardubice (W)	1-2	64%	74%	-14.1	18%	19%	-5.4	18%	18%	1.1
18.05.24	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	0-2	27%	34%	-22.0	20%	23%	-13.3	53%	55%	-3.4
19.05.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	2-2	55%	61%	-10.8	23%	27%	-14.7	22%	24%	-6.6
25.05.24	FK Pardubice (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	2-1	41%	49%	-15.9	22%	24%	-9.2	37%	40%	-6.6
25.05.24	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	2-0	89%	95%	-7.1	8%	9%	-11.3	4%	4%	-1.7
17.08.24	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	0-4	6%	7%	-16.9	11%	13%	-18.2	84%	89%	-6.0
25.08.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	1-0	55%	62%	-12.6	23%	27%	-13.7	22%	22%	-0.7
29.08.24	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs AC Sparta Praha (W)	0-7	16%	20%	-17.6	20%	25%	-18.1	63%	67%	-5.5
31.08.24	FK Pardubice (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	1-1	21%	27%	-20.8	21%	26%	-17.5	58%	60%	-3.0
01.09.24	FC Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	1-9	6%	3%	60.4	10%	9%	12.6	84%	95%	-11.6
21.09.24	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs FK Pardubice (W)	6-3	76%	83%	-8.6	15%	17%	-14.7	9%	10%	-5.2
21.09.24	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	3-2	29%	38%	-24.3	23%	28%	-18.0	49%	47%	4.6
22.09.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs AC Sparta Praha (W)	2-3	19%	21%	-8.7	20%	23%	-11.6	61%	68%	-11.1
28.09.24	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	0-5	11%	13%	-16.1	14%	16%	-12.8	75%	81%	-7.5
29.09.24	FK Pardubice (W) vs FC Praha (W)	0-2	55%	61%	-10.6	21%	24%	-11.5	24%	27%	-9.8
29.09.24	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	2-1	84%	88%	-5.3	11%	14%	-23.1	5%	6%	-18.9
05.10.24	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	5-1	27%	32%	-17.4	23%	27%	-15.0	50%	53%	-4.3
06.10.24	FC Praha (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	3-3	30%	36%	-15.9	23%	26%	-13.2	47%	51%	-6.7
06.10.24	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	0-0	74%	88%	-16.1	15%	14%	5.0	11%	8%	48.9
13.10.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	2-1	89%	96%	-7.7	7%	7%	-2.7	5%	5%	-5.3
13.10.24	FC Praha (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	1-4	5%	6%	-18.4	9%	11%	-16.3	86%	92%	-6.2
20.10.24	Viktoria Plzen (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	1-2	9%	10%	-14.1	13%	15%	-14.4	78%	85%	-7.7
02.11.24	FC Praha (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	2-3	23%	29%	-21.3	21%	26%	-16.9	56%	57%	-2.8
02.11.24	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs AC Sparta Praha (W)	1-5	3%	4%	-27.2	4%	6%	-22.3	93%	98%	-5.4
03.11.24	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	2-1	22%	24%	-7.7	22%	26%	-13.4	56%	63%	-11.8
10.11.24	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Praha (W)	8-0	94%	99%	-5.1	4%	6%	-26.5	2%	2%	-26.2
09.03.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	3-0	84%	92%	-8.2	10%	11%	-11.4	6%	6%	-3.4
15.03.25	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	3-0	77%	86%	-11.0	15%	17%	-8.4	8%	6%	28.3
15.03.25	Viktoria Plzen (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	3-1	48%	57%	-16.4	23%	27%	-12.1	29%	29%	0.8
16.03.25	FK Pardubice (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	0-1	7%	8%	-11.5	10%	11%	-7.9	83%	90%	-8.2
22.03.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	1-2	12%	15%	-19.1	13%	15%	-10.8	74%	80%	-7.1
22.03.25	FC Praha (W) vs FK Pardubice (W)	1-3	41%	50%	-18.5	22%	24%	-9.6	38%	39%	-3.7
23.03.25	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	3-0	73%	81%	-9.3	15%	17%	-12.6	12%	13%	-9.6
29.03.25	FK Pardubice (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	0-2	2%	2%	-10.8	5%	6%	-14.6	93%	99%	-5.9
29.03.25	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs FC Praha (W)	2-4	60%	70%	-14.1	18%	18%	-2.6	22%	23%	-3.9
29.03.25	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs AC Sparta Praha (W)	1-1	38%	45%	-15.9	23%	27%	-12.1	38%	40%	-4.1
29.03.25	Viktoria Plzen (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	0-1	13%	15%	-16.3	17%	21%	-16.6	70%	75%	-7.2
12.04.25	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	3-0	81%	89%	-9.3	12%	14%	-10.5	7%	6%	6.4
12.04.25	Viktoria Plzen (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	6-0	49%	58%	-16.1	22%	24%	-8.8	29%	29%	-0.7
13.04.25	FC Praha (W) vs FK Pardubice (W)	0-2	35%	40%	-11.7	23%	26%	-11.0	42%	47%	-10.0
18.04.25	Viktoria Plzen (W) vs FC Praha (W)	2-3	66%	77%	-14.6	19%	20%	-7.2	16%	14%	10.2
19.04.25	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs FK Pardubice (W)	2-0	37%	38%	-2.7	26%	31%	-16.2	37%	44%	-15.7
20.04.25	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	0-3	36%	43%	-16.7	23%	27%	-12.6	40%	42%	-4.1
03.05.25	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	7-0	88%	94%	-6.9	8%	9%	-13.5	4%	5%	-10.1
04.05.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs AC Sparta Praha (W)	0-2	8%	9%	-12.9	13%	15%	-14.9	79%	85%	-7.6
04.05.25	FC Praha (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	1-5	35%	42%	-16.1	24%	28%	-13.7	41%	43%	-4.5
04.05.25	FK Pardubice (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	1-3	29%	33%	-12.9	26%	31%	-16.6	45%	48%	-5.7
11.05.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	0-3	10%	12%	-18.1	17%	21%	-20.7	74%	78%	-5.5
11.05.25	FK Pardubice (W) vs FC Praha (W)	1-2	44%	50%	-12.7	24%	28%	-13.6	32%	35%	-7.8
17.05.25	SK Slavia Praha (W) vs AC Sparta Praha (W)	5-0	46%	54%	-15.6	23%	26%	-10.8	32%	32%	-2.3
18.05.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	1-4	56%	66%	-15.2	21%	24%	-10.3	23%	23%	0.5
18.05.25	FC Praha (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	0-2	24%	29%	-19.3	20%	24%	-14.2	56%	60%	-6.2
18.05.25	FK Pardubice (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	0-4	30%	31%	-5.0	24%	27%	-12.2	47%	53%	-12.9
24.05.25	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	4-2	84%	93%	-9.3	10%	10%	-2.3	6%	6%	6.1
24.05.25	Viktoria Plzen (W) vs FK Pardubice (W)	5-2	59%	68%	-12.6	20%	23%	-11.2	20%	21%	-3.9
17.08.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	1-0	83%	89%	-7.4	11%	12%	-13.4	7%	7%	-8.9
17.08.25	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs FC Praha (W)	8-0	88%	95%	-7.2	8%	8%	-9.9	4%	4%	-5.0
22.08.25	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs 1. FC Slovacko (W)	2-0	80%	88%	-9.2	12%	13%	-9.1	8%	8%	-4.6
23.08.25	Lokomotiva Brno (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	1-2	10%	11%	-9.1	17%	20%	-16.1	73%	79%	-7.5
07.09.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	1-1	8%	9%	-9.5	13%	15%	-11.8	79%	85%	-7.9
07.09.25	FC Praha (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	1-1	6%	4%	37.1	11%	10%	7.1	83%	93%	-10.8
13.09.25	FC Banik Ostrava (W) vs Lokomotiva Brno (W)	0-1	43%	49%	-12.3	24%	28%	-13.1	33%	36%	-7.3
21.09.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Banik Ostrava (W)	3-0	90%	99%	-9.0	6%	5%	26.2	4%	2%	63.8
21.09.25	FC Slovan Liberec (W) vs Viktoria Plzen (W)	4-1	72%	82%	-12.6	16%	17%	-6.7	12%	11%	9.0
28.09.25	1. FC Slovacko (W) vs FC Slovan Liberec (W)	2-1	51%	58%	-13.4	23%	26%	-11.6	27%	28%	-3.9
04.10.25	AC Sparta Praha (W) vs SK Slavia Praha (W)	4-1	21%	27%	-20.8	21%	26%	-17.4	57%	60%	-3.5

Showing the 100 most recent of 135 evaluated matches.

Filter teams

Home Ratings

9 teams

Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank	Team	Rating
1	SK Slavia Praha (W)	2003.40
2	AC Sparta Praha (W)	1865.16
3	1. FC Slovacko (W)	1571.35
4	FC Slovan Liberec (W)	1522.69
5	Viktoria Plzen (W)	1347.47
6	Prague Raptors FC (W)	1169.12
7	FC Banik Ostrava (W)	1168.92
8	Lokomotiva Brno (W)	1127.83
9	FC Praha (W)	1034.74

Away Ratings

9 teams

Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank	Team	Rating
1	SK Slavia Praha (W)	1840.05
2	AC Sparta Praha (W)	1736.98
3	FC Slovan Liberec (W)	1475.69
4	Prague Raptors FC (W)	1360.01
5	1. FC Slovacko (W)	1340.07
6	Viktoria Plzen (W)	1262.28
7	Lokomotiva Brno (W)	1129.48
8	FC Banik Ostrava (W)	1092.50
9	FC Praha (W)	987.89