ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 182
Avg Goals 3.01
Avg Home 1.53
Avg Away 1.48
Home Win % 42.9%
Draw % 20.9%
Away Win % 36.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 182
Avg Brier Score 0.5946
Pick Accuracy 50.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6013
Market Brier 0.5952
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 10
Value Bet Hit Rate 20.0%
ROI (flat stake) 240.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 80.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 10 of 182 matches had at least one · staked 10.00, profit 24.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 2 50.0% 2.00 13.50 675.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 8 12.5% 8.00 10.50 131.2%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 33.3% 6
10–20% 16.1% 16.0% 75
20–30% 23.8% 21.8% 220
30–40% 35.3% 42.0% 81
40–50% 44.2% 38.7% 62
50–60% 54.0% 55.9% 59
60–70% 64.5% 62.1% 29
70–80% 74.2% 90.9% 11
80–90% 81.4% 33.3% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
19.08.23 Hamburger SV (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 2-2 52% 53% -2.8 23% 29% -19.2 25% 31% -19.3
19.08.23 SC Sand (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) 3-2 50% 56% -11.5 23% 28% -15.8 27% 29% -6.9
20.08.23 FC Bayern München II (W) vs SV 67 Weinberg (W) 1-1 55% 68% -19.7 21% 23% -9.8 25% 21% 17.8
20.08.23 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 0-2 23% 27% -15.8 22% 26% -16.1 56% 60% -6.4
20.08.23 FSV Gütersloh (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 2-0 64% 75% -14.4 19% 21% -9.4 17% 15% 9.0
27.08.23 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 2-2 42% 49% -14.8 24% 29% -15.3 34% 35% -2.4
27.08.23 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs Hamburger SV (W) 1-4 41% 45% -10.6 24% 29% -15.0 35% 38% -7.1
27.08.23 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 0-2 43% 51% -16.7 23% 27% -14.3 34% 34% -1.1
27.08.23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 0-2 26% 28% -5.1 23% 27% -14.7 51% 58% -12.5
27.08.23 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs SC Sand (W) 1-4 26% 26% -1.2 23% 27% -14.3 51% 59% -13.6
03.09.23 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs SV 67 Weinberg (W) 3-3 33% 42% -21.8 24% 29% -17.6 43% 42% 4.3
03.09.23 FC Bayern München II (W) vs VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 1-2 62% 69% -11.0 20% 24% -13.9 18% 18% -2.6
03.09.23 Hamburger SV (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 0-1 60% 68% -12.3 21% 24% -12.7 19% 19% 0.6
03.09.23 SC Sand (W) vs FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 2-0 52% 60% -12.6 23% 27% -14.2 25% 26% -2.1
03.09.23 SV Meppen (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 0-0 70% 77% -9.6 16% 18% -11.4 14% 16% -10.3
17.09.23 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 1-0 25% 26% -4.3 23% 27% -14.6 52% 59% -12.0
17.09.23 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 2-0 19% 23% -16.7 22% 27% -18.9 59% 62% -4.8
17.09.23 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs SC Sand (W) 0-3 45% 51% -12.6 24% 29% -15.3 31% 32% -4.0
17.09.23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 1-2 38% 43% -10.3 24% 28% -14.8 38% 42% -9.6
17.09.23 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs FSV Gütersloh (W) 1-1 21% 24% -10.6 22% 26% -15.9 57% 62% -8.3
01.10.23 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 1-0 40% 44% -10.0 25% 29% -16.4 35% 39% -9.7
01.10.23 FC Bayern München II (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 1-1 35% 38% -10.1 25% 29% -16.0 41% 44% -8.4
01.10.23 FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 0-3 55% 64% -13.5 23% 27% -14.7 22% 22% 1.8
01.10.23 SC Sand (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 3-2 57% 61% -7.2 22% 27% -17.6 21% 24% -12.7
08.10.23 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 2-1 31% 34% -11.0 25% 30% -17.6 44% 49% -9.1
08.10.23 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs SC Sand (W) 1-1 26% 30% -15.8 24% 29% -18.4 50% 53% -5.1
08.10.23 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 2-0 55% 62% -11.9 22% 25% -13.4 23% 24% -4.6
08.10.23 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs SV 67 Weinberg (W) 0-1 33% 43% -21.7 24% 29% -17.6 43% 42% 3.6
15.10.23 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 0-1 28% 33% -15.1 24% 29% -16.8 48% 51% -5.1
15.10.23 FC Bayern München II (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 0-1 45% 51% -11.7 24% 29% -16.0 31% 33% -7.9
15.10.23 FSV Gütersloh (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 4-0 54% 60% -9.3 23% 27% -16.0 23% 26% -9.1
15.10.23 SC Sand (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 1-2 48% 56% -14.8 25% 30% -16.7 27% 26% 4.0
15.10.23 SV 67 Weinberg (W) vs FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 0-1 30% 34% -10.1 24% 29% -15.8 45% 50% -9.1
15.10.23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) vs VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 1-0 39% 43% -9.7 26% 31% -16.7 35% 38% -7.0
22.10.23 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 0-2 44% 50% -11.6 25% 29% -16.7 31% 34% -7.6
22.10.23 FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) vs SC Sand (W) 1-1 28% 32% -14.5 23% 28% -16.1 49% 52% -5.2
22.10.23 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs FSV Gütersloh (W) 1-4 27% 31% -12.0 25% 30% -18.0 48% 52% -7.2
22.10.23 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) 1-0 67% 74% -9.2 19% 22% -15.8 15% 16% -9.0
22.10.23 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs SV 67 Weinberg (W) 4-4 52% 61% -15.3 23% 26% -13.6 25% 24% 3.6
22.10.23 SV Meppen (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 5-0 52% 58% -11.1 23% 28% -16.0 25% 26% -6.3
22.10.23 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs Hamburger SV (W) 0-6 15% 14% 6.8 18% 19% -7.4 67% 78% -13.4
05.11.23 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 4-0 44% 52% -14.2 25% 29% -15.8 31% 31% 0.0
05.11.23 FC Bayern München II (W) vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 2-5 40% 43% -6.9 26% 31% -17.3 35% 38% -10.1
05.11.23 FSV Gütersloh (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 1-1 43% 49% -12.2 26% 31% -16.6 32% 32% -2.4
05.11.23 Hamburger SV (W) vs SC Sand (W) 2-1 53% 62% -13.6 23% 27% -14.5 24% 23% 2.0
05.11.23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 0-2 15% 15% -2.7 20% 24% -15.1 65% 72% -10.6
12.11.23 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) 3-2 54% 60% -9.5 23% 28% -16.6 23% 25% -8.1
12.11.23 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs SV 67 Weinberg (W) 1-0 30% 34% -14.0 24% 29% -16.6 47% 50% -7.0
12.11.23 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) vs Hamburger SV (W) 2-0 38% 41% -6.7 24% 28% -15.2 38% 44% -13.7
12.11.23 SC Sand (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 3-2 57% 67% -14.0 21% 24% -11.7 22% 21% 2.7
12.11.23 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 3-1 77% 88% -11.7 13% 14% -3.1 9% 8% 14.8
12.11.23 SV Meppen (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 2-0 48% 53% -9.7 24% 29% -15.9 28% 30% -7.9
18.11.23 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 2-3 39% 43% -10.7 24% 28% -14.5 37% 41% -8.4
18.11.23 FSV Gütersloh (W) vs SC Sand (W) 0-4 39% 45% -14.9 24% 28% -14.8 38% 39% -3.9
18.11.23 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 0-1 27% 29% -9.8 23% 27% -14.9 50% 56% -9.2
19.11.23 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 1-1 45% 51% -11.6 25% 29% -16.0 31% 32% -5.0
19.11.23 Hamburger SV (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 1-4 81% 92% -11.2 12% 11% 1.1 7% 5% 28.8
19.11.23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 1-1 27% 29% -6.7 24% 29% -16.1 49% 56% -11.1
10.12.23 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 0-1 22% 23% -3.9 23% 28% -15.6 54% 61% -10.3
10.12.23 FC Bayern München II (W) vs FSV Gütersloh (W) 4-1 34% 40% -16.2 23% 26% -14.4 44% 47% -5.5
10.12.23 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 2-0 46% 52% -10.3 25% 29% -16.5 29% 31% -7.3
10.12.23 Hamburger SV (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 1-1 39% 43% -10.5 24% 28% -14.5 37% 41% -8.5
10.12.23 SC Sand (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 0-2 55% 62% -12.0 22% 26% -14.6 22% 23% -2.6
10.12.23 SV Meppen (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) 2-0 77% 86% -11.0 14% 15% -7.8 9% 8% 9.3
17.12.23 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 1-0 51% 59% -13.1 22% 25% -12.8 27% 29% -5.2
17.12.23 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 2-1 62% 70% -11.9 20% 24% -13.9 18% 18% -1.6
17.12.23 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 0-2 12% 11% 1.4 17% 20% -12.6 71% 79% -10.6
18.02.24 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs Hamburger SV (W) 1-1 23% 24% -4.7 21% 24% -11.9 56% 64% -11.6
18.02.24 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs FSV Gütersloh (W) 1-1 39% 44% -11.9 26% 31% -17.4 35% 37% -5.5
18.02.24 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 1-3 41% 45% -8.9 26% 32% -18.1 32% 35% -7.6
18.02.24 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 2-1 62% 68% -9.6 21% 25% -16.0 17% 18% -6.0
18.02.24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) vs SC Sand (W) 1-2 11% 12% -6.3 16% 19% -13.7 73% 80% -9.3
02.03.24 FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) vs FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 3-1 37% 43% -14.2 24% 28% -14.7 39% 41% -4.5
03.03.24 FC Bayern München II (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) 1-0 61% 70% -12.5 21% 24% -13.5 18% 18% 0.1
03.03.24 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 0-0 39% 43% -9.6 25% 29% -15.8 36% 39% -8.4
03.03.24 Hamburger SV (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 2-2 57% 64% -10.5 22% 26% -15.1 21% 23% -6.6
03.03.24 SC Sand (W) vs VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 2-0 74% 83% -10.6 16% 18% -11.8 10% 10% 5.4
03.03.24 SV Meppen (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 0-1 40% 45% -11.6 25% 29% -16.1 35% 38% -6.9
10.03.24 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 0-2 22% 23% -6.7 24% 29% -17.6 54% 60% -9.0
10.03.24 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs Hamburger SV (W) 2-3 19% 19% -2.4 21% 25% -14.1 60% 67% -10.7
10.03.24 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) vs SC Sand (W) 1-0 35% 39% -9.8 25% 29% -15.8 40% 43% -8.3
10.03.24 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 2-1 46% 51% -10.1 24% 29% -15.6 30% 32% -7.6
10.03.24 SV 67 Weinberg (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 0-7 35% 38% -7.9 23% 26% -13.4 42% 48% -12.3
10.03.24 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 1-1 18% 18% 1.5 22% 25% -13.7 60% 68% -11.9
17.03.24 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (W) 2-1 68% 74% -8.0 18% 21% -14.6 14% 16% -10.1
17.03.24 FC Bayern München II (W) vs FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 0-1 30% 33% -11.4 26% 31% -18.3 45% 49% -7.8
17.03.24 FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 2-2 56% 63% -11.9 22% 26% -14.3 22% 23% -3.7
17.03.24 SC Sand (W) vs SG 99 Andernach (W) 0-1 36% 39% -7.9 25% 30% -16.9 39% 43% -11.0
17.03.24 SV Meppen (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 2-0 56% 62% -9.1 22% 27% -16.3 22% 24% -9.4
20.03.24 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 2-7 15% 16% -3.2 20% 23% -13.7 65% 72% -10.4
24.03.24 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) vs SC Sand (W) 1-1 27% 31% -11.6 25% 30% -17.7 48% 51% -6.7
24.03.24 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 0-4 25% 27% -5.1 23% 27% -14.5 52% 58% -11.2
24.03.24 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) vs FSV Gütersloh (W) 2-0 51% 58% -13.0 25% 29% -16.6 25% 25% -0.4
24.03.24 SG 99 Andernach (W) vs FC Bayern München II (W) 2-0 57% 64% -10.3 21% 25% -14.4 21% 23% -7.1
24.03.24 SV Meppen (W) vs Hamburger SV (W) 4-0 34% 38% -10.3 25% 30% -16.6 40% 43% -7.5
24.03.24 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) vs Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 0-0 15% 14% 6.4 18% 19% -7.9 68% 78% -13.2
05.05.24 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) vs SV Meppen (W) 0-1 21% 21% 3.1 22% 26% -13.4 56% 65% -13.8
05.05.24 FC Bayern München II (W) vs SC Sand (W) 2-2 24% 27% -8.9 23% 28% -16.1 52% 58% -9.4
05.05.24 Hamburger SV (W) vs FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 1-1 39% 42% -6.5 25% 31% -17.4 35% 40% -12.1
05.05.24 SV 67 Weinberg (W) vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 3-1 35% 38% -8.7 23% 27% -13.8 42% 47% -10.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 182 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 VFR Warbeyen (W) 1600.00
2 SG Essen-Schönebeck (W) 1595.55
3 SC Sand (W) 1502.83
4 FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 1467.32
5 VfL Bochum (W) 1441.66
6 SV Meppen (W) 1429.08
7 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 1426.82
8 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 1380.66
9 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 1374.71
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 1371.44
11 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 1314.46
12 SG 99 Andernach (W) 1297.77
13 FC Bayern München II (W) 1196.45
14 Viktoria 89 Berlin (W) 1185.64

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 SG Essen-Schönebeck (W) 1640.01
2 Viktoria 89 Berlin (W) 1550.00
3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena (W) 1537.96
4 SV Meppen (W) 1443.81
5 SC Sand (W) 1433.97
6 VfL Bochum (W) 1390.20
7 SG 99 Andernach (W) 1349.13
8 FFC Turbine Potsdam (W) 1308.02
9 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W) 1246.90
10 VfL Wolfsburg II (W) 1238.65
11 FC Bayern München II (W) 1231.30
12 VFR Warbeyen (W) 1228.88
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II (W) 1225.32
14 FC Ingolstadt 04 (W) 1170.52