ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 768
Avg Goals 2.72
Avg Home 1.52
Avg Away 1.20
Home Win % 45.1%
Draw % 23.7%
Away Win % 31.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 768
Avg Brier Score 0.5462
Pick Accuracy 57.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5470
Market Brier 0.5449
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 5
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 5 of 768 matches had at least one · staked 5.00, profit -5.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.5% 4.3% 94
10–20% 15.6% 10.3% 331
20–30% 25.9% 24.5% 915
30–40% 34.7% 34.9% 324
40–50% 44.1% 51.1% 235
50–60% 54.1% 55.2% 172
60–70% 64.7% 70.7% 133
70–80% 74.5% 81.2% 69
80–90% 83.5% 90.3% 31
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
22.07.23 FK Teplice vs FK Viktoria Plzen 1-0 17% 18% -4.7 23% 23% -1.5 60% 66% -8.9
22.07.23 MFK Karvina vs FC Zlin 4-1 41% 47% -12.8 28% 29% -5.5 32% 32% -2.0
22.07.23 Slavia Praha vs FC Hradec Kralove 2-0 84% 89% -5.7 11% 11% -0.0 5% 5% -7.3
23.07.23 1. FC Slovacko vs Dynamo Ceske Budejovice 4-1 63% 68% -8.3 22% 23% -2.5 15% 15% -2.2
23.07.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs Banik Ostrava 3-1 36% 38% -5.5 29% 31% -6.0 35% 38% -7.8
23.07.23 Mlada Boleslav vs FK Jablonec 97 3-1 49% 53% -7.3 26% 27% -4.2 25% 27% -8.2
23.07.23 Sparta Praha vs SK Sigma Olomouc 2-0 64% 69% -8.1 21% 22% -2.6 15% 16% -6.3
29.07.23 Banik Ostrava vs 1. FC Slovacko 0-0 38% 41% -6.7 28% 30% -6.0 33% 36% -8.0
29.07.23 FC Zlin vs Sparta Praha 0-1 13% 13% -3.8 20% 20% -0.3 67% 73% -7.9
29.07.23 FK Pardubice vs FK Jablonec 97 0-0 38% 41% -6.2 27% 29% -4.6 34% 38% -10.4
30.07.23 Bohemians 1905 vs FK Teplice 1-2 54% 56% -4.5 25% 27% -7.0 21% 24% -12.1
30.07.23 Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Slavia Praha 1-3 10% 11% -10.9 16% 17% -1.8 74% 79% -6.4
30.07.23 FK Viktoria Plzen vs FC Hradec Kralove 1-1 68% 74% -7.7 20% 20% -1.5 12% 13% -3.6
30.07.23 Mlada Boleslav vs FK Slovan Liberec 2-2 51% 56% -8.0 26% 27% -4.0 23% 25% -6.8
05.08.23 1. FC Slovacko vs SK Sigma Olomouc 0-2 47% 50% -7.0 28% 30% -7.6 26% 28% -8.2
05.08.23 FC Hradec Kralove vs Dynamo Ceske Budejovice 5-1 47% 52% -9.2 27% 28% -4.1 26% 28% -5.2
05.08.23 MFK Karvina vs Mlada Boleslav 1-2 28% 30% -7.1 27% 28% -3.6 45% 49% -7.7
05.08.23 Sparta Praha vs FK Pardubice 5-2 80% 85% -5.9 13% 13% 0.3 7% 7% -6.8
06.08.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 0-1 44% 50% -12.8 27% 28% -3.7 30% 30% -2.1
06.08.23 FK Teplice vs FK Jablonec 97 0-0 40% 44% -9.2 28% 30% -6.4 31% 33% -6.1
06.08.23 FK Viktoria Plzen vs Banik Ostrava 3-1 57% 62% -8.1 24% 26% -4.8 19% 20% -5.8
06.08.23 Slavia Praha vs FC Zlin 2-1 87% 92% -5.4 9% 9% 4.4 4% 4% -5.0
12.08.23 Banik Ostrava vs FC Hradec Kralove 2-0 51% 54% -6.4 26% 28% -5.9 23% 26% -9.3
12.08.23 FC Zlin vs FK Slovan Liberec 1-1 34% 38% -10.2 27% 29% -4.6 39% 42% -6.8
12.08.23 FK Jablonec 97 vs Sparta Praha 1-5 25% 29% -15.8 26% 29% -8.0 49% 50% -2.1
13.08.23 Bohemians 1905 vs 1. FC Slovacko 0-1 38% 42% -8.7 28% 30% -6.0 33% 36% -6.3
13.08.23 Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs FK Viktoria Plzen 2-5 21% 23% -9.9 24% 24% -2.8 55% 60% -6.8
13.08.23 Mlada Boleslav vs Slavia Praha 0-1 17% 19% -10.4 22% 23% -3.7 61% 65% -7.1
13.08.23 SK Sigma Olomouc vs FK Teplice 2-1 63% 68% -8.6 22% 23% -2.2 15% 15% -1.6
19.08.23 1. FC Slovacko vs Mlada Boleslav 2-2 45% 49% -7.1 28% 29% -6.2 27% 29% -7.9
19.08.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs FK Pardubice 1-0 51% 57% -9.9 25% 26% -2.1 23% 24% -4.0
19.08.23 FK Teplice vs Sparta Praha 1-1 13% 14% -8.5 20% 20% -2.4 68% 72% -6.4
19.08.23 MFK Karvina vs FK Jablonec 97 1-1 35% 40% -13.1 28% 29% -5.7 37% 38% -2.5
20.08.23 FC Hradec Kralove vs FC Zlin 2-0 50% 55% -8.6 26% 28% -5.5 24% 26% -7.2
20.08.23 FK Viktoria Plzen vs SK Sigma Olomouc 2-1 59% 65% -9.3 23% 23% -0.8 18% 18% -2.0
20.08.23 Slavia Praha vs Banik Ostrava 1-0 73% 78% -6.4 17% 17% -2.6 10% 11% -8.1
26.08.23 Banik Ostrava vs Dynamo Ceske Budejovice 2-0 65% 71% -8.9 21% 21% -0.7 15% 15% -4.3
26.08.23 FC Zlin vs FK Teplice 2-1 43% 47% -7.6 27% 29% -4.6 30% 32% -7.7
26.08.23 FK Pardubice vs 1. FC Slovacko 0-1 29% 31% -6.7 27% 29% -4.3 44% 48% -7.7
27.08.23 Bohemians 1905 vs FC Hradec Kralove 2-1 50% 54% -7.7 26% 27% -4.3 24% 26% -7.8
27.08.23 FK Jablonec 97 vs Slavia Praha 1-1 12% 14% -12.6 20% 21% -6.4 68% 72% -5.5
27.08.23 SK Sigma Olomouc vs FK Slovan Liberec 2-0 46% 50% -8.9 27% 29% -5.2 27% 29% -6.9
27.08.23 Sparta Praha vs MFK Karvina 3-1 76% 80% -5.1 15% 16% -5.0 9% 10% -13.5
02.09.23 1. FC Slovacko vs FC Zlin 1-0 65% 70% -7.3 21% 22% -4.4 13% 14% -5.6
02.09.23 Banik Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav 2-0 44% 48% -8.4 27% 29% -4.6 29% 31% -6.8
02.09.23 Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs FK Jablonec 97 2-1 34% 38% -10.8 27% 29% -4.5 38% 41% -5.9
02.09.23 FK Teplice vs FK Pardubice 0-1 43% 45% -6.2 28% 29% -5.5 30% 32% -8.3
03.09.23 FC Hradec Kralove vs SK Sigma Olomouc 1-3 36% 38% -7.5 28% 30% -6.2 36% 39% -8.2
03.09.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha 0-2 19% 20% -5.2 24% 25% -3.2 57% 62% -8.5
03.09.23 FK Viktoria Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 2-0 70% 77% -9.3 19% 18% 2.5 12% 11% 1.8
03.09.23 Slavia Praha vs MFK Karvina 5-1 86% 91% -5.4 10% 10% -2.9 4% 5% -10.3
16.09.23 Bohemians 1905 vs Banik Ostrava 1-1 40% 44% -10.2 27% 29% -4.2 33% 34% -5.1
16.09.23 FK Pardubice vs Slavia Praha 0-1 9% 10% -6.6 17% 17% -0.7 74% 80% -7.4
16.09.23 MFK Karvina vs FK Teplice 0-1 42% 45% -7.5 28% 29% -5.2 30% 32% -6.8
16.09.23 Mlada Boleslav vs FC Hradec Kralove 5-1 56% 61% -9.0 25% 26% -3.5 19% 20% -2.9
17.09.23 FC Zlin vs FK Viktoria Plzen 1-7 14% 15% -5.1 22% 22% -2.9 64% 69% -7.3
17.09.23 FK Jablonec 97 vs FK Slovan Liberec 1-1 41% 44% -7.5 28% 29% -5.1 31% 33% -7.1
17.09.23 Sparta Praha vs 1. FC Slovacko 5-0 65% 71% -8.4 21% 21% -0.9 14% 14% -2.7
23.09.23 1. FC Slovacko vs MFK Karvina 2-0 63% 69% -9.4 22% 23% -2.9 15% 15% -2.5
23.09.23 Banik Ostrava vs FC Zlin 5-1 66% 72% -8.1 20% 21% -2.4 14% 14% -5.4
23.09.23 Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav 1-2 31% 36% -12.2 26% 27% -3.1 42% 44% -4.5
23.09.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs FK Teplice 3-3 53% 58% -8.6 26% 27% -5.0 22% 23% -5.4
24.09.23 FC Hradec Kralove vs FK Jablonec 97 1-0 40% 43% -8.3 28% 29% -5.1 32% 34% -6.6
24.09.23 FK Viktoria Plzen vs FK Pardubice 6-2 75% 81% -8.1 16% 16% 0.5 9% 10% -3.8
24.09.23 Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha 1-1 48% 52% -8.1 27% 28% -4.5 26% 28% -6.9
30.09.23 FC Zlin vs Dynamo Ceske Budejovice 1-1 40% 43% -8.4 27% 28% -3.0 33% 36% -7.0
30.09.23 FK Jablonec 97 vs 1. FC Slovacko 2-0 33% 36% -6.7 29% 31% -6.3 38% 41% -7.3
30.09.23 MFK Karvina vs FK Slovan Liberec 5-2 35% 38% -8.4 29% 31% -6.5 37% 39% -6.4
30.09.23 SK Sigma Olomouc vs Banik Ostrava 0-3 37% 40% -7.3 28% 29% -5.3 35% 38% -8.8
30.09.23 Sparta Praha vs FK Viktoria Plzen 2-1 51% 56% -8.4 26% 27% -4.0 23% 24% -6.0
01.10.23 FK Pardubice vs FC Hradec Kralove 1-1 42% 45% -8.6 28% 30% -6.5 30% 32% -6.6
01.10.23 FK Teplice vs Slavia Praha 0-0 10% 10% -4.6 17% 17% -0.8 73% 79% -7.0
01.10.23 Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905 2-1 48% 53% -9.7 26% 27% -2.7 26% 27% -3.2
07.10.23 1. FC Slovacko vs FK Teplice 2-0 63% 68% -7.7 23% 24% -4.5 14% 15% -2.3
07.10.23 Banik Ostrava vs FK Pardubice 1-1 65% 72% -9.1 21% 21% -0.9 14% 14% -2.4
07.10.23 Bohemians 1905 vs FC Zlin 0-0 64% 70% -8.9 21% 22% -1.6 15% 15% -3.2
07.10.23 SK Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav 4-0 41% 44% -7.0 27% 29% -4.2 31% 34% -7.7
08.10.23 FC Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Praha 1-3 12% 12% -3.1 20% 20% -1.4 69% 74% -7.5
08.10.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha 2-3 13% 13% -0.0 21% 21% -0.1 66% 72% -9.1
08.10.23 FK Viktoria Plzen vs FK Jablonec 97 3-2 73% 80% -8.2 17% 17% -0.2 9% 9% 1.5
21.10.23 FC Zlin vs Mlada Boleslav 5-9 26% 28% -5.1 27% 28% -3.7 47% 51% -8.6
21.10.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs FK Viktoria Plzen 3-0 20% 22% -9.6 24% 26% -4.7 55% 60% -6.8
21.10.23 MFK Karvina vs FC Hradec Kralove 1-0 41% 44% -7.7 28% 29% -5.5 31% 34% -8.0
21.10.23 Slavia Praha vs 1. FC Slovacko 2-0 68% 73% -7.3 20% 21% -3.7 12% 12% -3.6
22.10.23 FK Jablonec 97 vs Bohemians 1905 0-1 42% 48% -10.8 28% 29% -5.7 30% 31% -4.7
22.10.23 FK Teplice vs Banik Ostrava 0-1 25% 27% -6.8 27% 29% -5.3 48% 52% -7.8
22.10.23 Sparta Praha vs Dynamo Ceske Budejovice 4-0 82% 88% -7.2 12% 11% 8.1 6% 6% -1.4
28.10.23 1. FC Slovacko vs FK Slovan Liberec 1-1 51% 56% -7.8 26% 27% -4.3 23% 24% -6.1
28.10.23 Banik Ostrava vs FK Jablonec 97 0-1 55% 61% -8.6 25% 26% -3.7 20% 21% -4.5
28.10.23 FC Hradec Kralove vs FK Teplice 1-0 48% 53% -8.5 28% 29% -6.4 24% 26% -5.1
28.10.23 SK Sigma Olomouc vs FC Zlin 0-0 66% 71% -8.2 21% 21% -1.7 14% 14% -3.6
29.10.23 Bohemians 1905 vs Slavia Praha 0-2 13% 13% -2.3 21% 21% -1.5 66% 72% -8.6
29.10.23 FK Viktoria Plzen vs MFK Karvina 0-1 78% 84% -7.5 15% 14% 2.4 8% 8% -0.8
29.10.23 Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha 3-1 21% 23% -7.3 24% 25% -2.7 54% 60% -8.8
04.11.23 1. FC Slovacko vs FC Hradec Kralove 0-0 59% 65% -8.4 24% 26% -4.8 16% 17% -1.0
04.11.23 FK Jablonec 97 vs SK Sigma Olomouc 1-1 41% 45% -10.1 28% 30% -6.3 31% 32% -4.7
04.11.23 FK Pardubice vs FC Zlin 0-1 50% 55% -8.2 26% 28% -4.9 23% 24% -5.2
04.11.23 FK Teplice vs Mlada Boleslav 1-0 27% 29% -7.6 27% 29% -5.2 46% 50% -8.5
04.11.23 Sparta Praha vs Bohemians 1905 2-0 76% 83% -8.4 15% 15% 4.1 8% 8% 3.0
05.11.23 FK Slovan Liberec vs Dynamo Ceske Budejovice 1-0 57% 62% -9.3 24% 24% -2.0 19% 20% -3.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 768 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Slavia Praha 2187.47
2 Sparta Praha 2177.15
3 FK Viktoria Plzen 2103.43
4 FK Slovan Liberec 2068.47
5 SK Sigma Olomouc 2007.20
6 FC Hradec Kralove 1982.37
7 FK Pardubice 1966.08
8 Mlada Boleslav 1959.99
9 FK Jablonec 97 1955.15
10 Bohemians 1905 1935.72
11 Banik Ostrava 1920.63
12 1. FC Brno 1909.05
13 FK Teplice 1886.20
14 1. FC Slovacko 1882.26
15 SK Artis Brno 1831.96
16 FC Zlin 1831.31

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Slavia Praha 2112.28
2 Sparta Praha 2086.62
3 FK Viktoria Plzen 2026.67
4 FK Slovan Liberec 1993.39
5 SK Sigma Olomouc 1962.76
6 FK Pardubice 1957.37
7 FK Jablonec 97 1940.25
8 FC Hradec Kralove 1915.02
9 1. FC Brno 1889.59
10 Mlada Boleslav 1880.77
11 FK Teplice 1865.04
12 Bohemians 1905 1859.26
13 1. FC Slovacko 1840.79
14 Banik Ostrava 1835.93
15 SK Artis Brno 1741.25
16 FC Zlin 1711.56