Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5

Countries 150

Status Live

Continent

Country

League

No cached league history dataset for this league yet.

Matches 226

Avg Goals 4.47

Avg Home 2.50

Avg Away 1.97

Home Win % 49.6%

Draw % 11.5%

Away Win % 38.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.

Home Team

Away Team

Margin %

Calculating…

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Rows Created0

Rows Ready0

Margin0.00%

Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Value edge threshold (relative %)

Flat stake (units)

Market weight (0–1)

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…

Matches Backtested 226

Avg Brier Score 0.5475

Pick Accuracy 58.8%

Source postgres

Raw Model Brier 0.5558

Market Brier 0.5469

Blended Model Beats Market? No

Market Weight 0.7

"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.

Value Bets Found 10

Value Bet Hit Rate 10.0%

ROI (flat stake) -45.0%

ROI Trustworthy? No

Before trusting this ROI:

The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
80.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.

Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 8 of 226 matches had at least one · staked 10.00, profit -4.50 units.

Side	Bets	Hit Rate	Staked	Profit	ROI
home	0	-	0.00	0.00	-
draw	2	0.0%	2.00	-2.00	-100.0%
away	8	12.5%	8.00	-2.50	-31.2%

Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.

Predicted Range	Predicted Avg	Actual Freq	Samples
0–10%	8.0%	16.7%	18
10–20%	16.6%	12.3%	154
20–30%	22.7%	17.5%	194
30–40%	35.2%	44.6%	92
40–50%	44.6%	46.5%	86
50–60%	54.2%	56.6%	53
60–70%	63.1%	82.4%	51
70–80%	75.1%	55.0%	20
80–90%	82.7%	55.6%	9
90–100%	90.4%	100.0%	1

Date	Match	Result	HOME (1)			DRAW (X)			AWAY (2)
Date	Match	Result	Model	Price	Edge	Model	Price	Edge	Model	Price	Edge
12.05.24	Jakobstads BK vs SJK Akatemia II	3-1	42%	52%	-19.3	22%	26%	-17.6	37%	34%	7.8
12.05.24	JS Hercules vs Jyväskylä PS	3-1	29%	30%	-3.8	22%	27%	-17.9	49%	55%	-11.0
12.05.24	Närpes Kraft vs GBK Kokkola	0-2	20%	20%	2.1	19%	23%	-15.7	60%	69%	-13.0
16.05.24	JS Hercules vs TP 47 Tornio	1-7	26%	30%	-12.9	23%	29%	-20.9	51%	54%	-5.6
18.05.24	Jyväskylä PS vs Jakobstads BK	0-1	32%	30%	6.8	22%	27%	-17.8	45%	55%	-17.4
18.05.24	OTP Oulu vs Närpes Kraft	0-1	57%	57%	-0.4	21%	28%	-23.0	22%	27%	-19.7
19.05.24	GBK Kokkola vs SJK Akatemia II	2-5	60%	72%	-16.8	18%	21%	-11.8	21%	18%	17.3
24.05.24	OPS Oulu vs JS Hercules	3-0	64%	71%	-10.0	18%	22%	-16.4	18%	18%	-3.6
25.05.24	Jakobstads BK vs OTP Oulu	3-0	64%	75%	-13.8	18%	21%	-13.6	18%	16%	10.4
25.05.24	SJK Akatemia II vs Kuopion Elo	1-1	50%	60%	-15.6	21%	25%	-16.1	29%	28%	3.6
25.05.24	TP 47 Tornio vs GBK Kokkola	3-7	29%	30%	-3.8	22%	27%	-17.9	49%	56%	-11.9
26.05.24	Närpes Kraft vs Jyväskylä PS	1-1	53%	56%	-5.5	22%	28%	-20.2	24%	28%	-11.9
29.05.24	TP 47 Tornio vs OTP Oulu	1-0	54%	61%	-11.5	21%	26%	-17.2	25%	26%	-1.9
02.06.24	Närpes Kraft vs TP 47 Tornio	2-2	36%	39%	-7.0	23%	29%	-19.2	40%	45%	-11.0
02.06.24	OTP Oulu vs SJK Akatemia II	1-5	24%	26%	-6.2	21%	25%	-17.5	55%	61%	-9.8
03.06.24	Kuopion Elo vs JS Hercules	1-2	84%	93%	-9.6	8%	9%	-2.4	7%	7%	5.2
08.06.24	JS Hercules vs OTP Oulu	1-2	32%	34%	-6.0	20%	23%	-14.3	48%	55%	-12.0
08.06.24	OPS Oulu vs Jakobstads BK	0-1	19%	20%	-5.8	19%	23%	-17.4	62%	68%	-8.7
08.06.24	TP 47 Tornio vs Jyväskylä PS	1-0	63%	68%	-8.7	18%	22%	-17.1	19%	21%	-8.6
09.06.24	GBK Kokkola vs Kuopion Elo	4-3	62%	71%	-12.9	18%	21%	-13.7	20%	20%	1.1
15.06.24	GBK Kokkola vs TP 47 Tornio	2-1	65%	72%	-10.3	17%	20%	-14.8	18%	19%	-5.5
15.06.24	Jyväskylä PS vs JS Hercules	3-1	63%	70%	-10.6	18%	21%	-15.1	19%	20%	-4.2
15.06.24	Kuopion Elo vs Närpes Kraft	4-1	60%	66%	-10.0	19%	23%	-16.4	21%	22%	-5.1
19.06.24	Jakobstads BK vs Kuopion Elo	4-1	53%	60%	-10.4	21%	26%	-17.1	25%	26%	-3.4
19.06.24	Jyväskylä PS vs SJK Akatemia II	0-2	31%	36%	-13.7	22%	28%	-19.9	47%	50%	-6.2
19.06.24	Närpes Kraft vs JS Hercules	3-1	68%	75%	-9.1	17%	20%	-16.7	15%	16%	-6.4
19.06.24	OTP Oulu vs GBK Kokkola	2-4	15%	14%	6.2	15%	17%	-11.3	70%	79%	-11.9
19.06.24	TP 47 Tornio vs OPS Oulu	5-0	63%	68%	-8.2	19%	23%	-17.7	18%	20%	-8.1
29.06.24	JS Hercules vs Jakobstads BK	2-2	11%	11%	-2.5	14%	17%	-16.1	75%	83%	-9.4
29.06.24	Närpes Kraft vs OPS Oulu	5-1	61%	66%	-8.4	19%	24%	-18.2	20%	22%	-8.5
30.06.24	GBK Kokkola vs Jyväskylä PS	2-1	77%	85%	-9.0	13%	15%	-14.4	10%	11%	-5.7
30.06.24	TP 47 Tornio vs SJK Akatemia II	2-1	42%	49%	-13.1	22%	27%	-17.9	36%	38%	-5.4
03.07.24	Jakobstads BK vs Närpes Kraft	2-4	66%	72%	-8.1	18%	22%	-18.0	16%	17%	-7.8
03.07.24	OPS Oulu vs GBK Kokkola	2-3	15%	15%	-4.9	16%	18%	-14.7	70%	78%	-9.9
04.07.24	OTP Oulu vs TP 47 Tornio	1-6	27%	26%	1.0	21%	26%	-16.9	52%	60%	-13.5
04.07.24	SJK Akatemia II vs JS Hercules	4-4	78%	85%	-8.5	12%	14%	-14.3	10%	11%	-8.3
06.07.24	Närpes Kraft vs Kuopion Elo	5-2	46%	52%	-11.9	21%	26%	-16.4	33%	34%	-4.5
07.07.24	JS Hercules vs GBK Kokkola	1-2	10%	11%	-1.8	12%	13%	-10.7	78%	86%	-9.8
07.07.24	OPS Oulu vs SJK Akatemia II	1-2	21%	22%	-5.5	18%	22%	-15.5	61%	68%	-10.9
07.07.24	TP 47 Tornio vs Jakobstads BK	2-2	42%	48%	-11.4	23%	28%	-17.9	35%	36%	-3.8
13.07.24	GBK Kokkola vs Närpes Kraft	3-2	73%	81%	-9.8	14%	17%	-13.0	13%	13%	-1.2
13.07.24	Kuopion Elo vs TP 47 Tornio	0-2	41%	45%	-9.6	22%	27%	-17.3	37%	40%	-7.9
13.07.24	SJK Akatemia II vs Jakobstads BK	1-2	41%	45%	-9.6	22%	26%	-17.3	37%	41%	-9.0
17.07.24	JS Hercules vs OPS Oulu	2-1	43%	47%	-8.4	22%	26%	-17.6	36%	40%	-10.7
21.07.24	SJK Akatemia II vs GBK Kokkola	0-2	27%	28%	-2.8	20%	23%	-14.5	53%	61%	-12.2
24.07.24	OTP Oulu vs Jakobstads BK	0-4	17%	17%	-4.5	17%	20%	-15.5	66%	74%	-10.2
25.07.24	TP 47 Tornio vs JS Hercules	3-2	78%	86%	-9.2	12%	13%	-10.7	10%	11%	-5.2
27.07.24	Jakobstads BK vs GBK Kokkola	2-1	28%	28%	-1.0	21%	26%	-16.6	51%	58%	-12.1
27.07.24	Jyväskylä PS vs Närpes Kraft	2-3	49%	56%	-12.0	21%	26%	-16.7	30%	31%	-3.4
28.07.24	Kuopion Elo vs SJK Akatemia II	4-3	41%	43%	-5.6	22%	26%	-17.4	37%	43%	-12.6
03.08.24	JS Hercules vs Kuopion Elo	2-1	31%	36%	-12.5	20%	24%	-16.7	48%	53%	-8.0
03.08.24	SJK Akatemia II vs OTP Oulu	3-2	77%	84%	-8.5	12%	14%	-13.7	11%	12%	-8.6
04.08.24	GBK Kokkola vs Jakobstads BK	1-2	56%	60%	-5.5	21%	26%	-19.8	23%	27%	-14.2
04.08.24	TP 47 Tornio vs Närpes Kraft	3-1	61%	68%	-10.7	19%	23%	-15.9	20%	20%	-1.4
10.08.24	Jakobstads BK vs OPS Oulu	0-1	82%	90%	-9.4	10%	11%	-9.6	8%	8%	0.2
10.08.24	Jyväskylä PS vs TP 47 Tornio	2-2	30%	34%	-12.0	22%	27%	-18.9	48%	51%	-6.9
10.08.24	Kuopion Elo vs GBK Kokkola	3-1	28%	31%	-8.9	21%	25%	-17.1	51%	56%	-9.3
10.08.24	Närpes Kraft vs SJK Akatemia II	4-2	38%	43%	-10.1	21%	26%	-16.3	40%	43%	-7.4
10.08.24	OTP Oulu vs JS Hercules	2-4	41%	44%	-8.1	22%	27%	-17.2	37%	41%	-9.1
24.08.24	GBK Kokkola vs TP 47 Tornio	7-1	53%	57%	-6.8	21%	26%	-19.6	26%	29%	-13.1
24.08.24	Jakobstads BK vs Kuopion Elo	2-1	61%	69%	-11.8	18%	22%	-15.4	20%	21%	-3.2
25.08.24	JS Hercules vs Jyväskylä PS	8-0	40%	45%	-12.7	22%	27%	-17.8	38%	41%	-5.9
25.08.24	Närpes Kraft vs SJK Akatemia II	1-2	39%	44%	-11.4	21%	26%	-16.8	39%	43%	-7.7
30.08.24	Närpes Kraft vs GBK Kokkola	1-6	23%	24%	-5.3	19%	22%	-14.8	59%	66%	-11.0
30.08.24	OTP Oulu vs JS Hercules	0-4	26%	25%	4.0	19%	22%	-13.1	55%	65%	-15.7
31.08.24	SJK Akatemia II vs Kuopion Elo	5-2	56%	63%	-11.8	19%	22%	-14.0	25%	27%	-5.7
31.08.24	TP 47 Tornio vs Jakobstads BK	5-1	41%	44%	-6.8	22%	27%	-17.3	37%	41%	-10.6
07.09.24	GBK Kokkola vs SJK Akatemia II	1-5	53%	56%	-5.6	19%	22%	-15.9	28%	33%	-16.1
07.09.24	Jakobstads BK vs Närpes Kraft	3-2	61%	67%	-9.4	18%	21%	-15.0	22%	24%	-9.7
07.09.24	JS Hercules vs OPS Oulu	4-2	62%	71%	-13.0	18%	20%	-11.8	21%	20%	3.2
07.09.24	Kuopion Elo vs TP 47 Tornio	3-5	35%	38%	-7.7	21%	25%	-16.4	44%	50%	-11.5
13.09.24	Kuopion Elo vs GBK Kokkola	1-1	34%	38%	-9.4	21%	24%	-15.7	45%	50%	-9.5
14.09.24	Jakobstads BK vs SJK Akatemia II	2-1	42%	44%	-4.4	21%	26%	-17.0	36%	42%	-14.1
14.09.24	Jyväskylä PS vs JS Hercules	1-8	45%	51%	-11.2	21%	24%	-15.4	35%	37%	-6.8
14.09.24	TP 47 Tornio vs Närpes Kraft	1-3	70%	79%	-10.6	16%	18%	-14.3	14%	14%	-1.5
22.09.24	GBK Kokkola vs Jakobstads BK	1-2	50%	53%	-5.9	21%	25%	-17.7	29%	34%	-14.2
22.09.24	Närpes Kraft vs Kuopion Elo	5-3	54%	65%	-16.1	18%	20%	-10.2	28%	27%	4.7
22.09.24	OPS Oulu vs JS Hercules	3-6	24%	25%	-3.3	18%	20%	-12.1	58%	67%	-13.2
22.09.24	SJK Akatemia II vs TP 47 Tornio	9-2	59%	68%	-13.7	18%	20%	-12.2	24%	24%	-2.7
28.09.24	JS Hercules vs OTP Oulu	1-2	84%	91%	-8.1	9%	11%	-13.2	7%	8%	-8.6
17.04.25	OsPa vs TP 47 Tornio	1-1	47%	50%	-6.8	22%	28%	-19.1	31%	35%	-11.3
19.04.25	SJK Akatemia II vs Närpes Kraft	2-1	63%	70%	-10.8	17%	20%	-13.8	20%	21%	-5.3
21.04.25	GBK Kokkola vs VPS Vaasa II	0-3	58%	58%	0.9	19%	24%	-22.8	23%	30%	-24.6
21.04.25	Kuopion Elo vs JS Hercules	1-3	40%	43%	-8.6	21%	24%	-15.5	40%	44%	-10.7
26.04.25	GBK Kokkola vs Närpes Kraft	1-1	60%	66%	-8.7	18%	22%	-17.1	21%	24%	-11.2
26.04.25	SJK Akatemia II vs TP 47 Tornio	7-1	60%	69%	-13.4	18%	21%	-13.3	22%	22%	0.3
27.04.25	Jakobstads BK vs OsPa	3-2	64%	72%	-10.8	19%	23%	-17.5	17%	17%	0.8
27.04.25	JS Hercules vs VIFK Vaasa	3-2	49%	55%	-9.9	21%	26%	-17.4	30%	32%	-8.4
27.04.25	VPS Vaasa II vs Kuopion Elo	9-0	83%	95%	-12.8	9%	8%	12.9	8%	4%	74.3
02.05.25	OsPa vs GBK Kokkola	6-1	35%	39%	-10.4	23%	28%	-18.5	42%	45%	-7.2
03.05.25	Närpes Kraft vs JS Hercules	2-3	47%	53%	-11.8	21%	25%	-16.1	32%	34%	-5.4
03.05.25	TP 47 Tornio vs Jakobstads BK	3-2	33%	34%	-4.0	22%	27%	-18.0	45%	52%	-12.6
04.05.25	Kuopion Elo vs SJK Akatemia II	3-6	13%	15%	-16.7	13%	16%	-17.3	74%	79%	-6.8
04.05.25	VPS Vaasa II vs VIFK Vaasa	3-3	73%	87%	-15.6	14%	14%	-1.3	13%	9%	42.7
11.05.25	GBK Kokkola vs SJK Akatemia II	2-3	35%	36%	-2.3	21%	25%	-16.2	44%	52%	-14.8
11.05.25	JS Hercules vs VPS Vaasa II	1-2	27%	29%	-5.1	20%	24%	-15.6	53%	60%	-11.3
11.05.25	VIFK Vaasa vs TP 47 Tornio	1-2	46%	55%	-15.9	21%	26%	-16.7	33%	32%	1.3
12.05.25	Jakobstads BK vs Närpes Kraft	4-1	62%	68%	-8.9	19%	22%	-16.7	19%	21%	-7.5
16.05.25	Jakobstads BK vs GBK Kokkola	0-1	53%	56%	-6.2	22%	27%	-19.5	25%	29%	-11.6
17.05.25	OsPa vs VPS Vaasa II	0-2	28%	27%	3.8	22%	26%	-17.4	51%	60%	-15.0

Showing the 100 most recent of 226 evaluated matches.

Filter teams

Home Ratings

10 teams

Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank	Team	Rating
1	Jakobstads BK	1642.70
2	Aanekosken Huima	1626.56
3	GBK Kokkola	1537.51
4	VPS Vaasa II	1497.75
5	Närpes Kraft	1410.85
6	SJK Akatemia II	1395.88
7	JS Hercules	1394.16
8	TP 47 Tornio	1387.22
9	FC Vaajakoski	1377.17
10	FF Jaro II	1222.09

Away Ratings

10 teams

Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank	Team	Rating
1	Aanekosken Huima	1579.51
2	Jakobstads BK	1528.04
3	GBK Kokkola	1506.14
4	SJK Akatemia II	1466.42
5	VPS Vaasa II	1445.32
6	FC Vaajakoski	1388.95
7	TP 47 Tornio	1362.38
8	Närpes Kraft	1260.67
9	JS Hercules	1259.04
10	FF Jaro II	1122.29