ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 581
Avg Goals 2.94
Avg Home 1.62
Avg Away 1.33
Home Win % 43.7%
Draw % 24.6%
Away Win % 31.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 581
Avg Brier Score 0.6016
Pick Accuracy 50.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6013
Market Brier 0.6019
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 4
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 3 of 581 matches had at least one · staked 4.00, profit -4.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.8% 0.0% 17
10–20% 16.7% 18.2% 165
20–30% 25.7% 24.2% 782
30–40% 34.6% 33.4% 287
40–50% 44.5% 47.9% 282
50–60% 55.1% 57.0% 128
60–70% 64.5% 68.5% 54
70–80% 73.4% 74.1% 27
80–90% 80.2% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.07.23 MTK Budapest vs Paks SE 1-1 36% 41% -11.6 25% 27% -5.5 39% 43% -9.0
29.07.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Puskas FC 0-1 35% 39% -9.8 27% 29% -8.4 38% 42% -9.6
29.07.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Fehervar FC 2-1 42% 47% -10.4 27% 29% -8.0 31% 34% -7.8
30.07.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs Varda SE 0-2 37% 40% -8.1 28% 31% -9.4 35% 39% -9.8
31.07.23 Debrecen VSC vs Mezökövesdi SE 3-1 48% 52% -6.5 26% 29% -8.6 25% 29% -13.6
04.08.23 Puskas FC vs Ujpest Budapest 3-3 44% 49% -9.0 27% 29% -8.0 29% 31% -8.6
05.08.23 Mezökövesdi SE vs Diosgyor DVTK 2-4 43% 47% -8.2 27% 29% -8.5 30% 34% -11.9
06.08.23 Fehervar FC vs Ferencvaros Budapest 3-5 25% 28% -8.8 25% 28% -8.8 49% 55% -9.7
06.08.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs MTK Budapest 2-1 42% 45% -7.7 27% 29% -7.8 31% 34% -10.3
07.08.23 Kecskemeti TE vs Varda SE 3-1 39% 42% -5.7 27% 30% -9.3 33% 38% -13.6
11.08.23 MTK Budapest vs Varda SE 0-0 44% 49% -10.8 28% 31% -9.6 29% 31% -6.9
12.08.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Paks SE 1-1 39% 44% -11.9 26% 29% -7.7 34% 38% -8.6
12.08.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Mezökövesdi SE 1-1 55% 62% -11.0 25% 26% -6.1 20% 21% -5.0
13.08.23 Debrecen VSC vs Zalaegerszeg TE 1-0 46% 49% -5.5 27% 29% -8.4 27% 31% -12.3
13.08.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Puskas FC 1-2 60% 65% -8.2 23% 24% -7.2 17% 20% -13.2
18.08.23 Puskas FC vs Fehervar FC 2-2 50% 56% -10.6 25% 27% -6.3 24% 27% -8.3
18.08.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs Diosgyor DVTK 1-3 43% 47% -8.1 27% 29% -8.2 30% 34% -10.8
19.08.23 MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE 1-0 37% 41% -9.1 27% 29% -7.8 36% 39% -8.8
19.08.23 Paks SE vs Ujpest Budapest 3-0 44% 51% -12.5 26% 28% -6.8 30% 32% -7.3
21.08.23 Debrecen VSC vs Varda SE 4-1 39% 42% -5.7 27% 30% -9.3 33% 38% -13.6
26.08.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Varda SE 2-0 48% 55% -12.4 26% 29% -7.4 25% 26% -3.4
26.08.23 Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC 4-1 42% 45% -7.7 27% 29% -8.1 31% 35% -11.0
26.08.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Zalaegerszeg TE 2-1 44% 48% -6.8 27% 30% -9.6 28% 32% -12.5
27.08.23 Debrecen VSC vs MTK Budapest 1-3 46% 51% -8.3 26% 29% -7.4 27% 30% -10.1
27.08.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Paks SE 6-1 64% 70% -8.8 20% 21% -3.2 16% 18% -12.7
01.09.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Varda SE 3-2 43% 47% -8.2 28% 31% -9.9 29% 32% -9.6
02.09.23 MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor DVTK 2-1 39% 43% -10.5 26% 29% -7.6 35% 38% -9.9
02.09.23 Paks SE vs Fehervar FC 2-0 43% 47% -8.5 26% 28% -6.6 31% 36% -11.8
03.09.23 Debrecen VSC vs Kecskemeti TE 2-0 41% 45% -8.8 27% 30% -9.3 31% 35% -10.7
03.09.23 Mezökövesdi SE vs Puskas FC 1-3 26% 27% -1.5 26% 29% -8.1 47% 55% -13.6
03.09.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs Ferencvaros Budapest 2-6 18% 20% -7.9 22% 24% -7.4 60% 65% -8.9
23.09.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Debrecen VSC 3-1 40% 43% -8.1 27% 29% -8.1 33% 37% -10.9
23.09.23 Puskas FC vs Paks SE 0-2 49% 53% -7.6 25% 27% -6.8 26% 30% -13.6
23.09.23 Ujpest Budapest vs MTK Budapest 0-2 43% 45% -6.0 27% 29% -8.1 30% 34% -12.3
24.09.23 Fehervar FC vs Zalaegerszeg TE 3-3 45% 49% -8.5 27% 29% -8.7 29% 32% -11.6
24.09.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Varda SE 1-0 74% 83% -10.1 17% 16% 3.4 9% 9% 0.5
27.09.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE 1-0 66% 74% -10.9 20% 21% -2.2 14% 14% -4.5
27.09.23 Paks SE vs Debrecen VSC 2-0 44% 48% -8.6 26% 29% -7.5 30% 34% -11.3
29.09.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs Puskas FC 1-1 30% 31% -2.3 26% 29% -7.4 43% 51% -13.9
30.09.23 Debrecen VSC vs Ujpest Budapest 1-2 46% 50% -7.7 26% 29% -7.5 27% 31% -10.9
30.09.23 MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros Budapest 1-6 18% 19% -6.5 22% 24% -7.4 60% 66% -9.2
30.09.23 Paks SE vs Mezökövesdi SE 2-1 56% 62% -9.8 24% 25% -5.1 20% 22% -8.8
01.10.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Kecskemeti TE 3-1 44% 50% -11.9 27% 29% -7.2 29% 31% -5.9
01.10.23 Fehervar FC vs Varda SE 3-1 39% 42% -6.9 28% 30% -9.1 33% 38% -12.1
06.10.23 Puskas FC vs Varda SE 1-0 54% 60% -9.0 25% 27% -7.2 21% 23% -8.7
07.10.23 Kecskemeti TE vs Paks SE 1-1 41% 45% -9.0 26% 29% -7.5 32% 36% -11.4
07.10.23 Mezökövesdi SE vs Zalaegerszeg TE 1-2 37% 40% -7.5 28% 30% -9.1 35% 40% -11.4
07.10.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Diosgyor DVTK 2-0 44% 49% -10.6 27% 29% -7.1 30% 32% -7.5
08.10.23 Fehervar FC vs MTK Budapest 3-0 43% 45% -6.5 26% 29% -7.4 31% 36% -13.1
08.10.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Debrecen VSC 2-2 67% 75% -10.3 20% 20% -1.9 13% 14% -6.2
21.10.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE 5-3 44% 49% -9.7 27% 29% -7.6 29% 31% -6.6
21.10.23 Varda SE vs Mezökövesdi SE 2-1 50% 55% -8.9 26% 29% -7.7 24% 26% -8.0
21.10.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs Paks SE 2-5 37% 40% -7.7 26% 29% -7.4 37% 42% -12.1
22.10.23 Debrecen VSC vs Fehervar FC 3-1 54% 60% -10.6 25% 26% -6.0 21% 23% -7.1
22.10.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Ferencvaros Budapest 1-2 20% 22% -8.6 22% 24% -6.6 58% 64% -9.1
22.10.23 MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC 0-5 28% 29% -3.7 26% 29% -7.9 46% 53% -12.3
28.10.23 Fehervar FC vs Diosgyor DVTK 4-0 42% 47% -10.3 26% 28% -6.4 32% 36% -9.5
28.10.23 Kecskemeti TE vs Zalaegerszeg TE 3-1 48% 53% -9.7 26% 29% -7.6 26% 29% -8.7
28.10.23 Puskas FC vs Debrecen VSC 1-1 46% 50% -8.6 27% 29% -9.0 28% 31% -11.8
29.10.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Ujpest Budapest 3-0 65% 71% -9.3 20% 21% -2.7 15% 17% -10.3
29.10.23 Mezökövesdi SE vs MTK Budapest 1-0 31% 32% -2.9 27% 29% -8.4 42% 49% -14.4
29.10.23 Paks SE vs Varda SE 3-1 55% 62% -11.6 24% 26% -5.5 20% 22% -5.7
04.11.23 Fehervar FC vs Ujpest Budapest 2-1 40% 44% -9.8 26% 28% -6.4 34% 38% -10.2
04.11.23 Mezökövesdi SE vs Debrecen VSC 2-1 22% 22% -0.2 24% 26% -5.6 54% 61% -12.6
04.11.23 Puskas FC vs Diosgyor DVTK 0-0 54% 60% -10.1 24% 26% -5.6 22% 24% -9.2
05.11.23 Kecskemeti TE vs Ferencvaros Budapest 2-1 21% 22% -5.2 24% 26% -7.3 55% 62% -10.7
05.11.23 Paks SE vs MTK Budapest 0-0 57% 63% -10.3 23% 24% -4.4 20% 22% -8.3
05.11.23 Varda SE vs Zalaegerszeg TE 0-1 43% 48% -9.3 27% 29% -7.1 30% 33% -9.2
10.11.23 MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszeg TE 2-0 42% 45% -7.8 27% 29% -6.8 31% 35% -10.2
11.11.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Mezökövesdi SE 2-0 58% 64% -9.4 23% 24% -4.9 19% 21% -9.3
11.11.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Puskas FC 1-2 37% 41% -9.0 27% 29% -8.2 36% 40% -10.4
12.11.23 Debrecen VSC vs Paks SE 1-0 43% 47% -8.6 26% 28% -6.2 31% 35% -10.5
12.11.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Fehervar FC 0-1 67% 74% -8.9 19% 20% -3.3 13% 15% -11.0
12.11.23 Varda SE vs Kecskemeti TE 1-2 37% 40% -7.9 27% 29% -7.8 36% 40% -9.9
24.11.23 Paks SE vs Diosgyor DVTK 4-1 50% 56% -10.8 26% 28% -7.4 24% 26% -8.2
25.11.23 Mezökövesdi SE vs Ujpest Budapest 4-0 31% 33% -7.0 27% 29% -8.2 42% 47% -9.7
25.11.23 Varda SE vs MTK Budapest 3-1 41% 44% -7.3 28% 30% -8.9 31% 35% -11.0
25.11.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs Debrecen VSC 1-2 31% 33% -5.8 26% 29% -7.3 42% 48% -11.6
26.11.23 Puskas FC vs Ferencvaros Budapest 1-1 28% 30% -6.4 26% 28% -7.3 46% 52% -11.5
02.12.23 Fehervar FC vs Puskas FC 3-1 31% 32% -5.2 27% 29% -8.1 42% 48% -11.0
02.12.23 Kecskemeti TE vs MTK Budapest 1-2 48% 52% -8.3 26% 29% -7.9 26% 29% -10.9
02.12.23 Varda SE vs Debrecen VSC 0-0 29% 30% -4.3 29% 32% -11.1 42% 48% -11.1
03.12.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs Zalaegerszeg TE 0-3 50% 56% -10.4 25% 27% -6.0 25% 28% -9.4
03.12.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Mezökövesdi SE 0-0 75% 82% -8.6 16% 17% -3.6 9% 10% -12.4
03.12.23 Ujpest Budapest vs Paks SE 1-2 35% 38% -8.2 26% 28% -6.5 39% 44% -11.3
06.12.23 Mezökövesdi SE vs Ferencvaros Budapest 0-2 13% 13% -0.7 20% 21% -6.3 67% 75% -10.2
08.12.23 Puskas FC vs Kecskemeti TE 3-0 55% 61% -9.7 25% 27% -7.2 20% 22% -7.3
09.12.23 MTK Budapest vs Debrecen VSC 2-1 33% 34% -5.5 27% 29% -7.9 40% 45% -11.3
09.12.23 Zalaegerszeg TE vs Ujpest Budapest 1-1 38% 41% -7.6 27% 29% -8.2 35% 40% -11.8
10.12.23 Paks SE vs Ferencvaros Budapest 3-2 25% 26% -3.1 25% 27% -6.7 49% 56% -12.7
10.12.23 Varda SE vs Diosgyor DVTK 1-2 37% 40% -8.7 28% 30% -9.1 36% 40% -10.1
16.12.23 Diosgyor DVTK vs MTK Budapest 3-3 47% 52% -8.8 26% 29% -7.8 26% 29% -10.2
16.12.23 Fehervar FC vs Paks SE 3-0 34% 36% -7.7 25% 27% -5.7 41% 48% -13.3
16.12.23 Varda SE vs Ujpest Budapest 4-0 39% 43% -8.2 28% 31% -9.1 33% 36% -9.3
17.12.23 Ferencvaros Budapest vs Zalaegerszeg TE 3-0 71% 78% -8.5 18% 18% -2.0 11% 12% -9.1
17.12.23 Kecskemeti TE vs Debrecen VSC 1-1 31% 32% -3.5 29% 33% -11.6 39% 44% -11.4
17.12.23 Puskas FC vs Mezökövesdi SE 0-0 61% 66% -8.3 23% 25% -7.7 16% 18% -10.8
02.02.24 MTK Budapest vs Ujpest Budapest 3-0 42% 47% -8.9 27% 29% -8.1 31% 34% -9.8
03.02.24 Debrecen VSC vs Diosgyor DVTK 2-2 50% 55% -8.9 26% 29% -8.6 24% 27% -10.6
03.02.24 Varda SE vs Ferencvaros Budapest 1-3 17% 17% -4.5 22% 24% -7.7 61% 68% -9.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 581 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

12 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Ferencvaros Budapest 2122.99
2 Paks SE 1951.41
3 Vasas Budapest 1913.69
4 Ujpest Budapest 1912.82
5 Nyiregyhazi Spartacus 1899.10
6 MTK Budapest 1895.51
7 Györi ETO FC 1890.38
8 Puskas FC 1886.69
9 Debrecen VSC 1867.24
10 Zalaegerszeg TE 1853.64
11 Budapest Honved 1815.75
12 Varda SE 1814.04

Away Ratings

12 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Ferencvaros Budapest 2016.92
2 Györi ETO FC 1921.98
3 Paks SE 1912.67
4 Ujpest Budapest 1872.73
5 Puskas FC 1855.95
6 Debrecen VSC 1855.02
7 Vasas Budapest 1837.33
8 Budapest Honved 1810.36
9 Nyiregyhazi Spartacus 1809.89
10 MTK Budapest 1807.76
11 Zalaegerszeg TE 1746.82
12 Varda SE 1734.10