ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 505
Avg Goals 2.75
Avg Home 1.50
Avg Away 1.25
Home Win % 42.2%
Draw % 25.1%
Away Win % 32.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 505
Avg Brier Score 0.6003
Pick Accuracy 52.3%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6026
Market Brier 0.5999
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 505 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.5% 10.0% 30
10–20% 16.0% 15.9% 207
20–30% 25.7% 25.8% 662
30–40% 34.5% 35.6% 174
40–50% 44.8% 46.6% 193
50–60% 55.2% 53.5% 129
60–70% 64.3% 61.4% 83
70–80% 74.4% 65.5% 29
80–90% 83.8% 85.7% 7
90–100% 92.0% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Dinamo Batumi vs FC Shukura Kobuleti 5-0 83% 88% -6.5 11% 13% -14.8 6% 8% -23.4
05.08.23 FC Gagra vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 0-0 28% 32% -13.7 27% 31% -12.0 45% 50% -9.8
08.08.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi 1-3 55% 60% -7.5 24% 28% -12.1 20% 24% -16.0
12.08.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs FC Telavi 0-1 59% 62% -5.1 23% 27% -14.7 18% 23% -20.8
13.08.23 FC Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi 1-6 16% 20% -17.9 22% 26% -12.5 61% 65% -6.5
14.08.23 FC Samtredia vs Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 22% 24% -10.2 24% 27% -8.8 54% 61% -12.4
15.08.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Shukura Kobuleti 5-1 79% 85% -7.0 14% 16% -14.1 7% 10% -21.7
19.08.23 Dinamo Batumi vs FC Samtredia 1-1 81% 87% -6.7 12% 14% -14.6 7% 9% -23.4
19.08.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 5-2 62% 68% -9.0 22% 24% -11.7 17% 20% -17.3
20.08.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Dila Gori 1-2 41% 45% -9.3 28% 31% -11.6 31% 36% -12.8
20.08.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Gagra 4-1 51% 56% -8.4 26% 29% -11.9 23% 27% -14.1
25.08.23 FC Dila Gori vs FC Shukura Kobuleti 5-1 78% 84% -6.6 14% 16% -14.6 8% 10% -23.3
25.08.23 FC Telavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 16% 19% -15.9 22% 26% -12.2 61% 67% -8.4
27.08.23 FC Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi 0-2 11% 13% -13.1 19% 21% -9.9 70% 78% -9.7
27.08.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 42% 44% -6.2 27% 31% -11.6 31% 37% -16.0
29.08.23 FC Dila Gori vs Dinamo Tbilisi 0-3 38% 44% -13.8 26% 29% -8.5 36% 39% -9.3
01.09.23 Dinamo Batumi vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 4-1 66% 71% -6.6 20% 23% -12.8 14% 17% -18.4
01.09.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Telavi 2-1 53% 57% -6.4 25% 29% -13.8 21% 26% -17.5
02.09.23 FC Dila Gori vs FC Samtredia 1-3 75% 80% -6.9 16% 19% -14.8 9% 12% -21.2
02.09.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Gagra 5-0 69% 74% -6.7 19% 22% -13.1 12% 15% -18.9
02.09.23 FC Shukura Kobuleti vs Dinamo Tbilisi 2-3 7% 8% -18.0 12% 13% -7.4 81% 88% -7.9
16.09.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 62% 67% -8.4 21% 24% -10.5 17% 21% -17.5
16.09.23 FC Gagra vs FC Dila Gori 0-0 20% 23% -14.0 24% 26% -10.1 57% 62% -9.2
17.09.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs FC Iberia 1999 1-0 30% 34% -11.4 27% 29% -9.7 43% 49% -11.0
20.09.23 FC Dila Gori vs Dinamo Batumi 1-3 28% 31% -10.2 27% 29% -9.8 45% 51% -11.4
23.09.23 FC Shukura Kobuleti vs Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 12% 13% -11.9 19% 21% -8.8 69% 77% -10.0
24.09.23 Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 46% 51% -9.1 25% 28% -9.4 29% 34% -16.1
24.09.23 FC Dila Gori vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 2-0 57% 62% -9.5 24% 27% -11.4 20% 23% -14.2
24.09.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Telavi 0-1 62% 66% -5.9 21% 25% -14.5 16% 21% -21.6
27.09.23 FC Gagra vs FC Shukura Kobuleti 1-0 62% 67% -7.8 21% 24% -11.2 17% 21% -18.6
28.09.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs FC Samtredia 0-3 53% 58% -8.0 25% 29% -12.7 22% 26% -16.9
28.09.23 FC Telavi vs FC Dila Gori 2-1 27% 31% -15.1 28% 33% -14.6 45% 49% -7.7
28.09.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Batumi 0-3 26% 30% -13.7 26% 29% -10.3 48% 54% -10.8
29.09.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 1-0 53% 59% -9.4 24% 26% -9.4 23% 27% -15.4
02.10.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs FC Gagra 2-2 56% 61% -9.0 24% 28% -12.1 20% 23% -14.6
02.10.23 FC Shukura Kobuleti vs Dinamo Batumi 0-6 6% 8% -21.0 12% 14% -13.1 82% 88% -7.1
03.10.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Dila Gori 3-1 59% 66% -11.4 23% 24% -7.7 19% 21% -10.7
03.10.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Iberia 1999 5-0 36% 40% -10.7 27% 31% -11.0 37% 42% -12.6
07.10.23 FC Dila Gori vs Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 46% 52% -11.0 27% 30% -11.2 27% 30% -10.9
07.10.23 FC Samtredia vs Dinamo Tbilisi 3-2 13% 15% -17.2 20% 22% -11.7 68% 74% -8.0
08.10.23 FC Gagra vs FC Telavi 4-1 31% 34% -9.7 28% 31% -11.1 41% 47% -11.6
08.10.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Batumi 0-0 26% 29% -9.2 26% 29% -9.2 48% 55% -12.4
08.10.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs FC Shukura Kobuleti 5-0 79% 85% -7.7 14% 15% -10.9 7% 9% -18.4
20.10.23 Dinamo Batumi vs FC Dila Gori 1-1 66% 74% -10.5 20% 22% -8.2 14% 15% -10.2
20.10.23 FC Shukura Kobuleti vs FC Iberia 1999 1-2 9% 10% -16.1 15% 17% -8.8 76% 83% -8.6
21.10.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Gagra 0-1 72% 77% -6.4 17% 20% -15.0 11% 14% -22.9
21.10.23 FC Telavi vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 2-1 40% 45% -12.6 28% 32% -12.2 32% 35% -8.9
21.10.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Samtredia 2-0 58% 62% -6.3 24% 28% -14.5 18% 22% -18.8
28.10.23 FC Dila Gori vs FC Iberia 1999 3-0 37% 42% -10.2 28% 31% -11.0 35% 39% -11.4
28.10.23 FC Samtredia vs Dinamo Batumi 1-3 17% 21% -20.3 22% 26% -13.8 61% 66% -6.8
29.10.23 FC Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 28% 31% -10.4 27% 31% -11.1 45% 51% -10.7
29.10.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 27% 32% -15.6 26% 29% -11.2 47% 51% -9.0
03.11.23 Dinamo Batumi vs FC Gagra 3-0 76% 83% -7.5 15% 17% -10.6 9% 11% -18.1
03.11.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Samtredia 0-0 58% 62% -5.9 23% 27% -13.6 19% 23% -19.8
03.11.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 0-0 51% 59% -13.1 25% 28% -9.1 24% 26% -7.9
04.11.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Telavi 4-0 67% 74% -8.3 19% 22% -12.3 13% 16% -18.1
04.11.23 FC Shukura Kobuleti vs FC Dila Gori 1-2 10% 12% -19.1 17% 20% -13.3 73% 79% -7.5
10.11.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Shukura Kobuleti 4-2 87% 93% -5.7 9% 11% -21.3 4% 5% -27.0
10.11.23 FC Samtredia vs FC Dila Gori 1-2 25% 29% -13.6 26% 29% -11.1 49% 54% -9.0
10.11.23 FC Telavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 31% 35% -10.9 27% 31% -10.8 42% 47% -10.8
11.11.23 FC Gagra vs FC Iberia 1999 2-1 27% 29% -9.2 26% 29% -10.0 47% 53% -12.4
11.11.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Dinamo Batumi 3-2 19% 23% -16.2 23% 26% -10.6 58% 64% -8.9
23.11.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 2-2 56% 61% -9.4 24% 27% -10.3 21% 24% -13.8
24.11.23 Dinamo Batumi vs FC Telavi 3-0 77% 84% -7.8 14% 16% -10.3 8% 10% -18.1
24.11.23 FC Dila Gori vs FC Gagra 1-0 63% 69% -9.3 22% 24% -10.5 15% 17% -12.5
24.11.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 28% 32% -12.0 26% 29% -9.2 46% 51% -10.9
28.11.23 Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi 6-2 40% 47% -13.4 26% 29% -8.5 34% 37% -9.3
28.11.23 FC Gagra vs FC Samtredia 4-3 35% 38% -6.6 28% 31% -10.5 37% 43% -14.4
28.11.23 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs FC Dila Gori 1-0 26% 29% -13.0 27% 31% -11.9 47% 52% -8.7
28.11.23 FC Telavi vs FC Iberia 1999 3-0 44% 52% -15.5 27% 29% -9.2 30% 31% -4.0
28.11.23 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Shukura Kobuleti 9-0 92% 98% -6.1 6% 6% -10.6 2% 3% -20.4
02.12.23 Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi 2-2 33% 35% -4.8 26% 29% -8.7 41% 49% -16.9
02.12.23 FC Dila Gori vs FC Telavi 3-1 60% 67% -11.2 22% 24% -8.0 18% 20% -10.2
02.12.23 FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi 0-3 18% 20% -11.3 22% 24% -7.5 60% 68% -11.4
02.12.23 FC Samtredia vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 2-3 26% 26% -0.1 25% 27% -6.3 49% 59% -17.2
02.12.23 FC Shukura Kobuleti vs FC Gagra 0-9 3% 3% 1.0 8% 7% 8.5 89% 97% -8.0
06.12.23 FC Spaeri vs FC Telavi 1-1 29% 35% -16.7 26% 29% -10.0 45% 49% -7.2
10.12.23 FC Telavi vs FC Spaeri 4-0 57% 64% -9.8 23% 26% -10.9 19% 22% -14.2
01.03.24 Dinamo Batumi vs Kolkheti Poti 1-0 73% 79% -7.1 17% 20% -14.4 10% 12% -19.8
02.03.24 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 2-0 66% 70% -6.0 20% 23% -14.8 14% 18% -22.4
02.03.24 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Telavi 1-0 42% 47% -9.7 28% 32% -12.2 30% 33% -11.0
02.03.24 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Samtredia 4-1 76% 81% -6.1 16% 18% -14.5 9% 11% -21.2
03.03.24 FC Dila Gori vs FC Gagra 2-0 63% 68% -7.2 22% 25% -12.9 15% 18% -16.9
06.03.24 FC Telavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0 19% 22% -14.2 24% 26% -10.5 57% 63% -9.3
06.03.24 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Iberia 1999 2-3 59% 62% -5.4 23% 27% -14.4 18% 23% -20.3
07.03.24 FC Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi 1-3 20% 21% -3.5 24% 26% -6.8 56% 65% -14.3
07.03.24 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs FC Dila Gori 0-1 30% 35% -15.8 27% 31% -12.3 43% 47% -7.4
10.03.24 Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 38% 39% -4.4 27% 31% -11.3 35% 43% -17.3
10.03.24 FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Samtredia 2-2 65% 70% -6.5 21% 24% -15.0 14% 17% -20.2
11.03.24 Dinamo Batumi vs FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 1-0 64% 69% -8.0 22% 26% -13.9 14% 17% -15.6
11.03.24 FC Dila Gori vs FC Telavi 1-0 49% 53% -8.7 27% 30% -12.3 25% 29% -13.9
11.03.24 Kolkheti Poti vs FC Gagra 2-1 44% 49% -10.8 28% 31% -11.6 29% 32% -10.6
15.03.24 FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 31% 36% -12.7 27% 29% -9.5 42% 47% -9.3
15.03.24 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Kolkheti Poti 1-1 44% 49% -10.3 28% 32% -12.5 28% 31% -10.4
16.03.24 FC Samtredia vs FC Gagra 1-3 33% 37% -10.2 28% 31% -10.6 39% 44% -11.7
16.03.24 FC Telavi vs Dinamo Batumi 0-1 25% 27% -8.3 27% 30% -11.1 48% 55% -12.1
16.03.24 Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Dila Gori 1-0 43% 44% -3.7 28% 32% -13.6 29% 36% -17.9
29.03.24 Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi 3-2 48% 53% -9.1 27% 30% -11.9 25% 29% -13.4
29.03.24 FC Dila Gori vs FC Iberia 1999 3-1 49% 55% -10.6 26% 29% -11.2 25% 29% -12.4
30.03.24 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Samtredia 1-1 75% 79% -5.9 16% 19% -16.8 9% 12% -24.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 505 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

10 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Dinamo Batumi 1893.99
2 FC Iberia 1999 1838.31
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 1783.40
4 FC Rustavi 1774.09
5 Torpedo Kutaisi 1762.12
6 FC Dila Gori 1728.87
7 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 1694.83
8 FC Spaeri 1635.71
9 FC Gagra 1599.56
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 1574.80

Away Ratings

10 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Dinamo Batumi 1808.72
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 1801.95
3 FC Rustavi 1762.12
4 FC Iberia 1999 1747.65
5 Torpedo Kutaisi 1734.45
6 FC Dila Gori 1704.61
7 FC Samgurali Tskaltubo 1686.00
8 FC Spaeri 1634.58
9 FC Gagra 1614.42
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 1525.27