ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 857
Avg Goals 2.03
Avg Home 1.09
Avg Away 0.95
Home Win % 36.3%
Draw % 34.1%
Away Win % 29.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 857
Avg Brier Score 0.6249
Pick Accuracy 45.0%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6208
Market Brier 0.6235
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 14
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
  • 92.9% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 13 of 857 matches had at least one · staked 14.00, profit -14.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 13 0.0% 13.00 -13.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 9.1% 0.0% 2
10–20% 17.2% 10.3% 126
20–30% 26.0% 22.6% 678
30–40% 33.7% 34.0% 1287
40–50% 44.1% 48.3% 344
50–60% 53.7% 64.3% 115
60–70% 63.0% 72.2% 18
70–80% 73.5% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
24.09.23 El Seka El Hadid vs La Viena FC 0-0 34% 42% -17.6 30% 32% -5.8 35% 38% -8.3
24.09.23 Haras El Hedoud vs Abu Qair Semad 1-0 43% 52% -16.3 30% 32% -5.9 26% 29% -8.0
25.09.23 Al Nasr Taaden vs Asyut Petroleum 1-3 42% 49% -14.8 31% 33% -7.1 27% 31% -10.8
25.09.23 Petrojet vs Aswan SC 2-0 43% 53% -18.7 30% 32% -5.7 26% 27% -3.3
26.09.23 Gomhoreyat Shepin vs Ghazl El Mahallah 0-1 37% 44% -15.9 32% 35% -7.8 30% 32% -6.3
26.09.23 Proxy SC vs Al Qanah 2-2 39% 45% -14.4 32% 35% -8.4 29% 32% -10.2
26.09.23 Tanta SC vs Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 1-0 48% 57% -16.8 30% 32% -6.0 22% 23% -2.7
26.09.23 Wadi Degla SC vs Misr Lel Makasa 2-1 42% 50% -16.4 31% 33% -6.3 27% 29% -5.6
02.10.23 Aswan SC vs Nogoom El Mostakbal 2-0 49% 57% -14.2 28% 29% -3.5 23% 25% -9.6
02.10.23 Asyut Petroleum vs Proxy SC 0-1 44% 53% -17.8 30% 31% -4.5 26% 28% -4.8
02.10.23 Misr Lel Makasa vs El Seka El Hadid 0-1 30% 35% -12.6 32% 34% -7.9 38% 43% -13.1
03.10.23 Abu Qair Semad vs Tanta SC 2-1 29% 33% -11.5 32% 35% -8.1 39% 44% -13.3
03.10.23 Al Qanah vs Petrojet 1-2 39% 48% -17.7 31% 34% -7.2 29% 31% -6.0
03.10.23 La Viena FC vs Al Nasr Taaden 3-0 48% 57% -15.5 30% 31% -5.4 22% 24% -6.8
03.10.23 Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar vs Wadi Degla SC 1-1 28% 31% -10.7 32% 34% -7.8 40% 47% -13.4
03.10.23 WE SC vs Gomhoreyat Shepin 4-0 47% 58% -18.8 30% 32% -5.5 22% 22% 2.7
08.10.23 Ghazl El Mahallah vs Abu Qair Semad 2-0 43% 51% -14.5 31% 33% -7.1 26% 29% -9.6
08.10.23 Haras El Hedoud vs WE SC 1-0 43% 52% -16.4 31% 33% -6.6 26% 27% -5.4
09.10.23 Al Nasr Taaden vs Misr Lel Makasa 1-1 41% 48% -14.8 30% 32% -5.5 29% 32% -10.2
09.10.23 Gomhoreyat Shepin vs Makadi FC 1-1 41% 49% -16.6 33% 37% -9.7 26% 27% -2.9
09.10.23 Nogoom El Mostakbal vs Al Qanah 0-3 31% 35% -12.3 32% 35% -8.3 37% 43% -12.5
09.10.23 Petrojet vs Asyut Petroleum 1-0 43% 50% -14.9 32% 35% -8.4 26% 28% -8.2
09.10.23 Proxy SC vs La Viena FC 0-1 31% 37% -16.4 32% 34% -8.4 37% 42% -10.1
10.10.23 El Seka El Hadid vs Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 2-2 55% 65% -16.2 28% 29% -4.7 17% 17% -1.3
10.10.23 Wadi Degla SC vs Tanta SC 0-0 39% 45% -15.2 33% 36% -9.3 28% 31% -7.5
16.10.23 Aswan SC vs Gomhoreyat Shepin 1-2 44% 53% -17.2 31% 33% -6.8 25% 26% -3.9
16.10.23 Makadi FC vs Haras El Hedoud 1-1 25% 26% -3.6 32% 34% -7.5 43% 51% -16.7
16.10.23 Misr Lel Makasa vs Proxy SC 3-3 35% 40% -13.7 32% 34% -7.0 34% 38% -11.7
16.10.23 Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar vs Al Nasr Taaden 2-1 36% 43% -16.2 31% 34% -7.4 32% 36% -9.9
17.10.23 Abu Qair Semad vs Wadi Degla SC 1-1 28% 31% -10.0 32% 34% -7.7 40% 47% -13.9
17.10.23 Al Qanah vs Dikernis SC 2-0 47% 55% -14.8 30% 32% -6.1 23% 25% -7.4
17.10.23 La Viena FC vs Petrojet 3-2 26% 27% -2.8 32% 34% -7.6 42% 51% -17.7
17.10.23 Tanta SC vs El Seka El Hadid 1-1 37% 43% -14.8 32% 35% -8.1 31% 34% -9.4
17.10.23 WE SC vs Ghazl El Mahallah 0-2 35% 42% -14.9 32% 34% -8.0 33% 37% -11.4
22.10.23 Haras El Hedoud vs Aswan SC 1-1 39% 45% -14.1 32% 35% -8.5 29% 32% -10.6
23.10.23 Al Nasr Taaden vs Tanta SC 2-1 35% 42% -15.6 31% 33% -6.7 34% 38% -10.6
23.10.23 Dikernis SC vs Asyut Petroleum 2-0 38% 44% -14.0 32% 35% -8.5 30% 33% -11.0
23.10.23 Ghazl El Mahallah vs Makadi FC 1-1 36% 38% -7.4 32% 35% -8.4 32% 39% -17.2
23.10.23 Nogoom El Mostakbal vs La Viena FC 2-1 26% 27% -5.6 30% 32% -5.7 44% 53% -17.1
23.10.23 Petrojet vs Misr Lel Makasa 2-1 51% 60% -13.9 29% 30% -5.2 20% 22% -7.8
24.10.23 El Seka El Hadid vs Wadi Degla SC 0-0 41% 49% -16.1 32% 34% -7.8 27% 29% -7.2
24.10.23 Gomhoreyat Shepin vs Al Qanah 0-1 35% 42% -15.7 31% 34% -7.2 33% 37% -9.7
24.10.23 Proxy SC vs Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 2-1 48% 58% -17.7 29% 31% -4.5 22% 23% -2.7
24.10.23 WE SC vs Abu Qair Semad 1-2 45% 54% -16.6 30% 32% -6.0 25% 26% -6.5
29.10.23 Aswan SC vs Ghazl El Mahallah 2-0 38% 43% -13.2 31% 33% -6.7 31% 36% -12.7
30.10.23 Asyut Petroleum vs Gomhoreyat Shepin 2-0 43% 53% -17.9 32% 35% -8.3 25% 25% -1.4
30.10.23 Makadi FC vs WE SC 1-1 32% 36% -10.8 31% 33% -6.5 36% 43% -14.5
30.10.23 Misr Lel Makasa vs Nogoom El Mostakbal 1-1 45% 53% -15.8 30% 31% -4.5 25% 27% -6.9
31.10.23 Abu Qair Semad vs El Seka El Hadid 1-0 31% 35% -12.8 32% 35% -8.1 37% 43% -12.2
31.10.23 Al Qanah vs Haras El Hedoud 1-1 36% 42% -13.4 32% 34% -7.7 32% 36% -11.8
31.10.23 La Viena FC vs Dikernis SC 3-0 54% 65% -16.8 28% 29% -3.1 19% 19% -2.1
31.10.23 Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar vs Petrojet 1-0 28% 32% -13.5 29% 31% -4.8 43% 50% -14.4
31.10.23 Tanta SC vs Proxy SC 4-0 43% 51% -16.1 30% 32% -5.5 26% 29% -7.2
31.10.23 Wadi Degla SC vs Al Nasr Taaden 3-0 55% 68% -18.7 27% 27% -0.2 18% 17% 6.3
06.11.23 Al Nasr Taaden vs El Seka El Hadid 2-3 26% 30% -12.8 31% 33% -7.8 43% 50% -14.3
06.11.23 Dikernis SC vs Misr Lel Makasa 3-1 36% 42% -14.8 30% 32% -5.5 34% 38% -11.6
06.11.23 Gomhoreyat Shepin vs La Viena FC 0-0 25% 27% -8.9 30% 32% -6.1 45% 53% -15.2
06.11.23 Haras El Hedoud vs Asyut Petroleum 3-1 42% 49% -13.6 32% 34% -7.7 26% 29% -8.9
06.11.23 Makadi FC vs Abu Qair Semad 2-1 33% 36% -8.0 32% 34% -6.9 35% 42% -16.0
06.11.23 WE SC vs Aswan SC 1-0 34% 40% -14.3 30% 31% -4.3 36% 41% -12.3
07.11.23 Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Qanah 2-1 38% 44% -14.0 32% 35% -8.1 30% 33% -10.7
07.11.23 Nogoom El Mostakbal vs Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 1-1 39% 47% -16.4 32% 34% -7.5 29% 31% -6.6
07.11.23 Petrojet vs Tanta SC 2-1 44% 51% -14.9 30% 32% -5.8 26% 29% -9.0
07.11.23 Proxy SC vs Wadi Degla SC 1-2 33% 38% -14.8 31% 34% -7.2 36% 40% -10.6
13.11.23 Abu Qair Semad vs Al Nasr Taaden 5-0 55% 68% -19.3 27% 27% 0.3 18% 17% 5.7
13.11.23 Aswan SC vs Makadi FC 3-2 42% 48% -12.0 32% 35% -8.9 26% 30% -13.0
13.11.23 Asyut Petroleum vs Ghazl El Mahallah 1-0 36% 42% -14.3 32% 34% -7.6 32% 36% -10.8
13.11.23 Misr Lel Makasa vs Gomhoreyat Shepin 1-0 40% 47% -14.8 33% 36% -8.8 28% 30% -8.3
13.11.23 Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar vs Dikernis SC 2-2 42% 51% -16.6 30% 32% -5.5 27% 29% -6.9
14.11.23 Al Qanah vs WE SC 2-2 44% 53% -16.8 31% 33% -6.9 25% 27% -5.6
14.11.23 El Seka El Hadid vs Proxy SC 0-0 56% 68% -18.2 26% 26% 0.6 17% 17% 4.9
14.11.23 La Viena FC vs Haras El Hedoud 2-2 42% 49% -13.5 31% 33% -7.1 27% 30% -11.5
14.11.23 Tanta SC vs Nogoom El Mostakbal 2-1 57% 69% -18.1 26% 27% -0.7 17% 16% 4.1
19.11.23 Petrojet vs El Seka El Hadid 1-1 48% 58% -17.9 30% 31% -4.1 23% 23% -1.4
20.11.23 Aswan SC vs Abu Qair Semad 0-0 38% 43% -12.8 30% 31% -4.2 32% 37% -13.2
20.11.23 Ghazl El Mahallah vs La Viena FC 2-1 39% 47% -15.6 32% 35% -8.1 29% 31% -7.3
20.11.23 Haras El Hedoud vs Misr Lel Makasa 6-2 53% 65% -17.5 28% 29% -2.7 19% 19% -0.5
20.11.23 Proxy SC vs Al Nasr Taaden 2-1 48% 59% -18.3 28% 29% -1.3 24% 24% -2.6
21.11.23 Dikernis SC vs Tanta SC 1-1 38% 47% -17.7 31% 32% -5.4 31% 33% -6.3
21.11.23 Gomhoreyat Shepin vs Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 1-2 35% 41% -13.8 33% 36% -8.9 32% 36% -11.3
21.11.23 Makadi FC vs Al Qanah 2-1 26% 27% -4.8 30% 32% -5.6 44% 53% -17.6
21.11.23 Nogoom El Mostakbal vs Wadi Degla SC 1-2 28% 32% -14.2 32% 35% -8.7 40% 45% -10.9
21.11.23 WE SC vs Asyut Petroleum 2-3 32% 36% -11.7 31% 33% -6.5 37% 43% -13.7
27.11.23 Al Nasr Taaden vs Petrojet 1-2 19% 21% -7.5 28% 29% -4.7 53% 62% -15.2
28.11.23 Abu Qair Semad vs Proxy SC 1-1 41% 49% -15.1 31% 33% -7.1 28% 31% -10.4
28.11.23 La Viena FC vs WE SC 1-0 51% 61% -16.9 28% 29% -2.5 21% 22% -4.8
29.11.23 Al Qanah vs Aswan SC 1-1 42% 50% -15.6 31% 33% -7.0 27% 29% -8.9
29.11.23 Asyut Petroleum vs Makadi FC 1-0 50% 60% -15.2 29% 31% -5.7 20% 21% -4.8
29.11.23 El Seka El Hadid vs Nogoom El Mostakbal 4-0 52% 64% -17.6 28% 29% -2.6 20% 20% -1.4
29.11.23 Misr Lel Makasa vs Ghazl El Mahallah 1-2 21% 22% -5.7 29% 30% -4.8 50% 60% -16.6
29.11.23 Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar vs Haras El Hedoud 0-0 30% 34% -12.3 32% 35% -8.0 38% 43% -12.1
29.11.23 Tanta SC vs Gomhoreyat Shepin 1-0 53% 65% -17.4 29% 30% -4.2 18% 17% 6.0
30.11.23 Wadi Degla SC vs Dikernis SC 3-1 49% 59% -16.6 30% 32% -6.0 21% 21% -0.8
04.12.23 Aswan SC vs Asyut Petroleum 0-0 38% 44% -15.6 31% 33% -6.7 31% 35% -10.0
04.12.23 Ghazl El Mahallah vs Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 0-0 48% 57% -15.2 31% 34% -8.6 21% 22% -5.6
04.12.23 Haras El Hedoud vs Tanta SC 3-1 42% 51% -16.6 32% 34% -7.0 26% 28% -5.1
04.12.23 Makadi FC vs La Viena FC 0-1 28% 31% -11.2 31% 33% -6.8 41% 48% -13.6
04.12.23 Nogoom El Mostakbal vs Al Nasr Taaden 2-1 43% 52% -16.8 30% 32% -5.8 26% 29% -7.2
04.12.23 Petrojet vs Proxy SC 3-0 54% 64% -15.4 28% 29% -4.0 18% 18% -1.7
04.12.23 WE SC vs Misr Lel Makasa 2-1 49% 60% -16.9 28% 29% -2.0 23% 24% -5.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 857 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

31 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Masar 1729.07
2 Haras El Hedoud 1710.95
3 WE SC 1700.70
4 Kahraba Ismailia 1672.60
5 Tersana SC 1646.40
6 Ismaily SC 1637.70
7 Pharco FC 1634.85
8 Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat 1626.93
9 El Entag El Harby 1603.46
10 Delta United 1600.00
11 Al Nasr Cairo 1592.77
12 Baladiyat El Mahalla 1590.04
13 El Seka El Hadid 1585.63
14 Proxy SC 1584.76
15 La Viena FC 1583.64
16 Dikernis SC 1582.40
17 Tanta SC 1580.34
18 El Daklyeh 1564.40
19 El Mansurah 1554.42
20 Makadi FC 1543.67
21 Sporting Alexandria 1533.44
22 Belqas City FC 1527.96
23 Team FC Cairo 1526.43
24 Aswan SC 1518.18
25 Suez Montakhab 1486.76
26 Gomhoreyat Shepin 1479.26
27 Nogoom El Mostakbal 1429.49
28 Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 1425.68
29 Dayrout 1409.88
30 Misr Lel Makasa 1303.72
31 Al Nasr Taaden 1296.63

Away Ratings

31 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Masar 1706.35
2 Kahraba Ismailia 1640.30
3 Tersana SC 1633.30
4 El Mansurah 1620.68
5 WE SC 1612.51
6 Haras El Hedoud 1611.79
7 Pharco FC 1608.66
8 Baladiyat El Mahalla 1593.84
9 Al Nasr Cairo 1566.40
10 El Seka El Hadid 1562.36
11 Dikernis SC 1550.70
12 Proxy SC 1546.77
13 Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat 1544.30
14 Tanta SC 1539.48
15 Ismaily SC 1530.89
16 El Entag El Harby 1530.89
17 Nogoom El Mostakbal 1514.18
18 La Viena FC 1506.54
19 Makadi FC 1493.77
20 Gomhoreyat Shepin 1479.88
21 Team FC Cairo 1458.42
22 El Daklyeh 1442.65
23 Sporting Alexandria 1440.18
24 Belqas City FC 1423.40
25 Suez Montakhab 1408.31
26 Aswan SC 1407.26
27 Raya Gazl Kafr Eldwar 1366.99
28 Delta United 1362.25
29 Dayrout 1308.94
30 Misr Lel Makasa 1305.35
31 Al Nasr Taaden 1299.81