ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 526
Avg Goals 1.88
Avg Home 0.98
Avg Away 0.90
Home Win % 34.4%
Draw % 34.6%
Away Win % 31.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 526
Avg Brier Score 0.6528
Pick Accuracy 39.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6558
Market Brier 0.6532
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 19
Value Bet Hit Rate 15.8%
ROI (flat stake) 19.7%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 84.2% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 19 of 526 matches had at least one · staked 19.00, profit 3.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 3 33.3% 3.00 5.75 191.7%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 16 12.5% 16.00 -2.00 -12.5%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 16.9% 25.0% 28
20–30% 26.7% 23.3% 344
30–40% 33.6% 34.6% 1002
40–50% 43.4% 43.8% 169
50–60% 53.8% 46.9% 32
60–70% 62.3% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
10.11.23 Bombada FC vs Falcons FC 0-1 24% 24% -0.6 31% 34% -7.7 44% 54% -17.8
10.11.23 Marimoo FC vs TMT 1-2 42% 50% -16.7 33% 36% -9.8 26% 26% -0.5
11.11.23 Armed Forces FC vs Greater Tomorrow FC 1-2 44% 54% -17.8 32% 35% -9.0 24% 23% 2.3
11.11.23 Real Banjul vs Fortune FC 2-0 46% 55% -17.1 33% 36% -10.4 22% 21% 3.9
11.11.23 Team Rhino FC vs Steve Biko FC 2-0 40% 48% -15.0 33% 37% -10.7 26% 28% -4.8
12.11.23 Banjul United vs Samger FC 0-1 35% 41% -13.1 33% 36% -9.8 32% 35% -9.6
12.11.23 Brikama United FC vs Waa Banjul FC 1-1 41% 48% -14.8 33% 36% -10.3 27% 29% -6.1
12.11.23 BST Galaxy vs Wallidan FC 0-0 32% 37% -12.5 33% 37% -10.8 35% 39% -11.9
17.11.23 Fortune FC vs Bombada FC 3-1 48% 59% -18.0 31% 33% -7.9 21% 20% 5.2
17.11.23 Waa Banjul FC vs BST Galaxy 1-1 33% 37% -10.4 33% 37% -10.0 34% 38% -11.2
18.11.23 Falcons FC vs Banjul United 1-3 42% 49% -13.9 32% 35% -9.1 26% 28% -6.2
18.11.23 Steve Biko FC vs Armed Forces FC 1-4 34% 40% -13.8 32% 36% -9.1 33% 36% -9.2
18.11.23 TMT vs Team Rhino FC 0-0 29% 32% -10.0 32% 34% -8.7 39% 47% -15.1
19.11.23 Greater Tomorrow FC vs Real Banjul 0-1 27% 29% -9.6 32% 34% -8.4 42% 49% -14.2
19.11.23 Samger FC vs Brikama United FC 1-2 35% 41% -13.2 32% 35% -8.8 33% 36% -10.5
24.11.23 Banjul United vs Fortune FC 0-0 35% 41% -14.1 32% 35% -8.7 33% 36% -9.6
24.11.23 Bombada FC vs Greater Tomorrow FC 2-1 35% 41% -14.2 32% 35% -8.3 33% 36% -9.2
24.11.23 Real Banjul vs Steve Biko FC 1-0 50% 61% -17.6 30% 32% -7.1 20% 19% 5.7
25.11.23 Armed Forces FC vs TMT 0-0 43% 51% -15.8 32% 35% -8.8 26% 27% -3.6
25.11.23 Team Rhino FC vs Wallidan FC 1-0 39% 47% -15.6 32% 34% -8.3 29% 31% -6.8
26.11.23 BST Galaxy vs Brikama United FC 2-0 27% 28% -4.2 32% 36% -9.2 41% 49% -16.1
26.11.23 Falcons FC vs Samger FC 2-1 45% 53% -16.0 31% 34% -9.3 24% 25% -4.0
01.12.23 Greater Tomorrow FC vs Banjul United 0-0 30% 32% -8.3 34% 38% -11.3 36% 42% -12.9
01.12.23 Steve Biko FC vs Bombada FC 2-1 38% 44% -13.8 33% 36% -9.9 29% 31% -7.4
01.12.23 TMT vs Real Banjul 0-2 21% 21% 1.1 30% 31% -4.6 49% 59% -16.9
02.12.23 Brikama United FC vs Marimoo FC 0-3 37% 43% -13.8 33% 36% -9.8 30% 32% -7.9
03.12.23 Fortune FC vs Falcons FC 3-2 33% 37% -11.1 34% 38% -10.5 33% 37% -10.1
03.12.23 Samger FC vs BST Galaxy 1-0 33% 36% -9.6 34% 38% -11.0 34% 38% -12.7
03.12.23 Waa Banjul FC vs Team Rhino FC 0-1 26% 27% -4.5 33% 37% -9.8 41% 48% -14.3
08.12.23 Falcons FC vs Greater Tomorrow FC 3-0 40% 47% -13.3 32% 35% -9.4 28% 31% -9.4
08.12.23 Fortune FC vs Samger FC 1-0 37% 42% -13.0 32% 36% -9.7 31% 35% -10.9
08.12.23 Marimoo FC vs BST Galaxy 2-1 43% 51% -15.6 31% 33% -7.8 27% 29% -6.7
09.12.23 Real Banjul vs Wallidan FC 3-1 53% 65% -18.4 29% 31% -6.3 18% 16% 12.7
09.12.23 Team Rhino FC vs Brikama United FC 0-0 36% 41% -12.7 33% 37% -10.8 31% 35% -10.8
10.12.23 Banjul United vs Steve Biko FC 0-2 43% 51% -15.6 32% 35% -9.0 25% 26% -3.3
10.12.23 Bombada FC vs TMT 2-0 31% 34% -9.0 33% 37% -10.4 36% 42% -13.7
15.12.23 Greater Tomorrow FC vs Fortune FC 1-1 21% 19% 8.1 28% 29% -2.0 51% 65% -20.3
15.12.23 Samger FC vs Marimoo FC 0-1 35% 41% -13.2 32% 35% -8.4 33% 36% -10.2
15.12.23 Steve Biko FC vs Falcons FC 2-1 29% 32% -9.3 31% 34% -7.8 40% 47% -15.1
15.12.23 Wallidan FC vs Bombada FC 0-0 36% 41% -12.1 32% 35% -8.9 32% 36% -11.5
16.12.23 Brikama United FC vs Armed Forces FC 2-0 35% 39% -11.7 31% 34% -8.7 34% 39% -13.6
16.12.23 Waa Banjul FC vs Real Banjul 1-0 19% 17% 6.7 29% 30% -4.3 52% 65% -18.7
17.12.23 BST Galaxy vs Team Rhino FC 1-0 27% 28% -4.5 34% 38% -11.5 39% 47% -15.3
17.12.23 TMT vs Banjul United 1-2 33% 37% -11.6 34% 38% -11.4 33% 37% -10.4
22.12.23 Falcons FC vs TMT 0-0 43% 51% -15.4 31% 33% -7.9 27% 29% -7.0
22.12.23 Fortune FC vs Steve Biko FC 0-0 38% 44% -13.7 32% 36% -10.3 30% 33% -11.2
22.12.23 Team Rhino FC vs Marimoo FC 1-0 32% 35% -9.6 33% 36% -9.8 35% 41% -13.1
23.12.23 Armed Forces FC vs BST Galaxy 0-1 35% 39% -10.5 33% 37% -11.2 32% 37% -13.6
24.12.23 Bombada FC vs Waa Banjul FC 1-1 33% 36% -8.5 34% 38% -11.2 33% 38% -12.1
24.12.23 Real Banjul vs Brikama United FC 2-0 63% 79% -19.7 25% 25% 0.6 12% 7% 63.0
05.01.24 Falcons FC vs Waa Banjul FC 3-1 35% 39% -9.6 33% 36% -10.4 32% 37% -13.7
05.01.24 Greater Tomorrow FC vs TMT 2-1 33% 36% -9.8 33% 37% -10.1 34% 38% -11.9
05.01.24 Steve Biko FC vs Samger FC 1-0 34% 39% -12.3 33% 36% -10.0 33% 37% -11.3
06.01.24 Bombada FC vs BST Galaxy 0-1 32% 34% -8.6 32% 36% -9.6 36% 43% -14.9
06.01.24 Real Banjul vs Marimoo FC 2-0 41% 48% -14.0 33% 38% -11.4 26% 27% -5.2
07.01.24 Banjul United vs Brikama United FC 1-1 35% 40% -12.6 33% 37% -10.1 32% 35% -8.9
07.01.24 Fortune FC vs Wallidan FC 2-0 44% 52% -15.5 32% 36% -10.1 24% 25% -3.6
08.01.24 Armed Forces FC vs Team Rhino FC 1-1 24% 23% 4.8 31% 34% -7.6 45% 56% -19.2
12.01.24 BST Galaxy vs Banjul United 1-0 39% 45% -14.7 34% 38% -11.6 27% 29% -4.7
12.01.24 Marimoo FC vs Bombada FC 0-2 45% 53% -15.0 32% 36% -10.6 23% 24% -4.0
12.01.24 TMT vs Steve Biko FC 2-1 27% 29% -5.2 33% 36% -8.9 40% 48% -15.1
13.01.24 Brikama United FC vs Falcons FC 0-1 35% 39% -11.7 32% 36% -9.1 33% 37% -11.1
13.01.24 Team Rhino FC vs Real Banjul 1-0 31% 36% -12.0 32% 36% -9.6 36% 42% -12.9
13.01.24 Waa Banjul FC vs Fortune FC 0-2 30% 33% -9.0 33% 36% -10.2 37% 43% -14.9
14.01.24 Samger FC vs Armed Forces FC 1-2 43% 51% -15.4 32% 35% -9.3 25% 27% -4.6
14.01.24 Wallidan FC vs Greater Tomorrow FC 1-3 33% 37% -11.2 33% 36% -10.4 35% 40% -13.7
19.01.24 Greater Tomorrow FC vs Waa Banjul FC 2-0 37% 43% -13.5 33% 36% -10.2 31% 34% -9.9
19.01.24 Steve Biko FC vs Wallidan FC 2-0 43% 51% -15.3 33% 36% -10.0 25% 25% -1.9
19.01.24 TMT vs Samger FC 1-0 31% 35% -11.2 34% 38% -11.0 35% 38% -9.9
20.01.24 Falcons FC vs BST Galaxy 2-0 35% 38% -10.0 33% 37% -10.2 32% 36% -11.6
20.01.24 Fortune FC vs Brikama United FC 2-1 46% 56% -18.0 31% 34% -8.1 23% 23% 2.4
20.01.24 Real Banjul vs Armed Forces FC 0-0 57% 70% -19.0 26% 26% -0.9 17% 15% 13.9
21.01.24 Bombada FC vs Team Rhino FC 1-1 28% 31% -7.5 34% 38% -10.5 38% 43% -13.1
26.01.24 Armed Forces FC vs Bombada FC 4-1 37% 43% -13.4 32% 36% -9.3 31% 34% -9.2
26.01.24 Marimoo FC vs Falcons FC 0-0 33% 36% -8.4 33% 37% -10.7 34% 40% -14.4
26.01.24 Team Rhino FC vs Banjul United 0-1 45% 55% -18.0 31% 34% -8.5 24% 24% -1.0
27.01.24 Brikama United FC vs Greater Tomorrow FC 1-3 34% 39% -12.4 31% 34% -7.8 34% 39% -12.3
27.01.24 BST Galaxy vs Fortune FC 0-2 38% 44% -15.4 31% 34% -7.7 31% 34% -8.2
27.01.24 Waa Banjul FC vs Steve Biko FC 0-3 33% 38% -13.0 33% 36% -10.3 34% 38% -11.8
28.01.24 Samger FC vs Real Banjul 0-1 24% 26% -5.7 31% 34% -7.7 45% 53% -15.4
28.01.24 Wallidan FC vs TMT 0-1 30% 33% -9.6 31% 34% -8.7 38% 45% -15.5
02.02.24 Bombada FC vs Real Banjul 1-1 28% 32% -12.1 30% 32% -6.1 41% 48% -13.1
02.02.24 Falcons FC vs Team Rhino FC 0-1 38% 44% -14.1 31% 33% -7.6 31% 35% -10.9
02.02.24 TMT vs Waa Banjul FC 1-0 39% 47% -15.6 30% 32% -6.6 31% 34% -9.6
03.02.24 Greater Tomorrow FC vs BST Galaxy 1-0 38% 44% -15.0 31% 34% -9.0 31% 34% -10.6
03.02.24 Steve Biko FC vs Brikama United FC 1-0 49% 61% -19.1 29% 30% -4.6 22% 21% 4.9
04.02.24 Fortune FC vs Marimoo FC 2-0 48% 60% -20.1 28% 29% -3.8 24% 23% 2.0
04.02.24 Wallidan FC vs Samger FC 1-2 34% 40% -14.0 30% 32% -6.1 35% 40% -11.7
09.02.24 Armed Forces FC vs Falcons FC 2-1 36% 42% -13.9 33% 37% -10.8 31% 34% -9.8
09.02.24 Real Banjul vs Banjul United 1-3 46% 55% -16.5 31% 33% -7.9 23% 24% -1.6
09.02.24 Samger FC vs Bombada FC 0-2 36% 43% -14.6 33% 36% -10.1 31% 34% -8.7
11.02.24 BST Galaxy vs Steve Biko FC 0-0 38% 45% -15.5 32% 35% -8.5 29% 31% -5.6
16.02.24 BST Galaxy vs TMT 1-1 31% 34% -9.2 34% 38% -11.7 35% 40% -13.2
16.02.24 Fortune FC vs Armed Forces FC 2-2 42% 51% -16.8 33% 36% -10.1 25% 26% -1.4
16.02.24 Real Banjul vs Falcons FC 4-0 41% 48% -14.2 32% 36% -9.5 27% 29% -6.1
16.02.24 Steve Biko FC vs Marimoo FC 0-0 43% 53% -17.5 32% 36% -9.4 24% 24% 1.8
17.02.24 Brikama United FC vs Wallidan FC 0-0 37% 43% -14.6 34% 38% -11.6 29% 31% -6.2
17.02.24 Team Rhino FC vs Greater Tomorrow FC 0-1 44% 53% -17.1 33% 36% -10.5 24% 24% -0.0
17.02.24 Waa Banjul FC vs Samger FC 0-1 36% 42% -14.1 33% 36% -9.9 31% 34% -8.6
25.02.24 BST Galaxy vs Real Banjul 0-2 27% 29% -8.3 33% 36% -10.3 40% 48% -15.2
Showing the 100 most recent of 526 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Fortune FC 1657.55
2 Bombada FC 1621.19
3 Samger FC 1614.41
4 Real Banjul 1599.03
5 Brikama United FC 1586.52
6 Medina United FC 1584.99
7 Hart FC 1558.22
8 Steve Biko FC 1555.70
9 Falcons FC 1531.28
10 Gambian Dutch Lions 1525.70
11 Team Rhino FC 1524.63
12 BST Galaxy 1521.86
13 Gambia Ports Authority FC 1515.17
14 Banjul Hawks FC 1513.09
15 Greater Tomorrow FC 1503.43
16 Baalo Sarr 1494.53
17 TMT 1487.05
18 Elite United FC 1470.97

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Gambia Ports Authority FC 1608.60
2 Brikama United FC 1605.31
3 Fortune FC 1593.99
4 Medina United FC 1584.26
5 Real Banjul 1566.51
6 Baalo Sarr 1550.00
7 Team Rhino FC 1528.55
8 Gambian Dutch Lions 1521.68
9 Banjul Hawks FC 1505.90
10 Falcons FC 1502.07
11 Elite United FC 1501.21
12 Samger FC 1489.90
13 Hart FC 1482.88
14 BST Galaxy 1477.16
15 Greater Tomorrow FC 1472.92
16 Steve Biko FC 1471.17
17 Bombada FC 1443.34
18 TMT 1427.02