ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 350
Avg Goals 1.91
Avg Home 1.31
Avg Away 0.60
Home Win % 58.0%
Draw % 27.4%
Away Win % 14.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 350
Avg Brier Score 0.5590
Pick Accuracy 57.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5686
Market Brier 0.5629
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 22
Value Bet Hit Rate 27.3%
ROI (flat stake) -9.6%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 22 of 350 matches had at least one · staked 22.00, profit -2.10 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 22 27.3% 22.00 -2.10 -9.6%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.0% 7.5% 53
10–20% 15.2% 12.7% 229
20–30% 25.2% 27.3% 399
30–40% 34.3% 37.9% 29
40–50% 45.8% 43.1% 58
50–60% 55.4% 58.6% 128
60–70% 64.7% 57.8% 116
70–80% 73.2% 78.4% 37
80–90% 81.2% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
25.09.23 Accra Lions vs Legon Cities FC 1-0 60% 59% 2.6 24% 30% -21.5 16% 22% -28.7
30.09.23 Bofoakwa Tano vs Heart Of Oak 1-0 45% 39% 13.8 29% 37% -20.9 26% 34% -24.4
01.10.23 Accra Great Olympics vs Bibiani Gold Stars FC 1-0 53% 53% 0.5 27% 33% -18.9 20% 24% -18.7
01.10.23 Asante Kotoko vs Karela FC 1-1 69% 70% -1.4 23% 30% -24.0 8% 12% -28.0
01.10.23 Legon Cities FC vs Aduana Stars 2-1 48% 51% -4.1 28% 34% -18.5 23% 26% -9.7
07.10.23 Bechem United vs Medeama SC 1-2 55% 55% -0.0 26% 32% -18.7 19% 24% -20.9
08.10.23 Bibiani Gold Stars FC vs Real Tamale United 3-0 63% 67% -6.0 22% 25% -14.6 16% 19% -18.4
08.10.23 Heart of Lions vs Bofoakwa Tano 0-0 61% 60% 1.4 24% 31% -21.4 15% 21% -27.5
08.10.23 Heart Of Oak vs Dreams FC 0-0 54% 51% 5.4 26% 32% -19.8 20% 27% -25.6
08.10.23 Nations FC vs Legon Cities FC 1-1 57% 56% 1.5 25% 31% -19.8 18% 24% -24.7
09.10.23 Accra Lions vs Asante Kotoko 0-1 45% 42% 7.7 27% 34% -18.9 27% 35% -22.3
15.10.23 Legon Cities FC vs Bechem United 1-1 59% 59% -0.4 27% 34% -21.2 14% 18% -20.6
16.10.23 Accra Great Olympics vs Accra Lions 3-0 46% 43% 6.7 29% 37% -20.4 25% 31% -20.3
20.10.23 Accra Lions vs Real Tamale United 1-3 61% 62% -1.4 25% 31% -19.4 14% 18% -21.1
21.10.23 Heart Of Oak vs FC Samartex 0-0 57% 52% 8.5 27% 35% -23.9 17% 24% -30.0
22.10.23 Dreams FC vs Medeama SC 2-1 53% 53% 0.4 27% 33% -18.9 20% 25% -18.6
22.10.23 Nations FC vs Asante Kotoko 2-2 38% 34% 11.4 28% 34% -18.4 34% 42% -20.0
23.10.23 Bibiani Gold Stars FC vs Heart of Lions 2-2 64% 67% -3.7 23% 29% -18.2 12% 15% -19.1
25.10.23 Medeama SC vs Nations FC 1-0 73% 77% -4.7 20% 25% -20.2 7% 9% -22.6
27.10.23 Bofoakwa Tano vs Accra Lions 1-1 70% 75% -6.4 20% 24% -16.7 10% 12% -19.1
28.10.23 Accra Great Olympics vs Nations FC 1-0 59% 59% 0.4 25% 31% -19.7 16% 21% -23.1
28.10.23 Bibiani Gold Stars FC vs Heart Of Oak 1-1 54% 51% 6.6 27% 34% -21.1 19% 26% -26.2
29.10.23 Asante Kotoko vs Bechem United 1-1 63% 62% 1.5 23% 29% -21.5 14% 20% -28.7
29.10.23 Heart of Lions vs Karela FC 0-0 49% 47% 5.7 28% 35% -20.6 23% 29% -22.9
29.10.23 Legon Cities FC vs Dreams FC 1-0 51% 50% 3.2 27% 33% -18.9 22% 29% -21.9
29.10.23 Medeama SC vs FC Samartex 1-0 62% 61% 2.4 24% 32% -22.9 13% 19% -28.7
01.11.23 Bechem United vs Accra Great Olympics 2-1 69% 71% -2.9 21% 27% -21.0 9% 12% -25.8
01.11.23 Heart Of Oak vs Medeama SC 3-1 42% 34% 21.6 30% 38% -21.9 28% 38% -26.6
01.11.23 Nations FC vs Real Tamale United 4-0 66% 72% -8.6 22% 25% -14.2 12% 13% -8.2
02.11.23 Accra Lions vs Heart of Lions 2-1 54% 53% 1.6 26% 32% -19.0 20% 25% -21.8
05.11.23 Asante Kotoko vs Dreams FC 0-1 65% 65% 0.2 23% 29% -21.9 12% 17% -28.1
05.11.23 Bibiani Gold Stars FC vs Accra Lions 1-1 77% 84% -7.9 17% 20% -15.1 6% 7% -15.6
05.11.23 Bofoakwa Tano vs Nations FC 1-0 75% 81% -7.5 19% 22% -17.3 6% 7% -16.3
05.11.23 Heart of Lions vs Aduana Stars 1-2 41% 40% 4.5 29% 36% -19.4 29% 35% -16.2
05.11.23 Legon Cities FC vs Medeama SC 0-2 51% 50% 2.7 28% 34% -19.7 22% 27% -20.9
06.11.23 Accra Great Olympics vs Nsoatreman FC 2-1 55% 54% 1.4 28% 36% -21.4 17% 21% -20.2
08.11.23 Heart of Lions vs Heart Of Oak 0-0 48% 42% 16.3 30% 39% -23.8 22% 31% -28.8
09.11.23 Medeama SC vs Nsoatreman FC 1-0 66% 67% -1.4 22% 28% -20.2 12% 16% -25.6
10.11.23 Accra Lions vs Karela FC 2-1 55% 57% -4.1 26% 32% -17.9 19% 22% -12.9
11.11.23 FC Samartex vs Asante Kotoko 1-0 47% 46% 2.5 28% 34% -18.7 25% 31% -18.3
12.11.23 Bechem United vs Bofoakwa Tano 1-1 68% 74% -6.9 21% 25% -16.0 11% 12% -15.9
12.11.23 Dreams FC vs Accra Great Olympics 2-0 59% 57% 2.8 25% 32% -21.3 16% 22% -26.2
12.11.23 Heart Of Oak vs Legon Cities FC 0-0 60% 59% 1.9 24% 31% -20.7 16% 21% -26.5
12.11.23 Medeama SC vs Berekum Chelsea 0-1 69% 70% -2.3 21% 26% -20.1 10% 14% -26.8
12.11.23 Nations FC vs Heart of Lions 1-0 61% 64% -3.6 26% 32% -19.1 13% 15% -14.6
13.11.23 Aduana Stars vs Bibiani Gold Stars FC 3-0 67% 70% -5.5 22% 26% -16.7 12% 14% -17.2
18.11.23 Heart of Lions vs Bechem United 1-2 45% 43% 5.1 29% 36% -19.2 26% 32% -18.1
19.11.23 Asante Kotoko vs Medeama SC 1-0 53% 51% 3.7 29% 36% -21.3 18% 23% -21.6
19.11.23 Bibiani Gold Stars FC vs Nations FC 0-1 60% 62% -2.4 25% 31% -19.1 14% 18% -18.9
20.11.23 Accra Great Olympics vs FC Samartex 0-0 71% 75% -5.4 21% 26% -18.5 8% 11% -19.5
21.11.23 Accra Lions vs Heart Of Oak 1-2 38% 33% 12.7 28% 35% -18.8 34% 43% -20.8
25.11.23 Legon Cities FC vs Asante Kotoko 1-3 49% 50% -0.5 27% 33% -18.3 23% 28% -16.6
25.11.23 Nations FC vs Karela FC 1-0 54% 53% 0.4 26% 32% -18.4 20% 26% -20.6
26.11.23 Aduana Stars vs Accra Lions 0-1 68% 70% -2.8 20% 25% -18.9 11% 15% -26.6
26.11.23 Heart Of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea 1-1 57% 53% 8.8 27% 36% -24.7 16% 23% -30.4
26.11.23 Nsoatreman FC vs Heart of Lions 0-0 70% 74% -4.9 22% 28% -20.6 7% 9% -17.4
27.11.23 Bechem United vs Bibiani Gold Stars FC 0-0 69% 72% -4.4 21% 25% -18.0 10% 14% -22.7
03.12.23 Accra Lions vs Nations FC 0-1 54% 55% -0.9 27% 33% -19.0 19% 24% -18.9
03.12.23 Aduana Stars vs Heart Of Oak 1-0 69% 70% -2.6 21% 27% -21.3 10% 14% -27.3
03.12.23 Bofoakwa Tano vs FC Samartex 0-2 43% 38% 12.6 29% 36% -19.8 28% 37% -23.3
04.12.23 Accra Great Olympics vs Legon Cities FC 0-2 57% 57% -0.1 26% 32% -19.0 17% 22% -20.9
04.12.23 Asante Kotoko vs Berekum Chelsea 1-0 57% 55% 4.6 25% 32% -21.8 17% 24% -28.2
09.12.23 Nations FC vs Aduana Stars 2-1 50% 52% -3.7 28% 34% -18.6 22% 25% -12.1
10.12.23 Bechem United vs Accra Lions 4-0 80% 86% -7.6 15% 17% -14.4 6% 8% -24.2
10.12.23 Heart Of Oak vs Asante Kotoko 2-3 45% 39% 13.7 26% 32% -18.4 29% 39% -25.8
10.12.23 Legon Cities FC vs Real Tamale United 3-1 61% 65% -5.5 22% 26% -14.8 17% 20% -17.0
15.12.23 Aduana Stars vs Bechem United 1-0 56% 57% -2.5 26% 32% -18.5 18% 22% -18.0
16.12.23 Nations FC vs Heart Of Oak 1-1 47% 43% 11.4 28% 36% -21.0 24% 33% -25.7
17.12.23 Accra Great Olympics vs Asante Kotoko 0-0 35% 30% 17.9 28% 34% -18.3 37% 48% -22.1
17.12.23 Bibiani Gold Stars FC vs FC Samartex 3-0 51% 48% 6.4 27% 33% -20.1 22% 29% -25.3
17.12.23 Bofoakwa Tano vs Legon Cities FC 0-1 51% 50% 3.4 25% 30% -17.6 24% 31% -23.6
18.12.23 Accra Lions vs Nsoatreman FC 2-1 45% 44% 1.1 29% 36% -19.3 26% 31% -14.5
22.12.23 Accra Great Olympics vs Heart Of Oak 0-0 45% 40% 13.6 30% 38% -21.2 25% 33% -24.3
23.12.23 Berekum Chelsea vs Bofoakwa Tano 0-0 59% 57% 3.3 26% 33% -22.1 15% 20% -26.5
24.12.23 Asante Kotoko vs Real Tamale United 1-0 71% 75% -5.0 20% 24% -18.7 9% 11% -23.5
24.12.23 Bechem United vs Nations FC 3-0 63% 62% 1.5 25% 32% -22.2 13% 17% -26.8
24.12.23 Dreams FC vs Accra Lions 1-1 68% 68% -0.7 22% 28% -22.7 11% 15% -29.4
25.12.23 Legon Cities FC vs Heart of Lions 1-0 68% 70% -3.7 22% 27% -19.9 10% 13% -23.2
26.12.23 Medeama SC vs Bibiani Gold Stars FC 1-0 68% 69% -2.4 22% 28% -20.7 10% 14% -25.4
29.12.23 Accra Lions vs FC Samartex 1-3 47% 43% 8.2 30% 37% -21.2 23% 30% -22.6
30.12.23 Bibiani Gold Stars FC vs Legon Cities FC 4-2 67% 70% -4.5 20% 24% -16.8 12% 16% -23.9
30.12.23 Bofoakwa Tano vs Asante Kotoko 0-2 44% 42% 4.7 29% 37% -19.9 27% 33% -17.8
31.12.23 Aduana Stars vs Dreams FC 4-1 64% 65% -2.3 23% 29% -19.5 13% 17% -23.1
31.12.23 Heart Of Oak vs Bechem United 1-0 56% 56% -0.2 26% 33% -19.9 18% 22% -21.4
31.12.23 Nations FC vs Nsoatreman FC 4-1 58% 59% -1.0 26% 32% -19.4 16% 20% -20.6
04.01.24 Heart of Lions vs Dreams FC 1-0 49% 51% -2.9 28% 34% -18.3 23% 27% -12.7
10.01.24 Dreams FC vs Bofoakwa Tano 3-1 66% 67% -1.7 23% 29% -20.1 12% 15% -24.4
10.01.24 Medeama SC vs Accra Great Olympics 1-0 64% 64% 0.9 23% 29% -21.2 13% 19% -28.4
13.01.24 Dreams FC vs Bibiani Gold Stars FC 3-0 60% 61% -1.2 25% 31% -19.7 15% 19% -21.8
13.01.24 Medeama SC vs Bofoakwa Tano 0-0 66% 67% -0.7 22% 28% -21.1 12% 16% -27.3
17.01.24 Heart of Lions vs Medeama SC 2-2 55% 57% -4.5 27% 32% -17.6 19% 21% -11.2
24.02.24 Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko 1-0 34% 32% 6.0 29% 36% -19.3 37% 43% -14.9
25.02.24 Heart Of Oak vs Real Tamale United 3-0 65% 68% -3.9 24% 30% -20.3 11% 14% -20.1
25.02.24 Karela FC vs Legon Cities FC 2-0 57% 55% 4.4 27% 35% -22.5 16% 21% -26.0
26.02.24 Aduana Stars vs FC Samartex 1-2 63% 62% 1.1 25% 32% -22.1 12% 16% -26.1
01.03.24 Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars FC 1-0 71% 74% -3.7 20% 24% -19.6 10% 13% -27.0
02.03.24 Accra Great Olympics vs Heart of Lions 2-0 55% 52% 5.2 27% 35% -21.7 18% 24% -25.2
03.03.24 Legon Cities FC vs Accra Lions 0-0 56% 55% 3.3 27% 34% -21.7 17% 22% -24.7
04.03.24 FC Samartex vs Nations FC 0-1 64% 65% -1.3 24% 30% -20.5 13% 17% -24.4
09.03.24 Accra Lions vs Berekum Chelsea 5-0 52% 50% 5.1 28% 35% -21.0 20% 27% -24.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 350 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

19 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Asante Kotoko 1803.05
2 Berekum Chelsea 1752.67
3 Bechem United 1745.78
4 Heart Of Oak 1743.33
5 Nsoatreman FC 1735.42
6 Bibiani Gold Stars FC 1730.10
7 Medeama SC 1719.55
8 FC Samartex 1707.97
9 Dreams FC 1679.73
10 Legon Cities FC 1672.12
11 Accra Lions 1671.10
12 Aduana Stars 1667.77
13 Karela FC 1667.02
14 Nations FC 1661.79
15 Young Apostles 1655.13
16 Heart of Lions 1652.44
17 Vision 1616.95
18 Holy Stars 1612.32
19 Eleven Wonders FC 1376.74

Away Ratings

19 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Asante Kotoko 1757.90
2 Accra Lions 1643.65
3 Heart of Lions 1617.46
4 Medeama SC 1613.59
5 Heart Of Oak 1608.43
6 Aduana Stars 1588.59
7 Holy Stars 1576.68
8 Bibiani Gold Stars FC 1542.60
9 Nsoatreman FC 1529.69
10 Dreams FC 1524.45
11 Nations FC 1516.74
12 FC Samartex 1503.03
13 Bechem United 1499.62
14 Karela FC 1483.88
15 Berekum Chelsea 1457.53
16 Legon Cities FC 1428.99
17 Vision 1428.39
18 Young Apostles 1418.82
19 Eleven Wonders FC 1409.73