ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 710
Avg Goals 2.51
Avg Home 1.39
Avg Away 1.12
Home Win % 43.5%
Draw % 27.2%
Away Win % 29.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 710
Avg Brier Score 0.6264
Pick Accuracy 46.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6287
Market Brier 0.6266
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 710 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.3% 16.7% 6
10–20% 16.5% 16.8% 137
20–30% 26.7% 27.7% 996
30–40% 34.5% 31.7% 470
40–50% 44.1% 43.8% 308
50–60% 54.2% 52.8% 142
60–70% 63.4% 71.9% 64
70–80% 75.2% 71.4% 7
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
30.07.23 BVSC Zuglo vs Szombathelyi Haladas 1-0 36% 38% -5.6 28% 30% -8.8 37% 44% -17.3
30.07.23 Csakvari TK vs Budapest Honved 1-2 27% 31% -15.1 28% 30% -8.9 46% 51% -9.2
30.07.23 FC Ajka vs Soroksar SC Budapest 1-1 54% 59% -8.2 25% 29% -11.9 21% 25% -16.8
30.07.23 Kazincbarcika BSC vs Szeged 2011 FC 0-1 33% 36% -7.9 30% 33% -11.1 37% 43% -13.8
30.07.23 Kozarmisleny SE vs Tiszakecske FC 1-2 43% 49% -12.5 28% 31% -9.0 29% 31% -7.5
30.07.23 Vasas Budapest vs Budafoki MTE 0-1 62% 67% -6.9 23% 26% -14.0 15% 18% -18.1
05.08.23 Szeged 2011 FC vs Vasas Budapest 4-3 29% 32% -11.0 29% 32% -10.0 42% 48% -11.2
06.08.23 Budafoki MTE vs FC Ajka 2-0 39% 44% -11.6 29% 32% -10.3 32% 36% -11.0
06.08.23 Budapest Honved vs Kozarmisleny SE 1-2 61% 66% -7.5 22% 25% -11.4 17% 21% -18.4
06.08.23 Csakvari TK vs Szombathelyi Haladas 4-2 37% 40% -6.8 28% 31% -10.1 35% 42% -16.9
06.08.23 Györi ETO FC vs BVSC Zuglo 4-0 59% 65% -9.5 23% 26% -10.1 18% 21% -15.3
06.08.23 Soroksar SC Budapest vs Gyirmot SE 1-0 37% 42% -10.5 29% 32% -10.3 34% 38% -12.2
06.08.23 Tiszakecske FC vs Nyiregyhazi Spartacus 1-1 37% 42% -11.9 29% 32% -10.1 34% 38% -10.8
13.08.23 BFC Siofok vs Tiszakecske FC 1-1 42% 48% -10.9 29% 32% -11.4 29% 33% -12.9
13.08.23 BVSC Zuglo vs Soroksar SC Budapest 1-2 36% 42% -12.7 29% 32% -10.5 35% 39% -11.4
13.08.23 Csakvari TK vs Györi ETO FC 1-2 33% 36% -7.9 28% 31% -9.2 39% 45% -14.8
13.08.23 FC Ajka vs Szeged 2011 FC 0-0 40% 43% -9.1 29% 33% -12.1 31% 36% -14.2
13.08.23 Gyirmot SE vs Budafoki MTE 1-1 39% 43% -8.2 29% 32% -11.3 32% 38% -15.9
13.08.23 Kozarmisleny SE vs Szombathelyi Haladas 2-0 43% 47% -8.6 28% 31% -10.7 30% 35% -15.2
13.08.23 Nyiregyhazi Spartacus vs Budapest Honved 0-0 36% 42% -14.2 29% 32% -10.4 35% 39% -9.9
13.08.23 Vasas Budapest vs Mosonmagyarovar TE 5-1 62% 67% -7.3 23% 26% -13.6 15% 18% -17.2
16.08.23 Budafoki MTE vs BVSC Zuglo 2-0 58% 65% -9.5 24% 27% -11.5 18% 21% -14.9
16.08.23 Budapest Honved vs Tiszakecske FC 2-1 50% 53% -5.7 26% 30% -12.7 24% 29% -18.8
16.08.23 Györi ETO FC vs Kozarmisleny SE 2-1 58% 65% -11.2 24% 27% -8.6 18% 19% -7.7
16.08.23 Mosonmagyarovar TE vs FC Ajka 0-2 30% 32% -6.4 28% 31% -9.1 41% 49% -15.2
16.08.23 Pecsi MFC vs Vasas Budapest 0-0 28% 31% -9.2 29% 31% -8.6 43% 49% -11.7
16.08.23 Soroksar SC Budapest vs Csakvari TK 2-0 47% 53% -11.3 25% 27% -6.2 27% 31% -12.9
16.08.23 Szeged 2011 FC vs Gyirmot SE 1-1 46% 50% -8.3 28% 31% -11.5 26% 31% -15.2
19.08.23 BFC Siofok vs Budapest Honved 2-1 31% 36% -12.6 28% 31% -9.2 40% 45% -11.1
19.08.23 BVSC Zuglo vs Szeged 2011 FC 0-1 31% 35% -12.7 28% 31% -8.9 41% 45% -10.0
19.08.23 Csakvari TK vs Budafoki MTE 0-1 37% 41% -10.5 29% 33% -11.7 34% 39% -13.2
19.08.23 FC Ajka vs Pecsi MFC 0-2 46% 50% -8.4 29% 33% -13.2 25% 29% -14.0
19.08.23 Kozarmisleny SE vs Soroksar SC Budapest 2-1 39% 44% -12.3 28% 31% -9.6 33% 37% -11.6
19.08.23 Tiszakecske FC vs Szombathelyi Haladas 2-3 42% 44% -5.9 29% 32% -11.3 30% 35% -15.8
19.08.23 Vasas Budapest vs Kazincbarcika BSC 2-2 60% 65% -6.8 23% 27% -12.6 17% 20% -17.2
27.08.23 Budafoki MTE vs Kozarmisleny SE 1-2 46% 50% -8.7 28% 31% -11.3 27% 31% -14.8
27.08.23 Györi ETO FC vs Tiszakecske FC 2-0 59% 65% -9.3 23% 26% -9.1 18% 21% -13.7
27.08.23 Kazincbarcika BSC vs FC Ajka 1-0 41% 47% -11.1 29% 32% -10.5 30% 33% -10.8
27.08.23 Mosonmagyarovar TE vs BVSC Zuglo 3-3 38% 41% -7.5 28% 31% -9.6 34% 40% -15.1
27.08.23 Soroksar SC Budapest vs Nyiregyhazi Spartacus 1-2 36% 40% -9.1 29% 32% -10.2 35% 40% -13.3
27.08.23 Szeged 2011 FC vs Csakvari TK 0-2 51% 56% -9.7 26% 29% -10.7 23% 27% -13.9
27.08.23 Vasas Budapest vs BFC Siofok 4-0 58% 62% -7.5 24% 28% -12.8 18% 22% -17.2
28.08.23 Budapest Honved vs Szombathelyi Haladas 1-2 47% 50% -6.2 27% 30% -11.7 26% 32% -18.4
03.09.23 Budapest Honved vs Györi ETO FC 2-1 33% 36% -8.4 28% 30% -8.3 40% 47% -15.1
03.09.23 BVSC Zuglo vs Pecsi MFC 0-0 34% 38% -10.6 29% 32% -9.9 37% 42% -11.8
03.09.23 Csakvari TK vs Mosonmagyarovar TE 2-0 48% 52% -7.0 27% 30% -10.9 25% 29% -15.5
03.09.23 FC Ajka vs Vasas Budapest 1-2 29% 31% -6.1 29% 31% -8.5 42% 49% -13.8
03.09.23 Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged 2011 FC 1-1 38% 43% -12.1 29% 32% -10.4 33% 37% -11.2
03.09.23 Nyiregyhazi Spartacus vs Budafoki MTE 2-0 43% 47% -7.8 28% 32% -11.8 29% 34% -15.5
03.09.23 Tiszakecske FC vs Soroksar SC Budapest 1-0 38% 42% -8.6 29% 32% -11.1 33% 39% -15.3
24.09.23 Budafoki MTE vs Tiszakecske FC 2-1 50% 55% -9.5 27% 31% -12.2 23% 26% -13.2
24.09.23 FC Ajka vs BFC Siofok 0-2 51% 57% -11.1 27% 31% -11.4 22% 24% -10.2
24.09.23 Kazincbarcika BSC vs BVSC Zuglo 2-2 47% 51% -7.7 28% 31% -11.9 26% 31% -16.0
24.09.23 Mosonmagyarovar TE vs Kozarmisleny SE 1-1 29% 30% -5.5 28% 30% -7.9 43% 51% -15.2
24.09.23 Pecsi MFC vs Csakvari TK 0-1 47% 52% -9.5 29% 33% -13.4 24% 28% -12.8
24.09.23 Soroksar SC Budapest vs Budapest Honved 1-1 37% 41% -8.7 28% 31% -9.1 35% 41% -14.8
24.09.23 Szeged 2011 FC vs Nyiregyhazi Spartacus 1-1 41% 45% -9.6 29% 33% -11.9 30% 34% -12.9
24.09.23 Vasas Budapest vs Gyirmot SE 2-0 57% 62% -8.3 24% 28% -12.1 18% 22% -15.8
27.09.23 BVSC Zuglo vs Vasas Budapest 0-2 23% 24% -7.7 27% 29% -7.2 51% 60% -14.3
27.09.23 Csakvari TK vs Kazincbarcika BSC 0-0 39% 43% -8.6 30% 34% -12.3 31% 36% -13.7
27.09.23 Gyirmot SE vs FC Ajka 2-1 44% 51% -12.2 28% 31% -9.4 28% 31% -9.8
27.09.23 Kozarmisleny SE vs Pecsi MFC 3-0 42% 48% -11.5 29% 32% -11.3 29% 33% -12.3
27.09.23 Szombathelyi Haladas vs Soroksar SC Budapest 2-1 46% 51% -10.6 27% 30% -9.8 27% 31% -12.7
27.09.23 Tiszakecske FC vs Szeged 2011 FC 2-2 33% 36% -9.8 30% 33% -10.8 37% 43% -12.0
28.09.23 Budapest Honved vs Budafoki MTE 2-2 43% 48% -9.1 28% 32% -12.0 28% 33% -15.1
01.10.23 Budafoki MTE vs Szombathelyi Haladas 0-1 41% 44% -8.3 29% 32% -11.1 31% 36% -14.4
01.10.23 FC Ajka vs BVSC Zuglo 0-1 52% 57% -9.6 26% 29% -10.9 22% 26% -13.6
01.10.23 Kazincbarcika BSC vs Kozarmisleny SE 1-0 40% 43% -8.0 29% 32% -10.8 31% 36% -14.2
01.10.23 Mosonmagyarovar TE vs Tiszakecske FC 0-2 35% 38% -9.4 30% 33% -11.1 36% 41% -12.9
01.10.23 Soroksar SC Budapest vs Györi ETO FC 1-3 27% 30% -11.2 27% 29% -7.6 46% 53% -12.8
01.10.23 Szeged 2011 FC vs Budapest Honved 1-0 44% 49% -10.6 28% 32% -11.8 28% 32% -13.4
01.10.23 Vasas Budapest vs Csakvari TK 1-1 63% 68% -8.2 22% 26% -12.5 15% 17% -15.6
08.10.23 BFC Siofok vs Soroksar SC Budapest 0-1 40% 45% -11.6 29% 32% -10.6 31% 35% -11.1
08.10.23 Budapest Honved vs Mosonmagyarovar TE 3-1 62% 68% -9.1 22% 26% -12.3 15% 18% -16.0
08.10.23 BVSC Zuglo vs Gyirmot SE 0-3 33% 36% -8.8 29% 32% -10.0 38% 44% -13.6
08.10.23 Csakvari TK vs FC Ajka 1-0 38% 43% -11.7 30% 35% -12.7 32% 36% -10.4
08.10.23 Györi ETO FC vs Budafoki MTE 4-1 59% 64% -7.9 25% 29% -12.9 16% 19% -13.6
08.10.23 Kozarmisleny SE vs Vasas Budapest 4-3 29% 32% -9.9 29% 32% -9.9 42% 48% -12.0
08.10.23 Szombathelyi Haladas vs Szeged 2011 FC 1-1 41% 45% -10.4 29% 33% -11.7 30% 34% -11.9
08.10.23 Tiszakecske FC vs Pecsi MFC 0-0 41% 47% -11.6 30% 34% -12.2 29% 31% -8.5
22.10.23 Budafoki MTE vs Soroksar SC Budapest 0-0 44% 50% -11.4 29% 32% -11.5 27% 31% -11.6
22.10.23 BVSC Zuglo vs BFC Siofok 2-0 43% 48% -9.7 28% 31% -9.9 29% 34% -13.7
22.10.23 FC Ajka vs Kozarmisleny SE 0-3 39% 43% -8.7 29% 33% -11.9 32% 37% -14.2
22.10.23 Gyirmot SE vs Csakvari TK 2-1 48% 53% -9.6 28% 31% -11.5 25% 29% -13.3
22.10.23 Kazincbarcika BSC vs Tiszakecske FC 2-2 42% 47% -9.1 30% 34% -12.7 28% 32% -12.8
22.10.23 Pecsi MFC vs Budapest Honved 0-0 37% 42% -11.5 30% 33% -11.2 34% 38% -11.2
22.10.23 Szeged 2011 FC vs Györi ETO FC 1-1 30% 33% -11.2 30% 33% -11.4 41% 47% -12.1
22.10.23 Vasas Budapest vs Nyiregyhazi Spartacus 3-0 44% 49% -8.8 27% 30% -10.5 28% 34% -16.2
29.10.23 BFC Siofok vs Budafoki MTE 3-1 37% 42% -11.7 29% 32% -10.5 34% 38% -11.9
29.10.23 Budapest Honved vs Kazincbarcika BSC 0-1 51% 56% -9.3 27% 30% -12.1 22% 26% -14.8
29.10.23 Csakvari TK vs BVSC Zuglo 0-1 46% 51% -8.8 28% 31% -11.0 26% 30% -13.7
29.10.23 Kozarmisleny SE vs Gyirmot SE 2-2 40% 43% -7.7 28% 31% -10.2 32% 38% -15.7
29.10.23 Nyiregyhazi Spartacus vs FC Ajka 2-1 58% 65% -9.5 25% 28% -11.2 17% 19% -11.1
29.10.23 Soroksar SC Budapest vs Szeged 2011 FC 1-1 35% 39% -10.4 30% 33% -11.1 35% 40% -11.9
29.10.23 Tiszakecske FC vs Vasas Budapest 1-2 26% 29% -10.3 28% 30% -8.5 46% 53% -12.8
05.11.23 BVSC Zuglo vs Kozarmisleny SE 0-1 34% 38% -10.3 29% 32% -10.7 37% 43% -14.1
05.11.23 Csakvari TK vs BFC Siofok 1-0 45% 50% -9.1 28% 31% -11.1 27% 31% -14.3
05.11.23 FC Ajka vs Tiszakecske FC 1-0 43% 48% -9.8 29% 32% -11.0 28% 32% -12.1
05.11.23 Mosonmagyarovar TE vs Soroksar SC Budapest 0-2 31% 35% -11.4 28% 31% -9.2 41% 47% -12.4
05.11.23 Szeged 2011 FC vs Budafoki MTE 1-0 49% 54% -9.8 27% 31% -10.8 24% 27% -11.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 710 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Kecskemeti TE 1747.38
2 Fehervar FC 1678.35
3 Diosgyor DVTK 1659.15
4 Tiszakecske FC 1639.22
5 Bekescsaba 1912 Elore 1625.50
6 Gyirmot SE 1623.20
7 Kazincbarcika BSC 1612.80
8 Mezökövesdi SE 1603.26
9 Soroksar SC Budapest 1591.97
10 Budafoki MTE 1580.44
11 BVSC Zuglo 1579.09
12 Szeged 2011 FC 1555.72
13 FC Ajka 1555.60
14 Szentlorinc SE 1539.41
15 Karcag SE 1510.27
16 Kozarmisleny SE 1478.85
17 Csakvari TK 1470.42
18 UFC Nagykanizsa 1457.03

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Kecskemeti TE 1665.22
2 Gyirmot SE 1630.80
3 Diosgyor DVTK 1622.90
4 Mezökövesdi SE 1616.02
5 Soroksar SC Budapest 1594.37
6 Szeged 2011 FC 1592.97
7 Fehervar FC 1584.87
8 Kazincbarcika BSC 1578.79
9 Tiszakecske FC 1575.43
10 BVSC Zuglo 1527.74
11 Bekescsaba 1912 Elore 1527.27
12 Budafoki MTE 1524.93
13 FC Ajka 1507.96
14 Karcag SE 1460.19
15 Kozarmisleny SE 1446.50
16 Szentlorinc SE 1434.25
17 UFC Nagykanizsa 1407.09
18 Csakvari TK 1387.88