ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 526
Avg Goals 2.66
Avg Home 1.86
Avg Away 0.80
Home Win % 62.4%
Draw % 24.1%
Away Win % 13.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 526
Avg Brier Score 0.5135
Pick Accuracy 62.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5064
Market Brier 0.5155
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'draw' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 526 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.4% 3.3% 61
10–20% 15.4% 10.1% 308
20–30% 25.5% 23.2% 603
30–40% 33.7% 33.9% 121
40–50% 45.5% 47.1% 121
50–60% 55.1% 63.4% 175
60–70% 64.2% 71.9% 135
70–80% 74.6% 83.7% 43
80–90% 82.9% 100.0% 11
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 Aurora FC vs San Benito FC 1-1 61% 67% -8.6 25% 27% -9.3 14% 17% -18.6
06.08.23 CSyD Sacachispas vs Cuilapa FC 1-0 58% 66% -12.6 26% 28% -5.6 16% 18% -10.5
06.08.23 Deportivo Iztapa vs CD Suchitepequez 3-1 55% 62% -11.9 27% 29% -6.4 18% 21% -13.6
06.08.23 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion vs Juventud Copalera 1-1 55% 63% -13.7 27% 29% -5.1 18% 20% -8.8
06.08.23 Deportivo San Pedro vs CSD Solola 0-0 64% 72% -11.6 24% 26% -7.5 12% 13% -9.9
06.08.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs Deportivo Fraijanes 1-2 55% 62% -11.9 27% 29% -6.1 18% 21% -12.9
06.08.23 Quiche FC vs La Democracia FC 0-3 62% 71% -12.3 24% 25% -3.9 14% 15% -10.3
06.08.23 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs CD Marquense 0-2 46% 52% -10.5 29% 31% -6.7 24% 29% -14.3
07.08.23 CD Mictlan vs Barberena FC 1-2 57% 65% -10.9 27% 29% -7.0 16% 18% -12.1
13.08.23 Barberena FC vs CSyD Sacachispas 1-1 49% 55% -11.4 30% 32% -8.4 22% 25% -13.0
13.08.23 CD Mictlan vs Juventud Pinulteca 0-2 49% 55% -10.6 29% 31% -7.8 22% 26% -15.1
13.08.23 CD Suchitepequez vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1-0 47% 51% -7.0 30% 33% -11.1 23% 29% -20.3
13.08.23 CSD Comunicaciones II vs Deportivo Fraijanes 3-1 53% 61% -13.2 28% 30% -7.3 19% 22% -11.2
13.08.23 CSD Solola vs Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 1-1 52% 59% -11.8 28% 30% -7.3 20% 23% -13.4
13.08.23 Cuilapa FC vs Aurora FC 0-1 32% 34% -6.0 30% 32% -6.9 38% 47% -18.1
13.08.23 Deportivo Iztapa vs Quiche FC 0-0 56% 65% -13.7 27% 29% -5.1 16% 17% -5.3
13.08.23 Juventud Copalera vs La Democracia FC 1-1 44% 49% -10.8 30% 32% -8.2 27% 32% -16.6
16.08.23 Aurora FC vs Barberena FC 0-0 58% 65% -10.0 26% 29% -7.9 16% 18% -14.1
16.08.23 CSyD Sacachispas vs CD Mictlan 1-1 56% 63% -11.8 26% 28% -5.6 18% 21% -13.8
16.08.23 Deportivo Fraijanes vs San Benito FC 0-1 48% 51% -6.0 28% 31% -9.1 23% 29% -20.5
16.08.23 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion vs CD Marquense 1-1 41% 45% -10.9 31% 33% -8.3 29% 34% -14.7
16.08.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs CSD Comunicaciones II 2-1 53% 59% -9.3 27% 29% -8.0 20% 24% -17.8
16.08.23 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Deportivo Iztapa 0-0 38% 41% -6.9 30% 32% -7.7 32% 40% -19.4
17.08.23 Quiche FC vs Juventud Copalera 0-0 52% 58% -9.5 28% 31% -9.1 20% 24% -17.2
23.08.23 Barberena FC vs CD Heredia 3-1 52% 60% -12.9 28% 30% -7.0 19% 22% -10.8
23.08.23 CSD Solola vs Juventud Copalera 1-1 54% 60% -9.8 28% 31% -9.3 18% 21% -14.6
23.08.23 Cuilapa FC vs Deportivo Fraijanes 1-0 38% 39% -1.8 30% 32% -8.2 32% 41% -21.9
23.08.23 Deportivo Iztapa vs Deportivo San Pedro 4-0 59% 67% -12.4 25% 27% -5.2 16% 18% -12.4
23.08.23 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC 0-0 48% 53% -9.5 29% 31% -8.6 23% 29% -18.4
24.08.23 CD Marquense vs La Democracia FC 4-1 64% 72% -10.7 23% 25% -6.4 12% 14% -13.4
24.08.23 CD Suchitepequez vs Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 6-3 57% 62% -8.1 26% 29% -9.6 17% 21% -19.7
24.08.23 CSyD Sacachispas vs Juventud Pinulteca 0-0 50% 56% -9.7 29% 32% -10.0 21% 25% -16.9
27.08.23 Aurora FC vs CSyD Sacachispas 1-0 52% 58% -10.7 30% 33% -10.2 18% 21% -11.4
27.08.23 CSD Comunicaciones II vs Cuilapa FC 2-0 73% 79% -7.7 20% 22% -11.7 8% 10% -18.8
27.08.23 Deportivo Fraijanes vs Barberena FC 3-3 39% 42% -6.5 30% 33% -8.7 31% 38% -18.9
27.08.23 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion vs Deportivo Iztapa 2-2 37% 42% -11.6 30% 32% -7.2 33% 39% -15.3
27.08.23 Deportivo San Pedro vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 3-1 67% 75% -10.1 23% 26% -9.8 10% 11% -12.4
27.08.23 Juventud Copalera vs CD Marquense 1-1 35% 39% -10.2 31% 33% -7.8 34% 40% -14.8
27.08.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs San Benito FC 4-2 65% 70% -8.1 23% 26% -10.4 12% 15% -20.1
27.08.23 Quiche FC vs CSD Solola 2-0 45% 50% -9.6 29% 31% -6.5 26% 31% -16.7
01.09.23 Aurora FC vs Juventud Pinulteca 1-2 49% 55% -10.9 29% 32% -8.6 22% 25% -13.6
02.09.23 CSyD Sacachispas vs CD Heredia 2-0 56% 65% -13.2 26% 27% -3.7 18% 21% -12.2
03.09.23 Barberena FC vs CSD Comunicaciones II 1-1 38% 42% -8.8 31% 34% -8.7 31% 37% -16.2
03.09.23 CD Marquense vs CSD Solola 1-0 60% 66% -8.8 25% 28% -9.4 15% 18% -18.3
03.09.23 CD Mictlan vs Deportivo Fraijanes 2-0 47% 49% -3.5 29% 32% -10.4 24% 31% -22.0
03.09.23 CD Suchitepequez vs Juventud Copalera 1-0 57% 61% -6.6 26% 29% -9.6 18% 22% -20.9
03.09.23 Cuilapa FC vs San Benito FC 1-2 43% 47% -8.5 30% 33% -9.4 27% 33% -18.2
03.09.23 Deportivo San Pedro vs Quiche FC 1-0 54% 60% -9.8 27% 29% -7.9 19% 22% -16.3
03.09.23 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 4-3 55% 61% -10.1 26% 29% -7.5 18% 22% -17.1
06.09.23 Deportivo Fraijanes vs CD Heredia 3-1 43% 48% -9.4 27% 28% -2.5 30% 36% -18.1
10.09.23 CD Marquense vs Quiche FC 1-1 59% 64% -8.1 25% 28% -9.9 16% 21% -21.2
10.09.23 CSD Solola vs CD Suchitepequez 1-3 52% 56% -8.7 28% 30% -8.8 21% 26% -18.9
10.09.23 Cuilapa FC vs Juventud Pinulteca 2-1 29% 31% -8.6 28% 29% -3.8 43% 51% -15.9
10.09.23 Deportivo Fraijanes vs CSyD Sacachispas 0-1 44% 48% -7.0 30% 32% -8.5 26% 32% -18.8
10.09.23 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion vs Deportivo San Pedro 1-1 45% 53% -14.5 29% 30% -5.1 26% 29% -10.8
10.09.23 Juventud Copalera vs Deportivo Iztapa 4-3 42% 47% -10.0 32% 36% -9.8 26% 29% -11.7
13.09.23 Aurora FC vs Deportivo Fraijanes 1-0 59% 65% -8.2 26% 29% -9.7 15% 18% -17.6
13.09.23 Deportivo Iztapa vs CSD Solola 5-0 68% 77% -11.4 21% 22% -3.3 10% 11% -9.3
13.09.23 Deportivo San Pedro vs La Democracia FC 2-1 52% 59% -11.9 27% 29% -5.5 21% 25% -15.2
13.09.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs CD Heredia 1-0 66% 75% -12.8 22% 22% -0.9 12% 14% -9.7
13.09.23 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Juventud Copalera 3-0 55% 61% -10.6 27% 29% -7.6 18% 21% -14.5
14.09.23 Barberena FC vs Cuilapa FC 5-2 56% 59% -4.0 26% 30% -13.6 17% 23% -24.7
14.09.23 CD Mictlan vs San Benito FC 1-0 46% 48% -2.7 29% 32% -10.6 25% 32% -23.0
14.09.23 Quiche FC vs Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 3-0 60% 65% -8.4 25% 28% -10.2 15% 19% -20.2
17.09.23 Deportivo San Pedro vs Juventud Copalera 1-1 62% 70% -10.8 25% 26% -6.6 13% 15% -11.8
17.09.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs Barberena FC 4-0 62% 67% -7.7 24% 26% -9.9 14% 18% -21.2
17.09.23 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs CSD Solola 2-0 58% 67% -12.9 26% 28% -5.7 16% 17% -9.4
24.09.23 Barberena FC vs CD Mictlan 2-0 53% 57% -6.5 27% 30% -10.7 20% 25% -21.8
24.09.23 CD Suchitepequez vs Deportivo Iztapa 1-1 48% 56% -14.0 27% 28% -3.0 25% 29% -13.4
24.09.23 CSD Comunicaciones II vs CD Heredia 1-0 67% 77% -12.8 20% 19% 5.6 13% 14% -10.1
24.09.23 CSD Solola vs Deportivo San Pedro 1-1 46% 53% -13.0 30% 32% -7.7 24% 27% -11.4
24.09.23 Cuilapa FC vs CSyD Sacachispas 3-0 33% 36% -9.6 30% 32% -7.1 37% 44% -16.4
24.09.23 Deportivo Fraijanes vs Juventud Pinulteca 3-2 44% 50% -11.6 29% 31% -5.8 27% 31% -14.2
24.09.23 Juventud Copalera vs Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 2-2 50% 56% -10.6 28% 30% -7.2 22% 26% -15.6
27.09.23 Aurora FC vs Cuilapa FC 2-0 64% 68% -6.2 24% 28% -13.3 12% 15% -21.4
27.09.23 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion vs CSD Solola 1-1 54% 62% -12.5 26% 28% -4.9 19% 22% -13.5
27.09.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs CD Mictlan 3-0 65% 71% -9.2 22% 24% -6.9 13% 16% -19.0
27.09.23 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs CD Suchitepequez 4-0 51% 58% -11.2 28% 30% -7.1 21% 24% -13.7
28.09.23 CSyD Sacachispas vs Barberena FC 1-0 53% 58% -8.4 29% 32% -10.6 18% 22% -16.1
28.09.23 Quiche FC vs Deportivo Iztapa 2-1 45% 51% -11.5 29% 31% -6.5 25% 29% -13.6
01.10.23 Barberena FC vs Aurora FC 3-0 46% 51% -9.2 30% 33% -9.5 24% 29% -16.1
01.10.23 CD Marquense vs Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 2-0 66% 72% -8.7 22% 24% -8.7 12% 15% -19.0
01.10.23 CD Mictlan vs CSyD Sacachispas 1-1 50% 56% -10.9 29% 32% -8.7 20% 23% -12.5
01.10.23 CSD Comunicaciones II vs Juventud Pinulteca 4-3 47% 53% -10.2 29% 32% -8.8 23% 28% -16.1
01.10.23 CSD Solola vs La Democracia FC 2-3 48% 55% -13.4 28% 29% -3.6 25% 29% -12.9
01.10.23 Cuilapa FC vs CD Heredia 5-3 46% 53% -14.2 29% 31% -6.4 25% 28% -10.5
01.10.23 Deportivo Iztapa vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 5-0 56% 62% -10.9 26% 28% -6.2 18% 22% -16.0
01.10.23 Juventud Copalera vs Quiche FC 1-0 45% 50% -10.8 30% 32% -7.9 26% 30% -15.2
11.10.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs CSyD Sacachispas 5-0 59% 66% -10.2 25% 27% -6.9 15% 18% -15.4
11.10.23 Universidad San Carlos vs San Benito FC 0-0 59% 65% -9.2 25% 27% -8.4 17% 21% -20.2
18.10.23 Deportivo Fraijanes vs CD Mictlan 3-2 47% 50% -6.6 29% 32% -9.7 24% 30% -20.2
18.10.23 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 2-2 43% 48% -9.9 28% 29% -2.9 29% 35% -16.3
18.10.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs Aurora FC 1-0 58% 65% -11.3 25% 26% -5.8 17% 21% -17.2
18.10.23 Universidad San Carlos vs Barberena FC 2-3 61% 69% -11.7 24% 25% -5.7 15% 18% -17.1
22.10.23 Juventud Pinulteca vs CSyD Sacachispas 5-0 58% 65% -10.9 25% 27% -6.9 17% 20% -16.9
22.10.23 Universidad San Carlos vs San Benito FC 0-0 59% 65% -8.8 24% 26% -7.2 17% 21% -19.8
25.10.23 Barberena FC vs Deportivo Fraijanes 3-0 59% 65% -9.2 25% 27% -6.6 16% 20% -17.6
25.10.23 CSD Solola vs Quiche FC 1-0 45% 51% -11.7 28% 30% -6.2 27% 32% -16.4
25.10.23 Cuilapa FC vs Universidad San Carlos 2-0 36% 41% -11.8 29% 31% -5.2 35% 41% -14.7
25.10.23 Deportivo Iztapa vs Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 1-0 66% 75% -10.9 21% 22% -3.9 13% 15% -18.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 526 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

31 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Csd Chiquimulilla 1740.48
2 CSyD Sacachispas 1730.05
3 Deportivo Coatepeque 1698.17
4 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1665.44
5 Universidad San Carlos 1662.73
6 CF Universidad 1641.30
7 CD Heredia 1639.90
8 Quiche FC 1637.43
9 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 1627.20
10 CS Deportivo Chiquimulilla 1606.66
11 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1602.47
12 FC La Libertad 1600.00
13 Gualan FC 1600.00
14 Aguacatan FC 1600.00
15 Huehuetecos FC 1599.25
16 CSD Ipala 1587.66
17 AFF Guatemala 1577.58
18 Juventud Pinulteca 1555.42
19 Chichicasteco FC 1545.43
20 Deportivo Iztapa 1540.42
21 Deportivo Gomerano 1539.34
22 Chimaltenango FC 1512.06
23 Juventud Copalera 1508.81
24 La Democracia FC 1506.14
25 Deportivo Carcha 1497.69
26 San Benito FC 1474.78
27 Deportivo Fraijanes 1466.20
28 Cuilapa FC 1462.30
29 CSD Solola 1411.02
30 Barberena FC 1347.82
31 Pajapita FC 1305.10

Away Ratings

31 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CSyD Sacachispas 1567.45
2 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1505.12
3 Csd Chiquimulilla 1501.86
4 CF Universidad 1481.53
5 CS Deportivo Chiquimulilla 1469.08
6 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1465.96
7 Juventud Pinulteca 1455.43
8 San Benito FC 1449.69
9 Deportivo Gomerano 1444.70
10 Deportivo Iztapa 1426.29
11 Deportivo Coatepeque 1422.44
12 Deportivo Nueva Concepcion 1422.41
13 Universidad San Carlos 1420.19
14 CSD Ipala 1403.61
15 Chichicasteco FC 1403.01
16 AFF Guatemala 1401.24
17 Quiche FC 1381.96
18 Huehuetecos FC 1372.19
19 Aguacatan FC 1364.66
20 La Democracia FC 1362.21
21 Juventud Copalera 1361.53
22 Chimaltenango FC 1342.25
23 CD Heredia 1335.34
24 FC La Libertad 1320.65
25 Cuilapa FC 1305.65
26 Deportivo Carcha 1281.19
27 Barberena FC 1214.79
28 CSD Solola 1197.08
29 Gualan FC 1196.68
30 Pajapita FC 1173.74
31 Deportivo Fraijanes 1157.86