ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 789
Avg Goals 2.49
Avg Home 1.32
Avg Away 1.17
Home Win % 39.8%
Draw % 27.0%
Away Win % 33.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 789
Avg Brier Score 0.6076
Pick Accuracy 48.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6082
Market Brier 0.6094
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 789 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.7% 8.3% 12
10–20% 16.2% 18.1% 260
20–30% 26.3% 25.1% 1017
30–40% 34.4% 34.0% 480
40–50% 44.7% 44.6% 280
50–60% 54.9% 60.5% 200
60–70% 64.8% 61.7% 94
70–80% 72.9% 79.2% 24
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
13.08.23 CD Dragon vs Municipal Limeno 3-1 48% 53% -9.0 28% 32% -13.5 24% 28% -12.8
13.08.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs Alianza FC 0-1 23% 25% -7.1 28% 31% -10.6 49% 56% -12.1
13.08.23 CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan 1-0 37% 43% -16.0 30% 34% -13.2 34% 35% -4.4
13.08.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs 11 Deportivo FC 0-2 36% 42% -13.6 30% 34% -12.8 34% 36% -6.2
13.08.23 Santa Tecla vs CD Aguila 0-1 21% 25% -17.1 26% 29% -11.7 53% 58% -7.8
19.08.23 Alianza FC vs CD Fas 5-3 49% 56% -11.4 27% 30% -11.2 24% 26% -9.3
19.08.23 Jocoro FC vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 2-4 37% 45% -17.6 29% 32% -11.4 34% 35% -3.2
20.08.23 11 Deportivo FC vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 1-0 57% 62% -9.4 25% 29% -11.7 18% 20% -9.2
20.08.23 CD Aguila vs CD Dragon 5-1 52% 56% -6.6 26% 31% -14.7 21% 26% -16.9
20.08.23 Isidro Metapan vs Santa Tecla 2-0 50% 56% -9.7 26% 29% -10.8 24% 27% -11.5
20.08.23 Municipal Limeno vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1-1 40% 45% -11.0 28% 31% -10.3 32% 35% -10.2
23.08.23 11 Deportivo FC vs Municipal Limeno 2-1 51% 59% -12.5 27% 30% -11.4 22% 23% -6.2
23.08.23 CD Dragon vs Isidro Metapan 0-0 34% 38% -9.7 29% 33% -12.2 37% 42% -12.0
24.08.23 Alianza FC vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 60% 67% -10.3 23% 26% -11.0 16% 18% -9.8
24.08.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs CD Fas 1-3 29% 36% -20.0 29% 34% -14.1 42% 43% -2.7
27.08.23 Alianza FC vs Santa Tecla 2-2 63% 68% -8.7 22% 26% -12.6 15% 17% -13.6
27.08.23 CD Aguila vs 11 Deportivo FC 3-1 56% 61% -8.1 25% 29% -13.7 18% 21% -13.3
27.08.23 CD Fas vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 44% 50% -12.0 28% 31% -10.3 28% 31% -9.1
27.08.23 Isidro Metapan vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1-3 50% 54% -7.8 27% 32% -14.8 23% 27% -15.0
29.08.23 Municipal Limeno vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 0-3 51% 58% -12.9 27% 31% -11.9 22% 24% -6.5
03.09.23 11 Deportivo FC vs Isidro Metapan 2-0 40% 45% -13.1 30% 34% -12.7 31% 33% -7.3
03.09.23 CD Dragon vs Alianza FC 0-3 32% 38% -15.8 29% 32% -11.5 40% 43% -6.7
03.09.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 26% 31% -17.9 28% 31% -12.0 47% 50% -6.3
03.09.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Jocoro FC 0-0 46% 53% -13.5 27% 29% -9.4 27% 29% -8.0
03.09.23 Municipal Limeno vs CD Aguila 1-0 16% 20% -19.9 22% 25% -10.8 62% 67% -7.5
03.09.23 Santa Tecla vs CD Fas 0-2 32% 37% -14.4 28% 31% -10.6 40% 44% -9.2
06.09.23 CD Aguila vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 3-1 70% 73% -3.9 19% 23% -19.3 11% 15% -24.3
06.09.23 CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Santa Tecla 3-0 51% 56% -8.7 26% 29% -11.7 23% 26% -13.6
07.09.23 Alianza FC vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0-0 61% 67% -9.5 23% 26% -11.8 16% 18% -11.6
07.09.23 Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno 0-3 49% 53% -7.6 26% 30% -12.7 24% 29% -15.5
09.09.23 CD Aguila vs Isidro Metapan 4-2 68% 73% -7.0 21% 24% -15.6 12% 14% -16.3
10.09.23 11 Deportivo FC vs Alianza FC 1-1 28% 33% -17.1 28% 32% -12.1 44% 47% -5.3
10.09.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs Santa Tecla 2-1 40% 47% -14.7 28% 31% -10.6 32% 35% -7.8
10.09.23 Municipal Limeno vs Jocoro FC 1-2 41% 47% -12.5 28% 31% -10.1 31% 34% -8.0
13.09.23 CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Dragon 2-3 43% 48% -10.0 29% 33% -12.7 28% 31% -10.2
14.09.23 CD Fas vs Jocoro FC 1-3 54% 61% -11.5 25% 28% -9.9 21% 23% -9.1
15.09.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Aguila 2-3 20% 26% -21.5 26% 30% -14.3 54% 56% -4.6
16.09.23 Alianza FC vs Municipal Limeno 0-0 64% 68% -6.3 21% 25% -14.1 14% 17% -17.6
17.09.23 CD Fas vs 11 Deportivo FC 1-0 44% 50% -11.4 28% 31% -10.9 28% 31% -9.4
17.09.23 CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 2-1 43% 48% -10.6 28% 32% -12.4 29% 33% -12.4
17.09.23 Isidro Metapan vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 0-0 46% 52% -10.3 27% 31% -11.2 26% 29% -11.0
17.09.23 Jocoro FC vs CD Aguila 0-2 21% 28% -24.8 25% 29% -14.9 54% 56% -2.7
20.09.23 11 Deportivo FC vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 44% 51% -12.5 28% 32% -11.7 27% 29% -7.2
20.09.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs CD Dragon 2-1 34% 40% -14.6 29% 32% -11.1 37% 40% -7.2
20.09.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Santa Tecla 0-2 45% 50% -9.4 28% 31% -11.9 27% 31% -13.0
21.09.23 CD Aguila vs Alianza FC 0-0 44% 50% -11.5 28% 31% -10.5 28% 31% -9.8
21.09.23 Isidro Metapan vs Jocoro FC 1-1 45% 53% -14.1 27% 30% -9.9 27% 29% -6.5
21.09.23 Municipal Limeno vs CD Fas 3-2 37% 44% -15.8 28% 31% -10.1 34% 36% -5.2
24.09.23 Alianza FC vs Isidro Metapan 1-0 59% 63% -6.5 24% 28% -14.8 17% 21% -17.7
24.09.23 CD Dragon vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 4-2 47% 53% -11.6 27% 31% -11.3 26% 29% -10.0
24.09.23 CD Fas vs CD Aguila 2-2 28% 35% -20.5 28% 32% -13.0 44% 45% -2.6
24.09.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs Jocoro FC 1-0 40% 48% -15.5 28% 31% -10.5 32% 34% -6.2
24.09.23 CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Municipal Limeno 1-1 50% 57% -11.8 26% 29% -10.6 23% 26% -9.2
28.09.23 CD Fas vs CD Dragon 1-0 42% 49% -14.4 29% 32% -11.2 30% 31% -5.3
01.10.23 CD Aguila vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 0-2 60% 66% -8.8 23% 26% -12.1 16% 19% -13.5
01.10.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 1-2 41% 45% -9.6 28% 31% -10.6 31% 35% -11.8
01.10.23 Isidro Metapan vs CD Fas 1-1 35% 41% -14.0 29% 32% -11.1 36% 39% -7.7
01.10.23 Jocoro FC vs Alianza FC 3-2 19% 24% -19.6 26% 29% -13.1 55% 59% -6.0
01.10.23 Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla 1-1 50% 56% -11.8 27% 31% -11.7 23% 25% -7.9
04.10.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Fas 0-3 31% 36% -13.9 29% 32% -11.3 41% 44% -8.6
07.10.23 Alianza FC vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 1-2 65% 68% -4.6 22% 27% -18.0 13% 17% -20.7
07.10.23 Jocoro FC vs CD Fas 2-1 30% 36% -16.4 29% 32% -11.5 41% 43% -5.6
08.10.23 11 Deportivo FC vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 2-2 54% 60% -9.2 26% 29% -13.2 20% 24% -14.2
08.10.23 CD Aguila vs Santa Tecla 2-2 70% 75% -6.1 18% 22% -14.9 11% 14% -19.9
08.10.23 Isidro Metapan vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 38% 44% -13.7 29% 32% -10.8 33% 35% -6.3
08.10.23 Municipal Limeno vs CD Dragon 3-2 35% 41% -15.1 29% 32% -10.7 37% 38% -5.0
14.10.23 Santa Tecla vs Isidro Metapan 2-3 32% 37% -13.1 29% 32% -10.9 39% 43% -8.2
15.10.23 CD Dragon vs CD Aguila 2-2 28% 34% -17.9 27% 31% -11.2 44% 48% -6.8
15.10.23 CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Jocoro FC 1-0 47% 53% -11.2 27% 30% -10.8 26% 29% -10.7
15.10.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Municipal Limeno 1-0 33% 38% -12.6 29% 32% -11.2 38% 43% -9.9
18.10.23 CD Aguila vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 4-0 71% 76% -6.6 18% 21% -15.2 12% 15% -21.8
19.10.23 Isidro Metapan vs CD Dragon 2-2 38% 43% -13.7 29% 33% -12.0 33% 36% -7.1
20.10.23 CD Fas vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 0-0 49% 53% -8.2 27% 30% -12.0 25% 29% -14.2
20.10.23 Municipal Limeno vs 11 Deportivo FC 2-1 39% 47% -16.8 27% 30% -9.4 34% 36% -5.2
22.10.23 11 Deportivo FC vs CD Aguila 1-2 27% 33% -19.3 27% 31% -11.8 46% 49% -5.7
22.10.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs Municipal Limeno 1-2 41% 48% -13.9 29% 32% -11.1 30% 32% -6.0
22.10.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Isidro Metapan 1-4 36% 42% -14.1 29% 32% -11.1 36% 38% -7.6
22.10.23 Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC 0-2 18% 23% -20.3 25% 29% -13.2 57% 61% -5.8
26.10.23 CD Fas vs Alianza FC 0-0 34% 41% -16.4 30% 34% -12.6 36% 38% -4.0
28.10.23 Jocoro FC vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 3-1 45% 51% -11.8 26% 29% -10.0 28% 32% -12.2
29.10.23 Alianza FC vs CD Dragon 2-2 53% 58% -10.0 25% 28% -10.1 22% 26% -12.6
29.10.23 CD Aguila vs Municipal Limeno 1-0 58% 62% -7.1 24% 28% -13.9 18% 22% -17.0
29.10.23 CD Fas vs Santa Tecla 2-1 60% 66% -9.1 24% 27% -12.3 16% 18% -11.3
29.10.23 CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 2-1 45% 51% -11.1 28% 32% -12.0 27% 29% -9.2
29.10.23 Isidro Metapan vs 11 Deportivo FC 2-0 42% 51% -16.4 27% 29% -8.5 31% 32% -4.3
04.11.23 Jocoro FC vs Municipal Limeno 1-0 40% 47% -14.7 28% 32% -11.7 32% 34% -7.7
05.11.23 Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo FC 0-0 56% 62% -10.3 25% 29% -11.6 19% 21% -9.6
05.11.23 CD Dragon vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 41% 47% -11.4 27% 30% -10.0 32% 36% -11.8
05.11.23 CD Fas vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca 2-0 59% 66% -10.0 23% 27% -12.1 17% 20% -13.3
05.11.23 Isidro Metapan vs CD Aguila 2-0 22% 27% -18.0 27% 30% -12.2 51% 55% -6.8
05.11.23 Santa Tecla vs CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 1-1 34% 39% -13.9 29% 33% -12.1 37% 40% -7.7
08.11.23 CD Dragon vs CD Fas 0-1 37% 43% -14.8 27% 30% -9.3 35% 38% -7.8
08.11.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Alianza FC 0-2 24% 29% -19.9 27% 31% -12.7 50% 52% -4.3
08.11.23 Santa Tecla vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 30% 36% -15.8 29% 32% -11.6 41% 44% -6.8
09.11.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs CD Aguila 0-1 27% 33% -18.8 27% 31% -11.7 46% 49% -6.2
09.11.23 Municipal Limeno vs Isidro Metapan 1-3 47% 55% -14.8 27% 29% -9.6 27% 29% -7.0
11.11.23 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan vs Isidro Metapan 1-1 33% 38% -12.1 29% 32% -11.2 38% 43% -10.2
12.11.23 11 Deportivo FC vs CD Fas 0-2 35% 42% -16.9 29% 32% -11.5 36% 38% -5.4
12.11.23 CD Aguila vs Jocoro FC 2-0 63% 68% -8.2 21% 24% -11.1 16% 19% -16.3
12.11.23 CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 32% 38% -14.8 29% 32% -11.2 39% 42% -7.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 789 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CD Fas 1666.77
2 CD Luis Angel Firpo 1655.93
3 Internacional Santa Tecla 1646.76
4 Isidro Metapan 1644.81
5 CD Aguila 1620.58
6 Inter FA 1606.72
7 Alianza FC 1583.81
8 Municipal Limeno 1549.07
9 CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1480.18
10 CD Cacahuatique 1474.99
11 Atletico Balboa 1437.84
12 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 1426.52
13 CD Hercules 1424.83
14 CD Inca Aruba 1413.83
15 Zacatecoluca FC 1336.15
16 CD Inca 1224.35

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Inter FA 1607.24
2 CD Luis Angel Firpo 1597.73
3 Isidro Metapan 1594.34
4 CD Fas 1592.73
5 CD Aguila 1589.76
6 Internacional Santa Tecla 1577.98
7 Alianza FC 1551.55
8 Municipal Limeno 1547.28
9 CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1467.13
10 CD Cacahuatique 1417.32
11 Atletico Balboa 1401.92
12 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan 1378.10
13 Zacatecoluca FC 1356.20
14 CD Hercules 1345.60
15 CD Inca Aruba 1329.38
16 CD Inca 1284.73