ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1222
Avg Goals 2.87
Avg Home 1.55
Avg Away 1.32
Home Win % 44.1%
Draw % 23.6%
Away Win % 32.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1222
Avg Brier Score 0.6154
Pick Accuracy 48.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6171
Market Brier 0.6161
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 1222 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.1% 5.6% 18
10–20% 16.7% 14.0% 235
20–30% 24.9% 24.3% 1620
30–40% 35.2% 36.5% 797
40–50% 44.3% 43.0% 597
50–60% 54.2% 58.0% 269
60–70% 64.5% 68.7% 99
70–80% 73.7% 71.4% 28
80–90% 84.0% 66.7% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 AFC Sudbury vs Barwell FC 1-1 37% 42% -11.2 25% 29% -14.8 37% 42% -10.1
05.08.23 AFC Telford United vs Royston Town 3-0 50% 55% -8.8 25% 29% -16.2 25% 29% -11.7
05.08.23 Bromsgrove Sporting vs Redditch United 1-2 37% 39% -6.3 26% 30% -15.4 38% 43% -13.5
05.08.23 Halesowen Town vs Leiston FC 2-1 35% 36% -3.8 25% 29% -13.8 40% 48% -15.2
05.08.23 Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch FC 2-0 43% 47% -7.5 26% 31% -16.3 31% 35% -11.5
05.08.23 St. Ives Town vs Mickleover Sports 0-2 35% 38% -7.4 25% 29% -13.9 40% 47% -13.0
05.08.23 Stamford AFC vs Kettering Town 3-2 31% 36% -14.4 25% 29% -15.4 45% 48% -6.5
05.08.23 Stourbridge FC vs Coalville Town 4-2 22% 26% -15.4 22% 26% -14.6 56% 60% -7.3
05.08.23 Stratford Town vs Needham Market 6-1 42% 47% -10.7 26% 30% -15.2 33% 36% -8.3
12.08.23 Alvechurch FC vs AFC Sudbury 1-0 44% 47% -6.2 25% 29% -15.0 31% 36% -13.7
12.08.23 Barwell FC vs Stratford Town 1-0 44% 49% -9.2 25% 29% -14.1 31% 35% -11.1
12.08.23 Kettering Town vs Stourbridge FC 2-4 43% 47% -7.7 25% 29% -15.2 32% 37% -13.2
12.08.23 Leiston FC vs AFC Telford United 2-1 41% 43% -4.2 25% 29% -14.6 34% 40% -14.7
12.08.23 Needham Market vs Halesowen Town 0-0 28% 29% -0.5 24% 28% -12.8 47% 56% -14.8
12.08.23 Nuneaton Town vs St. Ives Town 0-1 54% 60% -9.9 24% 28% -15.2 22% 24% -9.0
12.08.23 Redditch United vs Stamford AFC 1-3 41% 43% -5.8 25% 29% -15.1 34% 40% -14.9
12.08.23 Royston Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting 0-4 45% 50% -9.9 24% 29% -14.6 31% 34% -11.5
14.08.23 Barwell FC vs Kettering Town 3-2 41% 47% -11.2 24% 28% -12.8 34% 38% -8.6
14.08.23 Redditch United vs AFC Telford United 1-1 34% 36% -4.6 26% 30% -15.1 40% 47% -13.6
14.08.23 St. Ives Town vs AFC Sudbury 1-1 44% 47% -4.9 26% 31% -16.6 30% 34% -13.8
15.08.23 Berkhamsted FC vs Leiston FC 0-0 28% 31% -7.9 23% 27% -12.3 48% 55% -11.7
15.08.23 Bromsgrove Sporting vs Coalville Town 1-4 21% 23% -7.9 22% 25% -12.4 57% 64% -10.3
15.08.23 Halesowen Town vs Leamington FC 0-0 34% 37% -7.2 25% 29% -14.6 41% 47% -12.8
15.08.23 Mickleover Sports vs Alvechurch FC 4-2 54% 59% -7.9 23% 28% -16.3 23% 26% -14.2
15.08.23 Needham Market vs Hitchin Town 2-0 35% 38% -6.1 25% 29% -14.5 39% 45% -13.3
15.08.23 Royston Town vs Stamford AFC 1-1 30% 31% -2.6 24% 28% -12.9 45% 53% -14.7
15.08.23 Stratford Town vs Stourbridge FC 2-0 40% 44% -10.8 25% 29% -14.7 35% 39% -10.0
19.08.23 AFC Sudbury vs Redditch United 0-4 42% 47% -8.6 26% 31% -15.5 32% 35% -9.6
19.08.23 Alvechurch FC vs Stratford Town 1-0 36% 39% -8.3 26% 30% -15.3 38% 43% -11.7
19.08.23 Coalville Town vs Needham Market 1-6 71% 76% -7.5 17% 20% -15.2 12% 15% -16.2
19.08.23 Hitchin Town vs St. Ives Town 3-2 46% 49% -5.9 25% 29% -15.0 29% 33% -12.8
19.08.23 Kettering Town vs Halesowen Town 2-2 43% 48% -9.3 25% 29% -13.7 32% 36% -10.0
19.08.23 Leiston FC vs Bromsgrove Sporting 2-3 59% 66% -10.4 22% 25% -14.0 20% 22% -10.0
19.08.23 Long Eaton United vs Royston Town 1-3 40% 43% -5.5 24% 29% -14.3 35% 42% -15.3
19.08.23 Stamford AFC vs Berkhamsted FC 0-0 54% 58% -6.8 23% 28% -15.7 23% 26% -13.7
19.08.23 Stourbridge FC vs Barwell FC 2-0 47% 51% -9.2 25% 29% -14.2 29% 32% -10.3
26.08.23 Barwell FC vs AFC Telford United 3-1 35% 38% -7.4 25% 29% -14.5 40% 45% -12.2
26.08.23 Berkhamsted FC vs Stourbridge FC 0-1 29% 31% -8.5 24% 27% -12.8 48% 54% -11.5
26.08.23 Bromsgrove Sporting vs Stamford AFC 0-2 36% 39% -9.0 25% 29% -13.6 40% 44% -10.9
26.08.23 Halesowen Town vs Long Eaton United 5-0 65% 70% -7.9 20% 24% -15.9 15% 17% -13.2
26.08.23 Needham Market vs Alvechurch FC 2-0 45% 49% -7.8 26% 30% -15.8 29% 33% -11.5
26.08.23 Nuneaton Town vs AFC Sudbury 0-1 40% 43% -5.5 25% 29% -14.4 35% 40% -13.4
26.08.23 Redditch United vs Kettering Town 2-0 45% 53% -14.7 24% 28% -12.9 30% 31% -2.5
26.08.23 Royston Town vs Coalville Town 2-0 29% 34% -15.8 23% 26% -13.5 49% 53% -7.5
26.08.23 St. Ives Town vs Leamington FC 0-1 37% 42% -11.5 26% 30% -15.3 37% 41% -8.3
26.08.23 Stratford Town vs Leiston FC 3-4 40% 45% -12.2 26% 30% -15.2 34% 37% -7.1
28.08.23 AFC Sudbury vs Berkhamsted FC 1-1 47% 49% -4.6 24% 29% -14.9 29% 34% -15.5
28.08.23 AFC Telford United vs Halesowen Town 0-0 47% 53% -11.2 25% 29% -15.2 28% 30% -8.2
28.08.23 Alvechurch FC vs Redditch United 4-4 36% 40% -9.3 26% 31% -15.5 37% 41% -8.6
28.08.23 Coalville Town vs Barwell FC 3-1 57% 62% -8.7 21% 24% -13.0 22% 25% -13.2
28.08.23 Hitchin Town vs Royston Town 1-2 49% 55% -10.0 24% 28% -13.9 27% 29% -9.4
28.08.23 Kettering Town vs St. Ives Town 1-1 40% 44% -9.9 25% 29% -13.6 35% 39% -10.1
28.08.23 Leamington FC vs Stratford Town 1-1 52% 58% -10.2 24% 28% -14.7 24% 27% -9.6
28.08.23 Leiston FC vs Needham Market 0-0 50% 54% -7.8 23% 27% -14.0 27% 31% -13.8
28.08.23 Stamford AFC vs Nuneaton Town 3-3 59% 66% -10.4 22% 25% -13.4 19% 21% -8.0
28.08.23 Stourbridge FC vs Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 58% 65% -10.1 22% 26% -13.8 20% 22% -8.5
09.09.23 Barwell FC vs Leamington FC 0-2 38% 42% -8.9 26% 31% -15.3 35% 39% -9.5
09.09.23 Bromsgrove Sporting vs Kettering Town 1-2 37% 42% -12.6 25% 29% -14.4 38% 41% -7.1
09.09.23 Halesowen Town vs Stamford AFC 2-0 41% 45% -9.9 26% 30% -15.3 33% 37% -9.9
09.09.23 Mickleover Sports vs Leiston FC 5-0 57% 61% -7.5 23% 27% -15.4 21% 24% -13.1
09.09.23 Needham Market vs Stourbridge FC 1-0 40% 44% -10.3 25% 29% -14.3 35% 38% -9.2
09.09.23 Royston Town vs Alvechurch FC 4-1 46% 51% -10.9 25% 29% -13.9 30% 32% -7.9
09.09.23 St. Ives Town vs AFC Telford United 2-3 33% 35% -5.8 25% 29% -13.7 42% 49% -13.3
09.09.23 Stratford Town vs AFC Sudbury 4-2 53% 58% -9.4 25% 29% -16.2 22% 24% -8.2
12.09.23 AFC Sudbury vs Royston Town 1-1 39% 43% -7.5 25% 29% -14.0 36% 42% -13.4
12.09.23 Alvechurch FC vs Barwell FC 4-4 38% 42% -10.5 25% 29% -14.0 38% 42% -10.8
12.09.23 Coalville Town vs Redditch United 2-0 52% 58% -10.0 22% 26% -13.1 26% 29% -12.7
12.09.23 Kettering Town vs Needham Market 1-1 42% 45% -8.3 24% 28% -13.3 34% 39% -12.7
12.09.23 Leiston FC vs St. Ives Town 1-1 47% 53% -10.3 24% 29% -14.4 28% 31% -9.3
12.09.23 Long Eaton United vs Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 26% 29% -8.5 22% 25% -11.3 52% 59% -12.2
12.09.23 Stamford AFC vs Stratford Town 2-4 44% 49% -9.3 24% 28% -12.9 32% 35% -9.9
12.09.23 Stourbridge FC vs Halesowen Town 3-4 46% 52% -11.9 26% 30% -15.6 29% 31% -6.5
23.09.23 AFC Telford United vs Needham Market 0-2 48% 51% -5.2 25% 29% -16.0 27% 32% -15.0
23.09.23 Berkhamsted FC vs Alvechurch FC 2-2 43% 48% -10.2 25% 29% -14.8 32% 36% -9.9
23.09.23 Halesowen Town vs Stratford Town 2-0 44% 50% -12.1 25% 29% -13.8 31% 34% -7.3
23.09.23 Hitchin Town vs Barwell FC 0-0 43% 48% -8.9 25% 29% -13.7 32% 36% -10.5
23.09.23 Leamington FC vs Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 58% 63% -9.0 22% 26% -14.8 20% 22% -10.2
23.09.23 Leiston FC vs Coalville Town 1-2 29% 31% -8.6 24% 28% -13.2 47% 53% -10.1
23.09.23 Long Eaton United vs Kettering Town 2-2 23% 26% -12.8 23% 27% -14.3 54% 59% -7.9
23.09.23 Mickleover Sports vs AFC Sudbury 5-0 68% 73% -7.5 19% 23% -16.7 14% 16% -15.2
23.09.23 Nuneaton Town vs Royston Town 1-0 42% 45% -8.6 25% 29% -13.5 34% 38% -10.6
23.09.23 St. Ives Town vs Redditch United 2-3 37% 39% -5.3 26% 30% -14.9 37% 43% -12.8
23.09.23 Stamford AFC vs Stourbridge FC 3-0 44% 48% -7.7 24% 28% -13.2 32% 36% -12.2
25.09.23 Barwell FC vs Mickleover Sports 1-2 28% 31% -9.9 24% 27% -12.9 49% 54% -9.8
25.09.23 Redditch United vs Long Eaton United 2-0 68% 74% -7.7 18% 21% -14.7 14% 16% -14.8
26.09.23 AFC Sudbury vs Leiston FC 1-1 38% 43% -9.6 25% 29% -13.9 37% 42% -11.4
26.09.23 Alvechurch FC vs Leamington FC 1-0 36% 41% -12.7 25% 29% -14.0 40% 43% -8.5
26.09.23 Bromsgrove Sporting vs Halesowen Town 3-1 30% 32% -8.5 24% 28% -13.5 46% 53% -11.8
26.09.23 Coalville Town vs Stamford AFC 1-2 54% 58% -8.4 22% 26% -13.2 24% 28% -13.0
26.09.23 Kettering Town vs Hitchin Town 0-4 41% 45% -9.3 25% 29% -15.0 34% 38% -12.1
26.09.23 Needham Market vs St. Ives Town 6-1 54% 59% -8.2 23% 26% -14.0 23% 27% -12.5
26.09.23 Royston Town vs Berkhamsted FC 2-2 54% 61% -12.0 22% 26% -12.7 24% 26% -7.9
26.09.23 Stourbridge FC vs AFC Telford United 2-2 43% 49% -11.9 24% 27% -11.8 33% 36% -7.0
30.09.23 AFC Sudbury vs Stamford AFC 1-2 33% 36% -9.2 24% 27% -12.3 43% 49% -11.3
30.09.23 Alvechurch FC vs Long Eaton United 2-1 63% 68% -8.3 20% 24% -14.3 17% 19% -11.8
30.09.23 Barwell FC vs Leiston FC 2-3 49% 54% -10.0 24% 28% -14.1 27% 31% -10.7
30.09.23 Royston Town vs Leamington FC 1-0 39% 44% -12.5 25% 29% -14.3 36% 38% -6.7
30.09.23 Stratford Town vs Nuneaton Town 0-3 44% 47% -5.3 24% 29% -14.5 32% 37% -14.8
14.10.23 AFC Telford United vs Stratford Town 2-1 50% 54% -7.3 23% 27% -13.6 27% 31% -14.0
14.10.23 Berkhamsted FC vs Redditch United 1-2 28% 31% -10.4 24% 28% -13.8 48% 53% -10.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 1222 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

22 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Real Bedford FC 1673.30
2 Kettering Town 1624.71
3 Bury Town 1574.69
4 Alvechurch FC 1567.21
5 Worcester City 1551.36
6 Peterborough Sports FC 1548.07
7 Bromsgrove Sporting 1539.93
8 Leiston FC 1533.43
9 Needham Market 1533.01
10 Anstey Nomads 1503.40
11 Stourbridge FC 1494.65
12 Leamington FC 1490.47
13 Leighton Town 1479.81
14 Redditch United 1479.56
15 Rushall Olympic FC 1470.62
16 Banbury United 1454.45
17 Halesowen Town 1454.17
18 Racing Club Warwick 1421.82
19 Stratford Town 1420.68
20 Hitchin Town 1413.39
21 Bishops Stortford 1383.51
22 Stamford AFC 1363.00

Away Ratings

22 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Real Bedford FC 1664.49
2 Bromsgrove Sporting 1582.98
3 Anstey Nomads 1535.23
4 Needham Market 1515.15
5 Bury Town 1497.17
6 Kettering Town 1491.91
7 Leiston FC 1461.55
8 Worcester City 1461.16
9 Leamington FC 1461.03
10 Halesowen Town 1458.95
11 Stourbridge FC 1456.15
12 Rushall Olympic FC 1442.25
13 Alvechurch FC 1441.43
14 Peterborough Sports FC 1440.83
15 Banbury United 1429.58
16 Stratford Town 1421.64
17 Redditch United 1409.63
18 Racing Club Warwick 1389.02
19 Bishops Stortford 1373.54
20 Leighton Town 1366.34
21 Hitchin Town 1346.31
22 Stamford AFC 1326.68