ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 715
Avg Goals 2.39
Avg Home 1.58
Avg Away 0.82
Home Win % 56.4%
Draw % 25.9%
Away Win % 17.8%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 715
Avg Brier Score 0.5558
Pick Accuracy 56.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5585
Market Brier 0.5596
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 715 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 4.9% 41
10–20% 15.5% 12.1% 397
20–30% 25.6% 23.6% 776
30–40% 33.3% 36.2% 312
40–50% 45.1% 45.6% 204
50–60% 55.3% 58.4% 185
60–70% 64.4% 70.5% 176
70–80% 74.0% 81.5% 54
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
05.08.23 Coban Imperial vs CD Malacateco 1-3 63% 67% -6.4 24% 28% -15.0 14% 17% -18.6
06.08.23 Deportivo Achuapa vs CSD Municipal 2-2 28% 30% -8.6 29% 31% -4.9 43% 51% -16.1
06.08.23 Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua GFC 0-1 40% 39% 1.7 29% 33% -12.2 31% 40% -22.9
06.08.23 Guastatoya vs CD Zacapa 0-1 59% 65% -9.8 24% 27% -10.3 17% 20% -15.9
06.08.23 Xelaju MC vs Comunicaciones 2-0 41% 43% -4.5 32% 36% -12.8 28% 33% -17.1
12.08.23 CSD Municipal vs Antigua GFC 0-1 56% 56% -0.8 24% 29% -16.7 19% 26% -25.9
13.08.23 CD Malacateco vs Deportivo Coatepeque 1-0 66% 74% -10.8 22% 24% -7.9 13% 14% -9.3
13.08.23 Xelaju MC vs Deportivo Xinabajul 1-1 60% 63% -5.4 24% 29% -14.9 16% 20% -20.8
14.08.23 Comunicaciones vs Coban Imperial 2-0 60% 62% -3.8 24% 29% -17.0 15% 20% -22.6
19.08.23 Coban Imperial vs Xelaju MC 1-0 51% 54% -4.9 29% 34% -15.5 19% 24% -18.2
19.08.23 CSD Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco 3-1 73% 76% -3.4 18% 23% -21.5 9% 12% -26.1
19.08.23 Deportivo Coatepeque vs Comunicaciones 1-1 32% 36% -11.5 30% 32% -6.6 38% 44% -13.9
20.08.23 Antigua GFC vs CD Zacapa 1-0 68% 72% -6.1 20% 24% -16.0 12% 15% -22.3
20.08.23 CD Malacateco vs Deportivo Xinabajul 3-1 58% 63% -8.8 25% 29% -11.3 17% 20% -15.3
20.08.23 Deportivo Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-3 40% 43% -7.1 32% 36% -12.8 28% 33% -16.3
26.08.23 Deportivo Xinabajul vs Coban Imperial 3-3 47% 52% -8.9 28% 30% -8.8 25% 30% -16.9
26.08.23 Xelaju MC vs Deportivo Coatepeque 1-1 62% 66% -6.3 24% 28% -14.5 15% 18% -19.5
27.08.23 CD Zacapa vs CSD Municipal 0-1 40% 47% -14.0 31% 33% -8.1 29% 32% -9.0
27.08.23 Comunicaciones vs CD Malacateco 1-1 58% 61% -3.6 25% 29% -15.9 17% 22% -22.5
27.08.23 Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa 2-0 51% 53% -3.0 27% 31% -14.1 22% 29% -22.6
27.08.23 Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC 2-2 47% 50% -6.7 29% 33% -12.4 24% 29% -17.9
03.09.23 Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Coatepeque 2-1 62% 66% -5.9 24% 28% -14.9 14% 17% -19.3
03.09.23 Deportivo Mixco vs CD Zacapa 1-0 49% 53% -7.4 29% 33% -12.5 22% 26% -16.0
04.09.23 Xelaju MC vs CD Malacateco 1-0 47% 50% -5.4 28% 32% -12.2 24% 30% -19.6
10.09.23 CD Malacateco vs Coban Imperial 0-0 52% 56% -6.0 27% 31% -12.3 21% 26% -18.8
10.09.23 CD Zacapa vs Guastatoya 2-1 43% 48% -8.7 30% 33% -10.2 27% 31% -14.9
13.09.23 Deportivo Coatepeque vs Coban Imperial 3-0 46% 50% -8.9 29% 32% -10.2 25% 30% -15.9
14.09.23 Deportivo Xinabajul vs Comunicaciones 2-2 37% 39% -5.3 30% 32% -8.4 33% 41% -18.4
17.09.23 Antigua GFC vs CSD Municipal 0-2 51% 56% -9.2 28% 31% -10.6 21% 25% -15.4
17.09.23 Coban Imperial vs Comunicaciones 2-1 37% 38% -3.7 29% 32% -8.7 34% 42% -19.5
17.09.23 Deportivo Coatepeque vs CD Malacateco 0-2 46% 51% -10.1 28% 31% -9.2 26% 30% -15.8
17.09.23 Deportivo Mixco vs Guastatoya 1-0 44% 48% -7.5 29% 33% -11.6 26% 32% -18.0
18.09.23 Deportivo Xinabajul vs Xelaju MC 2-0 44% 45% -2.1 30% 34% -14.4 26% 33% -22.0
20.09.23 Deportivo Achuapa vs Antigua GFC 3-2 38% 42% -8.1 31% 34% -9.7 31% 37% -16.0
21.09.23 Comunicaciones vs Xelaju MC 2-1 65% 67% -2.4 23% 29% -21.7 12% 16% -25.4
21.09.23 Guastatoya vs CSD Municipal 3-1 39% 43% -8.3 32% 36% -11.5 29% 33% -13.6
24.09.23 Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Coatepeque 5-0 72% 75% -4.2 19% 23% -18.9 10% 13% -24.4
24.09.23 Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal 0-3 33% 36% -9.3 31% 33% -7.8 36% 43% -14.7
24.09.23 Guastatoya vs Deportivo Achuapa 1-2 61% 65% -5.9 24% 28% -15.3 15% 19% -21.2
25.09.23 Deportivo Xinabajul vs CD Malacateco 2-1 43% 45% -5.3 28% 31% -9.5 29% 36% -19.7
25.09.23 Xelaju MC vs Coban Imperial 1-0 57% 61% -6.5 26% 30% -13.8 17% 21% -18.1
27.09.23 CD Zacapa vs Antigua GFC 3-1 34% 38% -9.4 30% 33% -8.7 35% 42% -16.2
27.09.23 CSD Municipal vs Deportivo Achuapa 2-2 69% 73% -5.5 19% 22% -16.1 12% 17% -25.5
30.09.23 CSD Municipal vs CD Zacapa 4-2 72% 76% -5.1 17% 21% -16.2 10% 13% -24.0
01.10.23 Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya 1-0 61% 65% -4.9 23% 27% -13.9 16% 20% -21.6
01.10.23 CD Malacateco vs Comunicaciones 2-3 46% 50% -7.6 30% 34% -12.1 24% 29% -16.0
01.10.23 Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Xinabajul 2-0 57% 60% -6.0 25% 29% -12.7 18% 23% -20.2
01.10.23 Deportivo Achuapa vs Deportivo Mixco 2-0 59% 62% -5.6 25% 29% -13.9 17% 21% -20.3
01.10.23 Deportivo Coatepeque vs Xelaju MC 0-0 42% 45% -6.7 30% 33% -10.4 28% 33% -16.8
05.10.23 Antigua GFC vs Deportivo Mixco 2-2 66% 68% -4.2 21% 26% -18.7 13% 17% -25.2
05.10.23 CD Malacateco vs CSD Municipal 1-1 46% 51% -8.0 28% 31% -9.9 25% 31% -17.5
08.10.23 Xelaju MC vs Guastatoya 2-1 58% 62% -6.7 26% 30% -14.5 16% 19% -17.3
21.10.23 Coban Imperial vs CSD Municipal 2-2 38% 41% -7.7 32% 36% -11.3 31% 36% -15.7
21.10.23 Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC 2-1 65% 69% -6.4 22% 26% -14.9 13% 17% -20.9
22.10.23 Deportivo Coatepeque vs Guastatoya 0-1 45% 49% -8.3 28% 31% -9.0 27% 32% -16.8
28.10.23 Antigua GFC vs Coban Imperial 2-2 58% 62% -6.6 24% 28% -13.3 18% 22% -21.2
28.10.23 CSD Municipal vs Xelaju MC 1-0 61% 65% -6.1 23% 27% -14.0 16% 20% -21.6
29.10.23 Deportivo Mixco vs Comunicaciones 2-1 29% 32% -8.6 31% 33% -7.4 40% 47% -14.7
29.10.23 Guastatoya vs CD Malacateco 4-0 55% 61% -10.3 26% 29% -9.9 19% 23% -15.4
01.11.23 CD Zacapa vs Coban Imperial 3-1 46% 50% -8.2 29% 32% -10.9 25% 31% -17.5
01.11.23 Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Coatepeque 3-0 60% 65% -6.8 24% 27% -12.3 16% 20% -19.1
02.11.23 Antigua GFC vs CD Malacateco 4-2 62% 68% -9.2 22% 24% -7.8 16% 19% -16.8
05.11.23 Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Mixco 0-1 64% 68% -7.2 22% 25% -11.3 14% 17% -17.9
05.11.23 Comunicaciones vs Guastatoya 2-1 62% 66% -6.2 23% 26% -13.6 15% 19% -20.7
05.11.23 Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC 0-1 49% 52% -6.3 28% 31% -10.7 24% 29% -17.7
06.11.23 CD Malacateco vs Deportivo Achuapa 3-2 55% 59% -6.8 26% 29% -12.0 19% 24% -18.8
06.11.23 Deportivo Xinabajul vs CSD Municipal 0-2 34% 36% -4.3 30% 32% -7.9 36% 44% -18.7
12.11.23 Deportivo Achuapa vs Xelaju MC 1-0 45% 48% -4.5 29% 32% -11.4 26% 32% -19.6
13.11.23 Deportivo Xinabajul vs Deportivo Mixco 0-0 51% 53% -4.3 26% 30% -13.1 23% 29% -22.6
15.11.23 Comunicaciones vs CD Zacapa 2-2 70% 74% -4.5 19% 23% -17.8 11% 15% -25.1
18.11.23 CSD Municipal vs Comunicaciones 0-2 49% 52% -4.5 27% 30% -11.8 24% 30% -21.5
19.11.23 CD Malacateco vs Deportivo Mixco 3-0 60% 65% -7.0 24% 27% -12.1 16% 20% -18.8
19.11.23 Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Achuapa 1-1 60% 66% -8.1 23% 26% -11.5 16% 20% -18.8
19.11.23 Deportivo Coatepeque vs Antigua GFC 0-0 31% 33% -7.7 30% 32% -6.6 39% 47% -15.9
19.11.23 Guastatoya vs Deportivo Xinabajul 0-0 61% 64% -4.7 24% 28% -15.0 16% 20% -21.8
19.11.23 Xelaju MC vs CD Zacapa 1-0 62% 65% -4.9 23% 27% -15.5 15% 20% -23.4
26.11.23 Antigua GFC vs Deportivo Xinabajul 2-1 68% 71% -4.4 20% 24% -17.2 12% 17% -25.1
26.11.23 CD Zacapa vs CD Malacateco 4-0 53% 58% -9.0 27% 29% -9.3 21% 24% -15.0
26.11.23 CSD Municipal vs Deportivo Coatepeque 3-0 78% 81% -4.4 16% 20% -22.1 7% 9% -26.1
26.11.23 Deportivo Achuapa vs Comunicaciones 2-0 36% 38% -6.3 30% 32% -8.3 34% 42% -18.5
26.11.23 Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju MC 0-0 51% 56% -8.2 28% 32% -12.2 21% 24% -15.4
26.11.23 Guastatoya vs Coban Imperial 1-0 51% 55% -7.2 28% 31% -10.8 21% 25% -15.4
29.11.23 Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC 2-0 55% 61% -9.8 26% 29% -9.9 19% 22% -13.3
30.11.23 CD Malacateco vs Comunicaciones 2-0 37% 41% -8.7 30% 33% -8.9 32% 38% -15.8
30.11.23 CD Zacapa vs CSD Municipal 1-0 30% 31% -5.6 30% 32% -6.8 40% 49% -17.2
01.12.23 Xelaju MC vs Deportivo Achuapa 3-1 56% 60% -5.4 27% 31% -14.9 17% 21% -18.8
02.12.23 Comunicaciones vs CD Malacateco 5-0 58% 60% -3.0 23% 27% -14.4 18% 24% -24.6
03.12.23 Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya 0-0 59% 65% -8.4 25% 29% -11.6 16% 18% -13.9
03.12.23 CSD Municipal vs CD Zacapa 1-2 72% 74% -3.5 18% 22% -19.1 11% 14% -26.4
03.12.23 Deportivo Achuapa vs Xelaju MC 1-3 51% 55% -7.8 27% 31% -11.1 22% 27% -17.5
07.12.23 CD Zacapa vs Guastatoya 1-1 43% 48% -9.6 30% 33% -10.6 27% 32% -15.9
08.12.23 Xelaju MC vs Comunicaciones 2-2 37% 38% -1.3 32% 37% -13.1 31% 38% -19.0
09.12.23 Guastatoya vs CD Zacapa 3-1 57% 59% -3.7 26% 31% -16.2 17% 22% -21.2
11.12.23 Comunicaciones vs Xelaju MC 0-0 65% 67% -3.6 22% 27% -17.4 13% 17% -23.5
17.12.23 Guastatoya vs Comunicaciones 1-1 42% 44% -5.1 30% 34% -11.3 28% 34% -18.1
24.12.23 Comunicaciones vs Guastatoya 1-0 64% 68% -5.5 23% 27% -16.4 13% 17% -21.4
20.01.24 Antigua GFC vs Deportivo Achuapa 2-0 64% 68% -7.1 22% 25% -12.6 14% 18% -20.2
20.01.24 CSD Municipal vs Guastatoya 5-1 62% 65% -4.0 24% 29% -16.7 14% 18% -21.7
21.01.24 CD Malacateco vs Xelaju MC 1-0 48% 51% -4.5 29% 34% -13.8 23% 28% -18.9
21.01.24 CD Zacapa vs Deportivo Mixco 1-0 56% 60% -7.3 25% 29% -11.4 19% 23% -18.4
Showing the 100 most recent of 715 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CSD Municipal 1844.25
2 Xelaju MC 1770.96
3 Antigua GFC 1751.94
4 CD Marquense 1735.63
5 Deportivo Mixco 1708.53
6 Comunicaciones 1708.35
7 Guastatoya 1705.99
8 Coban Imperial 1700.99
9 CD Malacateco 1686.02
10 Deportivo San Pedro 1667.54
11 CD Suchitepequez 1629.64
12 Aurora FC 1605.37

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CSD Municipal 1707.39
2 Antigua GFC 1664.26
3 Xelaju MC 1636.68
4 Comunicaciones 1584.34
5 Coban Imperial 1528.13
6 Deportivo Mixco 1527.88
7 Deportivo San Pedro 1522.72
8 CD Marquense 1520.55
9 Guastatoya 1518.95
10 Aurora FC 1506.39
11 CD Malacateco 1497.16
12 CD Suchitepequez 1441.09