ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 846
Avg Goals 2.18
Avg Home 1.14
Avg Away 1.04
Home Win % 35.2%
Draw % 33.9%
Away Win % 30.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 846
Avg Brier Score 0.5979
Pick Accuracy 46.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5970
Market Brier 0.6010
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 846 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 0.0% 45
10–20% 15.7% 8.8% 249
20–30% 25.8% 24.5% 648
30–40% 33.9% 35.8% 1074
40–50% 44.2% 40.3% 278
50–60% 54.7% 61.9% 118
60–70% 64.3% 69.3% 88
70–80% 73.3% 87.9% 33
80–90% 82.4% 100.0% 5
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
18.09.23 Talaea El Gaish vs National Bank of Egypt SC 2-0 34% 40% -15.2 33% 36% -6.9 33% 37% -11.4
19.09.23 El Ahly vs El Masry 4-0 60% 70% -13.6 24% 24% 0.2 15% 17% -12.9
19.09.23 ZED FC vs Ismaily SC 1-0 33% 39% -16.4 34% 37% -7.6 33% 36% -7.6
20.09.23 Al Mokawloon vs Baladiyat El Mahalla 0-2 39% 44% -11.6 34% 38% -9.1 26% 30% -12.8
20.09.23 El Daklyeh vs Enppi Club 1-0 37% 43% -14.1 33% 36% -7.0 30% 34% -12.3
20.09.23 Smouha SC vs El Gounah 1-1 37% 43% -15.1 33% 34% -5.3 30% 34% -10.2
21.09.23 El Ettehad El Sakandary vs Ceramica Cleopatra FC 1-0 30% 36% -18.0 32% 34% -6.3 38% 42% -10.2
21.09.23 Pharco FC vs Modern Sport FC 0-2 28% 34% -18.1 33% 36% -8.0 38% 42% -8.2
21.09.23 Pyramids FC vs Zamalek 2-2 44% 53% -16.1 30% 31% -2.8 26% 29% -11.9
25.09.23 National Bank of Egypt SC vs Pyramids FC 0-1 15% 18% -19.0 26% 27% -3.6 60% 67% -11.2
25.09.23 Zamalek vs Al Mokawloon 1-1 57% 65% -11.6 26% 28% -5.0 17% 20% -17.0
26.09.23 Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Smouha SC 0-2 34% 40% -15.1 35% 38% -8.4 31% 35% -9.7
26.09.23 Modern Sport FC vs El Daklyeh 2-1 50% 56% -10.4 31% 33% -8.1 20% 23% -15.2
27.09.23 El Gounah vs ZED FC 0-1 36% 40% -9.6 34% 38% -8.8 29% 34% -14.7
27.09.23 Enppi Club vs Talaea El Gaish 0-0 35% 41% -13.6 35% 38% -9.5 30% 34% -11.8
28.09.23 El Masry vs Pharco FC 1-0 46% 51% -11.1 32% 34% -7.9 23% 27% -15.0
28.09.23 Ismaily SC vs El Ettehad El Sakandary 3-1 37% 43% -15.5 33% 34% -5.3 31% 34% -9.7
05.10.23 Smouha SC vs Al Mokawloon 2-1 36% 42% -13.8 33% 35% -6.3 31% 35% -12.4
05.10.23 ZED FC vs Baladiyat El Mahalla 3-3 46% 53% -14.6 32% 34% -5.9 22% 24% -8.2
06.10.23 El Ettehad El Sakandary vs El Gounah 2-2 41% 47% -12.5 32% 34% -6.3 27% 31% -13.5
06.10.23 Pharco FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra FC 2-2 28% 33% -15.1 34% 36% -7.4 38% 43% -10.6
07.10.23 El Daklyeh vs El Masry 1-3 22% 27% -18.1 30% 32% -5.7 48% 53% -10.3
07.10.23 National Bank of Egypt SC vs Zamalek 1-2 22% 30% -27.1 30% 33% -11.0 48% 49% -1.1
07.10.23 Talaea El Gaish vs Modern Sport FC 0-2 27% 34% -20.6 33% 36% -8.7 39% 42% -5.4
08.10.23 El Ahly vs Ismaily SC 3-1 70% 74% -5.0 20% 23% -14.1 10% 14% -27.6
08.10.23 Pyramids FC vs Enppi Club 1-0 63% 67% -5.9 23% 26% -11.7 14% 19% -26.2
20.10.23 Ceramica Cleopatra FC vs El Daklyeh 4-0 55% 61% -9.8 28% 30% -7.6 17% 21% -17.8
20.10.23 El Masry vs Talaea El Gaish 1-0 47% 52% -9.0 32% 35% -9.3 21% 26% -17.1
21.10.23 Baladiyat El Mahalla vs El Ettehad El Sakandary 2-2 33% 41% -20.2 32% 33% -5.4 36% 39% -8.5
21.10.23 Enppi Club vs National Bank of Egypt SC 3-1 38% 42% -9.2 32% 35% -7.2 30% 36% -18.0
21.10.23 Zamalek vs Smouha SC 5-1 48% 55% -12.1 29% 30% -4.5 23% 28% -17.2
22.10.23 Al Mokawloon vs ZED FC 3-3 30% 34% -11.2 33% 35% -5.8 37% 43% -14.7
22.10.23 Ismaily SC vs Pharco FC 0-1 45% 52% -14.0 31% 33% -6.1 24% 28% -13.1
22.10.23 Modern Sport FC vs Pyramids FC 0-1 17% 22% -21.9 28% 30% -7.5 55% 60% -9.4
27.10.23 Enppi Club vs Zamalek 2-1 25% 31% -19.3 31% 32% -5.0 44% 49% -9.5
27.10.23 Pyramids FC vs El Masry 3-2 57% 61% -6.5 27% 30% -11.8 16% 21% -23.5
28.10.23 El Ettehad El Sakandary vs Al Mokawloon 3-2 38% 42% -11.0 32% 34% -5.7 30% 36% -16.2
28.10.23 Pharco FC vs El Gounah 0-1 40% 47% -13.5 32% 34% -6.1 27% 31% -12.4
28.10.23 ZED FC vs Smouha SC 1-1 46% 54% -14.6 31% 32% -4.5 23% 26% -10.3
29.10.23 Talaea El Gaish vs Ceramica Cleopatra FC 1-0 25% 31% -18.0 32% 34% -7.0 43% 48% -10.3
30.10.23 El Daklyeh vs Ismaily SC 0-0 22% 26% -16.9 30% 32% -5.5 48% 54% -11.8
30.10.23 National Bank of Egypt SC vs Modern Sport FC 1-2 28% 34% -17.6 32% 34% -6.4 40% 44% -10.4
03.11.23 Ceramica Cleopatra FC vs Pyramids FC 2-0 21% 27% -21.1 29% 30% -5.2 50% 56% -9.6
03.11.23 Smouha SC vs El Ettehad El Sakandary 0-1 35% 41% -13.6 32% 33% -4.2 33% 38% -13.1
03.11.23 Zamalek vs ZED FC 1-2 45% 53% -15.5 30% 30% -2.0 25% 29% -11.4
04.11.23 Al Mokawloon vs El Ahly 1-2 12% 15% -23.4 24% 26% -7.7 65% 71% -9.0
04.11.23 Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Pharco FC 3-2 31% 38% -19.0 32% 34% -6.3 37% 40% -8.7
04.11.23 El Gounah vs El Daklyeh 2-0 47% 53% -11.7 30% 32% -6.1 22% 27% -15.7
05.11.23 El Masry vs National Bank of Egypt SC 0-4 45% 49% -8.7 31% 33% -7.4 25% 30% -18.9
05.11.23 Ismaily SC vs Talaea El Gaish 2-3 38% 42% -9.3 33% 36% -8.1 29% 36% -17.7
05.11.23 Modern Sport FC vs Enppi Club 0-1 40% 44% -9.2 33% 35% -7.2 27% 32% -16.1
08.11.23 Ceramica Cleopatra FC vs El Ahly 1-2 21% 27% -21.5 29% 30% -5.1 50% 55% -8.5
11.11.23 El Gounah vs El Ahly 1-1 11% 15% -25.4 23% 25% -9.3 66% 71% -7.2
28.11.23 El Ahly vs Smouha SC 0-0 69% 74% -6.0 20% 23% -12.1 11% 14% -25.9
28.11.23 Pyramids FC vs Ismaily SC 2-1 64% 68% -5.8 22% 25% -10.2 13% 17% -24.9
29.11.23 Modern Sport FC vs Zamalek 0-2 27% 32% -15.1 31% 32% -3.6 42% 48% -12.8
30.11.23 El Ettehad El Sakandary vs ZED FC 0-0 33% 40% -18.4 32% 33% -4.8 36% 39% -9.2
30.11.23 Pharco FC vs Al Mokawloon 1-1 36% 40% -11.2 34% 36% -7.3 31% 36% -13.8
30.11.23 Talaea El Gaish vs El Gounah 1-1 40% 45% -12.2 32% 34% -6.0 28% 33% -15.3
01.12.23 Enppi Club vs El Masry 1-2 35% 40% -13.1 32% 34% -5.1 33% 38% -14.0
01.12.23 National Bank of Egypt SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra FC 0-1 29% 36% -18.2 31% 32% -4.0 40% 44% -10.4
04.12.23 Smouha SC vs Pharco FC 2-1 38% 44% -13.4 33% 35% -6.5 29% 33% -13.2
05.12.23 Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Talaea El Gaish 0-2 29% 34% -15.8 33% 36% -7.3 38% 43% -11.8
05.12.23 Ceramica Cleopatra FC vs Enppi Club 4-2 47% 53% -12.5 32% 34% -7.9 22% 25% -13.2
05.12.23 Ismaily SC vs National Bank of Egypt SC 2-1 39% 44% -11.5 31% 33% -5.7 29% 35% -16.8
06.12.23 Al Mokawloon vs El Daklyeh 0-0 49% 53% -7.4 31% 34% -9.7 21% 26% -19.5
14.12.23 El Masry vs Zamalek 1-0 30% 36% -16.9 31% 32% -3.5 39% 43% -11.1
14.12.23 Modern Sport FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra FC 1-1 26% 32% -20.1 33% 36% -8.3 41% 44% -6.7
14.12.23 National Bank of Egypt SC vs El Gounah 2-3 37% 42% -11.6 33% 35% -6.2 30% 36% -14.7
14.12.23 Pyramids FC vs Baladiyat El Mahalla 2-2 72% 78% -6.7 18% 21% -12.4 9% 13% -27.1
15.12.23 El Daklyeh vs Smouha SC 0-0 25% 30% -17.6 33% 35% -7.2 42% 47% -8.7
15.12.23 Pharco FC vs ZED FC 1-2 27% 33% -18.7 33% 36% -8.2 40% 43% -7.2
15.12.23 Talaea El Gaish vs Al Mokawloon 1-2 39% 43% -10.7 34% 38% -9.2 27% 31% -13.9
16.12.23 Enppi Club vs Ismaily SC 1-0 41% 47% -12.8 32% 33% -5.1 28% 32% -13.8
25.12.23 Baladiyat El Mahalla vs National Bank of Egypt SC 0-2 35% 41% -15.0 31% 32% -3.3 34% 39% -13.0
25.12.23 El Gounah vs Enppi Club 1-2 33% 40% -16.7 34% 38% -8.6 32% 35% -8.3
26.12.23 El Ettehad El Sakandary vs Pharco FC 3-1 42% 49% -13.5 32% 33% -5.4 26% 30% -13.2
27.12.23 Smouha SC vs Talaea El Gaish 1-0 33% 38% -13.4 34% 37% -7.9 33% 37% -12.0
27.12.23 ZED FC vs El Daklyeh 3-1 57% 61% -7.1 28% 31% -11.0 15% 19% -20.2
30.12.23 Enppi Club vs Baladiyat El Mahalla 3-0 47% 54% -13.1 30% 32% -6.0 23% 27% -14.9
30.12.23 National Bank of Egypt SC vs Al Mokawloon 3-1 36% 42% -13.1 32% 34% -5.8 31% 36% -13.9
30.12.23 Talaea El Gaish vs ZED FC 1-0 30% 35% -15.4 34% 36% -7.3 37% 41% -10.3
01.01.24 El Daklyeh vs El Ettehad El Sakandary 0-1 23% 29% -18.8 32% 35% -8.2 45% 50% -10.3
01.01.24 El Masry vs Ismaily SC 1-1 41% 47% -11.6 32% 34% -6.6 27% 31% -14.7
13.02.24 El Gounah vs El Masry 2-2 33% 41% -18.5 32% 34% -5.6 35% 38% -9.7
13.02.24 Smouha SC vs National Bank of Egypt SC 1-1 37% 43% -12.6 32% 34% -5.2 31% 36% -14.2
14.02.24 Al Mokawloon vs Enppi Club 0-1 29% 35% -15.7 33% 35% -6.2 38% 42% -10.7
14.02.24 El Ettehad El Sakandary vs Talaea El Gaish 2-2 32% 36% -12.1 33% 35% -5.7 35% 41% -13.8
14.02.24 ZED FC vs Pyramids FC 0-0 25% 32% -22.2 32% 34% -8.4 43% 47% -6.9
15.02.24 Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Modern Sport FC 1-0 21% 26% -18.1 32% 34% -8.2 47% 53% -10.0
15.02.24 Ismaily SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra FC 2-1 28% 34% -17.8 32% 34% -6.2 39% 43% -9.5
18.02.24 Enppi Club vs Smouha SC 0-0 36% 41% -11.0 32% 34% -5.0 32% 37% -14.9
18.02.24 National Bank of Egypt SC vs ZED FC 1-1 28% 35% -19.0 32% 34% -5.8 40% 43% -8.3
18.02.24 Pyramids FC vs El Ettehad El Sakandary 1-0 59% 63% -7.5 25% 28% -9.0 16% 21% -23.2
19.02.24 Ismaily SC vs Zamalek 0-0 25% 30% -17.3 30% 31% -3.4 45% 51% -11.4
19.02.24 Modern Sport FC vs Al Mokawloon 2-2 44% 48% -8.2 34% 38% -10.5 23% 27% -15.5
20.02.24 Ceramica Cleopatra FC vs El Gounah 1-1 50% 56% -11.9 29% 30% -4.9 21% 26% -16.6
20.02.24 El Daklyeh vs Pharco FC 1-1 28% 34% -17.1 34% 37% -8.7 38% 42% -9.8
20.02.24 El Masry vs Baladiyat El Mahalla 3-0 54% 59% -8.9 28% 31% -8.4 18% 23% -19.8
23.02.24 Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra FC 3-5 19% 23% -19.5 29% 31% -6.0 52% 58% -9.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 846 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

21 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Pyramids FC 2100.88
2 El Ahly 2015.86
3 Ceramica Cleopatra FC 1873.56
4 Zamalek 1872.11
5 El Masry 1851.28
6 National Bank of Egypt SC 1848.68
7 Smouha SC 1825.29
8 El Ettehad El Sakandary 1809.78
9 Petrojet 1761.13
10 Wadi Degla SC 1759.32
11 Modern Sport FC 1744.51
12 Talaea El Gaish 1743.92
13 Al Qanah 1722.35
14 Al Mokawloon 1714.97
15 ZED FC 1711.09
16 Enppi Club 1707.92
17 Ghazl El Mahallah 1701.24
18 Abu Qair Semad 1677.28
19 Al Sharqiya Enppl 1672.49
20 El Gounah 1668.08
21 Asyut Petroleum 1631.23

Away Ratings

21 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Pyramids FC 2009.40
2 El Ahly 1979.11
3 Ceramica Cleopatra FC 1895.73
4 Zamalek 1880.54
5 Wadi Degla SC 1852.97
6 El Masry 1838.36
7 National Bank of Egypt SC 1833.76
8 ZED FC 1774.59
9 El Ettehad El Sakandary 1761.31
10 Talaea El Gaish 1742.00
11 Smouha SC 1741.07
12 Petrojet 1736.86
13 Modern Sport FC 1734.28
14 Al Mokawloon 1710.02
15 Ghazl El Mahallah 1690.15
16 Al Sharqiya Enppl 1687.29
17 Enppi Club 1685.54
18 Al Qanah 1677.82
19 El Gounah 1667.77
20 Abu Qair Semad 1665.48
21 Asyut Petroleum 1583.60