ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 503
Avg Goals 3.02
Avg Home 1.62
Avg Away 1.39
Home Win % 44.7%
Draw % 24.3%
Away Win % 31.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 503
Avg Brier Score 0.5897
Pick Accuracy 52.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5932
Market Brier 0.5891
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 4
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 4 of 503 matches had at least one · staked 4.00, profit -4.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.1% 0.0% 11
10–20% 16.5% 17.1% 158
20–30% 25.3% 22.5% 685
30–40% 35.1% 36.7% 245
40–50% 44.8% 46.4% 181
50–60% 54.6% 63.0% 146
60–70% 64.4% 66.7% 63
70–80% 74.7% 68.4% 19
80–90% 84.0% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
17.07.23 Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio 1-1 30% 32% -8.0 28% 31% -8.9 42% 43% -3.8
22.07.23 AC Oulu vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 3-1 45% 49% -6.9 27% 29% -6.9 28% 29% -4.8
22.07.23 HJK Helsinki vs Ilves Tampere 1-0 53% 57% -7.7 26% 29% -8.3 21% 21% 0.1
22.07.23 Inter Turku vs SJK Seinäjoki 1-2 33% 35% -5.5 28% 31% -8.6 39% 42% -7.7
23.07.23 FC Lahti vs IFK Mariehamn 0-2 37% 40% -7.5 28% 31% -8.6 35% 37% -5.7
23.07.23 VPS Vaasa vs FC Haka Valkeakoski 4-1 51% 54% -5.3 26% 29% -9.5 23% 25% -8.0
28.07.23 Ilves Tampere vs VPS Vaasa 0-2 34% 35% -1.9 29% 32% -9.7 36% 40% -8.9
29.07.23 SJK Seinäjoki vs HJK Helsinki 1-2 35% 37% -5.1 30% 34% -10.8 35% 36% -4.8
30.07.23 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs FC Lahti 1-1 48% 55% -12.1 26% 28% -5.8 26% 24% 4.7
30.07.23 FC Honka Espoo vs AC Oulu 4-1 48% 53% -8.4 27% 30% -9.6 24% 25% -2.4
30.07.23 IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku 0-2 32% 35% -7.8 28% 31% -8.7 40% 42% -5.7
30.07.23 KuPS Kuopio vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 2-0 62% 67% -8.0 22% 24% -6.5 16% 16% -0.2
04.08.23 Ilves Tampere vs FC Haka Valkeakoski 1-2 40% 42% -4.2 28% 31% -9.0 32% 34% -8.3
05.08.23 HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn 4-2 59% 65% -8.4 23% 25% -6.5 18% 17% 0.7
07.08.23 FC KooTeePee Kotka vs Inter Turku 1-4 31% 33% -8.4 27% 29% -6.6 43% 45% -5.9
07.08.23 FC Lahti vs FC Honka Espoo 1-0 24% 26% -10.1 27% 30% -9.8 49% 51% -3.0
09.08.23 VPS Vaasa vs SJK Seinäjoki 3-2 33% 34% -4.0 28% 30% -7.9 39% 43% -8.4
11.08.23 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs IFK Mariehamn 1-1 46% 51% -9.5 27% 29% -8.0 27% 28% -2.0
12.08.23 AC Oulu vs FC Lahti 1-1 47% 50% -6.5 27% 30% -9.3 26% 27% -4.7
13.08.23 FC Honka Espoo vs Inter Turku 1-0 45% 49% -8.5 28% 30% -8.8 28% 29% -3.0
13.08.23 Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio 0-3 31% 32% -5.2 29% 32% -9.4 40% 43% -5.5
15.08.23 SJK Seinäjoki vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 2-3 63% 68% -7.9 22% 23% -5.4 15% 15% 0.2
18.08.23 FC Lahti vs VPS Vaasa 0-2 24% 25% -5.3 28% 30% -8.9 49% 52% -6.0
18.08.23 IFK Mariehamn vs FC Honka Espoo 0-1 24% 26% -7.7 28% 31% -9.8 48% 51% -5.1
19.08.23 AC Oulu vs Ilves Tampere 0-3 38% 40% -6.1 29% 32% -9.7 33% 35% -5.1
20.08.23 Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki 1-3 34% 38% -10.6 27% 29% -7.1 38% 39% -2.4
20.08.23 KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinäjoki 3-0 42% 47% -10.0 29% 31% -8.7 30% 29% 0.8
25.08.23 VPS Vaasa vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 2-1 61% 66% -7.9 22% 24% -6.8 17% 17% -3.3
26.08.23 Inter Turku vs FC Lahti 2-1 51% 55% -6.5 26% 29% -8.9 23% 24% -5.1
26.08.23 SJK Seinäjoki vs IFK Mariehamn 3-2 61% 66% -8.1 23% 24% -7.1 16% 17% -1.2
27.08.23 AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki 1-3 24% 27% -9.2 27% 29% -8.7 49% 51% -4.5
27.08.23 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs KuPS Kuopio 2-2 25% 27% -7.2 26% 29% -7.7 49% 53% -7.1
27.08.23 FC Honka Espoo vs Ilves Tampere 2-0 49% 53% -7.2 27% 29% -9.1 24% 25% -4.4
30.08.23 FC Lahti vs Inter Turku 1-2 29% 31% -7.7 28% 31% -8.8 43% 45% -5.2
03.09.23 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs SJK Seinäjoki 1-0 33% 37% -11.2 27% 29% -7.4 40% 41% -2.3
03.09.23 FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere 3-2 32% 35% -8.8 30% 33% -10.7 38% 39% -2.6
03.09.23 HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio 2-2 41% 44% -7.8 29% 32% -9.6 30% 30% -1.5
03.09.23 IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Vaasa 1-2 29% 32% -9.3 28% 30% -8.3 43% 44% -3.4
03.09.23 Inter Turku vs AC Oulu 2-1 52% 56% -7.9 25% 27% -7.1 23% 24% -4.0
15.09.23 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs Ilves Tampere 2-2 35% 37% -6.4 28% 31% -8.8 37% 39% -6.0
15.09.23 FC Lahti vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 2-1 41% 45% -9.1 28% 30% -7.9 31% 31% -1.6
16.09.23 AC Oulu vs IFK Mariehamn 3-2 43% 48% -9.8 27% 29% -6.3 30% 31% -1.7
16.09.23 HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku 2-0 51% 56% -9.0 26% 28% -7.4 24% 24% -2.7
16.09.23 SJK Seinäjoki vs FC Honka Espoo 1-2 37% 41% -8.8 29% 31% -8.6 34% 35% -2.5
17.09.23 KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Vaasa 0-2 52% 57% -9.6 26% 28% -7.4 23% 23% -0.5
22.09.23 FC Honka Espoo vs VPS Vaasa 0-3 40% 43% -5.1 28% 31% -8.7 32% 34% -7.0
22.09.23 FC KooTeePee Kotka vs Ilves Tampere 0-3 31% 35% -9.9 27% 29% -7.7 41% 43% -4.6
22.09.23 FC Lahti vs AC Oulu 2-1 38% 43% -9.6 28% 30% -8.3 34% 35% -3.8
22.09.23 IFK Mariehamn vs FC Haka Valkeakoski 2-1 34% 37% -8.0 28% 31% -8.6 38% 40% -5.5
23.09.23 Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio 0-1 30% 33% -9.6 28% 30% -8.8 42% 44% -5.0
24.09.23 SJK Seinäjoki vs HJK Helsinki 2-3 32% 33% -4.5 27% 29% -7.0 41% 44% -8.2
27.09.23 HJK Helsinki vs FC Honka Espoo 3-0 55% 60% -8.6 25% 27% -7.6 20% 20% -0.2
27.09.23 Ilves Tampere vs IFK Mariehamn 2-1 49% 53% -7.7 26% 29% -8.0 25% 26% -4.0
29.09.23 AC Oulu vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 2-0 46% 52% -10.4 26% 27% -5.3 28% 29% -2.0
29.09.23 VPS Vaasa vs Inter Turku 1-1 50% 56% -9.4 25% 27% -5.7 24% 25% -2.0
01.10.23 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs FC Lahti 2-0 47% 50% -6.5 26% 29% -7.6 27% 29% -6.1
01.10.23 KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinäjoki 1-1 52% 57% -8.8 26% 28% -7.8 22% 23% -1.9
06.10.23 Ilves Tampere vs AC Oulu 3-2 43% 47% -7.0 27% 29% -8.4 30% 32% -7.7
07.10.23 Inter Turku vs SJK Seinäjoki 1-2 36% 40% -9.5 27% 29% -6.5 37% 39% -5.4
08.10.23 IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti 0-0 49% 55% -10.6 25% 27% -5.1 26% 26% -0.2
08.10.23 KuPS Kuopio vs FC Honka Espoo 3-1 50% 54% -8.1 26% 29% -7.7 24% 24% -1.8
08.10.23 VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki 3-2 35% 39% -11.2 28% 30% -8.8 38% 39% -4.3
21.10.23 AC Oulu vs FC Haka Valkeakoski 1-1 36% 38% -5.7 27% 29% -6.7 38% 42% -9.3
21.10.23 FC KooTeePee Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn 0-2 39% 43% -10.3 26% 28% -5.6 35% 36% -4.3
21.10.23 FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere 1-5 36% 41% -11.4 26% 28% -5.8 38% 39% -4.0
21.10.23 HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio 1-2 42% 47% -9.7 27% 29% -7.2 31% 31% -1.7
21.10.23 SJK Seinäjoki vs VPS Vaasa 0-2 36% 38% -7.0 26% 28% -5.8 38% 42% -8.6
25.10.23 FC Honka Espoo vs Inter Turku 0-0 43% 47% -7.3 28% 31% -9.2 28% 29% -3.1
25.10.23 IF Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn 0-0 36% 37% -3.6 29% 31% -8.5 36% 38% -7.2
25.10.23 SJK Seinäjoki vs AC Oulu 2-2 54% 58% -8.0 25% 27% -7.3 22% 23% -4.2
28.10.23 FC Honka Espoo vs AC Oulu 5-0 53% 58% -8.0 26% 28% -8.1 21% 22% -2.1
29.10.23 IFK Mariehamn vs IF Gnistan Helsinki 3-0 53% 59% -9.4 26% 28% -7.7 21% 21% 1.1
01.11.23 FC Honka Espoo vs VPS Vaasa 0-1 35% 38% -6.6 30% 33% -10.8 35% 37% -5.4
05.11.23 VPS Vaasa vs FC Honka Espoo 1-0 42% 44% -6.0 28% 31% -9.0 30% 31% -4.8
06.04.24 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs VPS Vaasa 1-2 39% 44% -11.9 29% 31% -8.5 32% 31% 3.2
06.04.24 IF Gnistan Helsinki vs Inter Turku 2-1 27% 29% -6.3 27% 29% -6.8 47% 50% -6.8
06.04.24 IFK Mariehamn vs EIF Ekenas 3-2 52% 56% -6.3 26% 29% -9.7 22% 24% -6.9
06.04.24 Ilves Tampere vs FC Lahti 0-0 58% 62% -6.6 24% 26% -8.5 18% 19% -4.0
06.04.24 KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki 3-1 31% 29% 6.9 28% 31% -9.0 40% 47% -13.7
06.04.24 SJK Seinäjoki vs AC Oulu 2-1 53% 54% -2.8 25% 28% -9.6 22% 25% -10.6
11.04.24 HJK Helsinki vs FC Lahti 4-0 64% 71% -10.2 21% 22% -2.9 15% 14% 6.5
12.04.24 Inter Turku vs AC Oulu 3-3 53% 56% -6.6 25% 27% -7.7 23% 24% -7.4
12.04.24 VPS Vaasa vs SJK Seinäjoki 1-1 37% 41% -8.7 28% 30% -8.0 35% 36% -4.1
13.04.24 IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio 2-2 26% 24% 6.5 27% 29% -7.1 47% 53% -12.7
13.04.24 Ilves Tampere vs IF Gnistan Helsinki 4-6 57% 59% -3.9 24% 27% -10.1 20% 22% -10.3
19.04.24 Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio 1-1 37% 38% -1.5 29% 32% -10.8 34% 38% -11.5
19.04.24 SJK Seinäjoki vs Ilves Tampere 1-0 35% 39% -9.7 27% 29% -7.4 37% 39% -4.8
20.04.24 FC Lahti vs FC Haka Valkeakoski 1-1 29% 35% -16.1 28% 31% -10.4 43% 42% 2.4
20.04.24 HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn 2-1 63% 71% -12.5 22% 22% -0.8 16% 14% 15.3
20.04.24 VPS Vaasa vs IF Gnistan Helsinki 3-2 48% 51% -5.1 26% 28% -8.0 27% 29% -9.9
21.04.24 EIF Ekenas vs AC Oulu 1-1 28% 26% 6.2 26% 28% -5.6 46% 53% -14.3
24.04.24 SJK Seinäjoki vs HJK Helsinki 3-3 26% 27% -3.8 26% 28% -5.6 48% 52% -7.8
26.04.24 Inter Turku vs EIF Ekenas 2-1 64% 68% -6.8 21% 23% -7.5 15% 15% -3.6
27.04.24 AC Oulu vs VPS Vaasa 1-2 31% 33% -7.5 27% 29% -7.2 42% 44% -5.8
27.04.24 FC Haka Valkeakoski vs HJK Helsinki 1-1 23% 26% -8.6 26% 29% -8.1 50% 53% -5.4
27.04.24 FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio 0-1 25% 25% -1.0 28% 30% -8.2 47% 52% -8.5
28.04.24 IF Gnistan Helsinki vs SJK Seinäjoki 0-1 34% 35% -2.5 26% 28% -5.4 40% 44% -10.6
28.04.24 IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere 0-1 23% 26% -12.1 25% 28% -8.4 51% 53% -3.8
03.05.24 VPS Vaasa vs FC Lahti 3-0 54% 61% -10.3 24% 26% -5.2 21% 21% 1.4
04.05.24 HJK Helsinki vs EIF Ekenas 0-0 80% 83% -3.7 14% 15% -11.9 7% 8% -11.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 503 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Inter Turku 2040.72
2 HJK Helsinki 2027.38
3 Ilves Tampere 1915.91
4 KuPS Kuopio 1904.52
5 FC Lahti 1881.80
6 FF Jaro Jakobstad 1860.51
7 IF Gnistan Helsinki 1852.89
8 SJK Seinäjoki 1846.91
9 VPS Vaasa 1815.69
10 AC Oulu 1810.16
11 TPS Turku 1792.03
12 IFK Mariehamn 1718.00

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 HJK Helsinki 2046.09
2 Inter Turku 2023.53
3 KuPS Kuopio 1939.61
4 FC Lahti 1837.09
5 VPS Vaasa 1827.78
6 SJK Seinäjoki 1812.06
7 Ilves Tampere 1809.24
8 FF Jaro Jakobstad 1771.63
9 IF Gnistan Helsinki 1770.24
10 AC Oulu 1739.11
11 TPS Turku 1720.54
12 IFK Mariehamn 1715.11