ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 656
Avg Goals 2.74
Avg Home 1.56
Avg Away 1.18
Home Win % 45.3%
Draw % 25.0%
Away Win % 29.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 656
Avg Brier Score 0.6251
Pick Accuracy 47.1%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6257
Market Brier 0.6258
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 100.0%
ROI (flat stake) 800.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 656 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit 8.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 100.0% 1.00 8.00 800.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.5% 25.0% 4
10–20% 17.0% 16.2% 142
20–30% 25.6% 26.2% 958
30–40% 34.9% 34.9% 315
40–50% 45.0% 44.8% 306
50–60% 54.3% 47.8% 178
60–70% 64.0% 75.0% 56
70–80% 73.5% 77.8% 9
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
21.07.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs SFC Opava 2-1 41% 47% -11.1 27% 31% -12.4 31% 34% -9.3
22.07.23 1.SK Prostejov vs Viktoria Zizkov 2-1 33% 38% -14.1 28% 32% -13.8 39% 42% -7.2
22.07.23 AFK Chrudim vs SK Artis Brno 0-0 33% 36% -7.5 29% 34% -14.7 38% 43% -12.4
22.07.23 FK MAS Taborsko vs SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 1-0 51% 58% -11.7 26% 29% -12.0 23% 25% -7.7
22.07.23 MFK Vyskov vs 1. FK Pribram 2-1 52% 55% -5.2 25% 29% -14.3 23% 28% -18.2
23.07.23 Sparta Praha II vs FK Dukla Praha 1-4 30% 33% -11.0 27% 30% -12.1 44% 49% -10.5
24.07.23 1. FC Brno vs FC Vlasim 1-1 59% 64% -7.0 23% 26% -13.9 18% 22% -18.5
28.07.23 FK MAS Taborsko vs Sparta Praha II 1-0 49% 56% -11.2 26% 29% -12.2 25% 28% -10.7
28.07.23 SFC Opava vs SK Slovan Varnsdorf 1-0 48% 53% -9.5 26% 29% -12.1 26% 29% -12.4
29.07.23 FC Vlasim vs AFK Chrudim 1-1 60% 65% -8.9 23% 26% -11.8 18% 21% -14.2
29.07.23 SK Artis Brno vs FC Vysocina Jihlava 1-2 51% 55% -7.5 26% 30% -14.5 23% 28% -16.1
29.07.23 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs 1.SK Prostejov 3-0 42% 43% -4.3 27% 31% -12.7 32% 38% -16.5
30.07.23 SK Sigma Olomouc II vs 1. FC Brno 1-2 31% 34% -8.8 27% 31% -12.7 42% 48% -12.2
30.07.23 Viktoria Zizkov vs 1. FK Pribram 2-3 44% 47% -5.5 27% 30% -12.5 30% 35% -15.8
02.08.23 1. FC Brno vs FK Dukla Praha 0-2 53% 58% -9.0 25% 29% -12.3 22% 26% -12.9
02.08.23 1. FK Pribram vs SFC Opava 1-0 44% 48% -6.7 27% 31% -13.4 29% 34% -16.1
02.08.23 1.SK Prostejov vs Sparta Praha II 3-3 39% 42% -6.1 27% 30% -12.2 34% 41% -16.0
02.08.23 AFK Chrudim vs FK MAS Taborsko 0-3 42% 45% -8.4 28% 32% -13.6 31% 35% -12.4
02.08.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs SK Sigma Olomouc II 6-3 44% 48% -7.6 26% 30% -12.9 30% 35% -15.6
02.08.23 MFK Vyskov vs SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 5-1 65% 70% -7.3 21% 24% -12.9 14% 17% -16.9
02.08.23 SK Slovan Varnsdorf vs FC Vlasim 3-3 41% 44% -8.1 26% 29% -10.3 34% 39% -14.5
02.08.23 Viktoria Zizkov vs SK Artis Brno 3-1 43% 47% -8.4 28% 32% -14.2 30% 34% -13.8
05.08.23 FC Vlasim vs MFK Vyskov 1-1 36% 38% -6.4 26% 29% -10.8 38% 44% -15.0
05.08.23 FK MAS Taborsko vs 1. FC Brno 2-1 33% 38% -13.4 27% 31% -12.7 40% 43% -7.8
05.08.23 SFC Opava vs Viktoria Zizkov 3-3 46% 51% -9.0 27% 30% -12.3 27% 31% -12.2
05.08.23 SK Artis Brno vs 1. FK Pribram 2-0 45% 47% -3.9 27% 31% -14.2 29% 35% -18.1
05.08.23 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs FC Vysocina Jihlava 1-1 37% 39% -6.9 27% 31% -12.6 36% 42% -14.3
06.08.23 SK Sigma Olomouc II vs 1.SK Prostejov 1-1 54% 58% -6.6 24% 29% -14.3 22% 26% -18.1
06.08.23 Sparta Praha II vs AFK Chrudim 2-0 55% 60% -8.4 24% 28% -12.1 21% 24% -13.7
11.08.23 SFC Opava vs SK Artis Brno 2-0 44% 48% -7.7 27% 31% -12.3 29% 32% -11.2
12.08.23 1. FC Brno vs AFK Chrudim 4-1 70% 76% -8.5 19% 21% -11.9 12% 14% -15.8
12.08.23 1. FK Pribram vs SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 1-3 60% 64% -6.2 23% 26% -14.2 18% 22% -18.8
12.08.23 1.SK Prostejov vs FC Vlasim 0-1 39% 43% -9.2 27% 30% -11.9 35% 40% -13.3
13.08.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs FK MAS Taborsko 3-0 42% 44% -6.3 27% 31% -12.5 31% 37% -15.1
13.08.23 SK Slovan Varnsdorf vs Sparta Praha II 2-2 46% 51% -8.2 25% 29% -11.3 28% 33% -15.2
14.08.23 Viktoria Zizkov vs FK Dukla Praha 1-5 34% 37% -7.1 26% 29% -10.5 39% 45% -13.6
18.08.23 Sparta Praha II vs 1. FC Brno 1-2 26% 29% -9.1 25% 29% -11.1 49% 56% -12.5
19.08.23 AFK Chrudim vs 1.SK Prostejov 6-2 45% 49% -7.5 27% 31% -13.4 28% 32% -13.8
19.08.23 FC Vlasim vs 1. FK Pribram 3-1 49% 54% -9.6 25% 28% -10.9 26% 31% -14.2
19.08.23 FK Dukla Praha vs FC Vysocina Jihlava 1-0 64% 68% -6.5 21% 24% -13.8 16% 20% -20.6
19.08.23 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs SFC Opava 0-1 36% 40% -10.3 27% 31% -12.2 37% 41% -10.2
19.08.23 SK Sigma Olomouc II vs Viktoria Zizkov 0-2 40% 43% -8.0 27% 31% -12.4 33% 38% -14.0
25.08.23 1. FK Pribram vs FK Dukla Praha 0-0 27% 29% -4.8 26% 29% -10.8 47% 56% -15.8
25.08.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs AFK Chrudim 3-3 57% 62% -9.3 23% 27% -11.9 20% 23% -14.1
25.08.23 SFC Opava vs SK Sigma Olomouc II 1-2 59% 65% -10.0 23% 27% -12.1 18% 20% -11.3
26.08.23 1.SK Prostejov vs 1. FC Brno 0-1 22% 24% -8.9 24% 27% -10.0 54% 61% -11.5
26.08.23 MFK Vyskov vs Sparta Praha II 3-1 65% 72% -9.0 20% 23% -10.9 14% 17% -14.3
26.08.23 SK Artis Brno vs SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 1-0 56% 60% -6.9 24% 29% -14.9 20% 24% -17.7
27.08.23 Viktoria Zizkov vs FC Vlasim 0-1 39% 43% -10.7 26% 29% -10.7 35% 39% -11.0
02.09.23 1. FC Brno vs SK Slovan Varnsdorf 1-0 68% 72% -6.0 19% 22% -15.1 13% 17% -22.1
02.09.23 AFK Chrudim vs MFK Vyskov 2-1 26% 31% -14.1 26% 30% -13.3 47% 52% -8.7
02.09.23 FC Vlasim vs FC Vysocina Jihlava 1-0 57% 60% -5.9 22% 25% -11.8 21% 27% -20.4
02.09.23 FK MAS Taborsko vs 1.SK Prostejov 0-0 58% 64% -8.4 23% 26% -12.2 19% 22% -14.7
02.09.23 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Viktoria Zizkov 1-0 34% 36% -5.3 27% 30% -11.4 39% 45% -14.8
03.09.23 SK Sigma Olomouc II vs 1. FK Pribram 2-1 45% 49% -8.5 27% 30% -12.4 29% 33% -13.5
03.09.23 Sparta Praha II vs SFC Opava 0-0 34% 38% -10.5 27% 31% -12.3 39% 44% -11.7
15.09.23 1. FK Pribram vs Sparta Praha II 2-1 51% 54% -6.0 25% 29% -14.3 24% 29% -18.6
15.09.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs 1. FC Brno 0-1 29% 32% -11.2 26% 29% -11.3 45% 51% -10.4
15.09.23 SFC Opava vs FK Dukla Praha 1-0 39% 44% -11.5 27% 31% -12.2 33% 36% -8.6
16.09.23 MFK Vyskov vs 1.SK Prostejov 4-3 70% 76% -8.6 18% 21% -12.0 12% 14% -16.9
16.09.23 SK Artis Brno vs FC Vlasim 2-2 41% 45% -9.2 27% 31% -12.4 32% 36% -12.6
16.09.23 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs SK Sigma Olomouc II 1-2 42% 47% -10.3 27% 31% -12.0 31% 35% -10.4
17.09.23 SK Slovan Varnsdorf vs AFK Chrudim 3-3 51% 56% -9.3 25% 28% -11.4 24% 29% -14.4
17.09.23 Viktoria Zizkov vs FK MAS Taborsko 4-1 43% 47% -8.0 27% 30% -12.3 31% 36% -14.2
22.09.23 FK MAS Taborsko vs 1. FK Pribram 0-1 49% 52% -5.9 26% 30% -14.0 25% 30% -16.9
23.09.23 1. FC Brno vs MFK Vyskov 0-1 50% 55% -8.1 26% 30% -14.0 24% 28% -14.7
23.09.23 1.SK Prostejov vs SK Slovan Varnsdorf 1-0 39% 43% -8.7 27% 30% -12.0 34% 40% -13.8
23.09.23 AFK Chrudim vs Viktoria Zizkov 2-2 39% 43% -8.6 27% 31% -12.2 34% 39% -13.1
23.09.23 FC Vlasim vs SFC Opava 1-1 43% 47% -6.6 26% 30% -12.6 30% 36% -15.8
23.09.23 FK Dukla Praha vs SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 3-1 71% 76% -6.4 18% 21% -14.9 11% 13% -20.1
24.09.23 Sparta Praha II vs FC Vysocina Jihlava 2-1 39% 43% -10.1 27% 30% -12.0 34% 39% -12.7
29.09.23 1. FK Pribram vs AFK Chrudim 2-1 49% 51% -4.9 26% 30% -14.2 25% 31% -18.0
30.09.23 SFC Opava vs 1. FC Brno 2-1 45% 50% -11.0 27% 31% -12.5 28% 31% -8.5
30.09.23 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs FC Vlasim 2-1 33% 36% -7.7 27% 30% -11.7 40% 47% -13.4
01.10.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs 1.SK Prostejov 2-1 55% 60% -7.7 24% 28% -13.7 21% 26% -17.8
01.10.23 Viktoria Zizkov vs Sparta Praha II 1-1 49% 52% -5.9 25% 29% -11.9 26% 31% -16.6
06.10.23 1. FC Brno vs 1. FK Pribram 0-1 58% 61% -5.4 23% 27% -14.9 19% 24% -20.4
07.10.23 1.SK Prostejov vs SK Artis Brno 4-2 34% 36% -7.4 27% 31% -12.2 39% 44% -12.5
07.10.23 AFK Chrudim vs SFC Opava 1-0 33% 38% -13.5 28% 32% -13.7 39% 42% -7.8
07.10.23 FC Vlasim vs FK Dukla Praha 3-2 40% 44% -10.4 27% 31% -12.4 33% 38% -11.9
07.10.23 MFK Vyskov vs Viktoria Zizkov 2-0 63% 68% -7.5 21% 24% -12.5 15% 18% -16.0
08.10.23 SK Slovan Varnsdorf vs FC Vysocina Jihlava 3-3 48% 55% -12.5 25% 28% -10.1 27% 30% -10.1
08.10.23 Sparta Praha II vs SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 1-1 52% 57% -9.4 25% 29% -12.5 23% 27% -13.9
20.10.23 1. FK Pribram vs 1.SK Prostejov 1-0 61% 66% -7.1 22% 26% -13.3 17% 20% -16.9
20.10.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs MFK Vyskov 0-1 35% 40% -12.3 27% 31% -12.3 38% 41% -8.1
21.10.23 FK Dukla Praha vs AFK Chrudim 1-0 65% 71% -8.0 20% 23% -12.1 14% 17% -16.7
21.10.23 SFC Opava vs FK MAS Taborsko 0-1 49% 53% -8.5 26% 30% -13.2 25% 29% -13.2
21.10.23 SK Artis Brno vs Sparta Praha II 4-2 53% 57% -7.6 25% 29% -13.7 22% 26% -14.9
21.10.23 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs SK Slovan Varnsdorf 1-2 43% 49% -11.0 27% 31% -12.6 29% 32% -9.3
22.10.23 SK Sigma Olomouc II vs FC Vlasim 1-0 34% 37% -9.0 26% 29% -10.5 40% 45% -12.0
22.10.23 Viktoria Zizkov vs 1. FC Brno 4-2 29% 32% -8.9 27% 30% -12.0 44% 50% -12.2
27.10.23 1. FC Brno vs SK Artis Brno 3-0 56% 60% -6.5 24% 29% -14.3 20% 24% -16.7
27.10.23 FC Vysocina Jihlava vs 1. FK Pribram 2-1 40% 43% -8.9 27% 31% -12.3 33% 38% -13.1
28.10.23 1.SK Prostejov vs FK Dukla Praha 1-2 24% 27% -12.5 25% 28% -11.4 52% 58% -10.5
28.10.23 AFK Chrudim vs SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 3-1 51% 56% -9.1 26% 29% -13.1 23% 27% -13.6
28.10.23 FK MAS Taborsko vs FC Vlasim 1-1 50% 54% -7.3 25% 29% -12.2 25% 29% -15.7
28.10.23 MFK Vyskov vs SFC Opava 1-3 50% 56% -9.4 26% 29% -12.3 24% 27% -11.6
29.10.23 SK Slovan Varnsdorf vs Viktoria Zizkov 4-2 44% 49% -9.8 27% 30% -12.5 29% 34% -13.0
29.10.23 Sparta Praha II vs SK Sigma Olomouc II 0-2 46% 50% -8.6 26% 29% -12.5 29% 34% -15.8
03.11.23 1. FK Pribram vs SK Slovan Varnsdorf 2-2 51% 55% -6.3 24% 28% -12.0 24% 29% -17.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 656 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 MFK Karvina 1869.55
2 FC Vysocina Jihlava 1793.74
3 MFK Usti Nad Labem 1779.29
4 FK Dukla Praha 1779.21
5 Banik Ostrava II 1739.43
6 FC Vlasim 1738.18
7 1. FK Pribram 1733.00
8 FK MAS Taborsko 1729.87
9 Slavia Praha II 1723.98
10 SFC Opava 1723.27
11 Viktoria Zizkov 1715.97
12 SK Kladno 1711.31
13 1.SK Prostejov 1675.05
14 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 1661.30
15 Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1659.05
16 Zelezarny Trinec 1631.98

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 MFK Karvina 1793.78
2 FK Dukla Praha 1758.72
3 MFK Usti Nad Labem 1732.41
4 FC Vysocina Jihlava 1709.46
5 Banik Ostrava II 1670.21
6 SFC Opava 1669.28
7 Viktoria Zizkov 1667.06
8 FK MAS Taborsko 1656.87
9 FC Vlasim 1656.38
10 1. FK Pribram 1655.47
11 Slavia Praha II 1653.30
12 1.SK Prostejov 1616.37
13 SK Kladno 1609.37
14 SK Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 1565.01
15 Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1564.47
16 Zelezarny Trinec 1556.92