ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 336
Avg Goals 3.06
Avg Home 1.62
Avg Away 1.44
Home Win % 42.0%
Draw % 25.3%
Away Win % 32.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 336
Avg Brier Score 0.5874
Pick Accuracy 54.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5892
Market Brier 0.5873
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'draw' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 336 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.9% 20.0% 5
10–20% 16.6% 11.3% 133
20–30% 25.2% 24.8% 432
30–40% 34.7% 36.4% 154
40–50% 44.6% 44.2% 120
50–60% 54.8% 59.6% 94
60–70% 63.9% 66.1% 56
70–80% 73.6% 78.6% 14
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
21.07.23 SalPa Salo vs KäPa Helsinki 2-0 51% 61% -15.4 26% 27% -5.1 23% 24% -3.1
22.07.23 FF Jaro Jakobstad vs MP Mikkeli 0-2 33% 38% -14.2 29% 31% -8.5 38% 43% -9.7
22.07.23 Järvenpään PS vs KPV Kokkola 0-3 49% 58% -15.7 26% 28% -6.0 25% 27% -5.7
23.07.23 FC Kerho 07 vs EIF Ekenas 0-4 36% 42% -14.0 28% 29% -6.5 37% 41% -10.2
29.07.23 EIF Ekenas vs SalPa Salo 1-0 51% 60% -14.1 26% 29% -7.6 22% 24% -5.6
29.07.23 Järvenpään PS vs HIFK Soccer Helsinki 2-3 36% 43% -16.6 28% 31% -8.3 36% 38% -7.7
30.07.23 MP Mikkeli vs IF Gnistan Helsinki 0-0 39% 45% -15.1 28% 30% -7.9 34% 37% -9.5
31.07.23 KäPa Helsinki vs JJK Jyväskylä 4-0 42% 49% -14.3 26% 28% -4.8 32% 35% -9.5
31.07.23 TPS Turku vs FC Kerho 07 4-1 59% 71% -17.1 22% 22% 0.9 19% 18% 3.3
04.08.23 HIFK Soccer Helsinki vs KäPa Helsinki 1-0 51% 60% -14.6 25% 26% -5.2 24% 26% -8.0
05.08.23 FC Kerho 07 vs MP Mikkeli 2-0 32% 38% -15.7 27% 29% -5.7 41% 45% -9.3
06.08.23 FF Jaro Jakobstad vs Järvenpään PS 1-1 41% 48% -14.8 27% 29% -6.8 32% 35% -8.8
11.08.23 Järvenpään PS vs IF Gnistan Helsinki 1-2 29% 33% -13.3 27% 29% -6.5 44% 51% -13.5
12.08.23 EIF Ekenas vs KäPa Helsinki 2-1 61% 71% -13.9 22% 22% -2.4 17% 18% -5.2
12.08.23 KPV Kokkola vs FC Kerho 07 1-1 34% 40% -14.6 28% 29% -6.5 38% 43% -9.9
13.08.23 MP Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo 0-0 54% 62% -13.5 26% 28% -7.9 21% 22% -6.8
18.08.23 HIFK Soccer Helsinki vs EIF Ekenas 0-2 29% 33% -13.1 28% 31% -8.6 43% 49% -12.1
18.08.23 JJK Jyväskylä vs MP Mikkeli 0-1 24% 28% -14.3 26% 29% -7.3 50% 56% -11.5
19.08.23 FC Kerho 07 vs Järvenpään PS 2-0 38% 44% -14.0 26% 28% -4.9 35% 40% -11.6
19.08.23 KäPa Helsinki vs TPS Turku 2-0 21% 26% -16.3 24% 26% -5.2 54% 61% -11.6
22.08.23 JJK Jyväskylä vs EIF Ekenas 0-2 20% 22% -11.5 24% 26% -4.6 56% 65% -13.4
26.08.23 KäPa Helsinki vs KPV Kokkola 1-1 41% 48% -14.9 27% 29% -6.6 32% 35% -8.2
27.08.23 EIF Ekenas vs MP Mikkeli 2-1 53% 62% -15.7 26% 27% -5.5 22% 22% -2.1
27.08.23 FC Kerho 07 vs IF Gnistan Helsinki 0-1 32% 38% -15.2 27% 29% -6.2 41% 47% -11.4
29.08.23 JJK Jyväskylä vs Järvenpään PS 1-2 33% 39% -15.0 27% 29% -6.6 39% 43% -9.9
02.09.23 HIFK Soccer Helsinki vs FC Kerho 07 1-2 43% 52% -16.3 27% 29% -7.1 29% 31% -6.3
02.09.23 Järvenpään PS vs KäPa Helsinki 4-4 46% 54% -15.0 25% 26% -4.2 29% 32% -10.6
02.09.23 KPV Kokkola vs EIF Ekenas 2-3 28% 34% -17.4 28% 31% -9.0 44% 48% -7.6
02.09.23 MP Mikkeli vs TPS Turku 0-1 30% 36% -16.1 28% 31% -8.3 42% 45% -8.0
16.09.23 Järvenpään PS vs KäPa Helsinki 2-1 45% 53% -13.9 26% 27% -4.0 29% 32% -9.8
16.09.23 MP Mikkeli vs FC Kerho 07 2-2 51% 61% -16.4 26% 27% -4.3 24% 24% -2.4
17.09.23 EIF Ekenas vs HIFK Soccer Helsinki 2-0 64% 76% -16.1 21% 21% 1.0 15% 13% 9.9
22.09.23 FC Kerho 07 vs TPS Turku 2-2 22% 26% -14.5 24% 24% -2.5 54% 62% -12.1
23.09.23 JJK Jyväskylä vs Järvenpään PS 1-0 28% 32% -14.5 26% 27% -4.7 47% 53% -12.3
23.09.23 KPV Kokkola vs KäPa Helsinki 2-0 42% 49% -14.6 27% 29% -6.0 31% 35% -9.6
23.09.23 MP Mikkeli vs EIF Ekenas 0-2 29% 34% -16.5 28% 31% -9.0 43% 48% -9.3
27.09.23 EIF Ekenas vs FC Kerho 07 1-0 68% 79% -14.4 19% 18% 3.5 13% 13% 2.8
27.09.23 IF Gnistan Helsinki vs MP Mikkeli 1-1 53% 61% -12.5 25% 27% -6.5 22% 24% -9.6
27.09.23 Järvenpään PS vs FF Jaro Jakobstad 0-0 36% 41% -12.6 27% 29% -5.6 37% 43% -12.2
27.09.23 KäPa Helsinki vs JJK Jyväskylä 1-0 53% 63% -16.0 24% 24% -1.0 23% 24% -4.8
01.10.23 IF Gnistan Helsinki vs FC Kerho 07 3-2 65% 75% -12.8 20% 20% -0.7 15% 16% -5.7
01.10.23 Järvenpään PS vs KPV Kokkola 5-1 55% 66% -15.8 24% 25% -3.6 21% 21% -2.6
01.10.23 KäPa Helsinki vs SalPa Salo 1-1 42% 50% -16.7 26% 28% -4.9 32% 34% -7.4
02.10.23 HIFK Soccer Helsinki vs MP Mikkeli 3-2 32% 38% -14.8 28% 30% -7.8 40% 44% -10.2
02.10.23 TPS Turku vs EIF Ekenas 1-3 34% 39% -14.2 27% 29% -7.1 39% 44% -12.2
07.10.23 EIF Ekenas vs IF Gnistan Helsinki 3-3 41% 48% -13.2 27% 29% -6.5 32% 36% -12.2
07.10.23 FC Kerho 07 vs HIFK Soccer Helsinki 3-2 48% 58% -17.1 25% 26% -2.9 27% 29% -5.8
07.10.23 FF Jaro Jakobstad vs KäPa Helsinki 1-4 64% 76% -15.6 20% 19% 4.5 16% 16% 1.1
07.10.23 MP Mikkeli vs TPS Turku 2-1 31% 37% -16.2 27% 29% -6.5 42% 48% -11.2
07.10.23 SalPa Salo vs Järvenpään PS 1-2 45% 55% -18.6 26% 26% -3.1 30% 31% -4.0
14.10.23 MP Mikkeli vs FC Kerho 07 1-4 47% 56% -15.5 26% 28% -5.5 27% 29% -6.2
21.10.23 IF Gnistan Helsinki vs FC Kerho 07 2-2 58% 66% -12.3 23% 25% -6.6 19% 21% -10.1
13.04.24 Klubi 04 Helsinki vs FC Jazz Pori 4-1 49% 58% -15.5 25% 26% -4.0 26% 28% -6.8
21.04.24 KuPS Kuopio II vs Klubi 04 Helsinki 0-2 15% 17% -12.8 21% 22% -2.2 64% 73% -12.0
28.04.24 Klubi 04 Helsinki vs OLS Oulu 0-0 52% 62% -15.6 25% 26% -4.1 23% 24% -5.7
05.05.24 MP Mikkeli vs PK-35 Helsinki 0-0 30% 32% -7.6 29% 31% -6.1 41% 46% -9.9
12.05.24 Järvenpään PS vs Jippo Joensuu 1-5 31% 33% -6.2 29% 32% -7.2 39% 44% -10.9
12.05.24 KäPa Helsinki vs MP Mikkeli 4-0 38% 44% -13.4 28% 30% -5.3 34% 35% -4.3
12.05.24 PK-35 Helsinki vs FC Kerho 07 1-1 46% 44% 3.3 25% 28% -9.6 29% 37% -21.7
13.05.24 FC KooTeePee Kotka vs FF Jaro Jakobstad 1-0 47% 53% -11.5 27% 29% -5.0 26% 28% -5.4
18.05.24 Jippo Joensuu vs KäPa Helsinki 2-0 55% 62% -10.5 25% 26% -4.9 20% 21% -4.4
18.05.24 TPS Turku vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 1-4 38% 44% -13.8 28% 30% -5.3 33% 35% -4.0
19.05.24 FC Kerho 07 vs SalPa Salo 2-0 46% 53% -14.7 27% 27% -2.6 28% 28% -0.2
19.05.24 FF Jaro Jakobstad vs PK-35 Helsinki 2-1 57% 65% -11.4 25% 27% -6.2 18% 18% -1.9
19.05.24 MP Mikkeli vs Järvenpään PS 0-3 38% 44% -12.6 28% 29% -4.6 33% 35% -4.7
22.05.24 Järvenpään PS vs TPS Turku 2-1 22% 23% -7.0 25% 25% -0.6 54% 61% -11.7
23.05.24 Jippo Joensuu vs PK-35 Helsinki 1-0 55% 62% -11.9 27% 29% -7.7 18% 18% 1.9
23.05.24 KäPa Helsinki vs FC Kerho 07 1-1 31% 35% -11.6 28% 29% -5.1 41% 45% -8.4
23.05.24 MP Mikkeli vs FF Jaro Jakobstad 1-4 15% 18% -15.4 25% 27% -8.9 60% 65% -6.6
26.05.24 FF Jaro Jakobstad vs Järvenpään PS 0-0 65% 72% -10.3 21% 21% -2.3 14% 15% -4.8
27.05.24 FC KooTeePee Kotka vs KäPa Helsinki 2-1 72% 85% -15.2 17% 17% 2.1 11% 11% 0.1
27.05.24 PK-35 Helsinki vs SalPa Salo 1-1 40% 47% -15.6 27% 29% -6.8 33% 36% -8.3
28.05.24 FC Kerho 07 vs MP Mikkeli 0-0 61% 72% -16.1 22% 22% -0.5 17% 17% 2.4
31.05.24 KäPa Helsinki vs PK-35 Helsinki 0-1 35% 41% -14.7 27% 29% -6.8 38% 42% -10.8
02.06.24 Jippo Joensuu vs SalPa Salo 1-1 51% 60% -15.6 28% 30% -9.1 22% 22% -1.4
02.06.24 Järvenpään PS vs FC Kerho 07 1-1 29% 31% -6.0 27% 27% -2.3 44% 50% -12.3
02.06.24 MP Mikkeli vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 1-2 14% 17% -14.0 22% 23% -5.0 64% 72% -12.1
08.06.24 SalPa Salo vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 2-2 24% 28% -13.9 26% 27% -5.1 50% 57% -11.3
08.06.24 TPS Turku vs Jippo Joensuu 2-0 45% 51% -12.2 30% 33% -11.0 25% 27% -6.3
11.06.24 PK-35 Helsinki vs Järvenpään PS 4-1 56% 67% -16.1 24% 24% -3.2 20% 21% -3.6
12.06.24 FC KooTeePee Kotka vs Jippo Joensuu 2-1 52% 61% -14.8 27% 30% -9.4 21% 22% -4.0
12.06.24 FF Jaro Jakobstad vs FC Kerho 07 1-1 57% 67% -14.2 24% 25% -5.7 19% 20% -5.4
12.06.24 MP Mikkeli vs TPS Turku 0-3 15% 17% -11.7 24% 26% -6.8 61% 69% -11.9
12.06.24 SalPa Salo vs KäPa Helsinki 1-1 48% 56% -14.8 26% 28% -6.7 26% 28% -8.2
19.06.24 Jippo Joensuu vs MP Mikkeli 0-0 65% 74% -12.1 22% 23% -4.0 13% 12% 4.4
19.06.24 KäPa Helsinki vs FF Jaro Jakobstad 0-3 21% 25% -16.4 25% 27% -6.0 54% 59% -8.1
19.06.24 SalPa Salo vs Järvenpään PS 1-3 57% 67% -14.6 23% 24% -1.7 20% 20% -1.6
19.06.24 TPS Turku vs PK-35 Helsinki 2-2 60% 69% -13.2 23% 23% -1.1 17% 17% 2.8
20.06.24 FC Kerho 07 vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 0-3 30% 34% -12.0 26% 27% -3.6 44% 50% -12.8
28.06.24 Järvenpään PS vs KäPa Helsinki 2-2 42% 51% -17.6 26% 26% -2.6 32% 34% -5.2
29.06.24 FC KooTeePee Kotka vs PK-35 Helsinki 1-0 59% 70% -15.9 23% 23% -2.6 19% 19% -2.8
29.06.24 FF Jaro Jakobstad vs Jippo Joensuu 1-0 48% 55% -12.9 29% 33% -10.2 23% 23% -1.4
29.06.24 TPS Turku vs FC Kerho 07 1-0 55% 61% -9.5 24% 27% -8.3 21% 24% -13.2
30.06.24 MP Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo 0-1 22% 25% -11.6 27% 29% -6.5 51% 57% -10.9
05.07.24 Järvenpään PS vs FC KooTeePee Kotka 0-0 17% 19% -10.5 21% 20% 2.8 62% 72% -14.5
06.07.24 FC Kerho 07 vs Jippo Joensuu 1-2 34% 39% -14.0 30% 33% -10.4 36% 40% -9.0
06.07.24 KäPa Helsinki vs TPS Turku 0-0 19% 22% -13.6 25% 26% -5.7 56% 62% -10.4
06.07.24 PK-35 Helsinki vs MP Mikkeli 1-2 62% 74% -15.8 22% 22% 0.4 16% 15% 6.7
10.07.24 Jippo Joensuu vs Järvenpään PS 3-2 61% 71% -14.9 23% 24% -5.2 17% 17% -4.2
11.07.24 MP Mikkeli vs KäPa Helsinki 2-6 34% 41% -15.6 28% 31% -8.1 37% 41% -8.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 336 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Haka Valkeakoski 1829.82
2 FC KooTeePee Kotka 1818.05
3 Klubi 04 Helsinki 1769.50
4 Jippo Joensuu 1765.00
5 PK-35 Helsinki 1718.00
6 MP Mikkeli 1677.16
7 EIF Ekenas 1644.38
8 Järvenpään PS 1607.59
9 FC Kerho 07 1584.95
10 KäPa Helsinki 1580.56

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 FC Haka Valkeakoski 1860.91
2 FC KooTeePee Kotka 1858.65
3 Jippo Joensuu 1767.95
4 Klubi 04 Helsinki 1767.02
5 PK-35 Helsinki 1698.09
6 KäPa Helsinki 1685.66
7 EIF Ekenas 1670.81
8 MP Mikkeli 1628.21
9 Järvenpään PS 1576.62
10 FC Kerho 07 1466.58